Core Insights - Flutter Entertainment plc reported Q3 results on November 12, highlighting strong performance in iGaming, which was offset by weakness in the sportsbook segment [1] Financial Performance - The company's EBITDA growth was noted, indicating overall financial strength despite challenges in certain areas [1] Investment Perspective - The investment philosophy focuses on identifying mispriced securities through understanding financial drivers, often revealed by DCF model valuation, allowing for a comprehensive assessment of risk-to-reward [1]

Core Insights - Flutter Entertainment reported a revenue of $3.79 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 16.8% [1] - The company's EPS was $1.64, significantly higher than the $0.43 reported in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of +1161.54% [1] - Revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.86 billion, indicating a surprise of -1.65% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - International revenue was $1.9 billion, below the average estimate of $2.42 billion [4] - U.S. revenue reached $1.37 billion, slightly lower than the estimated $1.44 billion [4] - U.S. iGaming revenue was $530 million, exceeding the estimate of $515.17 million [4] - U.S. Sportsbook revenue was $783 million, compared to the average estimate of $840.37 million [4] - Other U.S. revenue was $55 million, below the estimate of $71.33 million [4] - International revenue from other regions was $229 million, surpassing the estimate of $211.55 million [4] - International Sportsbook revenue was $982 million, lower than the average estimate of $1.05 billion [4] - International iGaming revenue was $1.37 billion, slightly above the estimate of $1.34 billion [4] - International Other revenue was $75 million, exceeding the estimate of $66.86 million [4] - U.S. Sportsbook stakes totaled $10.65 billion, slightly above the estimate of $10.59 billion [4] - Revenue from Brazil was $87 million, below the estimate of $97.07 million [4] - Revenue from Central and Eastern Europe was $151 million, closely matching the estimate of $151.4 million [4] Stock Performance - Flutter's shares have returned -7.2% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.6% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Insights - DraftKings Inc reported mixed results for Q3, with significant challenges in sports betting performance [1][3] - The company missed sports revenue expectations by 16%, while iGaming revenue increased by 25% year-over-year [4] Financial Performance - Sports betting results were described as "ugly," leading to lower EBITDA due to increased promotional spending [3] - DraftKings lowered its full-year guidance for revenue and EBITDA following the quarterly results [4] Market Outlook - Potential positives include a new deal with ESPN and the launch of a new prediction market, which could improve future performance [5] - Increased betting handle trends for NFL and NBA seasons are also seen as positive indicators [5] Stock Performance - DraftKings stock rose by 4.79% on Friday, despite hitting new 52-week lows of $26.23 earlier in the session [5] - The stock is down 22% year-to-date in 2025 [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company generated $1,144 million in revenue, representing a 4% year-over-year growth [16] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was -$127 million, which was below expectations due to customer-friendly sports outcomes impacting revenue by over $300 million [16][10] - The fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance was revised to $5.9 billion-$6.1 billion, implying a growth of 24%-28% compared to fiscal year 2024 [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sportsbook handle increased 10% year-over-year to $11.4 billion, with NFL handle growing 13% and NBA handle growing 19% season-to-date [17][7] - iGaming net revenue growth accelerated to 25% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth since Q1 2024 [8] - Customer retention rates for NFL Week One customers improved by over 300 basis points compared to the same weeks a year ago [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total Sportsbook handle increased 17% year-over-year in October [8] - Parlay handle mix surged with year-over-year gains of 800 basis points for NFL and 1,000 basis points for NBA season-to-date [8] - Nearly half of the U.S. population remains without access to legal online sports betting, presenting a significant growth opportunity [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is launching DraftKings Predictions, which is viewed as a significant incremental opportunity to expand the total addressable market [11] - Exclusive marketing agreements with ESPN and NBCUniversal are expected to enhance brand affinity and broaden reach [8] - The company plans to focus on states where it does not currently offer Sportsbooks, targeting areas with the most financial opportunity [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed strong confidence in the long-term financial potential of the company, despite revising fiscal year 2025 guidance [5] - The impact of sports outcomes on financial results is acknowledged, with management emphasizing that these variances typically normalize over time [10] - The company is optimistic about the future growth of predictions and its potential to motivate more states to legalize online sports betting [12] Other Important Information - The board has authorized an increase in the share repurchase program from $1 billion to $2 billion, with plans to be active in share repurchases [14] - The company is investing in AI to improve cost structure and revenue trajectory, with some investments expected to pay back in 2026 [70] Q&A Session Summary Question: OSB hold percentage and confidence in recovery - Management acknowledged the frustration with recent customer-friendly outcomes but emphasized that over time, results normalize [21][22] Question: Addition of Greg Wendt to the board - Management expressed excitement about Greg Wendt's expertise in investing and capital markets, anticipating his contributions to strategy [25][26] Question: Volatility of hold due to Parlay - Management indicated that while increased parlay activity may introduce volatility, the focus remains on maximizing long-term value while managing risk [29][30] Question: Profitability of prediction markets - Management plans to adopt a conservative approach to investment in prediction markets, focusing on data-driven decisions as more information becomes available [32][33] Question: Conversations with regulators regarding prediction markets - Management highlighted the importance of relationships with regulators and the strategic focus on states without existing online sports betting [38][39] Question: Significance of the ESPN deal - Management emphasized the long-standing relationship with ESPN and the potential for significant growth through integration and marketing collaboration [51][52] Question: Impact of promotional spending on guidance - Management noted that most of the guidance adjustment was due to outcomes, with some additional spending anticipated for predictions and product development [62][63] Question: Investment focus for next year - Management indicated that core business investments would remain stable, with a focus on new states and AI technology [68][70] Question: Spanish-language app opportunity - Management expressed excitement about the upcoming Spanish-language app, particularly in light of the World Cup and the growing Hispanic demographic [92][95] Question: Attribution of parlay mix growth - Management attributed the growth in parlay mix to product innovation and effective promotional strategies, indicating a strong focus on this area moving forward [98][100]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, DraftKings generated $1,144 million in revenue, representing a 4% year-over-year growth [14] - The company reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $127 million for the quarter, which was below expectations due to customer-friendly sports outcomes impacting revenue by over $300 million [14][9] - For fiscal year 2025, revenue guidance was revised to $5.9 billion-$6.1 billion, down from the previous guidance of $6.2 billion-$6.4 billion, reflecting a growth of 24%-28% compared to fiscal year 2024 [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sportsbook handle increased by 10% year-over-year to $11.4 billion, with a significant acceleration in October, where total sportsbook handle increased 17% year-over-year [16][6] - iGaming net revenue growth accelerated to 25% year-over-year in Q3 2025, marking the fastest growth since Q1 2024 [6] - Customer retention rates for NFL Week One customers improved by over 300 basis points compared to the same weeks a year ago [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The parlay handle mix surged with year-over-year gains of 800 basis points for NFL season to date and 1,000 basis points for NBA season to date [6] - NFL handle grew by 13% season to date, while NBA handle grew by 19% season to date, indicating an acceleration in growth compared to previous quarters [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is optimistic about its future, citing new exclusive marketing agreements with ESPN and NBCUniversal as key advantages [4] - DraftKings is set to launch DraftKings Predictions, which is viewed as a significant incremental opportunity to expand its total addressable market [10] - The company plans to focus on states where it does not currently offer sportsbooks, targeting areas with the most financial opportunity [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the impact of customer-friendly sports outcomes on financial results but emphasized that these variances typically normalize over time [21][22] - The company remains confident in its long-term financial potential, with expectations of generating $450-$550 million in adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2025 [17] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong customer engagement and product enhancements to drive future growth [5] Other Important Information - DraftKings has repurchased 9.3 million shares since the inception of its share repurchase program, with the board authorizing an increase in the program from $1 billion to $2 billion [12] - The company is developing innovative slot and jackpot content in iGaming and has brought in a new leader to solidify its position in this area [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about OSB hold percentage and customer-friendly outcomes - Management acknowledged the frustration with recent outcomes but noted that such variances are part of the business and typically normalize over time [21][22] Question: Value of new board member Greg Went - Management expressed excitement about Greg Went's addition to the board, highlighting his expertise in investing and capital markets [24] Question: Balancing structural hold and volatility with increasing parlay offerings - Management emphasized the importance of maximizing long-term value while managing risk, acknowledging that volatility can occur during concentrated events [26][29] Question: Profitability of prediction markets - Management stated that they will take a conservative approach to investment in prediction markets, focusing on data-driven decisions and shorter payback periods [30][32] Question: Conversations with regulators regarding prediction markets - Management confirmed ongoing discussions with regulators to ensure compliance and to understand the market landscape [36][38] Question: Significance of the ESPN deal - Management highlighted the strategic importance of the ESPN partnership, which will enhance customer engagement and marketing efforts [45][46] Question: Impact of promotional spending on guidance - Management indicated that most of the guidance adjustment was due to sports outcomes, with some consideration for promotional spending related to new product launches [57] Question: Investment focus for the upcoming year - Management indicated that there would be minimal incremental investment in core business areas, with a focus on new states and AI technology [63][64] Question: Spanish-language app opportunity - Management expressed excitement about the upcoming Spanish-language app, particularly in light of the World Cup and the growing Hispanic demographic in the U.S. [86][88] Question: Attribution of growth in parlay mix - Management attributed the growth in parlay mix to a combination of product innovation and effective promotional strategies [90]

Q3 2025 EARNINGS PRESENTATION November 6, 2025 | 1 Legal Disclaimer Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements about DraftKings Inc. ("DraftKings", the "Company", "we", "us" and "our") and its industry that involve substantial risks and uncertainties. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, ...

Core Insights - DraftKings reported $1.14 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, a year-over-year increase of 4.4% [1] - The EPS for the same period was -$0.26, an improvement from -$0.60 a year ago [1] - Revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.21 billion, resulting in a surprise of -5.26% [1] - The company experienced an EPS surprise of -8.33%, with the consensus estimate being -$0.24 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Average Revenue per Monthly Unique Payer (ARPMUP) was $106.00, below the estimated $108.89 [4] - Monthly Unique Payers (MUPs) totaled 3.6 million, slightly below the estimated 3.65 million [4] - Sportsbook revenue was $596.12 million, significantly lower than the estimated $668.27 million [4] - Revenue from Other sources was $96.6 million, exceeding the estimated $84.95 million [4] - iGaming revenue reached $451.3 million, surpassing the average estimate of $434.36 million [4] Stock Performance - DraftKings shares have returned -17.8% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market [3]

Core Insights - DraftKings reported a revenue of $1,144 million for Q3 2025, marking a 4% increase from $1,095 million in Q3 2024, driven by strong customer engagement and higher Sportsbook hold percentage [2][3] - The company anticipates a fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance of $5.9 billion to $6.1 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 24% to 28% [7][5] - DraftKings plans to launch its new product, DraftKings Predictions, which is expected to provide significant incremental opportunities [3] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $1,144 million, up $49 million from the previous year, with Sportsbook Handle increasing by 17% year-over-year in October [2][19] - Monthly Unique Payers (MUPs) rose by approximately 2% to 3.6 million in Q3 2025, with Average Revenue per MUP (ARPMUP) increasing to $106, a 3% rise compared to Q3 2024 [7][19] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was reported at $(126,488) thousand, compared to $(58,504) thousand in Q3 2024 [29] Strategic Developments - The company is live with mobile sports betting in 25 states and Washington, D.C., covering about 49% of the U.S. population, and plans to launch in Missouri pending regulatory approvals [6][12] - DraftKings has increased its share repurchase program from $1 billion to $2 billion, indicating a focus on maximizing shareholder returns [3][5] - The company is also expanding its iGaming footprint, currently operational in five states, representing approximately 11% of the U.S. population [12][6] Operational Metrics - Sportsbook Handle for Q3 2025 was $11.4 billion, a 10% increase from $10.4 billion in Q3 2024, while Sportsbook revenue decreased by 9.3% to $596 million [19][15] - iGaming revenue increased by 24.9% to $451 million, reflecting strong growth in this segment [19][15] - The total assets of DraftKings as of September 30, 2025, were $4.62 billion, up from $4.28 billion at the end of 2024 [11][10]

Core Insights - DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, with expectations of a revenue increase but potential earnings pressure due to various factors [1][10]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DKNG's third-quarter adjusted loss per share has widened to 14 cents from 2 cents over the past month, compared to an adjusted loss of 60 cents in the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenue expectations are pegged at $1.24 billion, reflecting a 13.3% year-over-year increase [2][10]. Revenue Drivers - The anticipated revenue growth is attributed to ongoing product innovation, strong user engagement, and DKNG's leadership in online sports betting and iGaming [3]. - Live betting continues to be a significant growth driver, supported by industry-leading uptime and a variety of in-game wagering options, particularly during major sports seasons [4]. - DKNG's expansion into new jurisdictions, such as the mobile sportsbook launch in Missouri, is expected to contribute positively to revenue [5]. Cost Pressures - The company's bottom line may face pressure from rising tax burdens in key states, expansion-related expenses, and elevated marketing investments during the peak football season [6][10]. - New tax pass-through mechanisms and regulatory developments could also create temporary margin friction [7]. Earnings Prediction - Current models do not predict an earnings beat for DKNG, with an Earnings ESP of -100.00% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [8][9].

Group 1 - DraftKings Inc. is viewed positively by Jim Cramer, who believes in the company's integrity and potential for growth, especially if it expands into states like Texas, Florida, and California [1] - The company operates in the digital sports entertainment and gaming sector, providing online sports betting, fantasy sports, iGaming, and retail sportsbooks, along with developing gaming software and a digital collectibles platform [2] Group 2 - There is a recognition of DraftKings' investment potential, but some analysts suggest that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and lower downside risk [3]