4Q 2025 Earnings Review February 23, 2026 DISCLAIMERS Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements made in this presentation are "forward looking statements" within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, Super Group's intention to pay a dividend, including the expected timing of such dividend, expectations and projections of market opportunity, growth and profitabili ...

DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) shares nosedived last week after the company reported strong growth but issued conservative guidance. The online sports betting stock is now trading down about 35% year to date as of this writing. Let's take a closer look at its results and prospects to see if the drop is a buying opportunity. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now, when you join Stock Advisor. See the stocks » Image source: Getty ...

Core Insights - DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) reported fourth-quarter 2025 results with earnings and revenues missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate, leading to a 14.1% decline in shares during after-hours trading [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 was 36 cents, missing the consensus estimate of 50 cents by 28%, compared to 14 cents in the prior-year quarter [3] - Revenues for Q4 reached $1,989 million, slightly below the consensus mark of $1,990 million, but represented a year-over-year growth of 42.8% [3] Customer Engagement - Monthly Unique Payers (MUPs) remained stable at 4.8 million, with a 5% increase when excluding the impact of the Jackpocket acquisition, driven by strong retention and acquisition trends [4] - Average Revenue per MUP (ARPMUP) increased by 43% year-over-year to $139, attributed to higher net revenue margins across Sportsbook and iGaming [5] Financial Highlights - As of December 31, 2025, DraftKings had cash and cash equivalents of $1.13 billion, up from $788.3 million a year earlier [6] - Adjusted property EBITDA for Q4 totaled $343.2 million, significantly up from $89.5 million in the same quarter of the previous year [6] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $662.9 million, an increase from $417.8 million reported in the prior-year quarter [6] Annual Performance - For the full year 2025, revenues were $6.05 billion, compared to $4.77 billion in 2024 [7] - Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was $620 million, up from $181.3 million in 2024 [7] - Adjusted EPS for 2025 was 66 cents, compared to 24 cents in the previous year [7] Future Guidance - DraftKings anticipates 2026 revenues to be between $6.5 billion and $6.9 billion, indicating approximately 39.6% year-over-year growth [10] - Expected adjusted EBITDA for 2026 is projected to be between $700 million and $900 million, a significant increase from $181.3 million in 2024 [10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, revenue grew 43% year-over-year to nearly $2 billion, with Adjusted EBITDA reaching $343 million, four times the prior year period [5][14] - Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by over 1,000 basis points year-over-year to 17% [5][14] - For the fiscal year 2025, revenue increased 27% year-over-year to above $6 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA more than tripled to over $600 million [7][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fantasy revenue increased as Pick6 began to scale [14] - Sportsbook revenue increased over 30% year-over-year, with a standout Q4 where revenue rose 64% year-over-year to $1.4 billion [15] - iGaming revenue grew by 20% due to expanded offerings [15] - Lottery revenue benefited from a stronger jackpot environment and the rollout of new games [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sportsbook handle increased 11% year-over-year to $54 billion, with a total potential payout across all open wagers of $2.5 trillion [16] - In January, Sportsbook handle increased 4% year-over-year, despite two consecutive months of Sportsbook-friendly outcomes [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on the predictions market as a significant growth opportunity, expecting to capture a $10 billion annual gross revenue opportunity [10] - Plans to integrate Railbird and launch a market-making division to enhance customer experience and liquidity [12][13] - The company aims to lead the predictions category while maintaining strong positions in existing markets [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth potential of the predictions market, citing a stable regulatory environment as a key factor [22][23] - The company anticipates continued revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth for many years, with a focus on customer acquisition and retention [8][17] - Management acknowledged the importance of optimizing promotional spending and improving customer monetization [40][68] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 16 million shares during the fiscal year and plans to remain active in share repurchases as Adjusted EBITDA grows [5][17] - The company reported positive net income for the first time, indicating improved operational efficiency [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on prediction markets and investment confidence - Management highlighted regulatory clarity from the CFTC as a significant factor in their increased focus on prediction markets, viewing it as a major growth opportunity [22][23] Question: Guidance on revenue deceleration - Management explained that the guidance reflects a conservative approach, with expectations for sports betting handle and promotional strategies factored in [25][26] Question: Competitive environment and promotional intensity - Management characterized the current promotional environment as rational, with no significant uptick in promotional activity from smaller operators [71][86] Question: Customer demographics in prediction markets - Management noted that prediction market players tend to be from states like California and Texas, resembling existing customer profiles [90][91] Question: Impact of promotional spending on revenue - Management indicated that promotional spending would be strategically managed, with flexibility to adjust based on customer acquisition and retention metrics [88][86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, revenue grew 43% year-over-year to nearly $2 billion, with Adjusted EBITDA reaching $343 million, four times the prior year period [4][13] - Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by over 1,000 basis points year-over-year to 17% [4][13] - For fiscal year 2025, revenue increased 27% year-over-year to above $6 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA more than tripled to over $600 million [6][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fantasy revenue increased as the Pick Six product began to scale [13] - Sportsbook revenue rose over 30% year-over-year, with Q4 revenue increasing 64% year-over-year to $1.4 billion [14] - iGaming revenue grew by 20% due to expanded offerings [14] - Lottery revenue benefited from a stronger jackpot environment and the rollout of new games [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sportsbook handle increased 11% year-over-year to $54 billion, with a total potential payout across all open wagers reaching $2.5 trillion [15] - In January, Sportsbook handle increased 4% year-over-year, despite sportsbook-friendly outcomes [7][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on the predictions market as a significant growth opportunity, targeting hundreds of millions in annual revenue in the coming years [5][9] - Plans include integrating Railbird and launching a market-making division to enhance customer experience and liquidity [11][12] - The company aims to lead the predictions category and is optimistic about regulatory developments that support this growth [9][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the business model's efficiency and sustainability, expecting revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth for many years [6][7] - The regulatory environment has improved, providing a stable backdrop for predictions, which is seen as a major growth area [20][21] - Management acknowledged the importance of customer acquisition and retention, with a focus on optimizing promotional strategies [38][39] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 16 million shares during fiscal year 2025 and plans to continue share repurchases as Adjusted EBITDA grows [4][16] - The company reported positive net income for the first time, indicating improved operational efficiency [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on prediction markets and investment confidence - Management highlighted regulatory clarity from the CFTC as a key factor in their increased focus on prediction markets, viewing it as a significant growth opportunity [20][21] Question: Guidance on revenue deceleration - Management explained that the guidance reflects a conservative approach, with expectations of handle growth and net revenue margin improvements [24][25] Question: Revenue drivers for 2026 - Predictions are seen as an upside opportunity, with no revenue included in the guidance for 2026, focusing instead on customer acquisition costs [31] Question: Competitive environment and promotional intensity - Management characterized the current promotional environment as rational, with no significant uptick in promotional activity from competitors [70][85] Question: Legislative updates on prediction markets - Management noted that discussions around prediction markets are gaining traction in state legislatures, which could influence future legalization of online sports betting [72]

FY 2025 EARNINGS PRESENTATION February 12, 2026 | 1 Legal Disclaimer Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements about DraftKings Inc. ("DraftKings", the "Company", "we", "us", and "our") and its industry that involve substantial risks and uncertainties. All statements, other than statements of historical fac ...

Core Insights - DraftKings reported $1.99 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, a year-over-year increase of 42.8% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.36, compared to -$0.28 a year ago, indicating a significant improvement [1] - The revenue reported was a slight miss of -0.02% against the Zacks Consensus Estimate, while the EPS fell short by -28% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.50 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Average Revenue per Monthly Unique Payer (ARPMUP) was $139.00, exceeding the average estimate of $123.86 from two analysts [4] - Monthly Unique Payers (MUPs) totaled 4.8 million, below the average estimate of 5.13 million from two analysts [4] - Revenue from Sportsbook was $1.35 billion, matching the average estimate from three analysts [4] - Revenue from Other sources was $137.87 million, falling short of the average estimate of $151.53 million from three analysts [4] - Revenue from iGaming reached $500.18 million, surpassing the average estimate of $483.41 million from three analysts [4] Stock Performance - DraftKings shares have declined by -23.4% over the past month, contrasting with a -0.3% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Viewpoint - FanDuel will stop accepting credit card deposits for sports betting in the U.S. effective March 2, following a similar decision by DraftKings, aimed at improving the deposit experience for customers [1][2]. Company Actions - FanDuel's decision to remove credit cards as a payment option has been in consideration for several months, and it is part of a broader evaluation of payment methods offered to customers [2]. - The company stated that the change is intended to enhance the deposit experience for users [2]. Industry Context - The sports betting industry is under scrutiny, with Senator Elizabeth Warren advocating for a ban on credit card usage in sports betting, highlighting the high costs associated with credit card transactions [4][5]. - FanDuel and DraftKings together account for over 70% of the online sports betting market in the U.S., indicating that this policy change could significantly impact the industry [2][5]. Financial Implications - Bets placed with credit cards incur higher costs due to fees classified as cash advances, which can be $10 or 3-5% of the amount advanced, whichever is greater [3]. - Several states, including Massachusetts, Iowa, Tennessee, Rhode Island, Oregon, and Vermont, already prohibit the use of credit cards for online sports betting [3].

Core Insights - DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 12, with an earnings miss of 8.3% in the last quarter [2] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share has risen to 50 cents from 45 cents over the past 30 days, compared to an adjusted loss per share of 28 cents in the same quarter last year [3] - Revenue consensus is projected at $1.99 billion, reflecting a 42.9% year-over-year increase [3] Revenue Drivers - Strong sportsbook engagement, particularly around the NFL and early NBA seasons, is expected to have significantly contributed to fourth-quarter revenues, with increased customer activity and improved retention [4] - Continued acceleration in iGaming growth, driven by more active users and higher spending per customer, is likely to have provided a more stable revenue stream [5] - Marketing leverage and brand partnerships, especially with ESPN and NBCUniversal, have enhanced customer engagement and brand reach without substantial additional spending [6] Earnings Performance - Structural margin improvements, driven by a richer bet mix and disciplined promotional spending, are anticipated to have positively impacted earnings [7] - Operating leverage from previous investments in technology and customer management is expected to have limited cost growth despite increased volumes [7] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for DraftKings, as it lacks a positive Earnings ESP and holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [8][10]

Core Insights - DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) has expanded its share repurchase authorization from $1 billion to $2 billion, indicating a stronger commitment to shareholder returns [1][7] - The decision to increase the buyback program is based on business progress and improved cash flow visibility, rather than short-term market volatility [2][7] - DraftKings maintains its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $450 million to $550 million, supported by stronger sportsbook economics and ongoing iGaming momentum [2][4] Financial Performance - DraftKings has repurchased 9.3 million shares under the buyback program, which is part of a balanced capital allocation strategy [3][7] - The company's stock has increased by 1.8% over the past three months, contrasting with an 11.7% decline in the industry [5] - DraftKings is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 2.37, which is below the industry average of 2.55 [8] Future Outlook - The expanded repurchase authorization suggests that capital returns are becoming a more integral part of DraftKings' operating model, reflecting confidence in cash generation durability [4] - The company is expected to report a significant earnings increase of 79.6% in 2026, while industry peers are projected to see smaller gains [12]