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ANGELALIGN(6699.HK):DOMESTIC CLEAR ALIGNER LEADER ACCELERATING GLOBAL EXPANSION
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-17 01:52
Core Viewpoint - Angelalign is a leading provider of clear aligner treatment solutions in China, maintaining a strong market position and robust revenue growth, with a target price of HK$69.55 per share and a BUY rating initiated [1][3] Group 1: Domestic Market Performance - Angelalign has held the No.1 market share in China's clear aligner market for four consecutive years since 2021, with a 42% market share in 2023 [1] - The company achieved a revenue CAGR of 23.8% from 2019 to 2024, with expectations of an 18.0% CAGR for 2024-27E [1] - Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Angelalign's domestic case volume increased by 3.2% YoY in 2024, supported by expansion into lower-tier cities and the children/adolescents market [1] Group 2: Global Expansion and Profitability - The global clear aligner market is projected to grow from US$6.5 billion in 2024 to US$32 billion by 2030E, representing a CAGR of 30.7% [2] - Angelalign's overseas cases reached 140,700 in 2024, generating US$81 million in revenue, accounting for 30% of total revenue [2] - The company has adopted a "localized operations + M&A" model to establish a global supply chain and local teams, focusing on key markets like Europe and Brazil [2] Group 3: Technological Innovation - Angelalign invests heavily in R&D, maintaining a comprehensive product portfolio and an advanced digital orthodontic platform [3] - The iOrtho platform and digital tools enhance doctor efficiency and loyalty, creating high competitive barriers [3] - The company is expected to achieve a 42.8% overseas revenue CAGR from 2024-27E, while projecting a 3.3% domestic revenue CAGR during the same period [3]