Industry Overview - The aerospace and defense industry is experiencing strong growth due to rising global air travel and increased defense spending, with a proposed 13% increase in the U.S. defense budget [1][5] - The industry includes companies that design and manufacture a variety of heavy-built products, including commercial and military jets, helicopters, combat vehicles, and military satellites [2] - Cybersecurity players and defense contractors providing spare parts and maintenance services are also part of the industry [3] Growth Drivers - Global air passenger traffic increased by 4.6% year over year in August 2025, with a projected growth of 5.8% in 2025, benefiting aerospace and defense companies [4] - The proposed increase in the U.S. defense budget to $1.01 trillion for fiscal 2026 is expected to enhance production volumes and contract opportunities for defense-focused companies [5] Challenges - Supply-chain disruptions from the pandemic continue to hinder growth, with aircraft deliveries currently 30% below peak levels and a backlog of 17,000 units [6][7] - Smaller suppliers, particularly those linked to commercial aerospace, are disproportionately affected by these supply-chain issues [7] Market Performance - The aerospace-defense industry has outperformed the Zacks S&P 500 composite, with a 27% increase in stock prices over the past year, compared to 18.7% for the S&P 500 [12] - However, the industry is ranked in the bottom 29% of Zacks industries, indicating a negative earnings outlook [8][10] Valuation - The industry is currently trading at an EV/Sales ratio of 3.26X, lower than the S&P 500's 5.81X and the sector's 3.45X [15] Key Companies - **L3Harris Technologies**: Projected sales growth of 2.1% for 2025, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 13.02% [18][19] - **GE Aerospace**: Reported a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $12.2 billion, with adjusted EPS up 44% [21][22] - **General Dynamics**: Achieved a 10.6% revenue increase to $12.91 billion, with adjusted EPS up 15.8% [24][25]

Core Insights - GE Aerospace is a leading global company in the aerospace sector with a market capitalization of $319.1 billion, specializing in jet engines, components, and integrated systems for various aircraft types [1] Financial Performance - GE Aerospace is expected to announce its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings on October 21, with analysts forecasting an adjusted EPS of $1.45, representing a 26.1% increase from $1.15 in the same quarter last year [2] - For fiscal 2025, analysts predict an adjusted EPS of $5.87, indicating a growth of 27.6% from $4.60 in fiscal 2024 [3] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, GE Aerospace shares have surged by 60.6%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index's gain of 17.6% and the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund's return of 14% [4] - Despite beating Q2 2025 earnings expectations, shares fell by 2.2% on July 17, with adjusted EPS of $1.66 and a revenue increase of 21% year-over-year to $11 billion, while operating margin decreased by 10 basis points to 23% due to a 22.8% rise in cost of sales [5] Analyst Ratings - The consensus among analysts is bullish, with a "Strong Buy" rating for GE stock. Out of 21 analysts, 15 recommend a "Strong Buy," 2 suggest a "Moderate Buy," and 4 recommend a "Hold," indicating a slight decrease in bullish sentiment compared to three months ago [6] - The stock is currently trading above the average analyst price target of $295.72 [6]

Core Insights - Rising U.S. defense spending is expected to benefit aerospace-defense firms focused on military aerospace, despite ongoing supply-chain challenges [1] - Strong global air passenger growth, which increased by 5% year over year and is projected to rise by 5.8% in 2025, provides a positive outlook for commercial aerospace players [1] - The aerospace-defense industry is characterized by companies that design and manufacture military and commercial aircraft, as well as related systems and services [2][3] Industry Trends - Impressive air traffic outlook is boosting growth prospects, with industry-wide revenue per kilometer (RPK) rising by 5% year over year to 806 billion [4] - The U.S. defense budget is a growth catalyst, with a proposed 13% increase to $1.01 trillion for fiscal 2026, enhancing contract opportunities for defense-focused companies [5] - Supply-chain issues continue to hinder growth, with a record backlog of 17,000 jets due to delivery delays and new U.S. tariffs exacerbating the situation [6][7] Industry Performance - The Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry ranks 62, placing it in the top 25% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating bright near-term prospects [8][9] - The industry has underperformed compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite and its own sector, with a collective gain of 14.1% versus 22.6% for the Aerospace sector and 17.4% for the S&P 500 over the past year [10] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a trailing 12-month EV/Sales ratio of 3.17, compared to the S&P 500's 5.51 and the sector's 3.36 [13] Company Highlights - GE Aerospace reported a 21% year-over-year revenue increase to $11 billion, with earnings per share improving by 64.3% [16] - Airbus Group's revenues improved by 3% year over year, with earnings per share surging by 86% [20] - Huntington Ingalls secured a $74 million task order for modeling and simulation capabilities for the U.S. Air Force, indicating strong demand for its services [23]

Core Insights - The GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price) strategy combines value and growth investing, focusing on undervalued stocks with solid growth prospects [1][2][7] GARP Strategy Overview - GARP investing aims to provide an ideal investment by utilizing features from both value and growth investing, targeting stocks priced below market value with strong cash flow and earnings potential [3][4] - Ideal growth rates for GARP investors are between 10% and 20%, focusing on stable growth rather than super-normal rates [3] Screening Parameters - Stocks selected under the GARP strategy must have a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy), with last 5-year EPS and projected 3-5 year EPS growth rates between 10% and 25% [6] - A return on equity (ROE) greater than the industry average and P/E and P/B ratios less than the industry average are also key criteria [6] Promising GARP Stocks - GE Aerospace is experiencing strong demand for commercial engines and expects organic revenue growth in the low-double-digit range for 2025, with a year-to-date stock surge of 62.1% [9][10] - Autodesk is benefiting from new business growth and strong demand for its cloud-based products, with a year-to-date return of 3.7% [12][13] - Adobe's tools are gaining traction, with over 700 million monthly active users, although the stock has declined 16.6% year-to-date [14][16] - Sprouts Farmers Market is well-positioned in the natural and organic food market, planning to open at least 35 new stores in 2025, with a year-to-date return of 23.5% [17][18][19]