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Will UAMY's $352M Contract Lead to a New Critical Mineral Powerhouse?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-18 14:56
Core Insights - United States Antimony Corp. (UAMY) has reached a significant turning point with a projected revenue pipeline of $352 million, which is over 20 times last year's sales of $15 million, due to two long-term contracts [1][10] Group 1: Contracts and Revenue - The first major contract is a five-year, $245 million award from the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) for domestically sourced metallic antimony ingots, crucial for defense technologies [2] - The second contract, valued at $107 million, is for antimony trioxide, used in flame retardants and solar glass, marking a historic multi-year revenue visibility for UAMY [2][10] Group 2: Strategic Positioning - UAMY's unique position as the only vertically integrated antimony producer in North America enhances its strategic value, especially as the U.S. seeks to secure supply chains for critical minerals [3][10] - The momentum is further supported by Executive Order 14017, which emphasizes the need for secure U.S.-aligned supply chains for critical minerals [3] Group 3: Production and Growth Potential - Management reported a significant increase in production capacity at its Montana and Mexico smelters, with plans to scale from approximately 100 tons per month to 500-600 tons by 2026 [4] - The company is also experiencing a ramp-up in sales, with October figures nearly matching third-quarter totals, indicating strong operational momentum [4] Group 4: Market Performance - UAMY's stock has surged 287% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the industry average growth of 23% [12] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 8.93, above the industry average and its five-year median of 4.77, indicating a premium valuation [13] Group 5: Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UAMY's 2025 earnings suggests a 150% increase compared to the previous year, reflecting strong growth expectations [14]