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Mondelez Delivers a Solid Q3: Does the Guidance Cut Signal Trouble?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-27 14:01
Core Insights - Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) reported a strong third quarter for 2025 with better-than-expected revenues and earnings, but management adopted a cautious outlook for the near term due to specific headwinds encountered during the quarter [1][6] Revenue and Earnings Guidance - MDLZ now anticipates 2025 organic net revenue growth of 4% or higher, down from the previously mentioned 5% [2] - Adjusted EPS is expected to decline by 15% on a constant-currency basis, a steeper drop than the earlier estimate of 10% [2] Challenges Faced - The company experienced sharper-than-expected inventory reductions from U.S. retailers, leading to a temporary decline in shipments and more volatile near-term comparisons [3] - Unusually hot weather and increased price sensitivity in Europe negatively impacted chocolate volumes [3] - Tariff uncertainties have added costs and affected consumer sentiment in certain markets, contributing to the cautious guidance [4] Strategic Responses - Mondelez is focusing on targeted pricing actions, enhancing retail partnerships, and increasing efforts in value and club channels [5] - The company remains well-positioned in cocoa supply, providing flexibility as commodity markets change [5] Market Performance - MDLZ shares have decreased by 6.6% over the past three months, underperforming the industry decline of 7.5% and the broader Consumer Staples sector's drop of 4.3% [7] Valuation Metrics - Mondelez currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 18.18, which is above the industry average of 14.72, raising concerns about justifying this elevated multiple in light of near-term pressures [10]