Key Takeaways MO's Q1 2025 pricing strategy drove revenue gains across the Smokeable and Oral Tobacco segments. Strong pricing power helped MO maintain margins despite cigarette volume declines and regulations. MO expects 2025 EPS of $5.30-$5.45, reflecting up to 5% growth from 2024's adjusted base of $5.19.Altria Group, Inc. (MO) has demonstrated remarkable resilience in a challenging operating environment, and a major driver of this strength is its robust pricing strategy. Despite ongoing volume pressur ...

Core Viewpoint - Altria Group's stock is experiencing a significant decline following a negative rating from Jefferies, despite a generally positive market trend [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Altria's stock price fell by 4.1% as of 2:30 p.m. ET, with a maximum decline of 4.5% earlier in the trading session [1]. - Despite the current pullback, Altria's stock has increased approximately 24% over the past year [1]. Group 2: Analyst Coverage - Jefferies initiated coverage on Altria with an underperform rating and set a one-year price target of $50 per share, indicating a potential downside of about 12.5% [3]. - The lead analyst, Edward Mundy, believes that Altria's valuation has become stretched following its recent stock price increase [3]. Group 3: Market Trends - Altria is facing a potential secular decline in smokable tobacco products, with consistent declines in unit sales for cigarettes in recent years [4]. - The company has been able to offset some declines in cigarette unit volumes through price increases [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Altria is focusing on increasing demand for smoke-free products and has seen some recent successes in this area [5]. - The company's current valuation stands at approximately 10.6 times this year's expected earnings, with a dividend yield of around 7.2% [5].

Duquesne Family Office's billionaire chief dumped Wall Street's hottest artificial intelligence (AI) stock for a time-tested company that's successfully reinventing itself before our eyes.Nothing bears more importance on Wall Street than data. The only problem is the sheer amount of information investors have to digest can be overwhelming and allow something of importance to slip through the cracks.For example, the heart of earnings season marked the filing deadline (May 15) for Form 13F with the Securities ...

Core Insights - Delota Corp has announced a retail partnership with 180 Global for the licensing of its 180 Smoke brand for online sales of vape products in Eastern Canada [1][2] - The partnership is expected to lead to a reduction in reported revenues and expenses as operational functions transition from Delota's subsidiary to 180 Global [2] - Delota aims to enhance profitability in the Regional Markets through this partnership, which may positively impact future financial results [2] Company Overview - Delota Corp is the largest omni-channel specialty vape retailer in Ontario, with ambitions to expand nationally [3] - The company's growth strategy includes expanding its retail footprint, strengthening its e-commerce platform, and pursuing strategic mergers and acquisitions [3] - Delota currently has over 280,000 registered customer accounts, indicating a strong customer base [3]

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is expected to experience volatility due to rising tensions between Israel and Iran, which have led to increased oil prices and concerns about a broader regional conflict [1] - Uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions amid these geopolitical risks is adding further pressure to the market [1] Investment Strategy - A curated portfolio of low-beta stocks is recommended as a strategy to navigate the uncertain market conditions [2] - Low-beta stocks such as VirTra Inc. (VTSI), Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV), Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT), and Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [2] Stock Characteristics - Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility compared to the market, with a beta of 1 indicating movement in line with the market, greater than 1 indicating higher volatility, and less than 1 indicating lower volatility [3][4] - Stocks with a beta between 0 and 0.6 are screened for lower volatility, alongside other criteria such as positive price movement over the last month, average trading volume greater than 50,000, a price of at least $5, and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [5][6] Company Insights - **VirTra Inc. (VTSI)**: The company is benefiting from the U.S. Army's Integrated Visual Augmentation System (IVAS) project, which enhances training for soldiers and positions VirTra favorably for military contracts [7][9] - **Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)**: Recently invested $1.05 billion in a royalty on the Côté Gold Mine, which is expected to close by Q2 2025, indicating strong revenue potential from significant gold resources [9][10] - **Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT)**: The company has a substantial backlog of $23.1 billion, with 66% of its contracts coming from international markets, reflecting strong global demand for defense solutions [9][11] - **Philip Morris International Inc. (PM)**: Transitioning from traditional cigarettes to smoke-free products like IQOS and ZYN, while focusing on shareholder returns and cost-cutting measures [12]

Core Viewpoint - Altria Group is gaining attention from institutional investors despite its association with tobacco products, as it offers stability and high dividend yields in a volatile market [2][3][15]. Group 1: Institutional Interest - A major institutional player acquired $1.3 billion worth of Altria Group shares, indicating significant interest from large investors [4]. - The stock is trading within 5% of a new 52-week high, suggesting bullish momentum and investor confidence [6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Altria Group has a gross profit margin of 70.8%, showcasing its pricing power and market share [8][9]. - The company maintains a net income margin of 50.4%, allowing for efficient capital allocation [10]. - Altria generates an average return on invested capital (ROIC) of 40% annually, enabling reinvestment in growth and shareholder benefits [11]. Group 3: Dividend and Income Potential - The company offers a dividend yield of 6.9%, with an annual dividend payment of $4.08 per share, appealing to income-focused investors [13][14]. - Altria has a strong track record of dividend increases over 56 years, reinforcing its reliability as an income-generating asset [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - British American Tobacco (BTI) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating an upward trend in earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of changing earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - Rising earnings estimates for British American Tobacco suggest an improvement in the company's underlying business, which could lead to higher stock prices [5][10]. Zacks Rating System - The Zacks Rank stock-rating system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a strong historical performance, particularly for Zacks Rank 1 stocks, which have generated an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7][9]. - The upgrade of British American Tobacco to a Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - British American Tobacco is projected to earn $4.54 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, reflecting a year-over-year change of -1.9% [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for British American Tobacco has increased by 1%, indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates [8].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, sales and other operating revenue were $702.3 million, down from $770.9 million in the same quarter of fiscal year 2024, primarily due to lower tobacco sales volumes [16] - Operating income for the quarter was $42.8 million, compared to $68.2 million for the same quarter in fiscal year 2024, also driven by lower tobacco sales volumes [16] - Net income attributable to Universal Corporation was $9.3 million or $0.37 per share, down from $40.3 million or $1.61 per share for the same quarter in fiscal year 2024 [17] - For the full year of fiscal year 2025, sales and operating revenue were $2.95 billion, up from $2.75 billion in fiscal year 2024, mainly due to higher tobacco sales prices [18] - Net income for fiscal year 2025 was $95 million or $3.78 per share, down from $119.6 million or $4.78 per share in fiscal year 2024 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Segment operating income for the tobacco operations segment was $240.2 million for fiscal year 2025, up from $222.4 million in fiscal year 2024, driven mainly by higher sales prices [20] - Segment operating income for the Ingredients Operations segment was $12.3 million for fiscal year 2025, compared to $3.9 million in fiscal year 2024, primarily due to higher sales volumes [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - As of March 31, 2025, the net debt was $817 million, which is $180 million lower than the previous year [21] - The estimated unsold flue-cured and burley stock was 22 million kilos as of March 31, 2025, up 11 million from December 31, 2024 [47] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on three strategic pillars: maximizing tobacco operations, growing ingredients operations, and strengthening the organization [9] - The company aims to grow Universal Ingredients both organically and through measured acquisitions, leveraging its strong reputation for quality and service [11] - Sustainability is a core part of the business strategy, with a commitment to high standards and transparency in supply chain practices [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates strong customer demand in fiscal year 2026, with global flue-cured production expected to increase by about 20% and burley production by about 30% [22] - The company is optimistic about the growth of its ingredients segment, having completed a major expansion project and focusing on organic growth [24] - Management noted that the investigation related to Mozambique has been completed and is not expected to have a material impact on financials [25] Other Important Information - The company declared its 55th annual dividend increase, with a quarterly dividend of $0.82 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [8] - The company completed a pension risk transfer transaction resulting in a one-time pretax pension settlement charge of approximately $14 million [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: How should SG&A be viewed for fiscal 2026? - Management indicated that they cannot provide forward-looking guidance on SG&A but noted that fiscal year 2025 SG&A was about $305 million, down $5 million from the prior year, with various moving pieces affecting it [32] Question: Will there be ongoing legal expenses related to the Mozambique situation? - Management confirmed that the Mozambique investigation has been completed, and there will be no ongoing legal expenses related to it [35] Question: What are the expectations for tobacco margins and growth in fiscal 2026? - Management acknowledged that as the market moves from undersupply to a balanced state, it is still too early to determine the exact impact on margins and growth, but they expect strong demand to continue [38][40] Question: What is the profit outlook for the Ingredients segment? - Management reiterated their long-term target for the Ingredients segment to achieve 10% to 12% of EBITDA, emphasizing the need to leverage investments made in capabilities and sales [50] Question: What are the plans for the share repurchase program? - Management stated that while the share repurchase program is available, they are currently prioritizing other strategic investments [74] Question: What is the outlook for interest expenses in fiscal 2026? - Management indicated that they aim to bring interest expenses down due to improved working capital management and a more normalized buying season in Brazil [75]

Market Overview - A recent ruling by the U.S. trade court declared President Trump's global tariffs illegal, contributing to a new wave of market uncertainty [1] - The Federal Reserve's current wait-and-see approach adds to the uncertainty regarding future interest rate directions [1] Investment Strategy - Creating a curated portfolio of low-beta stocks is recommended as a strategy to navigate market volatility [1] - Low-beta stocks are less volatile than the market, providing a safeguard against uncertainty [1] Stock Recommendations - Suggested stocks include Natural Gas Services Group Inc (NGS), Stride Inc. (LRN), AptarGroup Inc. (ATR), and Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) [2] Stock Characteristics - Beta measures the volatility of a stock relative to the market, with a beta of 1 indicating movement in line with the market [3][4] - Stocks with a beta between 0 and 0.6 are screened for lower volatility [5] Screening Criteria - Stocks must have a positive price change over the last four weeks [5] - Average 20-day trading volume should exceed 50,000 to ensure liquidity [6] - Stocks must be priced at $5 or higher [6] - Zacks Rank of 1 indicates strong buy potential, suggesting significant outperformance over the next one to three months [6] Company Insights - **Natural Gas Services (NGS)**: Increased demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports is driving the need for compression equipment, benefiting NGS as more pipelines are built [7] - **AptarGroup (ATR)**: Positioned for growth due to trends in healthcare moving towards home settings and rising demand for drug delivery systems [8] - **Stride Inc. (LRN)**: Focuses on innovative educational solutions, benefiting from the growing demand for school choice and tutoring services [10] - **Philip Morris International (PM)**: Transitioning from traditional cigarettes to smoke-free products, with a focus on shareholder rewards and cost-cutting initiatives [11]

27 May 2025 | 7:30AM EDT Americas Consumer Staples: NielsenIQ First take: L4wk $ growth moderates to +LSD, though differs across HPC & Food NielsenIQ released its latest data this morning, for the week ending May 17, 2025. Total store sales were up +2% in the latest quad-week, with growth led by Dairy, while most other categories also posted growth. Indeed, Frozen and Alcohol were the only categories to decline in the L4wks, while Deli, Tobacco, and General merchandise were flat. While sales growth moderate ...