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ASML Sees 30% EUV Growth in 2025: Is Demand Sustainable Through 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 13:40
Core Insights - ASML Holding N.V. is expected to achieve solid growth, with EUV sales projected to increase by approximately 30% in 2025, driven by chipmakers' expansion in advanced logic and memory chips for AI and high-performance computing [1][10] - The latest EUV tools, such as the NXE:3800E, enhance customer efficiency by simplifying processes, which boosts productivity and supports margin expansion for chipmakers [2] - While 2025 shows strong growth potential, the outlook for 2026 is uncertain due to external pressures like tariff uncertainties and geopolitical tensions affecting customer investment decisions [3][4] Company Performance - ASML's advanced lithography equipment is in high demand, with revenue growth expectations for 2025 indicating a year-over-year increase of 23.8%, while 2026 estimates suggest a slight decline of 0.9% [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ASML's earnings indicates a year-over-year increase of approximately 35.1% for 2025 and 1.5% for 2026, with recent upward revisions for 2025 earnings [13] Market Context - Export restrictions on advanced semiconductor chips and equipment are impacting ASML and its competitors, including Applied Materials and Lam Research, which are also navigating similar challenges [7][8] - ASML's share price has increased by 8.9% year-to-date, compared to a 12.5% gain in the Zacks Computer and Technology sector [9] Valuation Metrics - ASML trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.89, which is significantly higher than the sector average of 6.66 [11]
DUV Demand Powers ASML Holding in China: Will Export Curbs Cut It Off?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 13:30
Core Insights - ASML Holding's sales to China represented 27% of total revenues in Q1 2025, exceeding previous expectations of low-20% levels, driven by strong demand for DUV lithography systems used in mature-node chip manufacturing [1][9] - EUV system exports to China remain restricted due to U.S. and Dutch export controls, aimed at preventing China from producing advanced chips [2][9] - Despite the trade tensions, ASML has not observed any changes in customer behavior or order cancellations, although the management acknowledged increasing uncertainty in the trade environment [3][4][9] Company Performance - ASML's share price has increased approximately 15.4% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which gained 7% [8] - The forward price-to-sales ratio for ASML is 8.23, significantly higher than the sector average of 6.57 [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings increase of about 32% for 2025 and 10.1% for 2026, with recent upward revisions for 2025 estimates [11]