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Tempus AI Raises 2025 Financial Outlook: What's Backing It?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 14:20
Core Insights - Tempus AI (TEM) has raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $1.25 billion, reflecting an 80% annual growth, and expects adjusted EBITDA of $5 million, an improvement of approximately $110 million over 2024 [2][9]. Financial Performance - In Q1, Tempus reported total sales of $255.7 million, a year-over-year increase of 75.4%, with gross profit rising 99.8% to $155.2 million [3][9]. - The adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $16.2 million from $43.9 million a year ago, indicating improved operational efficiency [3]. Strategic Collaborations - Tempus entered a three-year, $200 million agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos to develop a multimodal foundation model in oncology, utilizing over 300 petabytes of healthcare data [4]. - This collaboration has increased the total remaining contract value to over $1 billion as of the end of April [4]. Growth in Hereditary Testing - Revenues from hereditary testing reached $63.5 million, driven by a 23% volume growth, surpassing initial guidance [5]. - The acquisition of Ambry Genetics is expected to enhance long-term growth potential in this segment, extending beyond oncology to other genetic predispositions [5]. Competitor Outlook - Exact Sciences (EXAS) anticipates 2025 revenues between $3.070 billion and $3.120 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA forecast of $425-$455 million, driven by the successful launch of Cologuard Plus [6]. - Exelixis (EXEL) raised its 2025 revenue guidance to $2.25-$2.35 billion following strong demand for CABOMETYX and recent FDA approvals [7]. Stock Performance - Tempus AI shares have increased by 58.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 16.8% and the S&P 500's 11% [10]. Valuation Metrics - Tempus currently trades at a forward Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 7.09, compared to the industry average of 5.82 [11].
Tempus AI Boosts R&D Efforts Through Wide-Ranging Product Launches
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 14:55
Core Insights - Tempus AI (TEM) is advancing precision medicine through a strong pipeline of R&D initiatives, including the introduction of xM, a liquid biopsy assay for advanced solid tumors, and the launch of the Fuses program to enhance AI-enabled diagnostics [1][2][3] Product Development - The company launched olivia, an AI-enabled personal health concierge app, and an FDA-approved NGS-based in vitro diagnostic device, xT CDx, for solid tumor profiling [2] - Tempus AI is developing its first whole-genome sequencing test, xH, aimed at supporting personalized therapy in hematological oncology [3] Competitive Landscape - Peers like Veracyte (VCYT) and Myriad Genetics (MYGN) are also innovating in precision diagnostics, with Veracyte launching the Decipher Prostate test and Myriad introducing the Prequel Prenatal Screen and Foresight Carrier Screening test [4][5] Financial Performance - Over the past year, Tempus AI shares have increased by 83.6%, outperforming the industry growth of 38% and the S&P 500's 12.3% [6] - The company's current forward Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is 7.50X, higher than the industry average of 5.88X [8] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for Tempus AI show a mixed outlook for 2025 and 2026, with current estimates remaining stable over the past month [10][11]
Tempus AI Revenues & Profit Rise: What to Expect Ahead of Q2 Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-04 13:45
Core Insights - Tempus AI is experiencing strong operational momentum with significant revenue and gross profit growth, transitioning from a high-growth startup to a scalable enterprise AI and diagnostics company [1][2] Revenue and Profit Growth - In Q4 2024, Tempus AI reported a 35.8% year-over-year revenue growth and a 49.7% increase in gross profit, primarily driven by its high-margin Data and Services segment [2] - For Q1 2025, revenues grew by 34% and gross profit increased by 45%, with gross margin rising from 42.5% to 44.5% [2][7] - The improvements were attributed to lab efficiencies, increased adoption of AI tools like Tempus One and xM, and a higher mix of data services [2][7] Future Earnings Expectations - The upcoming Q2 2025 earnings release is anticipated to show further margin expansion and sequential gains in adjusted EBITDA, supported by new offerings such as Tempus One in EHR systems and the xM liquid biopsy assay [3] - Any upward revision to guidance or increase in contract value, especially from large enterprise deals, could enhance the momentum observed in early 2025 [3] Competitive Landscape - Tempus AI's peers, such as Guardant Health and Natera, are also making significant advancements in AI-driven diagnostics, with Guardant Health introducing new assays and Natera expanding its market reach [6][8] - Natera reported a 36.5% revenue growth in Q1 2025, with gross margin expansion to 63.1%, indicating a competitive environment in personalized oncology [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tempus AI's 2025 earnings suggests a 56.3% year-over-year improvement [9] - Current estimates indicate a potential for significant growth in earnings per share, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 63.49% for the current quarter [10] Valuation Metrics - Tempus AI currently trades at a forward Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 7.52X, which is higher than the industry average of 5.8X, indicating a potentially expensive valuation [11]
Innovation Fuels Rally for Tempus AI: Should You Buy the Stock Today?
ZACKS· 2025-06-09 20:01
Core Insights - Tempus AI (TEM) experienced a 12.5% surge in early June, significantly outperforming the broader market due to positive investor reactions to new product launches [1][9] - The company has established a $200 million partnership with AstraZeneca and Pathos to develop a large oncology-focused foundation model, enhancing its position in AI-driven drug discovery [5][9] - Despite revenue growth, Tempus remains unprofitable, reporting an adjusted EBITDA loss of $16.2 million in Q1 2025, although this is an improvement from the previous year [14][16] Strategic Product Innovation - The xM Liquid Biopsy Assay utilizes whole-genome sequencing and fragmentomics for noninvasive monitoring of immunotherapy responses in advanced cancer patients, providing real-time treatment insights [3] - Tempus One, an AI-powered clinical assistant, has been integrated into major EHR systems, offering real-time, patient-specific insights to enhance clinical decision-making [4] Financial Performance - Year-to-date, TEM stock has increased by 83.8%, outperforming the Medical Info Systems industry and the S&P 500 [7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 7.77, which is above the industry average of 6.09, indicating it may be overvalued compared to peers [15][16] Recent Developments - The acquisition of Deep 6 AI enhances Tempus's clinical trial matching and provider analytics capabilities, expanding its provider connectivity to over 4,000 connections [6] - The partnership with AstraZeneca is expected to leverage over 300 petabytes of data, aiming to accelerate AI-driven drug discovery and diagnostics [5]