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Powell-fueled market rally, Trump tariff investigation, new vs. experienced investors
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 22:15
Market Trends & Investor Sentiment - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Pal暗示可能降息,市场普遍上涨 [1][2] - 零售投资者对风险的偏好正在回归,迷因股票和加密货币等非传统资产的势头正在增强 [3] - 年轻投资者(5年及以下经验)比经验丰富的投资者(10年以上经验)更乐观,因为他们主要在牛市期间进行投资 [5][6][7] - 近一半的自主投资者认为未来12个月市场表现会更差,但大多数人(64%)认为自己的投资组合表现会更好或相同 [10] Investment Strategies & Asset Allocation - 年轻投资者倾向于投资现金、个股和加密货币 [9] - 经验丰富的投资者仍然投资于现金、个股和共同基金 [9] - 投资者对他们熟悉和舒适的领域更有信心,例如科技行业 [11][12] - 即使市场波动,投资者仍在继续投资,可能会寻找机会逢低买入 [18][19] Economic Indicators & Federal Reserve Policy - 个人消费支出(PCE)数据预计将保持相对稳定,7月份环比下降至02% [22][23] - 市场已经消化了降息预期,美联储主席的讲话打开了降息的大门 [37][38] - 如果通胀率保持在3%左右,且就业市场保持不变,美联储降息可能会重新点燃通胀 [41] - 美联储的独立性面临考验,持续的攻击和威胁可能会损害公众对美联储的信任 [48][50] Company Focus & Earnings - 市场关注人工智能巨头英伟达(Nvidia)的第二季度业绩,预计将超过分析师的预期,这得益于对其人工智能芯片的强劲需求 [20][21][52] - 投资者将密切关注有关英伟达在中国销售芯片的能力以及对今年剩余时间展望的评论 [21][53][54] - 英伟达的H20芯片以及中国政府对购买该芯片的指令也将受到关注 [53][54]
Dow closes at a new record & why a rate cut in September is likely, but not guaranteed
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 21:15
That is the closing bell on Wall Street. And now it's market domination overtime. We're giving you full team coverage of all the moves to get you up to speed on the action for today's trade.Lou Bassin, Prairie Operating Company, EVP of Market Strategy, as well as Yahoo Finance's very own Jared Blickery joining us now to break down the move today. Jared, my friend, let's start with you on that close. Yeah, let's talk about POW here.We got the POW put in effect. A lot of traders love the uh the hint at Septem ...
Stocks surge on Powell's speech, Trump says US government will take a stake in Intel
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 20:56
Market Performance & Analysis - The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared by 860 points, the S&P 500 rose by more than 15%, and the tech-heavy NASDAQ increased by nearly 2% following Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole [1] - The Russell 2000 small-cap index showed significant gains, up 37% for the day and the week, indicating a positive response to the prospect of rate cuts [1] - The 10-year Treasury yield dropped by seven basis points to 426%, and the 30-year yield decreased by four basis points to 488%, signaling risk-on behavior in the markets [1] - Ten out of eleven sectors experienced gains, with consumer discretionary (retail) leading at a 3% increase, followed by energy, materials, industrials, and financials [1] Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy - Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole opened the door to a potential rate cut in September, influencing market sentiment [1][2] - The market is pricing in a near certainty of a 25 basis point rate cut next month, although this could change based on upcoming inflation reports [1] - The Fed has adopted a long-term inflation target of 2%, dropping the average inflation targeting [1] - There is anticipation of a September revision to the jobs report, potentially showing a significant downward adjustment of 550,000 to 800,000 jobs, which may be influencing the Fed's stance [2] Company Specific News - President Trump suggested the US government should take a 10% stake in Intel, equating to about $10 billion [4] - Nvidia is working with the US government to develop a follow-up to its H20 chip for China, while also halting some H20 production due to security concerns raised by the Chinese government [5] - Apple is in early discussions to use Google Gemini in a revamped version of Siri [7] Crypto Market - Ethereum led crypto gains following Fed Chair Powell's speech, with risk appetite rising and digital assets showing strength [6] - Stable coin issuers are being eyed as potential top buyers of US Treasury bills, especially after the passage of the Genius Act, which creates guard rails around the stable coin industry [8]
Nvidia CEO: H20 has no “backdoors.”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 19:30
Security Concerns & Clarifications - The company addressed concerns raised by China regarding potential security backdoors in its chips, asserting that H20 has no such backdoors [1] - The company firmly denies the existence of any security backdoors in its products, past or present [1] Product Development & Government Regulations - The company is considering offering a new product to China for data center AI, as a follow-on to H20 [1] - The decision to offer the new product is contingent upon approval from the United States government [1] - The company is currently in dialogue with the US government regarding the potential new product offering [1]
Nvidia vs Powell: Which one matters more to markets
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 18:20
Market Focus on Fed and Nvidia - The market is in wait-and-see mode ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, with investors hoping for signals of potential interest rate cuts [3] - Nvidia's upcoming earnings report is considered by some to be more important than Powell's speech, highlighting the market's focus on AI [49] Interest Rate Expectations and Inflation Concerns - Markets anticipate Powell addressing inflation, with concerns that he may prioritize price stability over labor market issues, potentially reducing rate cut probabilities [14] - There's debate on whether Powell will signal a 25 basis point rate cut in September while managing inflation concerns [17] - Some analysts believe Powell may not signal any rate cuts, potentially leading to market disappointment and increased speculation on future rate cuts based on incoming data [29][31] Economic Indicators and Retail Performance - Big retailers like Walmart and Target have warned about high prices impacting their businesses, aligning with concerns from the hot Producer Price Index [9] - Consumer sentiment reports indicate rising inflation expectations, with Cleveland Fed President noting inflation has been too high for four years and trending in the wrong direction [10] - Goldman Sachs economists suggest the economy could see only 30,000 net new jobs per month in the near term [11] Tech Stock Movements - Nvidia shares are down about 2% following reports of the company pausing H20-related chip production for China due to alleged security concerns [5] - Google's Alphabet is experiencing a positive movement after winning a multi-billion dollar cloud contract from Meta spanning over six years [6] - Palantir shares are down 13% over the past five days, reflecting market nervousness, but are still up 100% year-to-date [34][35] Nvidia's Outlook and AI Market - Analysts have increased Nvidia's price targets, with the average target about 10% above current price levels, anticipating strong AI demand [41] - Concerns exist about Nvidia's potential market cap exceeding its current 8% weighting in the S&P 500 [43][51] - Nvidia's sales are expected to jump about 50% this quarter, indicating continued growth in the AI sector [53] Cracker Barrel's Logo Change Impact - Cracker Barrel initially lost $200 million in market capitalization following the CEO's decision to change the company's logo, ultimately ending the day down $100 million [39] - Cracker Barrel's total market cap now stands at $1.22 billion [40]
Nvidia & China in focus, why the markets are so focused on Powell
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 17:56
Welcome to Yahoo Finance's flagship show, The Morning Brief. I'm Julie Hyman. Let's get to the three things you need to know today.First up, US stock futures little changed ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Pal's Jackson Hole speech. Investors showing caution ahead of the remarks with the S&P 500 down five days in a row. Investors largely expect Pal to indicate the policy makers will start cutting interest rates next month, but it's not a sure bet.Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammock telling Yahoo Finan ...
Fed’s Powell: Tariff effects are “clearly now visible.”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 17:30
The effects of tariffs on consumer prices are now clearly visible. We expect those effects to accumulate over coming months with high uncertainty about both timing and amounts. The question that matters for monetary policy is whether these price increases are likely to materially raise the risk of an ongoing inflation problem.A reasonable base case is that the effects will be relatively short-lived, a one-time shift in the price level. Of course, one time does not mean all at once. It will continue to take ...
Powell: "The baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy."
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 15:12
Monetary Policy Stance - Policy rate is 100 basis points closer to neutral than a year ago [1] - Policy is now in restrictive territory [1] - Shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting policy stance [1] Labor Market Conditions - Stability of the unemployment rate allows for careful consideration of policy changes [1] - Other labor market measures also support a careful approach [1] Outlook - Baseline outlook may warrant adjusting policy stance [1]
Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech from the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 14:57
Fed Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to rate cuts in his highly anticipated speech at the Kansas City Fed's Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. #youtube #news #economy About Yahoo Finance: Yahoo Finance provides free stock ticker data, up-to-date news, portfolio management resources, comprehensive market data, advanced tools, and more information to help you manage your financial life. - Get the latest news and data at finance.yahoo.com - Download the Yahoo Finance app on Apple (https://apple.co/3Rte ...
LIVE: Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech from the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 12:09
Market Focus - The report references Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, indicating a focus on macroeconomic factors influencing financial markets [1] - Yahoo Finance provides resources for managing financial life, including stock ticker data, news, portfolio management tools, and market data [1] Resources and Platforms - Yahoo Finance offers a website (finance.yahoo.com) and mobile apps on Apple and Android for accessing financial information [1] - Yahoo Finance maintains a presence on various social media platforms, including X (Twitter), Instagram, TikTok, Facebook, and LinkedIn [1]