Market Trends & Analysis - The S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit fresh record highs [41] - Bank earnings suggest the economy is progressing despite trade uncertainties [10] - Asset prices are considered elevated, posing a risk moving forward [15] - Fund manager surveys indicate sentiment is getting toppy, but equity positioning is not yet extreme [23] Company Performance & Outlook - JP Morgan exceeded EPS forecasts, indicating a potential recovery in investment banking [3] [11] - BlackRock's assets under management reached a record of 1253 trillion [11] - Wells Fargo cut its profit outlook after a weak quarter [3] [11] - Nvidia's stock increased due to expectations of selling H20 chips to China, pending license approval [7] [8] [12] - Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is expected to raise its full-year revenue outlook due to strong AI chip demand [48] [49] - Intel is expected to face market share losses and challenges into 2026 [47] Economic Factors & Federal Reserve - The June CPI came in line with estimates, with a year-over-year increase of 29% [3] [13] - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve will likely remain on hold regarding interest rates in the near term, with decreasing expectations of a rate cut in September [24] [25] - Tariffs' impact on consumer prices is still developing, with some retailers potentially absorbing costs [21] [31]

Inflation rises in June, Nvidia stock surges on China chip newsMorning Brief anchor Julie Hyman breaks down the latest financial news for July 15, 2025. Inflation rose in June, with CPI data indicating a 2.7% year-over-year rise, which was higher than the 2.6% estimate. Nvidia stock surged after the company said it received assurances from the US government that it would be able to resume sales of its H20 AI chip in China. #youtube #investing #stockmarket About Yahoo Finance: Yahoo Finance provides free sto ...

Inflation Trends & CPI Analysis - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 03% month-over-month, aligning with estimates, while core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose by 02%, slightly below expectations [1] - Year-over-year, consumer inflation increased by 27%, and core inflation rose by 29% [1][2] - Inflation is heating up slightly compared to the previous month, where both headline and core inflation increased by only 01% [2] - Core CPI has been consistently lower than estimated for the fifth consecutive month [3] Tariff Impact & Business Strategies - Initial data suggests that tariff increases are contributing less than a third to the monthly CPI increase, with some pressure emerging in categories first exposed to tariffs [7] - Businesses are employing various strategies, including inventory management, alternative sourcing, cost spreading, and margin adjustments, to buffer the impact of tariffs and avoid passing costs directly to consumers [9] - Apparel prices rose by 04%, footwear increased by 07%, and furniture/furnishings prices also saw a rise [8][31] - The effective tariff rate in June was only 10%, while the average tariff rate was around 15%, indicating that the full impact of tariffs has yet to materialize [14] Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve faces a challenging decision regarding interest rate cuts, amidst pressure from the White House and the need to maintain its 2% inflation target [4][17] - The current federal funds rate is considered moderately restrictive, putting downward pressure on demand [18] - There is a risk that prolonged elevated inflation could become ingrained in people's expectations, potentially settling around 3% [20] - The Fed is closely monitoring core services inflation, which has been stubbornly slow to decline, to ensure momentum towards the 2% target [21][25] - The FOMC is divided on future rate cuts, with varying opinions on the number of cuts in 2025 [29] Specific Price Changes - Beef prices saw a significant increase of 2%, while egg prices decreased by 74% [32][33] - New vehicle prices dropped by 03%, and used cars/trucks decreased by 07% [34] - Shelter costs moderated, increasing by 02% compared to May's 03% rise [35] - The energy index rose by 09% in June, with the gas index increasing by 1% [36]

an EU trade chief warning that President Trump's 30% tariff threat on the EU is effectively prohibitive to trade between the two nations. 30% or anything about 30%, practically it prohibits the trade. President Trump released letters over the weekend unveiling a new tariff rate set to go into effect on August 1st.There is the parameters of a deal. They're getting closer. They clearly came up short last week ending with this this 30% letter, but there's still a sense of progress there and just sort of refocu ...

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Hello and welcome to Morning Brief Market Sunrise. I'm Josh Schaefer in for Rams on Carmi live from Yahoo Finances studios in New York. It's Tuesday, July 15th.US futures pointing toward new records for the NASDAQ at the open thanks to shares of Nvidia, which are surging more than 5%. We'll break down why investors are cheering the chipmaker's latest breakthrough in China. And investors keeping a close eye on trade escalations as they await a crucial reading on inflation this morning.Finally, second quarter ...

Listen and subscribe to Stocks In Translation on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you find your favorite podcast. The stock market is climbing higher, but it’s not fundamentals leading the charge; it’s FOMO .In this episode of Stocks in Translation, Ritholtz Wealth Management chief market strategist Callie Cox joins host Jared Blikre and Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Allie Canal to discuss investor psychology, specifically market fears, and how it is helping drive markets to record highs despite weak fu ...

Steven Bannon and President Obama, two very differing personalities, have both warned about the impact of AI on the labor force. How do you parse the value of it from the replacing humans and workers part of this. It will replace many of the tasks.I mean, we're looking at so many robotic steels right now that are going to be replacing people in warehouses in delivery, but I think that's just going to free up the human for other tasks. There's reason to be concerned what's going to happen to our our truck dr ...

Hello and welcome to Ask for a Trend. I'm Josh Lipton. Over the next half hour, we are breaking down the trends of today that'll move stocks tomorrow.There's a lot to keep track of, so we're focusing on what you need to know to get ahead of the curve. Here's some of the trends we're going to be diving into. Stocks rose on Monday despite investor worry about escalating at tariff conflict.At the end of the trading session, all major indices ending the day up. And Apple may be looking to shake up its AI strate ...

Economic Outlook - The US is potentially undergoing a systemic shift, drawing comparisons to both the "Reagan moment" (positive change) and the "Jimmy Carter moment" (stagflation/recession) [1] - Market sentiment regarding the US economic trajectory has been volatile, fluctuating between an 80% probability of a "Reagan moment" at the beginning of the year, dropping below 50% by April, and currently residing around 70% [2] - There is an approximate 50/50 chance of either a positive transformation or stagflation/recession in the US [2] Market Dynamics - The US market's significant fluctuations are unusual given its mature institutions and diversified economy [2]