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Stocks Are in a 'Junk Rally,' Says Manulife's Roland
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 15:20
Market Overview & Strategy - The market is experiencing a "junk rally" driven by momentum and sentiment, particularly in unprofitable stocks, meme stocks, and crypto-related assets [1] - The firm is allocating to higher quality stocks and drafting off the market, avoiding being the "lead race car" [2] - The strategy involves owning high-quality stocks that are producing earnings, following trends in those pockets of the market [3] Sector Allocation & Analysis - The firm is overweight in technology, considering it one of the highest quality parts of the market based on return on equity [4][5] - The firm uses the PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth estimates) to avoid overpaying for earnings growth; consumer discretionary does not rank well [5] - Attractive opportunities are seen in communication services, technology, industrials, and utilities, driven by AI-related factors like power demand and earnings [6] Inter-Sector Dynamics - Gains in technology stocks are helping financials, particularly on the wealth management side, creating a symbiotic relationship [6] - A circular relationship exists where tech earnings power the economy and market, creating opportunities for financials [7]
Can Gavin Newsom Save the Democratic Party?
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 14:59
Political Landscape - California Governor Gavin Newsom is leading the redistricting fight with Proposition 50, aiming to counter Republican gerrymandering efforts in Texas [1] - Proposition 50 seeks to redraw congressional districts in California, potentially influencing the midterm elections [1] - Newsom is actively engaging in political discourse through tweeting and podcasting, opposing Donald Trump and attempting to regain lost voters [2] Investment & Financial Services - The magazine will provide insights on where to invest [2] - Credit card giants like American Express and JPMorgan Chase are competing for affluent shoppers [2] - Premium credit cards offer perks such as deluxe airport lounges, exclusive restaurant reservations, and early access to concert tickets [3]
Gold Prices Are in a Bubble, Says Morgan Stanley's Slimmon
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 14:59
Market Analysis - Barclays suggested gold might be in a bubble [1] - The speaker initially doubted the dollar's reserve status would be challenged by the Euro or Chinese Yuan [2] - Central banks are potentially selling dollars and buying gold [3] - If foreign central banks continue reducing Treasury holdings and increasing gold reserves, gold's rise could persist [3]
Emirates Cargo Jet Skids Into the Sea in Hong Kong
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 14:57
A cargo jet, operated for Emirates, skidded into the sea while landing at Hong Kong Airport, killing two people. -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg Markets & Finance: https://tinyurl.com/ysu5b8a9 Visit http://www.bloomberg.com for business news & analysis, up-to-the-minute market data, features, profiles and more. Connect with Bloomberg Television on: X: https://twitter.com/BloombergTV Facebook: h ...
Amazon Web Services Getting Back to Normal After Massive Outage
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 13:46
Amazon Jerry's today. After that news, the tech giant saying its cloud service has recovered after a disruption degraded operations for customers, including government agencies and financial platforms and the pre-market, that stock was lower. We are up about 4/10 of 1% in what is an upmarket, it looks like according to futures.So let's get more details now on what could be a troubling development. Joining us is Bloomberg Tech co-host Ed Ludlow in San Francisco. So the US accounts for 30% of cloud business.T ...
Trump Lists Rare Earths, Fentanyl as Top Demands Before China Trade Talks Resume
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 13:22
Trade Negotiations & Key Demands - US President Trump is setting trade demands for China, focusing on soybean purchases, fentanyl control, and fair rare earth trade practices [1] - The US and China are scheduled to hold trade talks later this week, but previous interactions have been tense, with US officials describing Chinese negotiators as "unhinged" [3] - The success of these talks is crucial for setting the stage for a potential summit between President Xi and President Trump at the APEC meeting [4] - Key issues like soybeans, fentanyl, and rare earths have been ongoing discussion points, and progress in these areas could potentially lead to the US easing tariff threats on China [5] Potential Outcomes & Risks - The possibility of a "grand deal" between the US and China is uncertain [4] - The US has threatened a 100% tariff on Chinese goods [5]
Apple’s iPhone 17 Outsells Previous Model in US, China
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 13:19
Turning to Apple now because it's seeing iPhone 17 sales higher by 14% in the first ten days than iPhone 16 sales, and not just in the US, but also China. What do we miss. I thought we weren't really expecting the 17 to be so sellable.Yeah, it's interesting. I mean, I think probably a lot of people were slightly underwhelmed with the 16 last year and just decided to hold on to see what the next upgrade would bring. I mean, certainly what we've seen today from this counterpoint research is consistent with ou ...
Markets Have Little to Fear From US Bankruptcies: 3-Minute MLIV
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 10:45
LET'S FIGURE OUT HOW THE TEAM FEELS ON A RISK-ON START TO THE WEEK. >> MAYBE IT'S A MONDAY THING, WE ARE LESS OPTIMISTIC ON FRIDAYS. THE START OF EARNINGS SEASON IS SOMETHING TO WATCH AND WITHIN THE U.S. GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN, THERE WAS A STRONG SIGNAL FROM LOAN GROWTH BOUNCING.BANKS ARE WILLING TO LEND AND HOUSEHOLDS ARE CONFIDENT TO BORRW. -- BORROW. NOT UNDULY WORRIED ABOUT LOSSES, SO THE FED HAS DATA ON HOUSEHOLD INCOME RELATIVE TO DEBT, HEALTHY LEVELS.KRITI: SO EVERYTHING IS FINE. [LAUGHTER] >> BANKRUPT ...
Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Under Pressure
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 06:08
US President Donald Trump says the Israel-Hamas ceasefire is still in place despite Gaza strikes. Israel launched strikes against Hamas after blaming the group for a lethal ambush that left two soldiers dead. Israel also says it has halted the transfer of aid into Gaza until further notice.But we're going to have to see what's happening. We want to make sure that it's going to be very peaceful with Hamas. As you know, they've been quite rambunctious.They've been doing some shooting and we think maybe the le ...
China’s Growth Goal; Indian Banks Seen as Hot Bets| Insight with Haslinda Amin 10/20/2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-20 06:08
Global Economy & Trade - 中国经济增速虽超预期,但仍为一年来最低水平,出口被消费和企业抵消 [1] - 美国总统特朗普试图缓解与中国的贸易紧张关系,此前曾威胁要对北京加征关税 [2] - 特朗普承认其最新威胁不可持续,但仍相信其立场 [3] - 美国与中国可能在韩国举行会谈,但预计不会有重大突破,主要在于定义贸易谈判范围和控制下行风险 [18][19][20][21] China's Economic Performance - 中国GDP连续第二个季度放缓,零售额增长3%,为11月以来最慢增速 [4] - 工业产出意外强劲,增长6.5%,超出所有预期 [4] - 专家预测中国全年GDP增长约为5%,但零售额持续放缓,9月份仅增长3% [6][7] - 前九个月投资下降0.5%,为非疫情时期首次负增长,需求与供应差距扩大 [8] - 出口依然强劲,但中美贸易关系进一步紧张可能导致未来几个月中国经济持续减速 [9][10] - 中国将更加重视技术创新,以升级和改造产业,实现技术自给自足 [11][12] - 房地产投资持续下滑,对消费者信心构成压力,中国或将继续推出宽松政策 [14][15][17] Geopolitical Tensions - 以色列袭击加沙并暂停援助运输,但以巴双方均表示将维持停火协议 [2][22][23][24][25] - 美国警告哈马斯可能袭击巴勒斯坦人,并强调加沙重建资金与建立非哈马斯的可信政府形式相关 [26][27][28] - 乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示,在和平谈判前,应沿当前战线冻结与俄罗斯的战争,但普京仍要求乌克兰割让东部地区 [30] - 加拿大总理表示,俄罗斯在乌克兰的领土获取进展缓慢,不可能赢得战争,美国或将对俄罗斯实施进一步经济制裁 [37] Japan's Political Landscape - 日本执政的自民党达成组建联盟协议,为自民党领导人成为日本首位女首相铺平道路 [1][39][40] - 市场对该消息反应积极,日经指数上涨近3%,主要因预期财政刺激政策 [44][46] - 新的执政联盟在众议院拥有231个席位,略低于多数席位,但预计足以确保其当选首相 [43][49] - 专家认为,新首相面临经济政策、金融丑闻和企业捐赠监管等方面的挑战 [51][55][59] Indian Markets & Financial Sector - 印度股市普遍上涨,银行股表现良好 [65][66][67] - 印度银行的利润超出预期,但利润率面临压力,部分银行股价上涨约12% [65][68] - 印度金融服务领域的并购活动增多,包括阿联酋投资30亿美元,NVIDIA投资30亿美元 [69][72] - 监管机构正逐步开放银行业和影子银行业市场,以确保金融体系稳定 [71][72]