Betting Odds Analysis - Hannah Einbinder 在喜剧类最佳女配角上的赔率为 -400，这意味着如果下注 400 美元，赢了只能获得 100 美元的利润 [1] - Kalshi 对 Hannah Einbinder 的赔率估计约为 -150，意味着下注 150 美元，赢了只能获得 100 美元的利润 [1] Source of Information - EasyEatsBodega 发现了赔率差异 [1] - aaron (@probaaron) 在 Twitter 上分享了这一发现 [1]

Quit thinking there aren’t insane return opportunities in prediction markets.Emmys have had- Jeff Hiller, supporting comedy actor | 33x- Britt Lower, supporting actress drama | 5x&& the play I gave for Hannah Einbender, which was -400 on sportsbooks gave you a 65% return. The mispricings are FREE MONEYYou can’t say there isn’t opportunityEasy (@EasyEatsBodega):2-1 on my actor / actress plays.Hannah Einbender was -400 on all gambling platforms, including DraftKingsPrediction markets only had her at a 63% cha ...

Turns out the news was FAKE NEWSI bought the dip here sub 40c for the Sept 30th NO drop out date. https://t.co/lcZCV4kBCGEasy (@EasyEatsBodega):Well this is NOT what you want to see on a Sunday Night…Eric Adams news leaking that he’s likely to drop out by the end of the week.September 15th odds stay flat.September 30th odds RIP to the yes side.I am NOT having fun https://t.co/VYn9i4WNM2 ...

2-1 on my actor / actress plays.Hannah Einbender was -400 on all gambling platforms, including DraftKingsPrediction markets only had her at a 63% chance to winWhich is closer to -150 odds.This was literally FREE moneyYou got MUCH better odds than ANY sports / gambling appAnd could have made 55% on every dollar just trading the mispriced oddsI love prediction markets.Easy (@EasyEatsBodega):HUGE UPSETBEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA GOES TOBritt Lower, was a 20% chance or a 5x if you were on it!Upsetting Kathy Bates f ...

HUGE UPSETBEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA GOES TOBritt Lower, was a 20% chance or a 5x if you were on it!Upsetting Kathy Bates from Matlock!Pushes the odds of Severence BACK into the favorites for Best Drama https://t.co/efpFeJAquzEasy (@EasyEatsBodega):0-1 to start the nightCarrie Coon, does NOT winKatherine LaNasa with the winSince she was from The Pitt…It has also continued to push “The Pitt”Heavier toward the favorite for the Drama Series winner as well.Only for the best supporting actor to be Tillman from http ...

0-1 to start the nightCarrie Coon, does NOT winKatherine LaNasa with the winSince she was from The Pitt…It has also continued to push “The Pitt”Heavier toward the favorite for the Drama Series winner as well.Only for the best supporting actor to be Tillman from Severance!We are now 1-1 on the picksWith one more actor / actress pick&& then our heavy hand on the Drama Series awardThat’ll be the final award announcement of the night.Easy (@EasyEatsBodega):Some other plays for the Emmys I like__________________ ...

Well this is NOT what you want to see on a Sunday Night…Eric Adams news leaking that he’s likely to drop out by the end of the week.September 15th odds stay flat.September 30th odds RIP to the yes side.I am NOT having fun https://t.co/VYn9i4WNM2Easy (@EasyEatsBodega):Eric Adams won't drop out this month.You have a chance to net a 73% gain on this opportunity.The NO, Eric Adams will NOT drop out by September 30th is trading at 58c on Polymarket.My thesis is relatively simple here.The ballots are officially c ...

HUGE swing for The Pitt now becoming the favorite for the Drama Series award!Emmys just started and already seeing some WILD swings in the prediction markets. https://t.co/tIyhzmIFx6Easy (@EasyEatsBodega):Prediction markets are truly the best markets to allow for anyone and everyone to participate in.With the 2025 Emmys taking place tonight, 9/14/2025, I felt it was only right to throw down my plays and reasoning behind each of these various plays.I know, some of the returns https://t.co/CmUcb7JWUo ...

Emmy Awards Predictions - Prediction markets are considered optimal for broad participation [3] - The 2025 Emmys are taking place on 9/14/2025 [3] Supporting Actress (Drama) - Carrie Coon is a contender for Drama Supporting Actress, with her "White Lotus" finale speech highly regarded [1] - Risk factor involves the number of "White Lotus" nominees potentially splitting the vote [1] - Coon is favored across Vanity Fair, LA Times, and TV Insider [1] Supporting Actor (Drama) - Tramell Tillman is experiencing a late surge in prediction markets, surpassing Walton Goggins [1] - A voter split among multiple "White Lotus" nominees could benefit Tillman [2] Supporting Actress (Comedy) - Hanna Einbinder is a -450 favorite on gambling sites, translating to an implied probability significantly higher than her 63% chance on Kalshi [2] - The discrepancy between gambling sites and prediction markets presents a potential value opportunity [2]

Awards Analysis - "The Pitt" won the Same Casting Bellwether, similar to "White Lotus" in 2023, but "White Lotus" subsequently lost the Drama Series Emmy [1] - "Severance" had largely decisive wins at the Creative Awards a couple weeks prior [2] - Industry suggests "Severance" has a stronger signal to win based on Creative Awards performance [2] Investment Strategy - Speculation involved repeated buying and selling of "The Pitt" and "Severance", costing several hundred dollars [1] - Industry believes "Severance" is the better investment play [1]