高盛调高恒基地产(00012)及信和置业(00083)评级至"买入"，该行认为两公司更能受惠香港住宅市场的 上升周期，目标价分别调高至39港元及14.6港元。该行维持新鸿基地产(00016)"买入"评级，目标价升至 159港元。高盛指，3间公司的单位库存占市场整体约36%，并有新项目推进，最能受惠于香港楼价复 苏。 高盛表示，长实集团(01113)本地物业项目有限，英国酒吧业务面对成本压力及消费者习惯转变，将长 实评级由"买入"降至"中性"，但上调目标价至53港元。 智通财经APP获悉，高盛发布研究报告称，港府推出的签证及移民政策将带动楼市需求，同时受到租金 强劲增长，以及按揭利率下降，或令更多人"转租为买"，将今年香港楼价升幅预测由5%调高至12%。 受惠资本市场活跃，高盛预期今年核心中环区写字楼租金升3%，其他地区则大致持平。该行对零售市 场前景较审慎，预计租金温和增长2%，因来自港人外游及网购的竞争持续。 ...

高盛根据最新楼价预测及未来新盘推售时间表，调整香港地产股2025至2027年核心每股盈利预测，由下 调15%至上调33%不等。其中，高盛将恒地及信置(0083.HK)评级，由"沽售"一举升至"买入"，因两者更 能受惠于住宅市场上升周期，恒地目标价大升102%至39港元，信置目标价升95%至14.6港元。该行并重 申新地的"买入"评级，目标价升66%至159港元；3家公司的单位库存占市场整体约36%，并有不同新项 目正在推进。高盛将长实评级由"买入"降至"中性"，因其香港物业市场敞口较小，目标价升10%至53港 元。此外，高盛调低九龙仓置业(1997.HK)评级，由"买入"降至"沽售"，领展(0823HK)评级则由"买 入"下调至"中性"，因两者对零售业敞口较大，且各自面临特定问题或其他结构性挑战，九置目标价降 7%至28港元，领展目标价则降15%至41.3港元。高盛亦将港铁(0066.HK)评级由"中性"降至"沽售"，惟 升目标价15%至36.1港元。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00012 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Huabao S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159220) has experienced a decline in both share count and total assets since the beginning of the year, indicating potential challenges in attracting investor interest [1]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of February 12, 2025, the fund's latest share count is 444 million, with a total size of 287 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 13.29% in shares and 6.82% in size compared to December 31, 2025 [1]. - The fund's management fee is set at 0.50% annually, while the custody fee is 0.10% annually [1]. Group 2: Trading Activity - The cumulative trading amount over the last 20 trading days reached 1.038 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of approximately 51.88 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yang Yang and Hu Yijiang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception on April 29, 2025, achieving a return of 28.46% during their tenure [2]. Group 4: Top Holdings - The fund's top holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co. (4.48%), Far East Horizon (3.36%), China National Offshore Oil Corporation (3.11%), and China Shenhua Energy (3.07%), among others, with significant positions in various sectors [2][3].

Group 1 - UBS reports that the Hong Kong real estate sector is starting strong in 2026, with several stocks nearing historical highs [1] - The firm is adopting a more selective approach due to rising valuations, even for stocks with low price-to-book ratios [1] - Preferred stocks include Cheung Kong Property (00013), Sino Land (00083), and Kerry Properties (00683), which have relatively low debt-to-equity ratios and lower risks related to equity issuance [1] Group 2 - UBS believes the market has largely priced in positive factors for residential recovery, such as further interest rate cuts and an influx of talent and students from mainland China, but has not fully recognized the potential benefits of returning immigrants [2] - The firm forecasts over 10% growth in property prices over the next two years, supported by an estimated 321,000 Hong Kong residents applying for BNO visas, Taiwan residency, or Canadian student visas from 2020 to 2025 [2] - UBS anticipates a wave of returning immigrants this year, estimating that if 30% of the immigrant group returns, there will be an additional demand of 13,900 units by 2027, which represents 90% of the first-hand supply and 26% of the total supply [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong real estate market is showing significant growth, with a notable increase in both primary and secondary residential property transactions, indicating a recovery trend in the sector [4][6][7]. Group 1: Primary Residential Market - In January, the transaction value of primary residential properties more than doubled year-on-year, reaching HKD 19.2 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 148% [4][6]. - The number of primary residential transactions in January was 1,539, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 103% [6][7]. - Key developers such as Henderson Land, New World Development, and Cheung Kong achieved sales growth exceeding 100%, with the total sales of six major developers increasing by 173% [4][7]. Group 2: Secondary Residential Market - The secondary residential market also saw a significant increase, with transaction values rising by over 50% year-on-year, totaling HKD 29 billion in January [4][8]. - The average price index for large residential estates increased by 2.5% month-on-month and 7.3% year-on-year, marking the largest monthly increase in three years [4][8]. Group 3: Financial Environment - The mortgage loan environment remains supportive, with new mortgage approvals in December increasing by 22% year-on-year, and the average mortgage rate decreasing to 3.25% [5][11]. - The overall mortgage-to-value ratio has improved to 60.1%, indicating a stable financial backdrop for property transactions [5][11]. Group 4: Commercial Real Estate - The vacancy rates for commercial properties, including private offices and retail spaces, have shown improvement, with a decrease in vacancy rates by 0.3 percentage points for offices and 1.2 percentage points for retail properties [5][12]. - Retail sales continued to recover, with a year-on-year increase of 6.6% in December, driven by a rise in tourist numbers and economic recovery [5][12][13]. Group 5: Land Transactions - In January, a residential land parcel in Kowloon was successfully bid by a consortium led by Sino Land, with a transaction price of HKD 1.61 billion [10][30]. - The land area was approximately 3,800 square meters, with a planned gross floor area of 20,682 to 34,470 square meters [10][30].

Core Viewpoint - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) has experienced a decline in both share count and total assets since the beginning of the year, indicating potential challenges in attracting investment [1][2]. Fund Overview - The fund was established on September 30, 2025, with an annual management fee of 0.30% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of February 11, 2025, the fund's total shares stood at 83.40 million, with a total size of 91.23 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 42.64% in shares and 38.38% in size compared to December 31, 2025 [1]. Liquidity Analysis - Over the last 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the ETF reached 129 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 6.44 million yuan [1]. Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yan Dong and Yu Zhanchang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 8.57% during their tenure [2]. Top Holdings - The ETF's major holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co. (4.39%), Far East Horizon (3.33%), China Shenhua Energy (3.09%), CNOOC (3.04%), and others, with the respective market values and share counts detailed [3].

Core Viewpoint - Recent interactions with investors indicate a divergence in market views regarding the outlook for Hong Kong property prices, with offshore investors being more optimistic compared to local and mainland investors who are focused on valuation adequacy [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - Offshore general investors are more optimistic about the future of Hong Kong property prices, while local, mainland, and real estate fund investors are more concerned about whether valuations are fully reflected [1] - Overall, investors seem willing to overlook recent lower yields, predicting a multi-year cyclical recovery in the real estate market [1] Group 2: Price Target Adjustments - Based on the narrowing discount to net asset value, the company has raised the average target prices of several real estate stocks by 10% to reflect strong performance in Hong Kong development projects and high-end retail sales [1] - The company has adjusted earnings per share forecasts for Hysan Development and Sun Hung Kai Properties for the fiscal years 2025 to 2028 based on updated project accounting timelines [1] Group 3: Developer Preferences - The company is optimistic about Cheung Kong Holdings and Sino Land due to their earnings being highly sensitive to property price growth [1] - For rental stocks, the company prefers Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties because of their high dividend yields and resilience in mainland luxury retail [1] Group 4: Underperforming Stocks - Link REIT is identified as an underperforming stock, contrary to market consensus, primarily due to the widening valuation gap with peers (dividend yield reaching 7%) and the short-term challenges posed by e-commerce being already reflected [1]

Group 1 - Bank of America Securities reports a divergence in market views regarding Hong Kong property prices, with offshore investors being more optimistic compared to local and mainland investors who focus on valuation adequacy [1] - The firm has raised target prices for several real estate stocks by an average of 10% based on a narrowing discount to net asset value, reflecting strong performance in Hong Kong development projects and high-end retail sales [1] - Bank of America Securities favors developers such as Cheung Kong Holdings and Sino Land due to their earnings sensitivity to property price growth, while preferring rental stocks like Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties for their high dividend yields and resilience in mainland luxury retail [1] Group 2 - The firm predicts a 10% to 15% increase in property prices over the next two years, noting that developers have already factored in a 15% to 20% growth in transaction volume into their stock prices [2] - Two major risks are identified: limited room for further cuts in the best lending rate by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the potential return to floating mortgage rates if bond market rate cuts do not materialize by the end of 2026 [2] - Stagnation in median household income and a year-on-year decline in approved immigration visas for 2025 may restrict further price increases in the property market [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance and characteristics of the Huabao S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159220), which has seen a slight increase in its closing price and a decrease in both share count and total assets year-to-date [1][2]. - As of February 10, 2025, the fund's latest share count is 444 million, with a total size of 286 million yuan, reflecting a year-to-date decrease of 13.29% in shares and 7.18% in total assets compared to December 31, 2025 [1]. - The fund's management fee is set at 0.50% annually, while the custody fee is 0.10% annually, with its performance benchmark being the S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index adjusted for RMB exchange rates [1]. Group 2 - The current fund managers are Yang Yang and Hu Yijiang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception on April 29, 2025, achieving a return of 28.46% during their tenure [2]. - The fund's top holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co., Far East Horizon, CNOOC, China Shenhua Energy, Hang Lung Properties, PetroChina, Sino Land, Hengan International, Sinopec, and Hang Seng Bank, with varying ownership percentages [2][3]. - The largest holding is Jiangxi Copper Co. at 4.48%, followed by Far East Horizon at 3.36%, and CNOOC at 3.11%, with total holdings reflecting significant investments in key sectors [3].

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that Hong Kong developers have already factored in a 15% to 20% growth in transaction volume for the next two years into their stock prices, with projected property price increases of 10% to 15% during the same period [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The firm predicts property prices in Hong Kong will rise between 10% and 15% over the next two years [1] - Developers are expected to see a transaction volume growth of 15% to 20% incorporated into their stock valuations [1] Group 2: Risks - Two major risks identified include limited room for further cuts in the prime interest rate as indicated by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority [1] - The preferential five-year mortgage rates offered by banks are set to expire at the end of April, which may impact borrowing costs [1] - A stagnation in the median monthly household income and a year-on-year decline in approved immigration visas for 2025 could restrict further property price increases [1] Group 3: Developer Preferences - The firm favors Cheung Kong Holdings and Sino Land due to their high sensitivity to property price growth [1] - For rental stocks, the preference is for Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties, attributed to their higher dividend yields and resilience in mainland luxury retail [1]