部分港股物流股走强 中通快递涨近7% 智通财经8月1日电，截至发稿，中通快递-W(02057.HK)涨6.71%、京东物流(02618.HK)涨2.05%、嘉里 物流(00636.HK)涨1.58%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for integrated players such as SF Holding, JD Logistics (JDL), and the leader ZTO, while adopting a "Neutral" rating for others like STO, Yunda, and J&T, and a "Sell" rating for YTO and Sinotrans-A/H [7][21]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector in China is experiencing intense price competition, leading to a decline in average selling prices (ASPs) and profitability across franchise-based players, while integrated logistics providers show resilience [1][21]. - The report revises the expected industry volume growth for 2025E from 18% to 20% year-on-year, driven by a shift towards lightweight and small parcels, and the growth of emerging eCommerce platforms [2][21]. - The report highlights that the competitive landscape will depend on strategic adjustments by incumbents and potential policy interventions to stabilize pricing [1][21]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The express delivery sector concluded 1Q25 with a 22% year-on-year volume growth but faced a 6-10% decline in ASPs across major players [21][22]. - The ongoing price competition is attributed to a trade-down trend in eCommerce goods and the need for express players to maintain capacity utilization [22][23]. Financial Performance - The report indicates that the group operating profit for Tongda players is expected to decline by approximately 12% year-on-year in 2025E, with SF being the only player projected to see double-digit profit growth [6][7]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for franchise-based players are revised downwards by 9% to 19% below Bloomberg consensus [7][21]. Company-Specific Insights - SF Holding is noted for its strong performance, with a 20% year-on-year EBIT growth in 1Q25, benefiting from cost optimization and a diversified revenue stream [1][40]. - ZTO is highlighted as the only Buy-rated franchise-based express delivery name, expected to stabilize its market share despite near-term earnings weakness [7][21]. - Yunda and YTO are projected to experience low-to-mid teens year-on-year profit declines, while STO and J&T China are expected to see flat earnings [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The report anticipates continued competition in 2Q-3Q25, with potential for strategic adjustments or industry consolidation to mitigate pricing pressures [1][21]. - The ASP for express delivery services is forecasted to decline by 6% to 8% across major players in 2Q25E, reflecting a slightly easier base compared to 1Q [22][23]. Volume and Revenue Estimates - The report raises the industry volume estimate for 2025E to 20% year-on-year, factoring in strong growth momentum and a shift in parcel mix [2][21]. - Revenue estimates for ZTO are cut by 6% due to less-than-expected impacts from gross revenue bookings, while Yunda and YTO see slight revenue increases [2][6]. Valuation - The report continues to value China express delivery companies based on a 1-year forward EV/EBITDA multiple, which remains unchanged at an average of 7X [13][15].

Group 1 - Hong Kong logistics stocks experienced a decline, with Yue Gang Wan Holdings (01396.HK) dropping nearly 5% [1] - ZTO Express (02057.HK) fell over 3% [1] - Kerry Logistics (00636.HK) and Seaspan Corporation (01308.HK) both decreased by more than 1% [1]

Financial Highlights - The company's revenue increased by 53% to HK$81771 million[8, 11] - Core operating profit increased by 88%[8] - Profit attributable to shareholders increased by 174% to HK$7939 million[8, 38] - Final dividend was HK 50 cents per share[8] - Gearing was 29%[8] Segment Performance - Integrated Logistics (IL) segment profit decreased by 29% to HK$1868 million[8, 15, 19] - International Freight Forwarding (IFF) segment profit increased by 389% to HK$4860 million[8, 15, 31] Revenue by Region - Hong Kong revenue contribution was 11%[12] - Mainland of China revenue contribution was 32%[12] - Asia (excluding Greater China) revenue contribution was 18%[12] - Americas revenue contribution was 22%[12] - EMEA revenue contribution was 12%[12] Segment Profit by Region - Hong Kong segment profit contribution was 22%[17] - Mainland of China segment profit contribution was 29%[17] - Americas segment profit contribution was 23%[17] - EMEA segment profit contribution was 4%[17]

Financial Performance Highlights - Revenue increased by 39% to HK$48,034 million[8] - Core Operating Profit increased by 74%[8] - Profit Attributable to Shareholders decreased by 30% to HK$2,377 million[8,31] - Interim dividend increased by 96% to 28 HK cents per share[8] Segment Performance - Segment Profit from continuing operations increased by 70% to HK$3,722 million[8,10] - IL (Integrated Logistics) Segment Profit increased by 28% to HK$717 million[8,10] - E&E (E-commerce & Express) Segment Profit decreased to HK$(393) million[8,10] - IFF (International Freight Forwarding) Segment Profit increased by 140% to HK$3,398 million[8,10] Regional Performance - Americas region saw the largest increase in revenue, up by 96% to HK$16,458 million[29] - Americas region saw the largest increase in segment profit, up by 273% to HK$1,613 million[10,48] - Revenue from Mainland China increased by 12% to HK$12,652 million[29] - Segment Profit from Mainland China increased by 41% to HK$927 million[10,48] Financial Position - Gearing ratio increased to 58.4%[8,34]

Financial Highlights - The company's revenue reached HK$86,649 million, a 10% increase[10] - Core operating profit was HK$4,790 million, up by 12%[10] - Core net profit amounted to HK$3,725 million, representing an 11% growth[10] - Profit attributable to shareholders was HK$3,579 million, a decrease of 55%[10] - Final dividend per share was HK 38 cents, with a full-year dividend of HK 66 cents per share[10] - Gross gearing stood at 483%[10] Segment Performance - Integrated Logistics (IL) segment profit was HK$1,375 million, a 28% increase[10, 13] - E&E segment experienced a loss of HK$826 million[10, 13] - International Freight Forwarding (IFF) segment profit was HK$4,703 million, a 3% decrease[10, 13] Regional Performance - Hong Kong's IL segment profit increased by 66% from HK$455 million to HK$756 million[13] - Mainland China's IL segment profit decreased by 3% from HK$353 million to HK$343 million[13] - Asia's IL segment profit increased by 22% from HK$219 million to HK$267 million[13] - Americas' IFF segment profit increased by 28% from HK$1,542 million to HK$1,978 million[13] - EMEA's IFF segment profit increased by 35% from HK$295 million to HK$399 million[13] - Oceania's IFF segment profit increased by 37% from HK$89 million to HK$122 million[13]

Financial Highlights - The company's revenue decreased by 47% YoY, reaching HK$25315 million[8, 56] - Core operating profit experienced a significant drop of 84% YoY[8] - Core net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 85% YoY, amounting to HK$368 million[8] - Interim dividend was 85 HK cents per share[8] Segment Performance - Integrated Logistics (IL) segment profit increased slightly by 0.2% YoY, reaching HK$718 million[8, 17] - International Freight Forwarding (IFF) segment profit decreased significantly by 82% YoY, amounting to HK$621 million[9, 17] - E-commerce & Express (E&E) segment continued to register a loss[17, 37] Regional Performance - In Hong Kong, IL segment profit decreased by 27% YoY, while IFF segment profit decreased significantly by 95% YoY[17, 28] - In Mainland China, IL segment profit increased by 44% YoY, while IFF segment profit decreased by 70% YoY[17, 28] - In Asia (ex-Greater China), IL segment profit increased by 22% YoY, while IFF segment profit decreased by 78% YoY[17, 28] - IFF segment profit in Americas decreased by 92% YoY[20, 28] Cash, Debt & Equity - Cash and bank balances decreased from HK$9240 million to HK$7760 million[41] - Total bank loans and overdrafts decreased from HK$8897 million to HK$8242 million[41] - Gearing ratio decreased slightly from 48.3% to 44.5%[10, 43]

Financial Performance Highlights - Revenue increased by 68% to HK$36,709 million[7,9,11,41] - Core Operating Profit increased by 70% to HK$2,536 million[7] - Core Net Profit increased by 81% to HK$1,530 million[7] - Profit Attributable to Shareholders increased by 215% to HK$3,380 million[7,41] Segment Performance - Integrated Logistics (IL) segment profit increased by 13% to HK$1,292 million[7,14,18,19] - International Freight Forwarding (IFF) segment profit increased significantly by 279% to HK$1,437 million[7,14,25,26] Regional Performance - Revenue growth was strong across all regions, with Asia (ex-Greater China) increasing by 27%, Americas by 186%, and EMEA by 63%[11] - Segment profit also saw substantial growth in various regions, including Asia (ex-Greater China) increasing by 43%, Americas by 481%, and EMEA by 401%[16] Financial Position - The company's gearing ratio is 30.8%[7,50] - Interim dividend is 21.1 HK cents per share[7]

RESULTS 0 © Kerry Logistics Network Limited. All rights reserved. DISCLAIMER This presentation was prepared by Kerry Logistics Network Limited (the "Company") for reference and general information purposes only. This presentation is not intended to and does not constitute investment advice, recommendation, invitation or offer to enter into, any agreement to purchase, acquire, dispose of, subscribe for or underwrite any securities, shares, debentures or structured products. The information contained in this ...

Financial Highlights - Revenue increased by 10% to HK$25432 million[12] - Segment Profit for Integrated Logistics (IL) increased by 3% to HK$693 million[12] - Segment Profit for International Freight Forwarding (IFF) increased by 18% to HK$740 million[12] - Core Operating Profit increased by 11% to HK$1200 million[12] - Profit Attributable to the Shareholders increased significantly by 126% to HK$831 million[12] Regional Revenue Performance (1H24 vs 1H23) - Hong Kong revenue increased by 4% from HK$3318 million to HK$3440 million[16] - Mainland China revenue increased by 5% from HK$8089 million to HK$8457 million[16] - Asia (ex-Greater China) revenue increased by 1% from HK$3684 million to HK$3715 million[16] - Americas revenue saw a substantial increase of 39% from HK$4386 million to HK$6092 million[16] - EMEA revenue increased by 3% from HK$3226 million to HK$3310 million[16] - Oceania revenue decreased by 15% from HK$494 million to HK$418 million[16] Integrated Logistics (IL) Segment Profit Performance (1H24 vs 1H23) - Hong Kong IL profit decreased by 11% from HK$288 million to HK$256 million[19] - Mainland China IL profit decreased by 5% from HK$229 million to HK$217 million[19] - Asia (ex-Greater China) IL profit increased by 9% from HK$192 million to HK$209 million[19] International Freight Forwarding (IFF) Segment Profit Performance (1H24 vs 1H23) - Hong Kong IFF profit increased significantly by 263% from HK$9 million to HK$33 million[23] - Mainland China IFF profit increased by 25% from HK$229 million to HK$286 million[23] - Americas IFF profit increased significantly by 65% from HK$125 million to HK$207 million[23] - EMEA IFF profit decreased significantly by 39% from HK$87 million to HK$54 million[23] - Oceania IFF profit decreased significantly by 48% from HK$41 million to HK$21 million[23]