股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 信義能源控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月6日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03868 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 800,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.01 | HKD | | 8,000,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 800,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.01 | HKD | | 8,000,000,000 | ...

智通财经APP获悉，交银国际发布研报称，上调信义能源(03868)目标价9.4%，从1.17港元升至1.28港 元。公司股价近期大涨后，该行认为估值吸引力有限，评级下调至"中性"。 该行指，公司2025年上半年盈利4.5亿元人民币(下同)，同比增加23.4%。由于光照较强，利用小时增长 超3%，但平均电价下降12%，低于该行预期。上半年公司已将港元借款全部置换为人民币借款，推动 期末平均借款利率环比下降0.62个百分点至2.88%。光电抢装下，该行预期短期限电风险加大。 ...

该行指，公司2025年上半年盈利4.5亿元人民币(下同)，同比增加23.4%。由于光照较强，利用小时增长 超3%，但平均电价下降12%，低于该行预期。上半年公司已将港元借款全部置换为人民币借款，推动 期末平均借款利率环比下降0.62个百分点至2.88%。光电抢装下，该行预期短期限电风险加大。 交银国际发布研报称，上调信义能源(03868)目标价9.4%，从1.17港元升至1.28港元。公司股价近期大涨 后，该行认为估值吸引力有限，评级下调至"中性"。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from交银国际 indicates that Xinyi Energy (03868) has experienced an unexpected decline in electricity prices, increasing short-term power restriction risks. Following a recent surge in stock price, the company is now close to its target price, leading to a downgrade to a "neutral" rating due to limited valuation attractiveness amid uncertainties [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, the company reported a revenue and profit increase of 7.7% and 23.4% year-on-year, respectively [1]. - Electricity sales volume grew by 22.7%, driven by strong sunlight, with utilization hours increasing by over 3% [1]. - The restriction rate rose by approximately 10 percentage points to 14%-15% [1]. Price and Valuation Adjustments - The average tax-inclusive electricity price decreased by 12% to 0.55 yuan per kilowatt-hour, which is below the bank's expectations [1]. - The earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised down by 6%, 7%, and 9% respectively [1]. - The valuation benchmark has been raised from 9.5 times to 10 times the price-to-earnings ratio, with the target price adjusted from 1.17 HKD to 1.28 HKD [1]. Market Trends and Risks - The national photovoltaic power generation utilization rate fell by 3 percentage points year-on-year to 94% [1]. - Due to the implementation of Document No. 136 and new policies for distributed photovoltaic systems, the new installed capacity in mainland China reached 212 GW, a significant increase of 107% year-on-year [1]. - Although the rush for installations is expected to slow down, the anticipated surge in grid-connected capacity is likely to increase short-term photovoltaic power restriction risks [1].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates that Xinyi Energy (03868) has experienced a greater-than-expected decline in electricity prices, increasing short-term electricity supply risks. Following a recent surge in stock price, it is now close to the target price, leading to a downgrade to a "Neutral" rating due to limited valuation attractiveness amid uncertainties [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, the company reported a revenue and profit increase of 7.7% and 23.4% year-on-year, respectively [1]. - Electricity sales volume grew by 22.7%, driven by strong sunlight, with utilization hours increasing by over 3% [1]. - The average electricity price, including tax, fell by 12% to 0.55 yuan per kilowatt-hour, which was below the firm's expectations [1]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the national photovoltaic power generation utilization rate decreased by 3 percentage points year-on-year to 94% [1]. - Due to the implementation of Document No. 136 and new policies for distributed photovoltaic systems, the mainland saw a significant increase in new photovoltaic installations, reaching 212 GW, a year-on-year increase of 107% [1]. - Despite the expected slowdown in installations after the rush, the surge in grid-connected capacity is anticipated to increase short-term photovoltaic supply risks [1]. Valuation Adjustments - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 down by 6%, 7%, and 9% respectively [1]. - The valuation benchmark has been raised from 9.5 times to 10 times the price-to-earnings ratio, with the target price increased from 1.17 HKD to 1.28 HKD [1].

Core Viewpoint - Xinyi Energy reported better-than-expected performance for 1H25, driven by effective cost control and an increase in electricity sales volume [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 reached 1.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 450 million yuan, up 23.4% year-on-year - The interim dividend per share was 2.9 Hong Kong cents, a 26.1% increase year-on-year, with a payout ratio slightly rising to 49.4% [1] - Electricity sales volume increased by 22.7% year-on-year, contributing to revenue growth [1] - Total installed capacity reached 4.54 GW by the end of 1H25, with grid parity projects accounting for 61.8% [1] - Average electricity price decreased by 12.2% year-on-year to 0.49 yuan/kWh, attributed to increased market trading and structural factors [1] Cost Management - Gross margin slightly decreased by 2.5 percentage points to 61.8% in 1H25 - Financial expenses decreased by 19% year-on-year to 150 million yuan, with the financial expense ratio down by 4 percentage points to 12.2% [2] - The effective interest rate on bank loans fell to 2.88% from 3.5% at the end of 2024 [2] - The income tax rate decreased by 7.7 percentage points to 23.1%, benefiting from the absence of dividend tax impacts from the previous year [2] Cash Flow and Leverage - The company maintained a healthy leverage level, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 42.3% at the end of 1H25, unchanged from the end of 2024 [2] - Operating cash flow significantly increased by 82.2% to 310 million yuan [2] Development Trends - The company is awaiting clarity on the detailed regulations of Document No. 136 for new project acquisitions [2] - As of the end of 1H25, the parent company, Xinyi Solar, had approximately 1.2 GW of reserve projects available for acquisition, with 860 MW being grid parity projects [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 5.2% and 5.0% to 1 billion yuan and 1.07 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.6 times and 8.9 times for 2025 and 2026 [2] - The target price has been increased by 41% to 1.35 Hong Kong dollars, reflecting an 11% upside potential from the current stock price [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue increase of 7.7% year-on-year to RMB 1.21 billion and a net profit increase of 23.4% to RMB 450 million in the first half of 2025, with an interim dividend of HKD 0.029 per share [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached RMB 1.21 billion, up 7.7% year-on-year - Net profit increased to RMB 450 million, reflecting a 23.4% year-on-year growth - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.029 per share [1][2] Operational Analysis - The delay in the acquisition of new projects is attributed to the lack of clarity in electricity market regulations, but previous acquisitions have led to a 23% increase in electricity sales volume year-on-year - The company acquired a 30MW solar power station from its parent company, bringing the total capacity to 4.54GW, with 61.8% being grid-parity projects - Approximately 1.2GW of projects are available for acquisition, with 860MW being grid-parity projects, but the company cannot determine the pricing and costs due to unclear regulations [1][2] Cash Flow and Financing - Total financing costs decreased by 19% year-on-year to RMB 148 million, mainly due to lower interest rates and reduced borrowings - Operating cash flow improved to RMB 310 million, with an increase in grid-parity projects reducing reliance on government subsidies - The company has submitted application materials for a REIT to enhance cash flow and risk management capabilities [2] Policy Impact - Existing projects are eligible for guaranteed pricing policies under the "new and old separation" policy, which is expected to stabilize revenue from existing power stations - The company anticipates that the implementation of provincial regulations will provide some protection for existing electricity prices, making revenue fluctuations more manageable [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to RMB 917 million, RMB 951 million, and RMB 1.016 billion respectively - The estimated dividend for 2025 is approximately RMB 0.054 per share, with the current stock price corresponding to a PE ratio of 10.3, PB ratio of 0.7, and a dividend yield of 4.8% - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on these projections [2]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that Xinyi Energy's net profit for the first half of the year increased by 23.4% year-on-year to 450 million, primarily benefiting from the growth in solar power generation capacity and a reduction in financial and tax expenses, which offset the impacts of higher grid restrictions and increased market discount sales [1] Financial Performance - Xinyi Energy's net profit for the first half of the year reached 450 million, reflecting a 23.4% year-on-year growth [1] - The increase in profit was attributed to enhanced solar power generation capacity and decreased financial and tax expenditures [1] Cost of Debt - The effective cost of debt for Xinyi Energy decreased from 4.7% a year ago and 3.5% at the end of 2024 to 2.88% in the first half of this year [1] - This reduction in financing costs led to an upward revision of the company's net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 2% to 7% [1] Target Price Adjustment - Citigroup raised the target price for Xinyi Energy from HKD 0.86 to HKD 1.3 while maintaining a "neutral" rating [1]

该行表示，由于信义能源有效债务成本从2024年底的3.5%和一年前的4.7%降至今年上半年的2.88%，因 应融资成本下降而将公司2025至27年的净利润预测上调2%至7%，目标价由0.86港元上调至1.3港元，维 持"中性"评级。 花旗发表研究报告指，信义能源上半年净利润按年增长23.4%至4.5亿元，主要是受惠于太阳能发电场产 能增长、财务和税务开支的减少，这些因素抵销了更高的电网限制和更多基于市场折扣的销售影响。 ...

交银国际发表报告指，信义能源上半年收入/盈利按年增7.7%/23.4%。售电量增长22.7% ，由于光照较 强，利用小时增长超3%，限电率则提高约10个百分点至14%-15%。由于新收购项目电价较低和市场交 易电价下降，含税平均电价下降12%至0.55元/千瓦时，低于该行预期。该行预计由于电价全面市场化将 压缩新建项目收益率，公司未来收购速度将明显放缓。 该行指，公司股价近期大涨后已接近目标价，认为在不确定性较多的情况下估值吸引力有限，下调 至"中性"评级；将2025-2027年盈利预测下调6%、7%及9%，由于市场整体估值提升，将估值基准由9.5 倍市盈率提高至10倍，并由2025年切换至2026年，目标价由1.17港元上调至1.28港元。 ...