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Will Strong Asceniv Sales Drive ADMA Biologics Further?
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 13:16
Company Overview - ADMA Biologics specializes in plasma-derived biologics aimed at treating immune deficiencies and preventing certain infectious diseases [1] - The company's flagship product, Asceniv, is an intravenous immune globulin that contains naturally occurring polyclonal antibodies, indicated for treating primary immunodeficiency disease in adults and adolescents [1] Financial Performance - In the first quarter, ADMA reported revenues of $114.8 million, primarily driven by record sales of Asceniv [2][8] - The recent FDA approval of a yield enhancement production process is expected to increase finished immunoglobulin output by 20%, supporting revenue growth and margin expansion [2] - ADMA projects revenues exceeding $500 million in 2025 and $625 million in 2026 [2] Market Dynamics - An increase in new patient starts and deeper market penetration is anticipated to significantly boost Asceniv's sales [3] - ADMA's intellectual property portfolio, which includes proprietary plasma screening assays and unique plasma pooling methods, provides brand protection until at least 2035, with potential extensions beyond that [3] Competitive Landscape - ADMA competes with major players in the plasma therapy market, including Grifols and Takeda [4] - Grifols is a leading global producer of plasma derivatives, with a strong presence in various segments, including immunoglobulins and albumin [5] - Takeda offers a broad immunoglobulin portfolio and is developing next-generation IG products to diversify its offerings [6] Valuation and Estimates - ADMA's shares have increased by 7.3% year-to-date, contrasting with a 2.6% decline in the industry [7] - The company currently trades at a price/sales ratio of 7.68x, significantly higher than its historical mean of 3.33x and the industry's average of 1.64x, indicating a potentially expensive valuation [10] - Recent earnings per share estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been revised downward, reflecting increased competition in the plasma therapy market [12]
ADMA vs Takeda: Which Plasma Therapy Stock Is the Better Buy Today?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 13:56
Core Insights - ADMA Biologics and Takeda are prominent players in the plasma-derived immunoglobulin sector, with ADMA focusing on treatments for immune deficiencies and Takeda having a diversified portfolio across various therapeutic areas [1][8]. ADMA Biologics - ADMA markets three FDA-approved plasma-derived products: Bivigam, Asceniv, and Nabi-HB, targeting immune deficiencies and infectious diseases [3][10]. - Asceniv, ADMA's lead product, is a plasma-derived IVIG that contains polyclonal antibodies, crucial for neutralizing microbes [4][5]. - Record demand for Asceniv was noted in Q1, with expectations for revenue growth through 2025 and plans for a pediatric label expansion filing by mid-2025 [6][10]. - ADMA anticipates proof-of-concept data for its pipeline program SG-001 by the end of 2025, with potential annual revenues of $300-500 million [7]. Takeda - Takeda's plasma-derived therapies (PDT) business unit has shown 9% growth in 2024, supported by a broad immunoglobulin portfolio including Hyqvia, Cuvitru, and Gammagard [8][10]. - Hyqvia is notable for being the only subcutaneous IG treatment for primary immunodeficiencies, requiring fewer infusions [11]. - Takeda is actively developing next-generation immunoglobulin products and has partnered with other companies to enhance its pipeline [13][14]. Financial Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADMA's 2025 sales indicates an 18.61% year-over-year increase, while EPS estimates have shown mixed movements [15]. - In contrast, Takeda's 2025 sales estimates suggest a 2.80% decrease, with EPS showing a 6.21% improvement [16]. - Year-to-date, Takeda's stock has outperformed ADMA, with gains of 13.91% compared to ADMA's 4.1% [18]. - Valuation metrics indicate ADMA is trading at 21.79X forward earnings, significantly higher than Takeda's 9.03X [18]. Investment Considerations - Takeda is recognized for its stability and broad portfolio, making it a safer investment choice, while ADMA's growth potential is tied to the expansion of Asceniv [21][22]. - Despite Takeda's current ranking as a "Sell," ADMA's revenue potential from Asceniv positions it as a more attractive investment opportunity at present [22][23].
Here's Why Adma Biologics (ADMA) Fell More Than Broader Market
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 22:51
Core Viewpoint - Adma Biologics is experiencing a decline in stock performance, with a notable drop in the past month, while upcoming earnings are expected to show positive growth in EPS and revenue [1][2][3]. Company Performance - The stock price of Adma Biologics closed at $17.74, reflecting a decrease of 2.15% from the previous day, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's loss of 0.22 [1] - Over the past month, the stock has decreased by 10.07%, contrasting with the Medical sector's stability and the S&P 500's slight gain of 0.45% [1] Earnings Expectations - Analysts anticipate an EPS of $0.14 for the upcoming earnings report, representing a 7.69% increase year-over-year [2] - Revenue is expected to reach $121.1 million, indicating a 12.98% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, earnings are projected at $0.67 per share, reflecting a 36.73% increase from the previous year [3] - Revenue for the year is estimated at $505.8 million, which would be an 18.61% rise from the prior year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Adma Biologics are crucial, as they often indicate short-term business trends and analysts' confidence in the company's profitability [4] - Upward revisions in estimates suggest positive sentiment regarding the company's operational performance [4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Adma Biologics currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining unchanged over the last 30 days [6] - The company is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 27.26, which is higher than the industry average of 19.86 [7] Industry Context - The Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, to which Adma Biologics belongs, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 87, placing it in the top 36% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the top-rated industries tend to outperform the lower-rated ones by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
ADMA Looks to Expand Asceniv's Label: Will This Boost Sales?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 18:10
Core Insights - ADMA Biologics specializes in plasma-derived biologics aimed at treating immune deficiencies and preventing certain infectious diseases [1] - The company's primary product, Asceniv, is an intravenous immune globulin that contains polyclonal antibodies to help neutralize microbes [1][2] - ADMA plans to expand Asceniv's label to include pediatric patients aged two years and older by mid-2025, which is expected to increase the target patient population and drive sales growth [3] Company Overview - Asceniv is indicated for treating primary immunodeficiency disease in adults and adolescents, utilizing a patented plasma donor screening methodology [2] - Record demand for Asceniv was noted in the first quarter, with expectations for further growth through new patient starts and market penetration [3][8] Competitive Landscape - ADMA competes with major players in the plasma therapy market, including Grifols and Takeda [4] - Grifols is one of the largest producers of plasma derivatives globally, manufacturing a range of products including immunoglobulins and albumin [5][6] Financial Performance - ADMA's shares have increased by 21.4% year to date, outperforming the industry's breakeven performance [7] - The company currently trades at 8.75X forward sales, which is above its historical average and industry valuation levels [8][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADMA's 2025 earnings per share has decreased, while the estimate for 2026 has increased [11]
ADMA Biologics: Slowing Growth Warrants A Shift To Neutral (Rating Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-15 08:11
Core Viewpoint - The article updates the previous coverage of ADMA Biologics, indicating a shift from a "Strong Buy" rating to a "Hold" due to the presence of better investment opportunities in the market [1]. Company Analysis - ADMA Biologics holds a strong position in the biologics market, characterized by a unique profile that initially attracted significant investment interest [1]. - The investment firm Libra Capital was established in 2022, focusing on deep research into companies before making investment decisions [1]. Investment Strategy - A "Hold" rating suggests that investors should neither buy nor short the stock, as there are perceived to be more attractive opportunities available [1].
ADMA Stock Gains 17% in Three Months: Buy, Sell or Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 15:41
Core Viewpoint - ADMA Biologics has shown strong market performance, with a 17.2% increase in shares over the past three months, outperforming the industry and the S&P 500 [1][3]. Company Overview - ADMA Biologics specializes in plasma-derived biologics aimed at treating immune deficiencies and preventing certain infectious diseases [4]. - The company's lead product, Asceniv, is an Intravenous Immune Globulin (IVIG) that contains polyclonal antibodies to help neutralize microbes [5]. Financial Performance - Despite lower-than-expected first-quarter results, ADMA raised its revenue guidance for 2025 to over $500 million and for 2026 to $625 million, up from previous estimates of over $490 million and $605 million respectively [10]. - Projected net income is expected to exceed $175 million in 2025 and increase to $245 million or more in 2026 [10]. Growth Prospects - Demand for Asceniv reached record highs in the first quarter, with expectations for revenue share to expand throughout 2025 and beyond [7]. - ADMA plans to file for a supplemental Biologics License Application in mid-2025 to expand Asceniv's label to include pediatric patients aged two years and older, which could increase the target patient population [8][9]. Valuation - Currently, ADMA's shares are considered expensive, trading at a price/sales ratio of 8.44x forward sales, significantly higher than its historical mean of 3.33x and the industry average of 1.69x [11]. Market Position - ADMA competes with Takeda and Grifols in the U.S. plasma-derived products market and is expected to maintain momentum in the upcoming quarters [15]. - The targeted market for ADMA's products has significant growth potential, particularly among underserved immune-compromised and co-morbid patient populations [16].
ADMA Biologics vs. Grifols: Which Plasma Therapy Stock Is the Better Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 15:06
Core Viewpoint - ADMA Biologics and Grifols are prominent players in the plasma-derived therapies market, each with unique strengths and growth prospects, making stock selection challenging [1][2]. Company Overview ADMA Biologics - ADMA specializes in plasma-derived biologics for treating immune deficiencies and preventing infectious diseases, with three FDA-approved products: Bivigam, Asceniv, and Nabi-HB [3][6]. - Asceniv, the lead product, is a plasma-derived IVIG that contains polyclonal antibodies to neutralize microbes [4][5]. - The company anticipates significant revenue growth from Asceniv, driven by record demand and plans for a new R&D program, SG-001, which could generate $300-500 million in annual revenues [6]. Grifols - Grifols is a global leader in plasma-derived medicines, developing a wide range of biological therapies targeting various immunological conditions [7][8]. - The company reported sales of €7.2 billion in 2024, reflecting a 10.3% increase, and is recognized as the largest producer of A1PI [9][10]. - Grifols has a diverse portfolio and is positioned for consistent growth due to strong demand and operational execution [11]. Financial Estimates ADMA Biologics - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADMA's 2025 sales indicates an 18.61% year-over-year increase, with EPS expected to improve by 36.73% [12]. - Recent estimate revisions show a decline in EPS estimates for 2025 but an increase for 2026 [13]. Grifols - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Grifols' 2025 sales suggests a 3.78% increase, with EPS expected to rise by 296% [12]. - EPS estimates for both 2025 and 2026 have seen upward revisions in the past 60 days [15]. Price Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, ADMA shares have increased by 15.9%, outperforming Grifols' 10.6% rise, while the industry has declined by 4.1% [16]. - In terms of valuation, ADMA trades at 25.48X forward earnings, significantly higher than Grifols' 7.19X [16]. Investment Recommendation - ADMA shows steady growth driven by Asceniv demand, while Grifols, with a broader portfolio and better valuation, is considered a more favorable investment choice at present [20][21][22].
ADMA Biologics: Ready For More Growth Despite Q1 Earnings Miss
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-09 07:54
Core Insights - ADMA Biologics is a fully integrated biopharmaceutical company focused on obtaining approvals for its products BIVIGAM and ASCENIV [1] Group 1 - The company has been under coverage since December 2018, highlighting its impressive profile and efforts in the biopharmaceutical sector [1] - The leader of the investing group Compounding Healthcare emphasizes the importance of innovative companies developing breakthrough therapies and pharmaceuticals [1]
ADMA's Q1 Earnings and Revenues Miss: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 18:30
Core Viewpoint - ADMA Biologics reported lower-than-expected first-quarter results, with adjusted earnings per share of 14 cents missing the consensus estimate of 16 cents, and revenues of $114.8 million, up 40% year over year, also falling short of the expected $119 million. Despite this, the company raised its revenue guidance for 2025 and 2026 [1][8]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The first-quarter adjusted earnings per share were 14 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 16 cents [1]. - Revenues for the first quarter were $114.8 million, which is a 40% increase year over year but below the expected $119 million [1]. - ADMA updated its revenue guidance, now expecting over $500 million in 2025 and $625 million in 2026, an increase from previous estimates of over $490 million and $605 million respectively [8]. Group 2: Product and Market Insights - ADMA markets plasma-derived biologics, including three FDA-approved products: Bivigam, Asceniv, and Nabi-HB, targeting immune deficiencies and infectious diseases [3]. - Asceniv, the lead product, is a plasma-derived IVIG that contains polyclonal antibodies to treat primary immunodeficiency disease (PIDD) [4][5]. - Demand for Asceniv was record high in the first quarter, with expectations for revenue share to expand throughout 2025 and beyond due to new patient starts and increased penetration in existing institutions [6]. Group 3: Growth Prospects - ADMA is developing SG-001, a hyperimmune globulin targeting S. pneumonia, with potential annual revenues of $300-500 million expected by 2025 [7]. - The company anticipates significant growth opportunities in the underserved immune-compromised and co-morbid patient population, despite competition from standard-of-care therapies [19]. - The recent FDA approval for an innovative yield enhancement production process supports revenue growth and margin expansion opportunities [21]. Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - ADMA's shares have surged 37.7% year to date, outperforming the industry, which has declined by 7.4% [11]. - The current price/sales ratio for ADMA is 10.46x forward sales, significantly higher than its historical mean of 3.32x and the industry average of 1.65x, indicating a high valuation [14].
Adma Biologics (ADMA) Misses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 22:25
分组1 - Adma Biologics reported quarterly earnings of $0.14 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.16 per share, but showing an increase from $0.08 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -12.50% [1] - The company posted revenues of $114.8 million for the quarter ended March 2025, which was 3.61% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, compared to $81.88 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Adma Biologics has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times over the last four quarters and topped consensus revenue estimates three times during the same period [2] 分组2 - The stock has increased approximately 34.8% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a -4.7% decline in the S&P 500 [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.16 on revenues of $121.1 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.71 on revenues of $495.8 million [7] - The Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, to which Adma Biologics belongs, is currently ranked in the top 35% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [8]