Ally Financial Inc. 2Q 2025 Earnings Review July 18, 2025 Contact Ally Investor Relations at (866) 710-4623 or investor.relations@ally.com 2Q 2025 Preliminary Results Forward-Looking Statements and Additional Information This presentation and related communications should be read in conjunction with the financial statements, notes, and other information contained in our Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and Current Reports on Form 8-K. This information is preliminary and based on ...

Ally Financial shares rose after the lender reported strong consumer auto-loan originations and earnings that topped analysts’ expectations https://t.co/DJuRn3iLzr ...

Financial Performance - GAAP EPS of $1.04 and Adjusted EPS of $0.99, up 68% and 36% year over year, respectively[10] - Pre-tax income of $436 million, up $157 million year over year; Core pre-tax income of $418 million, up $96 million year over year[10] - Net income attributable to common shareholders was $324 million, compared to $191 million in Q2 2024, representing a 70% increase[9] - Total net revenue of $2.1 billion, up 3% year over year[9] - GAAP Net Income attributable to common shareholders for Q2 2025 was $324 million, compared to a loss of $253 million in Q1 2025 and a profit of $191 million in Q2 2024[69] - Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) for Q2 2025 was $0.99, up from $0.58 in Q1 2025 and $0.73 in Q2 2024[69] - Adjusted Total Net Revenue for Q2 2025 was $2,064 million, consistent with Q2 2024 but slightly down from $2,065 million in Q1 2025[74] Customer Growth - Ally Bank serves an all-time high of 3.4 million customers, marking 65 consecutive quarters of growth in the customer base[7] - Ally Bank added 30,000 net new deposit customers, totaling 3.4 million, representing a 5% year-over-year increase, with millennials and younger customers making up 75% of new customers[40] Deposits and Liquidity - Retail deposits reached $143 billion, with 92% being FDIC insured[10] - Retail deposits increased to $143.2 billion, up $1.1 billion year-over-year, while total deposits were $147.9 billion[39] - Total current available liquidity was $66.8 billion, which is 5.9 times the uninsured deposit balances[37] - The average retail portfolio deposit rate was 3.58%, down 60 basis points year-over-year and down 17 basis points quarter-over-quarter[40] Insurance and Investment - Insurance written premiums of $349 million, up 2% year over year[10] - Written premiums reached $349 million, reflecting a 2% year-over-year increase driven by growth in P&C premiums, partially offset by higher reinsurance costs[29] - Total investment income, excluding changes in fair value of equity securities, was $59 million, up $10 million year-over-year due to higher realized investment gains[29] Corporate Finance - Corporate Finance generated a strong 31% ROE, ending the quarter with zero net charge-offs[6] - Pre-tax income in Corporate Finance was $96 million, down $13 million year-over-year, attributed to lower other revenue and net financing revenue[31] - The return on equity (ROE) for the quarter was 31%, with a held-for-investment loan portfolio of $11.0 billion, maintaining low criticized assets and non-accrual loan percentages at 10% and 1% respectively[33] Capital and Efficiency - Ally's common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio stood at 9.9%, with risk-weighted assets (RWA) of $151.4 billion, down $2.3 billion quarter-over-quarter due to the sale of Credit Card[35][36] - Adjusted Efficiency Ratio improved to 50.9% in Q2 2025, down from 56.0% in Q1 2025 and 52.7% in Q2 2024[71] - Adjusted Noninterest Expense for Q2 2025 was $1,262 million, a decrease from $1,634 million in Q1 2025 and consistent with $1,286 million in Q2 2024[74] - Adjusted Tangible Book Value per Share increased to $37.30 in Q2 2025, up from $35.95 in Q1 2025 and $33.01 in Q2 2024[70] Credit Losses and Provisions - GAAP Provision for Credit Losses for Q2 2025 was $384 million, compared to $191 million in Q1 2025 and $457 million in Q2 2024[74] Regulatory and Forward-Looking Statements - The company adopted a five-year transition option for CECL, phasing in the regulatory capital impacts from January 1, 2022, to January 1, 2025[67] - The company emphasizes that forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations[83] - The company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements after their initial date, except as required by applicable securities laws[85] - Non-GAAP financial measures are provided to supplement GAAP results, and differences between these measures are reconciled in the release[86] - The company defines "loans" to include consumer and commercial products associated with direct and indirect financing activities, excluding operating leases[87]

Core Insights - Ally Financial Inc. reported its second quarter 2025 results, indicating ongoing performance evaluation and financial health [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company will host a conference call to review its performance, which will include a results overview and a Q&A session [1] - The conference call is accessible via webcast on Ally's Investor Relations website [2] Group 2: Company Overview - Ally Financial is recognized as the nation's largest all-digital bank and has a leading position in the auto financing sector [4] - The company offers a range of financial services, including deposits, securities brokerage, investment advisory, auto financing, and insurance [4] - Ally also has a corporate finance division that provides capital for equity sponsors and middle-market companies [4]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Ally Financial (ALLY) will report quarterly earnings of $0.78 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 19.6%, while revenues are expected to reach $2.03 billion, an increase of 1.5% from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Projections - There has been a downward revision of 1.2% in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reconsideration by analysts of their initial forecasts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior regarding the stock, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Financial Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Net financing revenue' to be $1.51 billion, a year-over-year increase of 1.2% [5]. - 'Total other revenue' is projected to reach $519.32 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of 2.8% [5]. - 'Insurance premiums and service revenue earned' is expected to be $354.05 million, indicating a year-over-year increase of 3.8% [5]. - 'Gain on mortgage and automotive loans, net' is forecasted at $4.78 million, showing a significant year-over-year decline of 20.3% [6]. - 'Total financing revenue and other interest income' is expected to be $3.44 billion, a decrease of 2.7% year-over-year [6]. - 'Net interest margin (as reported)' is projected to remain at 3.3%, unchanged from the previous year [6]. Efficiency and Capital Ratios - The 'Efficiency Ratio' is anticipated to be 59.8%, down from 64.3% in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Book value per share' is expected to reach $39.21, compared to $37.84 a year ago [7]. - 'Total interest-earning assets (Average Balances)' are projected at $183.47 billion, slightly down from $183.71 billion in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Non-performing loans (NPLs)' are estimated at $1.24 billion, compared to $1.22 billion in the same quarter of the previous year [8]. - The consensus estimate for 'Total Capital Ratio' stands at 13.0%, up from 12.7% a year ago [9]. - 'Tier 1 Capital Ratio' is predicted to be 11.1%, slightly up from 11.0% in the same quarter last year [9]. Market Performance - Shares of Ally Financial have shown a return of +11% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which increased by +5% [9].

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Ally Financial despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Ally Financial is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.78 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 19.6%, while revenues are projected to be $2.03 billion, an increase of 1.5% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.58% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +3.53% for Ally Financial, suggesting analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. Historical Performance - Ally Financial has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates, achieving a surprise of +34.88% in the last reported quarter and beating estimates in all of the last four quarters [13][14]. Investment Considerations - While a positive earnings surprise is a strong indicator of potential stock price movement, other factors may also influence the stock's performance post-earnings release [15][17].

Group 1 - Ally Financial has faced challenges recently, with its business results being described as a "mess" due to a one-off charge that significantly impacted its financial performance [1] - The company is based in Detroit and is involved in the financial services sector, particularly focusing on automotive financing [1] Group 2 - The article reflects a long-term investment perspective, emphasizing a buy-and-hold strategy aimed at stocks that can deliver sustainable high-quality earnings, particularly in the dividend and income sectors [1]

Core Points - Ally Financial Inc. is set to release its second quarter financial results on July 18, 2025, at approximately 7:30 a.m. ET [1] - A conference call will be held at 9 a.m. ET to discuss the company's performance, available via webcast or dial-in [2] - Registration for the conference call is required at least 15 minutes prior to the start [3] - A replay of the conference call will be accessible via webcast on Ally's Investor Relations website [4] Company Overview - Ally Financial Inc. operates as a financial services company with the largest all-digital bank in the nation and a leading auto financing business [5] - The company provides a range of services including deposits, securities brokerage, investment advisory, auto financing, and insurance offerings [5] - Ally also has a corporate finance division that offers capital for equity sponsors and middle-market companies [5]

Ally Financial (ALLY) 2025 Conference June 11, 2025 07:30 AM ET Speaker0 Good morning everybody. Before we get started, I'm just gonna read some disclosures. For important disclosures see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. The taking of photographs and use of recording devices is also not allowed. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. So with that, we're kicking off the day of our sixteenth annual financ ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has seen a significant increase in deposits, now totaling $140 billion, making it the largest digital-only bank in the country [15] - Fee-based income has grown from $1.6 billion to $2 billion from 2019 to the present, reflecting a 5% CAGR, with recent growth accelerating to double digits [19][20] - The company aims for mid-teens returns, focusing on improving net interest margin (NIM) and maintaining low credit losses [38][39] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Corporate Finance business has shown strong growth, with assets growing at over 10% CAGR and income at over 20% [20] - The retail bank has increased its customer base from under 2 million to over 3 million in five years, indicating strong growth in the deposit business [21] - The Dealer Financial Services segment remains a core focus, with the company being the largest bank originator of auto loans in the country [12][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The auto finance market is experiencing increased competition, particularly in the super-prime and subprime segments, while the company remains strong in the prime and used vehicle markets [61][62] - The company has noted a favorable short-term impact from potential increases in used car prices due to tariffs, which could benefit collections and recoveries [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on areas where it has demonstrated strengths, such as Dealer Financial Services and Corporate Finance, while divesting from less core areas like credit cards and personal lending [11][18] - The management emphasizes the importance of a focused business model, aiming to streamline operations and enhance competitive advantages [5][16] - The company is committed to maintaining a disciplined approach to capital management and expense control while investing in technology and branding [102] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expresses confidence in the company's ability to navigate the current macroeconomic environment, highlighting improvements in credit risk management and operational efficiency [32][36] - There is a cautious optimism regarding consumer behavior, with strong new vehicle purchases and encouraging payment activity among delinquent customers [33][35] - The management acknowledges the uncertainty surrounding tariffs but believes the company is in a structurally sound position to handle potential impacts [28][32] Other Important Information - The company has successfully restructured its securities to improve income streams and reduce interest rate risk [30] - The management is focused on achieving a net interest margin in the high threes, with expectations for NIM expansion in the coming quarters [38][58] Q&A Session Summary Question: What prompted the shift to a more focused strategy? - The company recognized the need to concentrate on areas with demonstrated strengths and competitive advantages, leading to a pivot in strategy [11][18] Question: How does the company view the current competitive landscape in auto finance? - The company sees increased competition primarily in the super-prime and subprime segments but remains confident in its position within the prime and used vehicle markets [61][62] Question: What are the expectations for fee income growth? - The company anticipates continued growth in fee income, overcoming the loss from the credit card business and aiming for double-digit growth in the future [89] Question: How is the company managing capital and share repurchases? - The company is currently in a wait-and-see mode regarding share repurchases due to macroeconomic and regulatory uncertainties, but sees potential for organic capital generation [92][95] Question: What is the outlook for credit losses in retail auto? - Management is encouraged by recent trends in credit performance but remains cautious about the macro environment, indicating no immediate changes to loss outlook [75][76]