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Prediction: 1 Stock That Will Be Worth More Than SoundHound AI 3 Years From Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-31 08:45
Company Overview - SoundHound AI experienced a remarkable stock surge of 836% in 2024, making it one of the hottest stocks that year due to its impressive growth [1] - However, in 2025, SoundHound's stock has declined by 46%, attributed to increased investor risk aversion amid a tariff-fueled trade war and fears of a global recession [2] - As of now, SoundHound's market cap stands at $4.33 billion, with the stock trading at an expensive 39 times sales, indicating potential for further downside [3] Ambarella's Growth Potential - Ambarella, a smaller chip company with a market cap of $2.65 billion, is benefiting from the rising demand for AI in various devices, which is significantly boosting its business [5] - The company’s computer vision processors are well-suited for edge applications, and the growing adoption of AI in these devices is expected to be a key growth driver [6] - The market for chips capable of processing AI workloads locally is projected to grow 20 times by 2034, with edge AI already accounting for 70% of Ambarella's revenue in fiscal 2025 [7][8] Financial Performance - Ambarella reported a 26% increase in revenue to $285 million in the previous fiscal year, with expectations of a revenue forecast of $81 million to $87 million for Q1 of fiscal 2026, indicating a year-over-year growth of 54% [8][9] - The company anticipates a profit of $0.04 per share in the upcoming quarter, a significant turnaround from a loss of $0.26 per share in the same period last year [9] - Ambarella's addressable market is expected to exceed $8 billion by fiscal 2028, representing a 60% increase from fiscal 2024 levels, suggesting substantial growth opportunities [10] Comparative Valuation and Market Position - Ambarella is projected to achieve a top line of $463 million in three years, potentially increasing its market cap to $4.2 billion if it continues to trade at 9 times sales, a 60% increase from current levels [15] - In contrast, SoundHound's revenue is expected to reach $277 million in the same timeframe, which may result in a lower market cap compared to Ambarella if it does not command a premium valuation [16] - The market is likely to favor Ambarella due to its improving earnings power, while SoundHound is expected to remain loss-making for the next three years [13][15]
Ambarella Stock Gains as Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Sales Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-30 13:46
Core Viewpoint - Ambarella, Inc. reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with significant revenue growth and improved earnings, indicating successful execution of its edge AI strategy despite market volatility [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Non-GAAP earnings for the first quarter were 7 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 4 cents, and a notable improvement from a loss of 26 cents per share in the same quarter last year [1][2]. - Revenues increased by 57.6% year over year to $85.9 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $84 million, and were at the higher end of management's guidance of $81-$87 million [2][3]. - Gross margin on a non-GAAP basis was 62.0%, slightly above the guided range of 61-62.5% due to a favorable product mix [6]. Revenue Drivers - Record Edge AI revenues accounted for over 75% of first-quarter revenues, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of record AI sales [3]. - The automotive segment showed over 20% growth year over year, despite a low single-digit sequential decline [3]. Customer Contributions - One logistics and original design manufacturer customer contributed more than 10% to total revenues, with WT Microelectronics accounting for 63.1% of first-quarter revenues [4]. Future Guidance - For the second quarter, Ambarella forecasts revenues between $86 million and $94 million, with expected mid-single-digit sequential growth in IoT applications and slight growth in automotive revenues [8]. - The consensus estimate for second-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share is 4 cents [9]. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - At the end of the first quarter, cash, cash equivalents, and marketable debt securities totaled $259.4 million, up from $250.3 million in the prior quarter and $203.3 million year over year [7]. - Operating cash flow generated during the first quarter was $14.8 million, with free cash flow of $10.2 million [7].
These Analysts Revise Their Forecasts On Ambarella After Q1 Results
Benzinga· 2025-05-30 12:50
Group 1 - Ambarella, Inc. reported first-quarter earnings of 7 cents per share, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of 3 cents per share [1] - The company achieved quarterly sales of $85.87 million, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $85.18 million [1] - Ambarella's President & CEO, Fermi Wang, announced a revenue growth guidance for fiscal 2026 in the range of 19% to 25%, approximately $348 million at the mid-point [2] Group 2 - The company anticipates second-quarter sales between $86.00 million and $94.00 million, compared to market estimates of $87.07 million [2] - Following the earnings announcement, Ambarella shares fell 0.6% to close at $62.00 [3] - Analysts made adjustments to their price targets for Ambarella, with Needham lowering it from $110 to $90 and Rosenblatt raising it from $87 to $95 [5]
Ambarella (AMBA) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 22:16
Financial Performance - Ambarella reported quarterly earnings of $0.07 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.04 per share, compared to a loss of $0.26 per share a year ago, representing a 75% earnings surprise [1] - The company posted revenues of $85.87 million for the quarter ended April 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.20%, and showing an increase from $54.47 million year-over-year [2] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.04 on revenues of $85.41 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.05 on revenues of $335.89 million [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Ambarella is mixed, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Electronics - Semiconductors industry, to which Ambarella belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 48% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stock performance [8]
Ambarella(AMBA) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-29 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported first quarter revenue of $85.9 million, which is up 2.2% sequentially and up 57.6% year over year, exceeding the midpoint of prior guidance [9][27] - Non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q1 was 62%, slightly above the midpoint of prior guidance due to a favorable product mix [27] - Non-GAAP net profit for Q1 was $3 million, or $0.07 per diluted share [28] - Cash and marketable securities reached $259.4 million, increasing by $9.1 million from the prior quarter and $56 million year over year [29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI revenue accounted for more than 75% of Q1 revenue, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of record AI revenue [9] - IoT applications increased to mid-single digits sequentially, now representing about three-quarters of total revenue [10] - Automotive revenue declined low single digits sequentially but was up more than 20% year over year [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is increasing its fiscal 2026 revenue growth estimate to a range of 19% to 25%, approximately $348 million at the midpoint [11] - The serviceable available market (SAM) for h AI applications is projected to reach almost $13 billion by fiscal 2031, with a five-year compounded annual growth rate in the high teens [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its edge AI infrastructure, developing a new AI SoC product family to enhance its offerings [12][21] - The company aims to leverage its existing technology to address new application verticals beyond its core enterprise security business [20] - Investment in technology and products is driving both current and future revenue growth opportunities [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in long-term drivers of the h AI strategy despite geopolitical uncertainties [11][24] - The company is maintaining a conservative outlook for the second half of the fiscal year due to geopolitical uncertainties but remains optimistic about second-half growth [11][24] Other Important Information - The company has extended its share repurchase program for an additional twelve months, with approximately $48 million available under the repurchase authorization [29] - A logistics company, WT Microelectronics, represented 63.1% of revenue for the quarter [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on full-year guidance and growth profile - Management indicated that there are no concerns about second-half strength, despite geopolitical uncertainties affecting guidance [36][37] Question: Explanation of edge infrastructure products - Management clarified that edge infrastructure involves integrating multiple endpoints to upgrade existing installations, which is a growing trend [46][47] Question: Impact of seasonality on revenue - Management acknowledged that seasonality is uncertain this year due to geopolitical factors but indicated that normal seasonality could still occur [56] Question: Supply chain conversations with customers - Management reported that customers are not building inventory and are closely monitoring the situation [85][86] Question: Gross margin expectations - Management explained that gross margin fluctuations are primarily driven by customer and product mix [88] Question: AI capabilities in cameras and infrastructure - Management emphasized the need for both AI in cameras and edge infrastructure to upgrade existing installations effectively [93][95] Question: Market share outside of China - Management stated that they hold a majority market share in the mid and high-end security camera market outside of China [97]
Ambarella(AMBA) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-29 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported first quarter revenue of $85.9 million, which is up 2.2% sequentially and up 57.6% year over year, exceeding the midpoint of prior guidance [7][25] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q1 was 62%, slightly above the midpoint of prior guidance due to a favorable product mix [25] - Non-GAAP net profit for Q1 was $3 million, or $0.07 per diluted share [26] - Cash and marketable securities reached $259.4 million, increasing by $9.1 million from the prior quarter [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI revenue accounted for more than 75% of Q1 revenue, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of record AI revenue [8] - IoT applications increased to mid-single digits sequentially, now representing about three-quarters of total revenue [8] - Automotive revenue declined in low single digits sequentially but was up more than 20% year over year [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is increasing its fiscal 2026 revenue growth estimate to a range of 19% to 25%, approximately $348 million at the midpoint [9] - The serviceable available market (SAM) for h AI applications is projected to reach almost $13 billion by fiscal 2031, with a five-year compounded annual growth rate in the high teens [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its edge AI infrastructure market, developing new AI SoC product families to enhance its offerings [11][12] - The company aims to leverage its existing technology to address new application verticals beyond its core enterprise security business [19] - Investment in technology and products is driving both current and future revenue growth opportunities [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in long-term drivers of the h AI strategy despite geopolitical uncertainties [10][23] - The company is prepared for short-term surprises while focusing on innovation and market development [23] - Management indicated that while there is uncertainty regarding the second half of the fiscal year, they remain optimistic about growth [35] Other Important Information - The company has extended its share repurchase program for an additional twelve months, with approximately $48 million available under the authorization [28] - A logistics company, WT Microelectronics, represented 63.1% of revenue for the quarter [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on full-year guidance and growth profile - Management indicated that there are no concerns about second-half strength, but geopolitical uncertainty has led to a broader guidance range [34][35] Question: Explanation of edge infrastructure products - Management clarified that edge infrastructure involves integrating multiple endpoints to upgrade existing installations, which is a growing trend [42][44] Question: Supply chain conversations with customers - Management reported that customers are not building inventory and are cautious about the current geopolitical situation [78][80] Question: Gross margin expectations - Management explained that gross margin fluctuations are primarily driven by customer and product mix [81] Question: AI capabilities in cameras and video management systems - Management noted that both cameras and AI boxes are necessary to upgrade the installed base and enhance AI capabilities [88][90] Question: Market share outside of China - Management stated that they hold a majority market share in the mid and high-end security camera market outside of China [92] Question: Edge AI infrastructure product development - Management confirmed that the second chip for edge AI infrastructure is a response to market demand and will leverage existing technology for faster development [96]
Ambarella(AMBA) - 2026 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-29 20:18
Financial Performance - Revenue for Q1 FY 2026 was $85.9 million, up 57.6% from $54.5 million in the same period of FY 2025[5] - Non-GAAP net profit for Q1 FY 2026 was $3.0 million, or earnings per diluted share of $0.07, compared to a non-GAAP net loss of $10.5 million, or loss per diluted share of $0.26 in the same period of FY 2025[5] - Gross margin on a GAAP basis for Q1 FY 2026 was 60.0%, compared to 60.9% for the same period in FY 2025[5] - The company is increasing its FY 2026 revenue growth guidance to a range of 19% to 25%, approximately $348 million at the mid-point[6] - Revenue guidance for Q2 FY 2026 is expected to be between $86.0 million and $94.0 million[5] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q2 FY 2026 is expected to be between 60.5% and 62.0%[5] Cash and Assets - Total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable debt securities at the end of Q1 FY 2026 was $259.4 million, up from $250.3 million at the end of the prior quarter[4] - Total assets increased to $701,918 million from $688,968 million, reflecting a growth of approximately 1.38%[22] - Current assets rose to $335,549 million, up from $320,551 million, indicating an increase of about 4.1%[22] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased slightly to $141,285 million from $144,622 million, a decline of approximately 2.4%[22] Liabilities and Equity - Accounts payable surged to $35,290 million, up from $21,775 million, representing an increase of about 62.2%[22] - Total liabilities increased to $129,202 million from $127,556 million, a growth of approximately 1.3%[22] - Shareholders' equity rose to $572,716 million from $561,412 million, reflecting an increase of about 2.3%[22] - Accumulated deficit widened to $(276,385) million from $(252,057) million, indicating a deterioration in financial position[22] - Additional paid-in capital increased to $848,756 million from $813,683 million, showing a growth of approximately 4.3%[22] Expenses and Investments - Research and development expenses for Q1 FY 2026 were $58.8 million, compared to $54.1 million in the same period of FY 2025[18] - The company repurchased 24,152 shares for approximately $1.0 million in Q1 FY 2026, with $48.0 million remaining for repurchase[7] Innovation and Development - Ambarella continues to innovate with the development of a new SoC to extend its reach into the edge AI infrastructure market[6] Inventory and Lease Liabilities - Inventories increased to $39,289 million from $34,428 million, reflecting a rise of about 14.3%[22] - Operating lease liabilities, current decreased to $2,335 million from $2,829 million, a decline of approximately 17.5%[22]
Ambarella, Inc. Announces First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results
Globenewswire· 2025-05-29 20:05
Financial Performance - Ambarella reported revenue of $85.9 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, representing a 57.6% increase from $54.5 million in the same period of fiscal 2025 [6] - The gross margin under GAAP for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 was 60.0%, slightly down from 60.9% in the same period of fiscal 2025 [6] - The GAAP net loss for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 was $24.3 million, or a loss of $0.58 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $37.9 million, or a loss of $0.93 per diluted share, in the same period of fiscal 2025 [6][16] - Non-GAAP net profit for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 was $3.0 million, or earnings of $0.07 per diluted share, compared to a non-GAAP net loss of $10.5 million, or a loss of $0.26 per diluted share, in the same period of fiscal 2025 [6][19] Guidance and Future Outlook - The company increased its revenue growth guidance for fiscal 2026 to a range of 19% to 25%, approximately $348 million at the mid-point, considering the uncertain geopolitical environment [4] - Revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 is expected to be between $86.0 million and $94.0 million, with non-GAAP gross margin expected to be between 60.5% and 62.0% [6] Cash Position and Share Repurchase - At the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Ambarella had total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable debt securities of $259.4 million, up from $250.3 million at the end of the prior quarter and $203.3 million a year ago [3] - The Board of Directors approved an extension of the share repurchase program for an additional twelve months, with approximately $48.0 million available for repurchase [5] Market Position and Innovation - Ambarella is recognized as the established leader in the edge AI market, achieving its fourth consecutive quarter of record AI revenue [4] - The company continues to innovate rapidly, leveraging its low power and scalable AI silicon and software architecture to extend its reach into the edge AI infrastructure market [4][8]
Ambarella: CV5 And CV7 Families To Increase Revenues Significantly
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-19 08:58
Core Viewpoint - Ambarella, Inc. is positioned for strong growth in the next 12-24 months, becoming a leader in "edge AI semiconductor" technology, as indicated by record AI-driven revenue in Q4 FY2025 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company reported record AI-driven revenue in Q4 FY2025, showcasing its leadership in the edge AI semiconductor market [1] Group 2: Management Philosophy - The CEO, Fermi Wang, emphasizes a disciplined and data-driven investment approach, focusing on simplicity and common sense for success [1] - The investment strategy is fully quant-driven, relying on model recommendations without human interference, which aims to eliminate individual bias in stock selection [1]
Ambarella Announces First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call to be Held May 29, 2025
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-05-06 21:00
Core Viewpoint - Ambarella, Inc. will hold its first quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings conference call on May 29, 2025, at 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time, with the earnings release issued after market close on the same day [1]. Company Overview - Ambarella is an edge AI semiconductor company that provides products for various applications, including video security, advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), electronic mirrors, drive recorders, driver/cabin monitoring, autonomous driving, and robotics [2]. - The company's low-power systems-on-chip (SoCs) are designed for high-resolution video compression, advanced image and radar processing, and deep neural network processing, enabling intelligent perception, fusion, and planning [2]. Conference Call Details - Interested participants must register online in advance to ask questions during the call, and dial-in numbers along with a personal identification number (PIN) will be provided upon registration [2]. - A live webcast of the conference call and a replay will be available on the company's investor relations website [2].