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Top 2 Health Care Stocks That May Fall Off A Cliff This Quarter
Benzinga· 2025-10-31 11:55
Core Insights - Two stocks in the health care sector are showing signs of being overbought, which may concern momentum-focused investors [1][2] Company Performance - **Alphatec Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: ATEC)** reported better-than-expected third-quarter financial results and raised its FY25 sales guidance above estimates, with a stock gain of approximately 12% over the past month and a 52-week high of $17.14. The RSI value is 82.5, indicating overbought conditions, while the stock closed at $16.33 after a 1% decline [7] - **Travere Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: TVTX)** also reported better-than-expected third-quarter sales results, with a stock gain of around 24% over the past month and a 52-week high of $30.97. The RSI value is 80.9, also indicating overbought conditions, and the stock closed at $29.65 after a 1.1% decline [7]
Alphatec Shares Surge 22% Pre-Market On Lower Q3 Loss, Raised Outlook
RTTNews· 2025-10-31 10:57
Core Insights - Alphatec Holdings, Inc. (ATEC) shares surged over 22% in pre-market trading following the release of improved third-quarter results and an upgraded full-year outlook [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a net loss of $28.58 million, or $0.19 per share, an improvement from a loss of $39.62 million, or $0.28 per share, in the same period last year [1] - Excluding one-time items, adjusted income was $4.09 million, or $0.03 per share, compared to a loss of $10.64 million, or $0.07 per share, a year ago [2] - Operating loss decreased to $15.9 million from $33.7 million in the previous year [2] - EBITDA turned positive at $3.22 million, improving from a loss of $13.06 million in the prior-year period [2] - Adjusted EBITDA increased significantly to $26.12 million, up from $7.43 million a year earlier [2] Revenue Growth - Revenue from products and services rose by 30% to $196.5 million, compared to $150.7 million in the third quarter of 2024 [3] - Surgical revenue increased by 31% to $177 million, while EOS revenue grew by 29% to $20 million [3] - For the full year, total revenue is now expected to grow by 24% to $760 million, up from the previous forecast of $742 million [3] - The updated forecast includes surgical revenue of $684 million and EOS revenue of $76 million [3] Outlook - The company raised its adjusted EBITDA forecast to approximately $91 million, an increase from the earlier estimate of $83 million [4]
Alphatec (ATEC) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 22:41
Core Insights - Alphatec (ATEC) reported quarterly earnings of $0.03 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.03 per share, and showing improvement from a loss of $0.28 per share a year ago [1][2] - The company achieved revenues of $196.5 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.64% and increasing from $150.72 million year-over-year [3] - Alphatec's stock has increased approximately 79.6% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [4] Earnings Performance - The earnings surprise for the recent quarter was +200.00%, following a previous surprise of +133.33% when the company reported earnings of $0.02 per share against an expected loss of $0.06 [2] - Over the last four quarters, Alphatec has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates four times [2][3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.04 on revenues of $204.74 million, while the estimate for the current fiscal year is -$0.02 on revenues of $742.02 million [8] - The estimate revisions trend for Alphatec was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market [7] Industry Context - The Medical - Instruments industry, to which Alphatec belongs, is currently ranked in the top 39% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [9] - Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD), another company in the same industry, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 33.3% [10]
Alphatec (ATEC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for the third quarter was $197 million, representing a 30% increase year-over-year and a sequential increase of $11 million from the previous quarter [5][14] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $26 million, or 13% of revenue, marking an improvement of 840 basis points compared to the prior year [4][11] - Free cash flow was reported at $5 million, with total cash and available cash amounting to $260 million [12][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Surgical revenue was $177 million, up 31% year-over-year and 5% sequentially, driven by a procedural volume growth of 28% [5][8] - EOS revenue increased to $20 million, a 29% rise compared to the prior year, with strong demand in the U.S. market [8][9] - Same-store sales in the U.S. grew 30% year-over-year, indicating strong performance in established territories [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 30% growth in same-store sales, reflecting strong demand in existing markets [8] - The increase in new surgeon users by 26% in the third quarter indicates a growing adoption of the company's products [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains 100% spine-focused, emphasizing proceduralization and expanding its product offerings in lateral, cervical, and deformity markets [3][19] - The strategic focus includes leveraging technology integration to enhance surgical outcomes and democratize surgical techniques [20][25] - The company is positioned to meet its long-range plan commitments, aiming for $1 billion in revenue by 2027 [17][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver durable revenue growth and strong profitability improvements [11][17] - The company anticipates raising its full-year revenue guidance by $18 million to $760 million, driven by overperformance in case volume [14][15] - Management highlighted the importance of surgeon adoption and the long-term potential of the spine market, indicating a positive outlook for future growth [18][67] Other Important Information - The company has seen a significant improvement in its operating margin, with a 1,100 basis points expansion year-over-year [10][11] - The trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA now stands at $81 million, reflecting the company's ability to generate cash flow [11][12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Cash flow expectations for next year - Management expects free cash flow for next year to be around $20 million, aligning with revenue growth and EBITDA drop-through [32][33] Question: Update on long-range plan - An update to the long-range plan is anticipated towards the end of next year as the company progresses through 2026 [34] Question: Competitive landscape and consolidation - The company welcomes market disruption and believes it can capitalize on the current dynamics in the spine market [37][39] Question: Role of Valence in lateral space - Valence is expected to enhance efficiency and democratize surgical techniques, benefiting both experienced and new users [40][44] Question: Health of the spine market and competitive dynamics - The spine market remains healthy, with the company taking share from multiple competitors, reflecting decisions made 18 to 24 months ago [48][50] Question: Balancing growth and profitability - The company aims to balance growth and profitability by investing in innovation while leveraging existing infrastructure [52][54] Question: Timing for deformity portfolio contributions - The company is in the early stages of influencing the deformity market, with several products in the design phase and a focus on expanding EOS availability [73][75]
Alphatec (ATEC) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-10-30 20:57
Revenue Performance - Total revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $196.5 million, representing a 30% increase compared to $150.7 million in the same period of 2024[124] - Revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, reached $551.2 million, a 27% increase from $434.8 million in the same period of 2024[125] - The company has experienced a 40% compound annual growth rate in revenue since its transformation began in 2018[111] Expenses - Cost of sales for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $59.2 million, up 23% from $48.0 million in 2024[126] - Operating expenses totaled $153.2 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, a 12% increase from $136.4 million in 2024[127] - Research and development expenses decreased by $1.7 million, or 8%, for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024[128] - Sales, general and administrative expenses increased by $15.1 million, or 14%, for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024[129] - Litigation-related expenses surged by $4.4 million, or 212%, for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024[130] Interest and Debt - Interest expense, net increased by $6.3 million, or 96%, and $15.3 million, or 86%, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, respectively, compared to the same period in 2024[132] - Loss on debt extinguishment increased by $17.6 million, or 100%, during the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to the redemption of 80% of the 2026 Notes[133] - Gain on derivative liability increased by $0.6 million, or 100%, during the nine months ended September 30, 2025, related to the change in valuation of the derivative liability associated with 2030 Notes[134] Cash Flow - Cash provided by operating activities was $24.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily driven by favorable working capital changes[143] - Cash used in investing activities was $37.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily related to the purchase of surgical instruments and an equity investment[144] - Financing activities provided cash of $29.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily from proceeds of the 2030 Notes[145] - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $155.7 million, an increase from $138.8 million at December 31, 2024[141] Commitments and Obligations - As of September 30, 2025, the company had $200.0 million outstanding under the Braidwell Term Loan, maturing on January 6, 2028[146] - The remaining minimum purchase commitment under the inventory purchase agreement was $6.2 million as of September 30, 2025[150] Business Strategy and Market Conditions - The company plans to continue expanding its sales team to penetrate untapped markets and enhance existing accounts[112] - The company is assessing the impact of existing and future federal, state, or international regulations on its business operations[159] - The business strategy relies on underlying assumptions about market data, demographic trends, reimbursement trends, and pricing trends[159] - The company aims to maintain an adequate global sales network, focusing on attracting and retaining independent sales agents and direct sales representatives[159] - There is an emphasis on increasing the use and promotion of products through training and educating spine surgeons and the global sales network[159] - The company is focused on attracting and retaining a qualified management team and other personnel[159] - The ability to enter into licensing and business combination agreements with third parties is crucial for integrating acquired technology and businesses[159] - Global economic and political conditions, as well as public health crises, are factors affecting the business and industry[159] - There have been no significant changes to the market risk disclosures from the previous fiscal year[160]
Alphatec (ATEC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-30 20:30
Financial Highlights - Total revenue grew by 13% YoY, with an improvement of 840 bps[5] - Q3 2025 total revenue reached $197 million, a 30% increase YoY[9] - Surgical revenue reached $177 million, a 31% increase YoY[9] - EOS revenue reached $20 million, a 29% increase YoY[9] - Gross margin was 70%, an increase of 80 bps[9] - Operating margin was 5%, an increase of 1,150 bps[9] - Non-GAAP net income was $4 million[9] - Adjusted EBITDA was $26 million, an increase of $19 million, representing 13% of sales, an increase of 840 bps[12] - Trailing 12-month Adjusted EBITDA reached $81 million[12] - Free cash flow was $5 million[15]
Alphatec (ATEC) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-10-30 20:23
Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 reached $197 million, an increase of $46 million or 30% year-over-year[3] - Surgical revenue grew by 31% to $177 million, driven by continued momentum in PTPTM and LTPTM[6] - EOS revenue increased by 29% year-over-year to $20 million, reflecting higher adoption of EOS Insight®[6] - Revenue from products and services for Q3 2025 was $196.5 million, a 30.4% increase from $150.7 million in Q3 2024[35] - Gross profit for Q3 2025 reached $137.3 million, up 33.6% from $102.7 million in Q3 2024, resulting in a gross margin of 69.9%[39] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $26 million, representing a margin of 13%, an increase of 840 basis points year-over-year[6] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $26.1 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.3%, representing an increase of 840 basis points year-over-year[39] - Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA for the full year is anticipated to be approximately $91 million, up from a previous expectation of $83 million[7] Cash and Assets - The ending cash balance was $156 million, with $5 million in free cash flow generated during the quarter[3][6] - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $155.7 million from $138.8 million at the end of 2024[37] - Total current assets as of September 30, 2025, were $439.8 million, up from $417.4 million at the end of 2024[37] - Total liabilities decreased to $531.3 million from $613.3 million at the end of 2024[37] Losses and Expenses - Operating loss for Q3 2025 was $15.9 million, an improvement from a loss of $33.7 million in Q3 2024[35] - Net loss for Q3 2025 was $28.6 million, compared to a net loss of $39.6 million in Q3 2024, with a net loss per share of $0.19[39] - Research and development expenses for Q3 2025 were $18.7 million, slightly down from $20.4 million in Q3 2024[35] - Stock-based compensation for Q3 2025 amounted to $16.4 million, compared to $17.5 million in Q3 2024[39] Future Outlook - The company achieved a 26% growth in net new surgeon users, indicating strong future growth potential[6] - Full-year revenue guidance was raised to $760 million, reflecting a 24% growth expectation compared to previous guidance of $742 million[7] - Surgical revenue for the full year is now expected to be $684 million, with EOS revenue projected at $76 million[7] Strategic Focus - The company continues to focus on integrating data and informatics into procedural solutions to enhance spine care[5]
This Albemarle Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Friday - Albemarle (NYSE:ALB), Alphatec Holdings (NASDAQ:ATEC)
Benzinga· 2025-10-24 11:46
Core Viewpoint - Top Wall Street analysts have revised their outlook on several prominent stocks, indicating potential shifts in investment strategies [1] Group 1: Analyst Ratings Changes - The article highlights changes in analyst ratings, including upgrades, downgrades, and initiations for various stocks [1] - Specific mention of ALB stock suggests it is under consideration for purchase based on analysts' opinions [1]
Alphatec (ATEC) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-03 15:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported sustained revenue growth, with a guidance of approximately 21% top-line growth for the year [10][12] - Q2 cash usage was at the high end of the guidance range of $0 to $5 million, with expectations of slightly positive free cash flow for the year [5][9] - Adjusted EBITDA profitability is ahead of expectations, contributing to confidence in achieving free cash flow profitability by 2025 [6][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company added 21% new surgeons in Q2, maintaining a consistent new surgeon metric around 20% over the past eight quarters [15] - Existing territories grew by 29% in Q2, indicating strong surgeon interest and demand [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a step down in market performance from Q2 to Q3, followed by a rebound from Q3 to Q4 [10][11] - The two-year stack growth rate for Q1 was about $31 million, while Q2 was approximately $34 million, with expectations of $33 million each quarter in the second half [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to focus on unique clinical solutions that drive surgeon interest, with a long-term view of improving spine surgery [15] - The upcoming launch of the Valence robot is expected to address clinical challenges and expand the addressable market in spine surgery [31][33] - The company is committed to investing in sales and R&D to drive sustainable growth opportunities while achieving financial commitments [28][74] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the second half of the year, citing strong surgeon adoption and procedural volume growth as tailwinds [30] - The company is optimistic about the clinical value of its solutions, which is expected to drive adoption and utilization rates [48] Other Important Information - The company has been expanding its international presence, particularly in Australia, New Zealand, and Japan, with plans for growth in these markets [49][50] - The PTP Corpectomy launch is seen as a natural evolution within the PTP ecosystem, aimed at enhancing clinical value and procedural volume [55][58] Q&A Session Summary Question: What investor feedback have you received since Q2 results? - Management noted that investors are focused on the durability of top-line growth and the company's profitability profile [4] Question: What gives you confidence in achieving free cash flow profitability in 2025? - Management highlighted better-than-expected performance in the first half of the year and effective cash flow management [5] Question: How do you see the rest of the year playing out from a cash flow perspective? - Management projected free cash flow generation of $1 million to $5 million in Q3 and high single digits in Q4 [9] Question: Can you discuss your recruitment efforts and market environment? - Management indicated a favorable environment for recruitment, with a focus on adding reps to support new surgeon additions [14][15] Question: What are the key performance metrics for new sales reps? - Management explained that new reps typically ramp up over a two-year period, with significant growth potential by year three [20][21] Question: How do you balance attracting new sales talent while achieving cash flow positivity? - Management outlined a structured investment approach in sets and inventory to support revenue growth while maintaining cash flow [24][26] Question: What are your international plans for 2025 and beyond? - Management confirmed a focus on Australia, New Zealand, and Japan, with plans for profitable growth in these markets [49][50] Question: How does the PTP Corpectomy fit into your broader strategy? - Management described PTP as a platform approach that allows for addressing various pathologies, with corpectomy being a natural addition [55][58]
Alphatec (ATEC) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-03 15:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a cash usage of $5 million in Q2, at the high end of the guidance range, and expects to achieve slightly positive free cash flow for the year [4][5] - The guidance for top-line growth has been raised to approximately 21% for the year, with expectations of $130 million in total revenue for 2023, 2024, and 2025 [10][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a 21% increase in new surgeon adds in Q2, maintaining a consistent growth rate over the past eight quarters [15] - Existing territories grew by 29% in Q2, indicating strong demand and interest from surgeons [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a slight step down in market performance from Q2 to Q3, followed by a rebound in Q4 [10] - The two-year stack growth rate for Q1 was approximately $31 million, and for Q2 it was about $34 million, with expectations of $33 million for each quarter in the second half [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on compelling surgeons with unique clinical solutions and aims to expand its market share in the spine sector [15] - The upcoming launch of the Valence robot is expected to address clinical challenges in spine surgery, with a focus on integrating it with existing procedures [33][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving free cash flow profitability in 2025, citing better-than-expected performance in the first half of the year [4][5] - The company is optimistic about strong surgeon adoption rates, which are expected to drive procedural volume growth [31] Other Important Information - The company plans to maintain a narrow and deep international strategy, focusing on profitable markets like Australia, New Zealand, and Japan [55][56] - The PTP Corpectomy launch is seen as a natural evolution within the PTP ecosystem, aimed at enhancing clinical value and procedural volume [61][62] Q&A Session Summary Question: What investor feedback have you received since Q2 results? - Investors are focused on the durability of top-line growth and the company's profitability profile [3] Question: What gives you confidence in achieving free cash flow profitability in 2025? - Confidence stems from better-than-expected cash flow performance in the first half of the year [4] Question: How do you see the rest of the year playing out from a cash flow perspective? - Expectations for Q3 are a free cash flow generation of $1 million to $5 million, with high single digits anticipated in Q4 [9] Question: Can you discuss the overall spine market and recruitment efforts? - The company is benefiting from market disruptions and is onboarding sales representatives to support surgeon interest [14] Question: What are the key performance metrics for new sales reps? - New reps typically ramp up over a two-year period, with significant revenue growth expected by year three [21][22] Question: How do you balance attracting new sales talent while achieving cash flow positivity? - The company has a structured investment approach, spending $0.75 for every dollar of year-over-year growth [27][28] Question: What are your international plans for 2025 and beyond? - The focus remains on Australia, New Zealand, and Japan, with plans for growth and profitability in these markets [55][56] Question: How does the PTP Corpectomy fit into the broader ecosystem? - It is seen as a natural evolution that adds clinical value and supports procedural volume growth [61][62]