Core Insights - B&G Foods, Inc. aims to achieve a 20% adjusted EBITDA margin by the end of fiscal year 2025, indicating a strong focus on operational efficiency and a streamlined business structure [1] - The company reported a 13.7% adjusted EBITDA margin in Q2 of fiscal 2025, impacted by temporary cost pressures in the frozen and vegetables segment as well as elevated tariff expenses [1][8] Financial Performance and Projections - Management anticipates a turnaround in the second half of fiscal 2025, expecting to generate an additional $10 million in adjusted EBITDA from improved crop costs, favorable foreign exchange dynamics, and productivity enhancements [2] - Annual savings efforts are projected to yield a run rate of approximately $15 million to $20 million, driven by efficiencies in cost of goods sold, trade and market spending, SG&A savings, and discretionary spending cuts [2] - The U.S. frozen vegetables segment is expected to become profitable, with an anticipated increase of $8 million to $10 million in segment adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year, supported by favorable crop costs and productivity gains [3][8] Risks and Challenges - Tariff exposure remains a significant risk, particularly in the Spices and Flavor Solutions unit, which contributed approximately $1 million to the adjusted EBITDA headwinds in Q2 [4] - Currency volatility continues to pose potential margin pressures [4] Strategic Initiatives - Achieving the 20% adjusted EBITDA margin will depend on effective cost-cutting measures, execution of planned divestitures, and stabilization of volatile input costs [5] - The company's strategic initiatives outline a clear path toward the target, emphasizing the importance of disciplined execution in the latter half of fiscal 2025 [5] Stock Performance - B&G Foods' shares have increased by 7% over the past three months, outperforming the industry and broader Consumer Staples sector, which declined by 3.4% and 2.9%, respectively [6] - The stock currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 7.84, significantly lower than the industry average of 15.38 and the sector average of 15.3, indicating a modest discount relative to peers [10]

Group 1 - The company is undergoing a transformation and is improving despite an elongated period of uncertainty [1] - A key focus for the company is portfolio restructuring to establish a core portfolio for long-term sustainability [1] - The company has divested several assets, including the Back to Nature cookie cracker and certain vegetable assets, to streamline operations [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a tough first quarter with a decline of 9%, followed by a 4% decline in the second quarter, and a slight improvement in the third quarter with a decrease of 1% to 2% [8][9][10] - Management noted that the overall performance is improving, with consumption data showing some progress, although not as much as desired [10][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Green Giant business has been a significant challenge, characterized by low margins and high working capital intensity, leading to divestitures of several assets [5][6][7] - The spices and seasonings segment is expected to show consistent top-line growth in the low single digits, with improvements noted in the third quarter [22][23] - The meals business is anticipated to grow at about 1%, with specific brands like Ortega facing competition but showing signs of recovery [25][26][60] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is observing a slow recovery in consumer behavior, with trade-down behavior and private label resurgence beginning to stabilize [14][15] - Management indicated that consumer budgets remain tight, particularly in the middle and lower segments, but there are signs of improvement in the center store category [15][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on portfolio restructuring to simplify operations and concentrate on higher-margin businesses such as spices and seasonings, meals, and baking staples [7][31] - Future growth is expected to come from disciplined acquisitions in core categories, aiming for a stable growth rate of 1% on the top line and 2% on the bottom line [30][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the recovery of top-line performance and the impact of cost-saving measures, including a $10 million cost challenge [52][68] - The company is closely monitoring risks related to top-line recovery and tariff impacts on pricing strategies [78][80] Other Important Information - The company has amended its senior secured revolving credit facility to temporarily increase its maximum consolidated leverage ratio, addressing concerns about net debt to EBITDA [35][36] - The long-term EBITDA margin target remains at 18% to 20%, with current margins impacted by inflation and the performance of the Green Giant segment [42][44] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for organic sales growth? - Organic sales in the first half were down about 7%, but sequential improvement is expected in the back half of the year, aided by a 53rd week in the fourth quarter [47][48] Question: How is the company addressing leverage concerns? - The company plans to reduce net leverage to about 6x in the next twelve months through asset sales and improved operational performance [36][38] Question: What are the biggest risks and opportunities for the upcoming year? - The primary risks include the speed of top-line recovery and the implementation of pricing to cover tariff costs [78][80]

Core Viewpoint - B&G Foods has experienced a 9% increase in share price since the last earnings report, outperforming the S&P 500, but recent earnings results indicate challenges ahead with missed estimates and declining sales and earnings [1][2]. Financial Performance - B&G Foods reported Q2 fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings of 4 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 7 cents, and down 50% from 8 cents in the prior-year quarter [4]. - Net sales declined 4.5% year over year to $424.4 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $429 million, attributed to lower volumes, reduced net pricing, and unfavorable product mix [5]. - Adjusted gross profit decreased to $89.1 million from $93.2 million in the year-ago period, with the adjusted gross margin remaining unchanged at 21% [6]. Expense Analysis - SG&A expenses increased by 9.4% to $47.2 million, driven by higher consumer marketing costs and acquisition/divestiture-related expenses, partially offset by lower warehousing and selling expenses [7]. - Adjusted EBITDA fell 9.3% to $58 million, with the adjusted EBITDA margin decreasing to 13.7% from 14.4% in the second quarter of fiscal 2024 [8]. Segment Performance - Specialty segment net sales were $134.9 million, down 8% year over year, but adjusted EBITDA increased 3% to $32.7 million due to lower raw material costs [9]. - Meals segment net sales were $104.1 million, down 3.5% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 7.7% to $25.7 million due to favorable pricing [10]. - Frozen & Vegetables segment net sales were $89 million, down 2.8% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA showing a loss of $2.7 million compared to a profit of $3.8 million in the prior year [11]. - Spices & Flavor Solutions segment net sales were $96.5 million, down 2% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA declining 12.8% to $24.1 million [12][13]. Financial Health - B&G Foods ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $54.1 million, net long-term debt of $1,984.9 million, and total shareholders' equity of $501.4 million [14]. - Net cash provided by operating activities was $17.8 million for the fiscal second quarter [14]. Outlook - For fiscal 2025, management revised net sales guidance to a range of $1.830 billion to $1.880 billion, down from $1.860 billion to $1.910 billion [15]. - Adjusted EBITDA is now estimated to be between $273 million and $283 million, lower than the previous outlook [15]. - Adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal 2025 was revised to a range of 50-60 cents, down from 55-65 cents [16]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have not issued any earnings estimate revisions in the last two months, with the consensus estimate shifting down by 13.33% [17]. - B&G Foods currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expectations of below-average returns in the coming months [19].

Group 1 - B&G Foods, Inc. continues to face challenges in recovery efforts and strategies due to persistent inflation and tariff issues impacting growth in its remaining businesses [1] - The analyst has been involved in stock investing and macroeconomic analysis for nearly a decade, focusing on various sectors including banks, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels [1] - The analyst's experience includes trading in both the ASEAN and US markets, with a diversified portfolio across different industries and market capitalizations [1] Group 2 - The article expresses the author's personal opinions and does not involve any compensation from companies mentioned, indicating an independent analysis [2] - There is no current stock or derivative position held by the analyst in B&G Foods, but there is a potential interest in initiating a long position within the next 72 hours [2]

Core Insights - B&G Foods, Inc. reported second-quarter fiscal 2025 results with both net sales and earnings missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate, indicating year-over-year declines in both metrics [1][11] - The company anticipates sequential improvement in the second half of 2025, driven by ongoing portfolio reshaping and recent brand divestitures aimed at enhancing margins and cash flow [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 4 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 7 cents, and down 50% from 8 cents in the prior-year quarter [2][11] - Net sales decreased 4.5% year over year to $424.4 million, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $429 million, attributed to lower volumes, reduced net pricing, and unfavorable product mix [3][11] - Adjusted gross profit was $89.1 million, down from $93.2 million in the year-ago period, with the adjusted gross margin remaining unchanged at 21% [4] - SG&A expenses rose 9.4% to $47.2 million, influenced by higher consumer marketing costs and acquisition/divestiture-related expenses, partially offset by lower warehousing and selling expenses [5] - Adjusted EBITDA fell 9.3% to $58 million, with the adjusted EBITDA margin decreasing to 13.7% from 14.4% in the second quarter of fiscal 2024 [6] Segment Performance - Specialty segment net sales were $134.9 million, down 8% year over year, while adjusted EBITDA increased 3% to $32.7 million due to lower raw material costs [7] - Meals segment net sales were $104.1 million, down 3.5% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 7.7% to $25.7 million, benefiting from improved pricing [8] - Frozen & Vegetables segment net sales were $89 million, down 2.8% year over year, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.7 million compared to a profit of $3.8 million in the prior year [9] - Spices & Flavor Solutions segment net sales were $96.5 million, down 2% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA declining 12.8% to $24.1 million due to higher raw material costs [10] Financial Health - As of the end of the quarter, B&G Foods had cash and cash equivalents of $54.1 million, net long-term debt of $1,984.9 million, and total shareholders' equity of $501.4 million [12] - Net cash provided by operating activities for the fiscal second quarter was $17.8 million [12] Outlook - For fiscal 2025, management revised net sales guidance to a range of $1.830 billion to $1.880 billion, down from the previous estimate of $1.860 billion to $1.910 billion [13] - Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be between $273 million and $283 million, lower than the previous outlook of $280 million to $290 million [13] - Adjusted EPS guidance for fiscal 2025 was revised to a range of 50-60 cents, down from 55-65 cents, compared to 70 cents per share in fiscal 2024 [14]

Core Insights - B&G Foods reported disappointing Q2 FY2025 earnings, missing analyst expectations for both revenue and profit, with adjusted diluted EPS at $0.04 versus the consensus of $0.05916 and revenue at $424.4 million compared to the estimate of $429.0 million [1][2] Financial Performance - Adjusted diluted EPS (Non-GAAP) decreased by 50.0% year-over-year from $0.08 in Q2 FY2024 to $0.04 in Q2 FY2025 [2] - Revenue fell by 4.5% year-over-year from $444.6 million in Q2 FY2024 to $424.4 million in Q2 FY2025 [2] - Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) dropped 9.3% from $63.9 million in Q2 FY2024 to $58.0 million in Q2 FY2025 [2] - The company reported a net loss of $9.8 million in Q2 FY2025, a significant decline from a net profit of $3.9 million in Q2 FY2024 [2][9] - Gross margin slightly decreased to 20.5% in Q2 FY2025 from 20.7% in Q2 FY2024 [2][6] Strategic Focus - B&G Foods is focusing on reshaping its portfolio and managing rising costs, with strategic divestitures of non-core brands and optimizing input costs and marketing investments [4][3] - The company aims to improve cash flow and margins while adapting to changing consumer preferences [4] Segment Performance - The Specialty segment saw net sales decline by 8.0%, but adjusted EBITDA increased by 3.0% due to lower raw material costs [7] - The Meals segment experienced a 3.5% decrease in net sales, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 7.7% due to pricing and product mix improvements [7] - The Frozen & Vegetables segment, including Green Giant, faced a 2.8% sales drop and reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.7 million [8] - The Spices & Flavor Solutions segment recorded a 2.0% decline in sales and a 12.8% drop in adjusted EBITDA, impacted by volume loss and higher ingredient costs [8] Guidance and Outlook - Management lowered its full-year FY2025 guidance for net sales to a range of $1.83 billion to $1.88 billion, down from $1.86 billion to $1.91 billion [10] - Adjusted EBITDA forecast for FY2025 is now between $273 million and $283 million, reflecting weaker profitability [10] - Projected adjusted diluted EPS for FY2025 is revised to $0.50–$0.60, down from $0.55–$0.65 [10] - The company continues to focus on cost control and brand portfolio adjustments, with a planned $10 million cost-saving initiative in FY2025 [11]

Company Performance - B&G Foods reported quarterly earnings of $0.04 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.07 per share, and down from $0.08 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -42.86% [1] - The company posted revenues of $424.43 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.07%, and down from $444.59 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, B&G Foods has not surpassed consensus EPS estimates and has topped revenue estimates only once [2] Stock Performance - B&G Foods shares have declined approximately 39.9% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 6.1% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for B&G Foods is 3 (Hold), indicating that shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.15 on revenues of $454 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.57 on revenues of $1.87 billion [7] - The outlook for the industry, specifically the Food - Miscellaneous sector, is currently in the bottom 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact the stock's performance [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q2 net sales were $424.4 million, down 4.5% year-over-year, with base business down 4.2% [6][17] - Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $58 million, a decrease of $5 million or 9.3% compared to last year [6][16] - Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales was 13.7% for the 2025 fiscal year [16][27] - Adjusted net income was $2.9 million or $0.04 per adjusted diluted share, down from $6.6 million or $0.08 per adjusted diluted share in the previous year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The frozen and vegetables business unit saw a segment adjusted EBITDA decline of $6.5 million due to higher costs and trade spend [6][7] - The specialty business unit experienced an 8% decline in net sales, primarily due to lower Crisco oil pricing, but segment adjusted EBITDA improved by 3% [7][18] - Meals segment net sales declined by $3.8 million or 3.5%, but adjusted EBITDA increased by $1.8 million or 7.7% [18] - Spices and Flavor Solutions saw a slight decline in net sales of less than $2 million, with commodity costs increasing [21][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. frozen vegetables business is expected to turn profitable with an increase in segment adjusted EBITDA of $8 million to $10 million compared to last year [13] - Negative foreign exchange impacts have moderated, and a better cost environment is anticipated for the frozen and vegetables business unit [20][25] - Approximately 90% of net sales are to U.S. customers, with 80% to 85% of products sourced from the U.S., Canada, and Mexico [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to achieve adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales approaching 20%, reduce leverage closer to five times, and improve cash flow generation [8][15] - Recent divestitures are part of a strategy to reshape the portfolio for higher margins and cash flows [10][30] - The company is committed to reducing net debt and leverage ratio over the next twelve months [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects solid improvement in the second half of fiscal year 2025, with flat to slightly positive net sales and year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA [11][12] - The company anticipates a modestly softer economic environment impacting consumer spending patterns [33] - Management is optimistic about stabilizing top-line performance and managing input costs effectively [34] Other Important Information - Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased by 9.4% to $47.2 million, reflecting higher consumer marketing expenses [26] - The company generated $17.8 million in net cash from operations during Q2 2025, compared to $11.3 million in Q2 2024 [28] - The company expects to reduce pro forma net leverage ratio to less than six times by the end of the next year [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the expected organic sales interpretation for the second half? - Management indicated that base business net sales are projected to be down about 1% to 2% after accounting for the 53rd week benefit [39][40] Question: How are retailers responding to pricing actions related to tariffs? - Management noted that most tariff exposure is in spices and flavor solutions, and they expect to implement pricing actions to recover tariff costs [48][50] Question: What is the EBITDA for the divested brands? - Management did not disclose EBITDA for the divested brands, as it is a sale to a private company [55] Question: What is the current leverage ratio and availability on the cash flow revolver? - The leverage ratio is approximately 6.8 times, providing a cushion of about 0.7 turns [60] Question: Are there any changes in sourcing to mitigate spice and seasoning tariffs? - Management is exploring alternative sourcing but noted that most spices are sourced from countries already subject to tariffs [66]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q2 net sales were $424.4 million, down 4.5% year-over-year, with base business down 4.2% [6][17] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was $58 million, a decrease of $5 million or 9.3% compared to the previous year [6][16] - Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales was 13.7% for the year [16][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The frozen and vegetables business unit saw a segment adjusted EBITDA decline of $6.5 million due to higher costs and trade spend [6][10] - The specialty business unit experienced an 8% decline in net sales, primarily due to lower Crisco oil pricing, but segment adjusted EBITDA improved by 3% [7][20] - Meals segment net sales declined by 3.5%, but adjusted EBITDA increased by 7.7% [20] - Spices and Flavor Solutions saw a slight decline in net sales, impacted by commodity cost increases [23][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. frozen vegetables business is expected to turn profitable in the second half of the year, with an increase in segment adjusted EBITDA of $8 million to $10 million [13] - Negative foreign exchange impacts have moderated, and a better cost environment is anticipated for the frozen and vegetables business unit [22][27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on reshaping its portfolio through divestitures to improve margins and cash flow, aiming for adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales to approach 20% [8][10] - Future divestitures are expected to further focus the portfolio and reduce leverage [10][32] - The company aims to reduce leverage to six times within the next twelve months through divestiture proceeds and improved cash flow [15][39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects solid improvement in the second half of fiscal 2025, with net sales projected to be flat to slightly positive [11][36] - The company anticipates a modestly softer economic environment impacting consumer spending patterns [35][36] - Management is committed to reducing leverage and balance sheet risk while stabilizing adjusted EBITDA [15][39] Other Important Information - Selling, general and administrative expenses increased by 9.4% to $47.2 million, reflecting higher consumer marketing expenses [28] - The company generated $17.8 million in net cash from operations during Q2, an increase from $11.3 million in the prior year [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on core business expectations - Management indicated that base business net sales are expected to be down about 1% to 2% in the second half, factoring in the benefit from the fifty-third week [42][44] Question: Impact of tariffs and pricing actions - Management noted that the majority of tariff exposure is in spices and flavor solutions, and they expect to implement pricing actions to recover tariff costs [51][53] Question: EBITDA and net debt clarification - Management confirmed that net debt was reduced to approximately $1.9 billion following recent divestitures, with proceeds around $59 million [60][61] Question: Performance of spices and flavor solutions - Management acknowledged that the spices and flavor solutions business has not met expectations, but they anticipate slight improvement in the back half of the year [67][68] Question: Future asset sales and divestitures - Management confirmed ongoing discussions with strategic buyers for potential asset sales, indicating that more announcements could be expected [77][78]