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Why BlackSky Stock Popped 11% on Tuesday
The Motley Fool· 2025-01-28 16:42
Core Insights - BlackSky Technology has signed a $100 million contract with an unidentified strategic international defense sector customer, leading to an 11.2% increase in its stock price [1] - The contract is an extension of an existing relationship and will run for seven years, covering high-resolution imagery and AI-enabled analytics services [2][4] - The customer will receive advanced imagery services as they become available, indicating a priority access arrangement [3] Financial Implications - The $100 million contract is spread over seven years, translating to an annual revenue of approximately $14 million [4] - Prior to this announcement, BlackSky had annual sales of $107 million, making the additional revenue significant but not necessarily justifying a 32% market cap increase [5] - The current stock price increase of 10% to 11% appears to be a more reasonable market reaction to the news [5]
3 Space Stocks to Buy With $1,000 and Hold Forever
The Motley Fool· 2024-12-22 13:30
Space investing is hard. It gets easier when you can buy space stocks for cheap prices.What a long, strange trip it's been since space stocks stormed onto the stock market in 2021.Back in the dog days of the pandemic -- when most of America was quarantining, and many of us were day trading in meme stocks with government-issued COVID checks -- a series of unprofitable space companies decided to go public via the sketchy route of reverse-merging into already listed special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs ...
BlackSky Technology Gains 20% in 6 Months: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-11-27 17:26
BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) stock has shown an impressive performance over the past six months. The stock has gained 20.2%, underperforming the 40.5% rally of the industry but outpacing the 13.1% rise of the Zacks S&P 500 composite.Six Months Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research BKSY’s performance is stronger than that of its competitors, Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) and Forrester Research, Inc. (FORR) . MG has risen 5.6%, but FORR has declined by 5.9% over the same periodAs of the last ...
This Little-Known Space Company Forecasts Parabolic Hypergrowth
The Motley Fool· 2024-11-24 12:07
Core Viewpoint - BlackSky Technology missed analyst forecasts for both sales and earnings, yet its stock price increased by approximately 9% following the earnings report, closing above $8 [1][2]. Financial Performance - BlackSky's Q3 sales were $22.5 million, missing the forecast of $27.5 million by over 18%, and the company reported a loss of $0.66 per share compared to the expected loss of $0.65 [2][4]. - Year-to-date sales increased by 22%, but Q3 sales were only 6% higher than Q3 2023 levels, indicating a weak quarter in an otherwise strong year [4]. Contract Wins - BlackSky signed multiple multi-year contracts worth up to $780 million in future revenue, which includes a $290 million contract with the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency (NGA) and a $476 million contract with NASA [4][5]. - The two highlighted contracts account for $766 million of the total $780 million, which would represent a significant growth opportunity for the company [6]. Competitive Landscape - Both contracts were awarded to multiple winners, meaning BlackSky is one of several companies competing for the work, which may limit its actual revenue from these contracts [7][8]. - The NGA contract will be divided among 10 winners, while the NASA contract includes seven other competitors, indicating that BlackSky's share of the contracts could be significantly less than the total amounts mentioned [9][11]. Future Outlook - While there is potential for BlackSky to secure a share of the awarded contracts, expectations of receiving the full amounts are likely unrealistic, and profitability is not anticipated before 2027 [10][11].
Does BlackSky Technology (BKSY) Have the Potential to Rally 48.64% as Wall Street Analysts Expect?
ZACKS· 2024-11-22 15:56
Shares of BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) have gained 64.4% over the past four weeks to close the last trading session at $10.67, but there could still be a solid upside left in the stock if short-term price targets of Wall Street analysts are any indication. Going by the price targets, the mean estimate of $15.86 indicates a potential upside of 48.6%.The mean estimate comprises seven short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $8.76. While the lowest estimate of $9 indicates a 15.7% decline from ...
Stonegate Updates Coverage on BlackSky Technology, Inc. (BKSY) 3Q24
Newsfile· 2024-11-08 14:18
Dallas, Texas--(Newsfile Corp. - November 8, 2024) - BlackSky Technology, Inc. (NYSE: BKSY): Stonegate Capital Partners updates their coverage on BlackSky Technology, Inc. (NYSE: BKSY). BlackSky reported revenue, adj EBITDA, and EPS of $22.5M, $0.7M, and ($0.66), respectively. This compares to our/consensus estimates of $29.2M/$27.5M, $3.7M/$3.1M, and ($0.08)/($0.49). This marks the fourth quarter in a row of positive adjusted EBITDA, driven by revenue growth and strong operating leverage. The revenue grow ...
BlackSky Technology (BKSY) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2024-11-07 21:17
Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 ___________________________________ FORM 10-Q ___________________________________ (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2024 OR o TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to Commission file number 001-39113 ____________________________ ...
BlackSky Technology (BKSY) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-11-07 17:52
Financial Data and Key Metrics - Year-to-date revenue for 2024 was $71.7 million, an increase of $12.7 million or 22% over the prior year period [42] - Year-to-date imagery and analytics revenue was $52.6 million, an increase of $6.2 million or 13% over the prior year period [44] - Year-to-date professional and engineering services revenue was $19.1 million, an increase of $6.5 million or 52% over the prior year period [45] - Adjusted EBITDA for year-to-date 2024 was $4.3 million compared to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $10.3 million in the prior year period, a strong year-over-year improvement of $14.6 million [52] - The company ended Q3 2024 with $64.4 million of cash, restricted cash, and short-term investments [54] Business Line Performance - The company delivered its fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA, driven by high-margin imagery and analytics revenue [12] - The Luno A contract, valued up to $290 million, was awarded by the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency (NGA) [15] - A $476 million multi-year IDIQ contract was awarded by NASA to support their commercial small-sat data acquisition program [19] - A $6 million contract expansion was signed with a long-time international defense sector customer, increasing their total annual contract value to nearly $18 million [21] - Seven-figure contracts were awarded for the new non-Earth imaging services offering [30] Market Performance - Strong growth from U.S. defense and intelligence agencies, with demand for high-frequency imagery and advanced analytics [15] - Increasing opportunities through the Global Data Marketplace (GDMP), which is becoming a long-term, viable sales distribution channel [25] - Contracts awarded with multiple U.S. government customers for integrating optical inter-satellite link terminals (OISL) into Gen 3 satellites [25] - New non-Earth imaging services offering launched, with contracts awarded to government and commercial customers [29][30] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company is focused on scaling production of Gen 3 satellites to support a regular launch cadence beginning in 2025 [39] - The acquisition of the partner stake in LeoStella aims to optimize the Gen 3 supply chain and production operations [40] - The company is leveraging its advanced AI technology and multi-inch Spectra software platform to deliver real-time and mission-critical insights [18] - The new non-Earth imaging services offering is expected to expand over time, with increasing demand for data services to support space domain awareness (SDA) missions [34] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The company expects to deliver strong Q4 results and remain on track to meet full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA goals [12] - The company is maintaining its full-year 2024 guidance of revenue between $102 to $118 million, adjusted EBITDA of between $8 to $16 million, and capital expenses of between $55 to $65 million [58] - The company is excited about the transformative solutions that the Gen 3 satellite constellation will deliver, unlocking the next phase of growth [38] - The company is seeing growing demand for its space-based intelligence solutions, with near-record multi-year contract bookings in Q3 [59] Other Important Information - The company won the 2024 Leading Earth Observation Business Award by Nova Space [13] - The first very high-resolution Gen 3 satellite is in the final testing phase and is expected to ship to the launch site in the next few weeks [35] - The company successfully completed an equity capital raise in late September, generating $46 million in gross proceeds [53] Q&A Session Summary Question: Revenue Push from Q3 to Q4 - Some revenue was pushed from Q3 to Q4 due to timing delays related to new customer contract wins and the associated ramp-up of imagery and analytic revenues [62] Question: Bookings Activity in Q3 and Q4 - The strong bookings activity in Q3 was primarily driven by existing capabilities, not specifically related to Gen 3 [63] - The company is seeing growing demand, with typical government contract cycles remaining consistent [69] Question: Milestone Payments and Gen 3 Launch Costs - Milestone payments are expected to be somewhat lumpy over the next 12 months [67] - No significant changes in OpEx are expected with the Gen 3 launches, as the same ground network and infrastructure will be used [68] Question: Operating Leverage in 2025 - The company expects to see smoother and growing imagery and analytics revenues as Gen 3 capability comes online, though some lumpiness will remain due to professional engineering projects [71][72] Question: OISL Design in Gen 3 - The OISL design is being integrated into Gen 3, with a focus on delivering high-frequency, low-latency intelligence solutions [74][75] Question: Q4 Revenue Ramp - The Q4 revenue ramp is expected to be driven by long-term customer renewals and the closing of larger deals [79] Question: Gen 2 Satellite Life and Decommissioning Costs - Gen 2 satellites are expected to continue performing well through 2025 and into 2026, with no material incremental decommissioning costs [85] Question: Non-Earth Imaging Offerings - The new non-Earth imaging offerings leverage existing satellite capacity and are expected to generate incremental high-margin imagery and analytics revenues [86][87] Question: Baseline Gen 3 Constellation - The baseline Gen 3 constellation is expected to maintain 12 to 14 satellites, with potential expansion based on demand [90] Question: LeoStella Partnership - The company acquired its partner's stake in LeoStella to optimize Gen 3 production, with BlackSky remaining the primary customer [91][93] Question: Luno A Contract and NEI SSA Market - The Luno A contract includes a mix of imagery and analytics providers, with BlackSky well-positioned to capitalize on the program [95] - The NEI SSA market is seeing significant demand, with the company already winning seven-figure contracts and expecting continued growth [97][98]
BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) Reports Q3 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-11-07 14:30
Financial Performance - BlackSky Technology Inc. reported a quarterly loss of $0.66 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.61, but an improvement from a loss of $0.96 per share a year ago [1] - The company posted revenues of $22.55 million for the quarter ended September 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 16.26%, compared to revenues of $21.26 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, BlackSky has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates just once [2] Stock Performance - BlackSky Technology shares have declined approximately 32.4% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 24.3% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.29 on revenues of $31.61 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$2.33 on revenues of $107.7 million [7] Industry Outlook - The Technology Services industry, to which BlackSky belongs, is currently ranked in the top 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact stock performance [5]
BlackSky Technology (BKSY) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2024-11-07 12:02
BLACKSKY REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2024 RESULTS Company Receives New Awards Valued up to $780 Million YTD Revenue Growth of 22%; Company Reaffirms Full Year 2024 Guidance First Gen-3 Satellite Completing Final Pre-Ship Testing HERNDON, VA – November 7, 2024 – BlackSky Technology Inc. ("BlackSky" or the "Company") (NYSE: BKSY) announced results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. Third Quarter Financial Highlights: • Revenue of $22.5 million, up 6% from the prior year quarter • Imagery & software ana ...