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Compared to Estimates, Cava (CAVA) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 23:30
Core Insights - Cava Group (CAVA) reported revenue of $280.62 million for Q2 2025, a year-over-year increase of 20.2%, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $286.56 million, resulting in a surprise of -2.07% [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $0.16, slightly down from $0.17 a year ago, but exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.13, leading to an EPS surprise of +23.08% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Same Restaurant Sales Growth was reported at 2.1%, below the average estimate of 5.9% based on eight analysts [4] - The total number of CAVA restaurants remained at 398, matching the average estimate from seven analysts [4] - CAVA opened 16 new restaurants, including converted Zoes Kitchen locations, surpassing the average estimate of 14 [4] - Occupancy as a percentage of CAVA Revenue was 6.8%, slightly below the estimated 6.9% [4] - Revenue from CAVA restaurants was $278.25 million, compared to the average estimate of $284.14 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +20.3% [4] - Restaurant-Level profit for CAVA was reported at $73.26 million, below the average estimate of $74.79 million [4] Stock Performance - Cava shares have returned -8.4% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]
Markets Stride to New Highs on CPI Data, Pending Rate Cuts
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 23:10
Market Performance - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached new closing highs, with the Dow gaining 483 points (+1.13%), S&P 500 up 72 points (+1.13%), Nasdaq increasing by 296 points (+1.39%), and Russell 2000 rising by 2.99% [1] - Year-to-date, Russell 2000 is up 2.3%, while the Dow is up 4.5%, S&P 500 is up 9.6%, and Nasdaq is up 12.3% [2] Federal Reserve Outlook - Markets are pricing in a potential Fed rate cut in September, with expectations of a reduction of either -25 basis points to a range of 4.00-4.25% or -50 basis points to 3.75-4.00% [3] Company Earnings Reports - CAVA Group shares fell by 22.5% after a mixed Q2 report, with earnings of 16 cents per share exceeding the consensus of 13 cents, but revenues of $281 million missed expectations of $287 million. Full-year revenue guidance was lowered to +4-6% from +6-8% [4] - CoreWeave shares decreased by 5.5% due to a larger-than-expected loss of 60 cents per share compared to the expected 23 cents, although revenues of $1.21 billion surpassed the forecast of $1.08 billion [5] Upcoming Economic Indicators - The Producer Price Index (PPI) report is expected on Thursday, which is often seen as a precursor to future consumer prices [6] - Presentations by Fed Chairs are scheduled for Wednesday, with earnings reports from Brinker International and Cisco Systems also anticipated [7]
Cava Group (CAVA) Beats Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 22:56
Financial Performance - Cava Group reported quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13 per share, but down from $0.17 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +23.08% [1] - The company posted revenues of $280.62 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.07%, compared to year-ago revenues of $233.49 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, Cava has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Cava shares have declined approximately 27% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 8.4% [3] - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for future stock performance, with current consensus EPS estimates at $0.16 for the coming quarter and $0.58 for the current fiscal year [4][7] - The estimate revisions trend for Cava was unfavorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Restaurants industry, to which Cava belongs, is currently in the bottom 24% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that the industry's outlook can significantly impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]
CAVA (CAVA) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-08-12 22:16
Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended July 13, 2025 OR o TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from ______ to ______ Commission File Number 001-41721 CAVA Group, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) (State or other jur ...
CAVA (CAVA) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-12 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q2 2025 grew by 20.3% year-over-year to $278.2 million, and increased by 62.6% compared to Q2 2023 [8][26] - Same restaurant sales increased by 2.1%, primarily driven by menu price and product mix, with guest traffic approximately flat [26] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was $42.1 million, a 22.6% increase compared to 2024 [32] - Net income for Q2 was $18.4 million, compared to $16.8 million in 2024, with diluted EPS of $0.16 [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 16 net new restaurants, bringing the total to 398 locations across 27 states and the District of Columbia [10][26] - Restaurant level profit margin was 26.3% of revenue, slightly down from 26.5% in 2024, but reflecting a 19.6% increase in dollar terms [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Mediterranean category continues to show strength, with a three-year traffic growth of 19.7% and growing market share [35] - The company is experiencing strong demand in new markets, including Pittsburgh and Michigan, with positive guest reception [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand to at least 1,000 restaurants by 2032, focusing on the Mediterranean cuisine category [11][35] - The "Project Soul" initiative is designed to enhance the guest experience through inviting restaurant designs [11] - The culinary innovation pipeline includes new offerings like chicken shawarma and cinnamon sugar pita chips, aimed at enhancing menu variety [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges macroeconomic pressures but remains confident in the long-term trajectory and structural strength of the business [27][35] - There is optimism regarding the reacceleration of same restaurant sales as the company moves into Q3 [42][44] Other Important Information - The company has zero debt and $385.8 million in investments, with access to a $75 million undrawn revolver [34] - The effective tax rate for Q2 was 22.5%, with expectations for the full year to be between 12-15% [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Could you elaborate on the same store sales side? - Management noted that macro pressures are present but the honeymoon effect from new restaurant classes has significantly influenced sales, with strong performance from the 2024 class [38][40] Question: Can you help level set where you're trending in the third quarter? - Management indicated that there has been an acceleration in same restaurant sales trends as they move into Q3 [44] Question: Has the company evaluated its marketing media mix? - Management confirmed that there is an opportunity to reallocate marketing spend, especially as they have not historically spent a high percentage of revenue on marketing [46] Question: Does the honeymoon period mean first year comps are negative or flat? - Management clarified that while some locations are experiencing negative comps, overall demand for the brand remains strong [50][54] Question: What do you attribute to the July improvement? - The improvement is attributed to the lapping of the steak launch and enhanced guest experience initiatives [67] Question: Can you talk about the assistant manager edition? - Management explained that the assistant manager role is aimed at providing additional support in high-volume restaurants and building a leadership pipeline [71][74] Question: Can you talk about the technology investments mentioned? - Management highlighted that technology investments like the kitchen display system and AI camera are aimed at improving operational efficiency and guest experience [90][91]
CAVA (CAVA) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-12 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q2 2025 increased by 20.3% year over year to $278.2 million, and by 62.6% compared to 2023 [5][24] - Same restaurant sales grew by 2.1%, primarily driven by menu price and product mix, with guest traffic remaining approximately flat [24] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $42.1 million, reflecting a 22.6% increase compared to 2024 [29] - Net income for the quarter was $18.4 million, compared to $16.8 million in 2024, with diluted EPS at $0.16 [30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 16 net new restaurants, bringing the total to 398 locations across 27 states and the District of Columbia [5][24] - Restaurant level profit margin was 26.3%, slightly down from 26.5% in 2024, but reflecting a 19.6% increase in dollar terms [26] - New restaurant productivity was approximately 109%, exceeding the target of $2.3 million in average unit volumes [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Mediterranean cuisine category continues to show strength, with a three-year traffic growth of 19.7% and increasing market share [32] - The company is expanding into new markets, including Pittsburgh and Michigan, with positive reception from customers [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to reach at least 1,000 restaurants by February 2032, focusing on expanding its Mediterranean concept [9][32] - The "Project Soul" initiative is designed to enhance the guest experience through inviting restaurant designs [9] - The company is committed to culinary innovation, with new menu items like chicken shawarma and cinnamon sugar pita chips being tested and rolled out [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged macroeconomic pressures but expressed confidence in the long-term trajectory and structural strength of the business [5][32] - The company is seeing a reacceleration in same restaurant sales as it moves into Q3, driven by strong demand for Mediterranean cuisine [25][32] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining operational excellence and enhancing guest experiences as the company scales [15][18] Other Important Information - The company has zero debt and $385.8 million in investments, with access to a $75 million undrawn revolver [31] - The effective tax rate for Q2 was 22.5%, with expectations for the full year to be between 12-15% [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Could you elaborate on the same store sales side? - Management noted that macro pressures are present but emphasized the strong performance of the 2024 restaurant class, which exceeded expectations [35][38] Question: Can you help level set where you're trending in the third quarter? - Management indicated that the trend is continuing to improve, with acceleration in same restaurant sales [42] Question: Has the company evaluated its marketing media mix? - Management acknowledged the opportunity to increase marketing spend as awareness grows in new markets, while maintaining a long-term strategic focus [44][46] Question: Does the honeymoon period mean first year comps are negative? - Management confirmed that while some restaurants in the 2024 class are delivering strong results, they are impacting same restaurant sales due to the honeymoon effect [48][53] Question: What do you attribute to the July improvement? - Management attributed the improvement to the end of the steak launch lap and enhancements in guest experience [67][69] Question: Can you talk about the assistant manager edition? - Management explained that the rollout will begin in November, aimed at strengthening leadership and operational support in high-volume restaurants [72][75] Question: Can you talk about the 2Q mix? - Management stated that there were no significant changes in mix, and chicken shawarma will be priced at a premium compared to other chicken items [78][79] Question: What marketing opportunities could open now that you've crossed $1 billion in sales? - Management indicated that achieving this milestone allows for more effective marketing strategies and leveraging investments across scaled markets [82][85]
CAVA (CAVA) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-12 21:00
Q2 2025 Earnings Supplemental August 12th, 2025 Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements, within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that reflect our current views with respect to, among other things, our operations and financial performance. Forward-looking statements include all statements that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements relate to matters such as our industry, business st ...
CAVA (CAVA) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2025-08-12 20:35
CAVA GROUP REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2025 RESULTS YEAR OVER YEAR CAVA REVENUE GROWTH OF 20.3% INCLUDING CAVA SAME RESTAURANT SALES GROWTH OF 2.1% 16 NET NEW CAVA RESTAURANT OPENINGS DURING QUARTER SECOND QUARTER 2025 CAVA RESTAURANT-LEVEL PROFIT MARGIN OF 26.3% WASHINGTON, D.C. (August 12, 2025) - CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE: CAVA) ("CAVA Group" or the "Company"), the category- defining Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant brand that brings heart, health, and humanity to food, today announced financial results for ...
Mediterranean chain Cava lowers forecast after disappointing same-store sales growth
CNBC· 2025-08-12 20:11
Core Viewpoint - Cava has lowered its full-year forecast for same-store sales growth to 4% to 6% from a previous range of 6% to 8% following disappointing second-quarter results, leading to a significant drop in its stock price [1][2]. Financial Performance - Cava reported a second-quarter net income of $18.4 million, or 16 cents per share, down from $19.7 million, or 17 cents per share, a year earlier [2]. - Net restaurant sales increased by 20% to $278.2 million, primarily due to new restaurant openings [2]. - Same-store sales rose by 2.1% during the quarter, falling short of Wall Street's expectation of 6.1% growth [3]. - The company's quarterly traffic was described as "roughly flat," contrasting with a 14.4% increase in same-store sales a year earlier [4]. Market Context - Cava's performance reflects broader challenges in the fast-casual dining sector, with competitors like Chipotle and Sweetgreen also experiencing sales declines [6]. Future Projections - Despite lowering the same-store sales forecast, Cava maintained its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) projection of $152 million to $159 million and restaurant-level profit margins of 24.8% to 25.2% for the full year [7]. Strategic Initiatives - Cava participated in a $25 million Series B funding round for Hyphen, a company that automates plate and bowl portioning, aiming to enhance order accuracy and speed during peak hours [8].
CAVA Group Likely To Report Lower Q2 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call
Benzinga· 2025-08-12 18:39
Group 1 - CAVA Group, Inc. is set to release its second-quarter earnings results on August 12, with analysts expecting earnings of 13 cents per share, a decrease from 17 cents per share in the same period last year [1] - The projected quarterly revenue for CAVA Group is $285.23 million, up from $233.5 million a year earlier [1] - CAVA opened its first restaurant in Pittsburgh on August 8, located at 3619 Forbes Avenue [2] Group 2 - CAVA Group shares experienced a decline of 3.2%, closing at $82.30 on the previous Monday [2] - UBS analyst Dennis Geiger maintained a Neutral rating and reduced the price target from $112 to $96 [7] - Barclays analyst Jeffrey Bernstein kept an Equal-Weight rating and raised the price target from $90 to $91 [7] - Keybanc analyst Christopher Carril initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a price target of $100 [7] - JP Morgan analyst John Ivankoe maintained an Overweight rating but lowered the price target from $115 to $95 [7] - Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull maintained a Buy rating and significantly cut the price target from $175 to $125 [7]