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Down -26.93% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) Looks Ripe for a Turnaround
ZACKS· 2025-03-06 15:35
Core Viewpoint - Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) has experienced a significant decline of 26.9% in its stock price over the past four weeks, but it is now in oversold territory, suggesting a potential turnaround due to improved earnings expectations from analysts [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Technical Indicators - CEG's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 23.74, indicating that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting, which could lead to a price rebound [5]. - The RSI is a momentum oscillator that helps identify oversold conditions, typically when the reading falls below 30, signaling potential entry opportunities for investors [2][3]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Analyst Consensus - There is a strong consensus among sell-side analysts regarding an increase in CEG's earnings estimates, with a 0.8% rise in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, which often correlates with price appreciation [6]. - CEG holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the potential for a near-term turnaround [7].
DeepSeek Crushed Constellation Energy. Is This Nuclear Stock a Buy Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-02 12:07
Core Viewpoint - The emergence of DeepSeek in January 2025 has significantly impacted the AI and nuclear energy sectors, leading to substantial market capitalization losses for companies like Nvidia and Constellation Energy [1][2]. Company Analysis: Constellation Energy - Constellation Energy's stock experienced a 21% decline in market capitalization following the introduction of DeepSeek, and it is currently trading 29% below its previous share price [2]. - The company remains committed to nuclear energy, announcing a $100 million investment to upgrade its Calvert Cliffs nuclear power plant in Maryland, aiming to renew operating licenses and increase future power output [4][5]. - The planned upgrades include replacing critical components and installing $68 million worth of new electrical breakers to enhance power output by 10%, with each unit expected to produce approximately 950 megawatts of continuous nuclear power [5]. Market Position and Growth Potential - Constellation's existing licenses allow operation into the 2030s, with potential extensions enabling operation into the 2050s [6]. - Despite a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 20.7, which appears attractive compared to the S&P 500 average of 29.8, analysts project a long-term annual growth rate of only 7.4% for Constellation, which is below the average expected growth of 9.5% for S&P stocks [7]. - The company is viewed as a bellwether for the AI-nuclear energy trend, but it faces competition from other utilities that may also benefit from this trend [8]. Competitive Landscape - Other nuclear operators such as Duke Energy, Dominion Energy, and Southern Co. have lower P/E ratios (20.4, 20.8, and 22.3 respectively) and offer better dividend yields compared to Constellation's 0.6% [9]. - Dominion Energy is highlighted as a preferable investment option, with a P/E ratio of about 21, a projected long-term earnings growth rate of 17.5%, and a superior dividend yield of 4.7% [10][11].
Stock Of The Day: Will Constellation Energy Keep Moving Lower?
Benzinga· 2025-02-24 18:40
Shares of Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) are trading lower Monday. This comes after Friday's sell off of more than 8%. There is a good chance the move lower continues.As you can see on the chart, the stock found support around the $280 level and rallied. Stocks rallying after they reach support is a common occurrence in the stock market. But now, this support appears to have broken. This is why Constellation Energy is our Stock of the Day.Support is a price level where there is a large amount of buy ...
Should You Add CEG Stock to Your Portfolio After Q4 Earnings Beat?
ZACKS· 2025-02-24 18:00
Core Viewpoint - Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) reported strong fourth-quarter earnings, driven by favorable nuclear portfolio results and strategic investments in renewable energy, surpassing market expectations consistently over the past year [1][2][20]. Financial Performance - CEG reported fourth-quarter 2024 earnings of $2.44 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.19 by 11.4% [1] - The company achieved a nuclear operating capacity factor of 94.8% in Q4 2024, ensuring a consistent supply of clean energy [9] - Total operating expenses decreased to $4.48 billion, down 23.6% from $5.86 billion in the previous year, with operating income at $972 million compared to an operating loss of $67 million in the year-ago quarter [10] Stock Performance - CEG stock closed at $284.44 on February 21, with a 113.5% increase over the past year, outperforming the industry average of 65.9% and the S&P 500's growth of 19.7% [4] - The company has consistently surpassed earnings expectations, with an average earnings surprise of 10.16% over the last four quarters [2][3] Strategic Investments - CEG plans to invest nearly $3 billion and $3.5 billion in capital expenditures for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with 35% allocated for nuclear fuel acquisition [13] - The company entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Calpine Corporation, enhancing its position as a leading competitive retail supplier of clean energy [11] Market Position - CEG's trailing 12-month return on equity stands at 21.96%, significantly higher than the industry average of 8.44%, indicating effective utilization of shareholders' funds [16] - The stock is currently trading at a premium compared to its industry on a forward 12-month P/E basis [18][22] Future Outlook - The company is poised to benefit from the growing demand for clean energy, particularly from AI-driven data centers, with a significant investment from major tech companies expected in the sector [15][20] - CEG has executed a 20-year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Microsoft to support the restart of the Three Mile Island Unit 1, further solidifying its market position [15]
As the Magnificent 7 Stalls, These 3 Stocks Are Gaining Momentum
MarketBeat· 2025-02-21 13:47
In 2023 and 2024, investors didn’t have to look very far to find the biggest market gains. In fact, investing in one or more of a small group of seven stocks, known as the Magnificent Seven, would have delivered gains of over 160% during that time. In 2025, technology stocks are doing well enough. The NASDAQ index, largely viewed as the technology index, is up about 8% through February 20. The same can’t be said for the Magnificent Seven stocks, which are up just 1% in that time. But that doesn’t tell the w ...
These Were the 5 Top-Performing Stocks in the S&P 500 in January 2025
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-19 19:35
Core Insights - The S&P 500 index experienced a strong start to 2025, rising 2.7% in January, continuing its upward trend from 2024 [1] - Five top-performing S&P 500 stocks rose over 20% in January, with Robinhood Markets leading the gains [1] Company Summaries - **Robinhood Markets**: Stock surged by 39.4% after clarity emerged regarding the SEC investigation, resulting in a $45 million penalty [2] - **Twilio**: Increased by 35.6% following a positive Investor Day on January 23, with expectations of positive operating income in 2025 and over $3 billion in free cash flow from 2025 to 2027 [3] - **Constellation Energy**: Stock rose 34.1% after announcing plans to acquire Calpine, leading to a 25% increase on the day of the news [4] - **CVS Health**: Gained 25.8% due to a proposed 4.3% average increase in Medicare Advantage payments and a price target increase from Evercore ISI [5] - **GE Aerospace**: Stock increased by 22% after reporting a 14% rise in revenue and a 21% increase in free cash flow compared to Q4 2023, along with a positive forecast for 2025 [6]
Constellation Energy Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Fall Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-02-19 13:11
Core Viewpoint - Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) reported strong fourth-quarter earnings, exceeding estimates, but faced revenue declines compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - CEG's fourth-quarter 2024 earnings per share (EPS) were $2.44, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.19 by 11.4% [1]. - Total revenues for the quarter were $5.38 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.51 billion by 2.4%, and decreased 7.1% from $5.8 billion in the same quarter last year [2]. - Full-year 2024 revenues totaled $23.6 billion, down from $24.9 billion in the previous year [2]. - Total operating expenses were $4.48 billion, down 23.6% from $5.86 billion in the year-ago period, leading to an operating income of $972 million compared to an operating loss of $67 million in the prior year [3]. Financial Position - As of December 31, 2024, CEG had cash and cash equivalents of $3.02 billion, a significant increase from $0.368 billion a year earlier [5]. - Long-term debt decreased to $7.384 billion from $7.496 billion as of December 31, 2023 [5]. - Cash used in operating activities in 2024 was $2.46 billion, down from $5.30 billion the previous year [5]. - Total capital expenditures for 2024 were $2.57 billion, slightly up from $2.42 billion a year ago [5]. Strategic Developments - CEG entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Calpine Corporation, which will enhance its position as a leading producer of clean energy and reliable natural gas assets [4]. - The acquisition deal includes 50 million shares of CEG's common stock and $4.5 billion in cash [4]. Guidance - CEG provided full-year 2025 adjusted operating earnings guidance of $8.90-$9.60 per share, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $9.30 per share, indicating a positive outlook [6]. Market Position - CEG currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), reflecting a favorable market position [7].
stellation Energy (CEG) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-02-18 15:21
Acquisition and Growth Strategy - The company announced an agreement to acquire Calpine Corporation, which would create the nation's leading competitive retail electric supplier and enhance its scale and diversification[95]. - The company aims to maintain investment grade credit ratings and optimize cash returns through disciplined operations and cost management[90]. - The company is focused on growth opportunities in clean energy, efficiency, storage, and electrification to meet customer sustainability targets[98]. - Significant investments from hyperscalers in AI technology are driving unprecedented demand for reliable energy, presenting growth opportunities for the company[102]. Clean Energy Commitment - The company is committed to a clean energy future and aims to support businesses and public entities in achieving sustainability goals[91]. - The company supports public policy for vehicle electrification and invests in enabling infrastructure and technology to facilitate decarbonization[111]. - Emerging technologies such as advanced nuclear power, carbon capture, and energy storage are expected to significantly contribute to decarbonization efforts[123]. - The company has made investments in developing carbon capture technologies to reduce GHG emissions from carbon-emitting generating plants[110]. - The company is actively involved in corporate clean energy targets, supporting commitments to reduce GHG emissions through clean energy procurement[122]. Nuclear Energy and Emissions - Nuclear energy accounts for over 50% of the nation's carbon-free power, and the company plans to extend the licenses of its nuclear fleet to 80 years with continued policy support[101]. - The company achieved a 94.6% capacity factor across its nuclear fleet in 2024, producing 182 TWh of electricity from 22 GWs of carbon-free generation capacity[110]. - The company is positioned as a low-carbon generation company, minimizing GHG emitting assets and maximizing carbon-free electric production[109]. - In 2023, the company's Scope 1 and 2 market-based GHG emissions were 10 million metric tons CO2 equivalent, with 9.3 million metric tons from natural gas and oil-fueled generation, significantly lower than peers[109]. - The company emphasizes the importance of regulatory support for nuclear energy to ensure reliability and security of the electrical grid[101]. Regulatory and Environmental Compliance - The company operates under comprehensive environmental legislation and regulations at federal, state, and local levels, addressing climate change and GHG emissions[104]. - The company is evaluating market impacts of new EPA regulations on GHG emissions from power plants, which are currently under litigation[114]. - Six out of twelve nuclear stations operated by the company have been deemed compliant with the EPA's Section 316(b) rule using existing technology[127]. - The company has completed all required studies and submitted recommendations for compliance as part of the NPDES/SPDES renewal process for its nuclear stations[127]. - The company has established appropriate contingent liabilities for environmental remediation requirements, with potential significant additional expenditures not presently determinable[135]. Workforce and Community Engagement - In 2024, the company hired over 1,400 employees, aiming to attract and retain a world-class workforce[147]. - The total number of employees as of December 31, 2024, was 14,264, including 14,215 full-time employees[150]. - The turnover rate for regular employees for the year ended December 31, 2024, was 1.50% for involuntary terminations, 2.40% for retirements, and 3.50% for voluntary resignations[151]. - Approximately 25% of all employees participate in collective bargaining agreements (CBAs), with 3,333 employees covered by 21 CBAs as of December 31, 2024[152]. - The company actively invests in community development, with employees donating over $5.3 million to non-profit organizations and providing more than 116,500 volunteer service hours in 2024[146]. Energy Demand and Market Position - The U.S. energy sector is experiencing unprecedented changes, increasing demand for reliable, clean power generation, which positions the company's generation fleet favorably[97]. - 25 states and the District of Columbia have set 100% clean energy targets, impacting 55% of U.S. residential electricity customers, with the company being the largest generator of carbon-free electricity[115]. - The company will continue to manage cash flow volatility through prudent risk management strategies across its business[94]. - The company is engaged in partnerships with national labs, universities, and startups to foster innovation in energy solutions[98].
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-02-18 14:06
分组1 - Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) reported quarterly earnings of $2.44 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.19 per share, compared to a loss of $0.11 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 11.42% [1][2] - The company posted revenues of $5.38 billion for the quarter ended December 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.39%, and down from $5.8 billion year-over-year [2] - Constellation Energy shares have increased approximately 41.8% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 4% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.02 on revenues of $4.46 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $9.30 on revenues of $21.49 billion [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Alternative Energy - Other is in the top 32% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry [8]
stellation Energy (CEG) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Results
2025-02-18 11:59
Financial Performance - GAAP Net Income for Q4 2024 was $2.71 per share, up from ($0.11) per share in Q4 2023; Adjusted Operating Earnings increased to $2.44 per share from $1.74 per share[4] - Full year 2024 GAAP Net Income reached $11.89 per share, compared to $5.01 per share in 2023; Adjusted Operating Earnings rose to $8.67 per share from $6.28 per share[6] - For the three months ended December 31, 2024, GAAP Net Income attributable to common shareholders was $852 million, compared to a loss of $36 million in the same period of 2023, representing a significant increase of $888 million[24] - Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was $2,735 million, up from $2,034 million in 2023, reflecting a growth of 34.5%[24] - The net income attributable to common shareholders for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was $3,749 million, compared to $1,623 million in 2023, marking an increase of 130.5%[24] - Net income for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was $3.738 billion, compared to $1.577 billion in 2023, indicating a year-over-year increase of 137.5%[29] - Operating income increased significantly to $4.352 billion in 2024 compared to $1.610 billion in 2023, marking a growth of 170.5%[36] - Basic earnings per share increased to $11.91 in 2024, compared to $5.02 in 2023, reflecting a growth of 137.3%[36] Revenue and Expenses - The company's operating revenues for the three months ended December 31, 2024, were $5,382 million, a decrease from $5,796 million in the same period of 2023, indicating a decline of 7.2%[24] - Operating revenues for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, were $23.568 billion, a decrease of 5.4% from $24.918 billion in 2023[36] - Total operating expenses for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, were $19,287 million, compared to $23,335 million in 2023, showing a reduction of 17.3%[24] - Total operating expenses decreased to $19.287 billion in 2024 from $23.335 billion in 2023, reflecting a reduction of 17.3%[36] Shareholder Returns - A quarterly dividend of $0.3878 per share was declared, payable on March 18, 2025, reflecting a 25% increase in the annual dividend[10] - The company completed $1 billion in share repurchases in 2024, totaling $2 billion since 2023, with $1 billion remaining authorization[10] Investments and Acquisitions - A definitive agreement was entered to acquire Calpine Corporation for $4.5 billion in cash and 50 million shares of common stock, enhancing capabilities and customer offerings[10] - The company plans to invest over $2.5 billion in 2025 to support long-term operations and growth investments[3] - The company is involved in a proposed transaction with Calpine Corporation, which is expected to enhance its investment-grade credit profile and operational synergies[18] Operational Metrics - The company achieved a nuclear operating capacity factor of 94.6% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024[10] - Total nuclear generation for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was 181,711 GWh, an increase from 174,047 GWh in 2023, representing a growth of 4.8%[41] - The company reported a total of 266 outage days for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, a decrease from 307 outage days in 2023[43] - Total supply/sales by region for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was 269,417 GWh, slightly down from 269,689 GWh in 2023[41] Sustainability and Emissions - Constellation was ranked the No. 1 producer of emissions-free energy for the 11th consecutive year, with the lowest carbon dioxide emissions among the largest private power producers[10] - The company generated approximately 90% of its annual output from carbon-free sources, contributing to its position as a leading energy supplier[12] - Constellation Energy is committed to investing in innovative technologies to enhance its sustainable energy future[12] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - Total assets increased to $52.926 billion as of December 31, 2024, up from $50.758 billion in 2023, representing a growth of 4.3%[26] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period rose to $3.129 billion, up from $454 million at the beginning of the period, marking a significant increase[29] - Total current liabilities increased to $6.846 billion in 2024 from $6.319 billion in 2023, an increase of 8.4%[27] - Total shareholders' equity increased to $13.166 billion in 2024, up from $10.925 billion in 2023, reflecting a growth of 20.5%[27] - The company experienced a net cash outflow from operating activities of $2.464 billion in 2024, an improvement from an outflow of $5.301 billion in 2023[29] Taxation - The effective tax rate for Q4 2024 was 0.7%, a significant decrease from 127.3% in Q4 2023[31] - The effective tax rate improved to 17.1% in 2024 from 35.1% in 2023[36] Share Count - Average common shares outstanding for Q4 2024 were 314 million, a decrease from 320 million in Q4 2023[31] - The average common shares outstanding decreased to 315 million in 2024 from 323 million in 2023[36]