Centerra Gold (CGAU)
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Centerra Gold: The North American Pivot Is Mispriced
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-24 11:50
Group 1 - The core thesis on Centerra Gold (CGAU) is bullish, driven by a high commodity price environment and a structural transformation of the business model [1] - Centerra Gold has successfully rebuilt its cash position, indicating improved financial health and operational efficiency [1] Group 2 - The focus is on identifying companies in the consumer products sector that possess strong brand recognition, solid financials, and growth potential [1] - There is an emphasis on understanding consumer trends to identify profitable investment opportunities within the industry [1]
5 High Earnings Yield Value Picks Ahead of Key Economic Reports
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 13:06
Market Overview - Markets ended slightly lower as pressure mounted on major players in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, leading investors to question if AI expectations have become overly optimistic [1] - There is a noticeable rotation from technology stocks to more reasonably priced value stocks as investors reassess their strategies [1] Economic Data - Key economic reports are anticipated this week, including the November jobs report, an inflation update, and October retail sales data, which will influence market expectations regarding interest rate cuts in 2026 [2][3] - The Federal Reserve recently implemented its third consecutive quarter-point rate cut, but the future direction of monetary policy remains uncertain [3] Value Investing Strategy - In a volatile market, value investing is highlighted as a prudent approach, focusing on companies' intrinsic value and fundamentals rather than chasing hype [4] - Value investing emphasizes long-term perspectives, targeting quality businesses trading below their true worth to benefit from eventual price corrections [5] Earnings Yield as a Metric - Earnings yield, calculated as annual earnings per share divided by market price, is a key metric for identifying attractive investment opportunities [6][7] - Stocks with higher earnings yield are considered undervalued, while those with lower yields are seen as overpriced, making this metric useful for comparisons with fixed-income securities [8] Screening Criteria for Stocks - A primary screening criterion is set at an earnings yield greater than 10%, supplemented by estimated EPS growth, average daily volume, and stock price thresholds [9][11][12] - The screening process aims to identify stocks with strong fundamentals and growth potential while ensuring adequate liquidity [10] Selected Stocks - CorMedix Inc. (CRMD): Focused on therapeutic products, with a projected 613% sales growth and 1,057% EPS growth for 2025, currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 [13] - Centerra Gold (CGAU): Engaged in gold and copper operations, with expected EPS growth of 37% and 30% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, also holds a Zacks Rank 1 [14] - Commercial Metals Co. (CMC): Involved in steel and metal products, with projected EPS growth of 125% for fiscal 2026, currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 [15] - CommScope Holding Company, Inc. (COMM): A key player in networking hardware, with an anticipated EPS growth of 5,566% for 2025, currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 [16] - Seanergy Maritime Holdings (SHIP): A Capesize ship-owner with projected EPS growth of 39% for 2026, currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 [17]
5 Gold Mining Stocks to Buy to Ride the Solid Industry Trends
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 18:01
Industry Overview - The Zacks Mining - Gold industry has experienced a remarkable 60% growth in gold prices this year, with prices currently above $4,200 per ounce, driven by geopolitical uncertainty and central bank purchases [1][4] - The industry involves complex processes of gold extraction from mines, which can take 10-20 years to yield refined material [3] Major Trends - Gold prices are expected to continue rising due to a demand-supply imbalance, with increasing demand from sectors like energy, healthcare, and technology, particularly from India and China, which account for about 50% of consumer demand [6] - The industry is facing high production costs due to a skilled workforce shortage and rising expenses for electricity and materials, prompting companies to adopt cost-reduction strategies and digital innovations [5] Performance Metrics - The Mining-Gold Industry has outperformed the broader sector and the S&P 500, with a collective growth of 113.2% over the past year compared to the sector's 14.5% and the S&P 500's 16.3% [9] - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA of 9.45X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 18.74X and the Basic Materials sector's 14.36X [11] Company Highlights - **Newmont Mining (NEM)**: Expected to produce 5.6 million ounces in 2025, with a record free cash flow of $1.6 billion in Q3 2025. The company has reduced debt by $2 billion and has a strong cash position of $5.6 billion [17][18] - **Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)**: Targeting gold production of 3.3-3.5 million ounces, with Q3 free cash flow nearly doubling year-over-year to $1.2 billion. The company has a net cash position of $2.2 billion [21][22] - **Kinross Gold (KGC)**: Reported record free cash flow of $686.7 million in Q3 2025, with a strong production profile and promising development projects [25][26] - **Royal Gold (RGLD)**: Achieved record revenues and cash flows in Q3 2025, with significant acquisitions expected to increase gold equivalent ounces production by 26% [30] - **Centerra Gold (CGAU)**: Generated nearly $100 million in free cash flows in Q3 2025, with a strong cash balance of $562 million and a long-life asset at Mount Milligan [32][33]
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) Is Up 14.48% in One Week: What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 18:01
Core Insights - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, with the aim of buying high and selling higher, capitalizing on established price movements [1][3] - Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong potential for outperformance [3][4] Price Performance - CGAU shares have increased by 14.48% over the past week, while the Zacks Mining - Gold industry has risen by 14.7% during the same period [6] - Over the past quarter, CGAU shares have surged by 47.68%, and over the last year, they have gained 111.83%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which increased by 6.75% and 14.16% respectively [7] Trading Volume - The average 20-day trading volume for CGAU is 1,026,543 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [8] Earnings Outlook - In the last two months, four earnings estimates for CGAU have been revised upwards, with no downward revisions, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $0.77 to $0.97 [10] - For the next fiscal year, four estimates have also moved upwards without any downward revisions [10] Conclusion - Given the strong price performance, positive earnings outlook, and favorable momentum indicators, CGAU is positioned as a strong buy candidate for investors seeking momentum stocks [12]
Best Value Stocks to Buy for Dec. 2
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 09:41
Group 1: John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) - The company is involved in tree-nut and peanut processing and holds a Zacks Rank of 1 [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 7.8% over the last 60 days [1] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is 12.23, which is lower than the industry average of 14.60 [1] - The company has a Value Score of B [1] Group 2: Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) - The company operates in gold and copper mining and also holds a Zacks Rank of 1 [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its next year earnings has increased by 29.3% over the last 60 days [2] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is 13.69, significantly lower than the S&P average of 25.20 [2] - The company possesses a Value Score of A [2] Group 3: Kohl's Corporation (KSS) - The company is an omnichannel retail entity and carries a Zacks Rank of 1 [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has seen a substantial increase of 71.2% over the last 60 days [3] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is 21.70, which is slightly lower than the industry average of 23.50 [3] - The company has a Value Score of A [3]
Earnings Estimates Rising for Centerra Gold (CGAU): Will It Gain?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 18:20
Core Viewpoint - Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to its improving earnings outlook and analysts' increasing earnings estimates [1][2]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - Analysts are optimistic about Centerra Gold's earnings prospects, leading to higher estimates that are expected to positively impact the stock price [2]. - The earnings estimate for the current quarter is $0.26 per share, reflecting a 52.9% increase from the previous year [6]. - Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Centerra Gold has risen by 59.38%, with no negative revisions [6]. - For the full year, the earnings estimate is $0.92 per share, indicating a 29.6% increase from the year-ago figure [7]. - The consensus estimate for the current year has increased by 17.95% due to four upward revisions and no negative changes [7][8]. Zacks Rank and Performance - Centerra Gold currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating strong agreement among analysts regarding positive earnings revisions [9]. - The Zacks Rank system has a proven track record, with Zacks 1 Ranked stocks averaging a +25% annual return since 2008 [3]. - Stocks with Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) have been shown to significantly outperform the S&P 500 [9]. Investment Outlook - The stock has appreciated by 13.2% over the past four weeks due to strong estimate revisions, suggesting potential for further upside [10]. - Investors may consider adding Centerra Gold to their portfolios based on its favorable earnings outlook and stock performance [10].
CGAU vs. AEM: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 17:41
Core Insights - Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) is currently viewed as a more attractive investment option compared to Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) for value investors seeking undervalued stocks [1][7] Valuation Metrics - CGAU has a forward P/E ratio of 13.33, significantly lower than AEM's forward P/E of 21.55, indicating that CGAU may be undervalued [5] - The PEG ratio for CGAU is 0.60, while AEM's PEG ratio is 0.70, suggesting that CGAU has a better growth outlook relative to its price [5] - CGAU's P/B ratio stands at 1.27, compared to AEM's P/B of 3.55, further supporting the notion that CGAU is more attractively valued [6] Earnings Outlook - CGAU holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook due to recent revisions in earnings estimates, while AEM has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3][7] - The stronger estimate revision activity for CGAU suggests that it is currently favored by value investors [7]
Centerra Gold Inc. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (TSX:CG:CA) 2025-11-05
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-05 23:03
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry [1]
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) Market Update and Financial Performance Insights
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-30 21:06
Core Insights - Centerra Gold Inc. is a significant player in the gold mining industry, focusing on sustainable practices and competing with major companies like Barrick Gold and Newmont Corporation [1] - Raymond James updated its rating for Centerra Gold to "Market Perform," with a price target raised to C$16.75 from C$16.50, indicating a stable outlook for investors [2] - The company's Q3 2025 earnings call highlighted its financial performance and strategic direction, with participation from key executives and financial analysts [3] Financial Performance - Centerra Gold's stock price is currently at $11.79, reflecting a 4.85% increase, which translates to a rise of $0.55 [4] - The stock has shown significant volatility over the past year, with a high of $12.80 and a low of $5.41 [4] - The company's market capitalization is approximately $2.45 billion, with a trading volume of 809,194 shares, indicating substantial market presence [5] Market Position - The recent updates and earnings call provide insights into Centerra Gold's future prospects and market position, showcasing investor interest and confidence [5][6] - The stable outlook and investor confidence are further emphasized by the stock's recent performance and the maintained "Market Perform" rating by Raymond James [6]
Centerra Gold (CGAU) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company generated nearly $100 million in free cash flow, with gold and copper production reaching almost 82,000 ounces and 13.4 million pounds respectively [4] - The cash balance increased to over $560 million, allowing the company to fund the Thompson Creek Restart project while returning $32 million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends [4][19] - Adjusted net earnings for Q3 were $66 million, or $0.33 per share, benefiting from strong production and elevated metal prices [16] - Consolidated all-in sustaining costs on a byproduct basis were $1,652 per ounce in Q3, with expectations to remain near the low end of guidance for 2025 [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mount Milligan produced over 32,500 ounces of gold and 13.4 million pounds of copper in Q3 2025, with all-in sustaining costs at $1,461 per ounce, a 14% increase from the previous quarter [12] - Öksüt achieved production of 49,000 ounces in Q3, exceeding expectations due to higher grades, with all-in sustaining costs at $1,473 per ounce, a 16% decrease compared to the last quarter [13][14] - The Molybdenum business unit sold approximately 3.1 million pounds at an average price of $24.42 per pound, but incurred a cash flow deficit due to spending on the Thompson Creek Restart [16][18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average realized price for gold was $3,178 per ounce and for copper was $3.73 per pound, reflecting the impact of existing streaming arrangements [16] - The company noted increased confidence in the U.S. steelmaking sector, which is beneficial for its molybdenum products [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a self-funded growth strategy, with significant investments planned for Mount Milligan and other projects, including a $186 million non-sustaining capital expenditure plan [7][8] - The Mount Milligan Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) extended the mine life to 2045, with an average annual production forecast of 150,000 ounces of gold and 69 million pounds of copper from 2026 to 2042 [7][9] - The company is advancing sustainability initiatives, including a renewable diesel pilot project aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving production guidance for both Mount Milligan and Öksüt, with expectations for strong production in Q1 2026 [28] - The company is monitoring the favorable environment for U.S.-based mining and potential strategic deals related to molybdenum [31][32] - Management emphasized the importance of optimizing operations and enhancing shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation [20][21] Other Important Information - The company has initiated a life-of-mine optimization study at Öksüt to evaluate the asset's full potential, including residual leaching and expanding the pit [14][15] - The company has returned over $95 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks year-to-date [18][19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drove the lower recovery at Mount Milligan in Q3? - Management explained that the recovery was impacted by a higher ratio of pyrite to chalcopyrite than previously modeled, which affected the recovery rates [23][24] Question: Will Öksüt see strong grades in Q1 2026? - Management confirmed confidence in achieving production guidance and expects strong production in Q1 2026 due to positive reconciliation [28] Question: Is there potential for a strategic deal with the U.S. Government regarding molybdenum? - Management acknowledged the favorable environment for U.S. mining and indicated they are monitoring potential strategic opportunities, although no current deals are in place [31][32] Question: Will the life-of-mine optimization study at Öksüt require additional permitting? - Management stated that while modifications for residual leaching would be necessary, the study primarily focuses on managing accumulated inventories without significant new permitting requirements [38] Question: What is the plan for improving recoveries at Mount Milligan? - Management outlined that the PFS aims to create a mine plan that optimizes feed blending to improve recovery rates, with expectations to start seeing improvements in Q1 of the following year [40][41]