Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported earnings per share of $1.42, representing an almost 14% increase over the prior quarter [8] - Net interest income remained stable at $575 million for the third consecutive quarter, with robust loan growth offsetting the impact of deposits [14] - Capitalization strength was highlighted with an estimated CET1 ratio of 11.94%, well above the strategic target of 10% [7][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average loans increased by almost 1% and period-end loans rose approximately 3%, driven by new loan production for new and existing customers [10] - Non-interest income increased by $20 million, with growth across most customer line items due to higher loan volumes and seasonal benefits [15][16] - Expenses decreased by $23 million over the prior quarter, largely due to lower litigation-related expenses and seasonal declines in incentive compensation [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average deposits declined just over 1%, with the largest decreases in retail, corporate banking, and technology and life sciences [11] - Non-interest bearing deposits as a percentage of total deposits remained flat at 38% for the fourth consecutive quarter, indicating stability in the funding mix [11] - The company expects full-year average deposits to decline by 2% to 3% in 2025, with a deliberate reduction in brokered CDs [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on strategic investments in small business, middle market, business banking, and payments to drive responsible growth [28] - The management emphasized the importance of maintaining a conservative approach to capital while supporting customer growth and driving favorable returns over time [25][26] - The company plans to continue share repurchases, with an intention to repurchase approximately $100 million of common stock in the third quarter [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists, customers appear more confident in navigating the environment and making investments [7] - The outlook for 2025 includes projected net interest income growth of 5% to 7%, with loan trends outperforming expectations [21] - Management acknowledged the potential for upward pressure on deposit pricing as they fund robust loan growth [22] Other Important Information - The company announced new capabilities and product enhancements in payments and deposits, indicating a commitment to innovation [7] - Management expressed a cautious but optimistic view on the economic environment, with expectations for continued loan growth and improved customer confidence [20][27] Q&A Session Summary Question: NII trajectory and expectations for Q3 and Q4 - Management expects a slight decrease in net interest income (NII) in Q3, followed by an upward trajectory in Q4, driven by strong loan growth and deposit increases [32][33] Question: Expense guidance for Q3 and Q4 - Management acknowledged a projected increase in expenses for Q3, attributing it to deferred project expenses and seasonal factors [42][43] Question: Loan growth potential and pipeline activity - Management indicated improved pipeline activity and loan growth, with positive momentum expected to continue in the second half of the year [49][50] Question: Conditions for remaining independent - Management emphasized the importance of performance relative to peers and the need to protect the company while pursuing growth opportunities [81][86] Question: Impact of potential mergers on strategy - Management noted that while they had previously anticipated limited mergers, recent market conditions may lead to increased M&A activity [88] Question: Credit quality and criticized loans - Management reported a moderate increase in criticized loans, primarily concentrated in three credits with consumer components, but overall credit quality remains stable [108][109]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported earnings per share of $1.42, representing an almost 14% increase over the prior quarter [7] - Net interest income remained stable at $575 million for the third consecutive quarter, with a modest two basis point reduction in net interest margin [14] - Capitalization strength was highlighted with an estimated CET1 of 11.94%, well above the 10% strategic target [6][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average loans increased almost 1% and period-end loans rose approximately 3%, driven by new loan production for new and existing customers [9] - Non-interest income increased by $20 million, with growth across most customer line items due to higher loan volumes and seasonal benefits [15] - Expenses decreased by $23 million over the prior quarter, largely due to lower litigation-related expenses and salaries [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average deposits declined just over 1%, with the largest decreases in retail, corporate banking, and technology and life sciences [11] - Non-interest bearing deposits as a percentage of total deposits remained flat at 38% for the fourth consecutive quarter, indicating stability in the funding mix [12] - The company expects full-year average deposits to decline by 2% to 3% in 2025, with a moderate increase in the third quarter balances anticipated [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on strategic investments in small business, middle market, business banking, and payments to drive responsible growth [26] - The management emphasized the importance of maintaining a conservative approach to capital while supporting customer needs and driving growth [24] - The company plans to continue share repurchases and monitor the economic environment and regulatory landscape for future capital decisions [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists, customers appear more confident in navigating the environment and making investments [6] - The outlook for 2025 includes projected net interest income growth of 5% to 7%, with loan trends outperforming expectations [20] - Management acknowledged the challenges in deposit pricing and anticipated upward pressure as they fund robust loan growth [21] Other Important Information - The company redeemed preferred stock, which, while beneficial for EPS, created a slight drag on net interest income due to the cash used for redemption [18] - The management expressed commitment to driving efficiency while balancing long-term growth and return objectives [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more color on the NII trajectory? - Management expects a slight decrease in NII in Q3 before an upward trajectory in Q4, driven by strong loan growth and deposit increases [30][31] Question: What are the expectations for expenses in Q3 and Q4? - Management indicated that expenses are expected to step up due to deferred project expenses and seasonal factors, with notable items not repeating [41][42] Question: Can you quantify the improvement in pipelines and activity? - Management noted an improvement in loan growth and positive momentum in pipelines, although quantifying it remains challenging [47][48] Question: What conditions would indicate that Comerica has not earned the right to remain independent? - Management emphasized the need to perform at an acceptable level and acknowledged the importance of protecting the company and serving clients [80][82] Question: How does the company view potential mergers and acquisitions? - Management stated that the $100 billion asset threshold is not a governor for pursuing transactions, focusing instead on organic growth opportunities [68][69] Question: What are the expectations for deposit pricing and repricing opportunities? - Management acknowledged the competitive environment for deposits and indicated that they are closely monitoring pricing strategies [100][101] Question: Can you provide more color on the increase in criticized loans? - Management described the increase as moderate, concentrated in three credits with consumer components under pressure from higher rates [103][105]

Core Viewpoint - Comerica Incorporated (CMA) reported quarterly earnings of $1.42 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.23 per share, but down from $1.53 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of +15.45% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $849 million for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.51% and up from $824 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Comerica has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times and has topped consensus revenue estimates three times as well [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Comerica shares have increased by approximately 0.9% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.1% [3] - The company's current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.32 on revenues of $856.2 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $5.08 on revenues of $3.39 billion [7] Industry Context - The Zacks Industry Rank for Banks - Major Regional is currently in the top 7% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact investor sentiment [5]

Comerica Incorporated Second Quarter 2025 Financial Review July 18, 2025 Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements can be identified by words such as "achieve," "anticipate," "assume," "believe," "could," "deliver," "drive," "enhance," "estimate," "expect," "focus," "future," "goal," "grow," "guidance," "intend," "may," "might," "plan," " ...

Core Viewpoint - Comerica Incorporated has reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, which are accessible on its Investor Relations website [1][2]. Financial Results - The financial results and earnings presentation will be filed on Form 8-K and available on the SEC website [1]. - A conference call to review the second quarter 2025 financial results is scheduled for July 18, 2025, at 7 a.m. CT / 8 a.m. ET [2]. Company Overview - Comerica is a financial services company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, and operates through three business segments: The Commercial Bank, The Retail Bank, and Wealth Management [2]. - As one of the 25 largest commercial U.S. financial holding companies, Comerica focuses on building relationships to support the success of individuals and businesses [2]. - The company reported total assets of $78.0 billion as of June 30, 2025 [2].

SECOND QUARTER 2025 NET INCOME OF $199 MILLION, $1.42 PER SHARE Broad-based Loan Growth and Continued Strong Capitalization Favorable Expense and Fee Income Trends Drove Higher Profitability "Today we reported second quarter net income of $199 million, representing a 16% increase over the prior quarter," said Curtis C. Farmer, Comerica Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. "Improved customer sentiment contributed to broad- based loan growth, offsetting modest deposit pressures and keeping net interest incom ...

Core Viewpoint - Comerica Incorporated (CMA) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 18, with anticipated revenue growth but a decline in earnings compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 earnings is $1.23 per share, reflecting a 19.6% decline from the year-ago quarter [2][9]. - Revenue estimates for the same quarter are projected at $844.7 million, indicating a 2.5% increase year-over-year [2][9]. Loan and Net Interest Income (NII) Insights - The lending environment has been stable, with modest loan demand reported by the Federal Reserve [3]. - Average loans are expected to be higher than the first quarter of 2025, with average earning assets estimated at $70.4 billion, showing a marginal increase [4]. - The consensus estimate for NII is $576.5 million, reflecting a slight rise from the previous quarter's figure of $575 million [5]. Non-Interest Income and Market Activity - Global mergers and acquisitions activity improved in the second quarter, contributing positively to capital market fees, which are estimated at $32.8 million, a 5.9% sequential rise [6][8]. - The IPO market saw a resurgence, leading to increased capital raised and improved market sentiment [7]. Fee Income and Deposit Trends - Overall fee income is expected to grow by 3.7% to $263.5 million, driven by stronger capital markets and card-related revenues [11]. - Average deposits declined by 1% to $61.3 billion, with expectations of further declines impacting service charges on deposits, estimated at $47 million, a 2.1% increase from the prior quarter [10]. Expense and Asset Quality Considerations - Higher expenses are anticipated due to increased compensation costs and lower gains on real estate sales, with non-interest expenses projected to rise slightly from $584 million in the first quarter [12][13]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing loans is $308.5 million, indicating a 2.5% rise from the previous quarter [14]. Earnings Prediction Model - The likelihood of Comerica beating earnings estimates is low, with an Earnings ESP of -0.46% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [15].

Core Viewpoint - Comerica Incorporated (CMA) is expected to report a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $1.23, reflecting a decline of 19.6% year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to increase by 2.5% to $844.72 million [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.3% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and stock price performance [3] Key Financial Metrics - The consensus estimate for the Efficiency Ratio is 70.1%, up from 67.8% in the same quarter last year [5] - Analysts project the Average Balance of Total earning assets to be $70.40 billion, down from $71.83 billion year-over-year [5] - Total nonperforming assets are expected to reach $306.34 million, compared to $226.00 million in the same quarter last year [6] - Total nonperforming loans are estimated at $308.51 million, also up from $226.00 million year-over-year [6] Income Projections - Net interest income is forecasted at $576.45 million, an increase from $533.00 million in the same quarter last year [7] - Total noninterest income is expected to be $263.45 million, down from $291.00 million year-over-year [7] - Service charges on deposit accounts are projected at $46.96 million, slightly up from $46.00 million last year [8] - Commercial lending fees are estimated at $16.82 million, down from $17.00 million in the same quarter last year [8] Additional Income Metrics - Fiduciary income is expected to be $54.69 million, down from $58.00 million year-over-year [9] - Letter of credit fees are projected at $11.94 million, up from $10.00 million last year [9] - Capital markets income is estimated at $32.83 million, down from $37.00 million in the same quarter last year [9] - Card fees are expected to reach $60.98 million, down from $64.00 million year-over-year [10] Stock Performance - Comerica shares have returned +15.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5% change [11]

Core Viewpoint - Comerica Incorporated (NYSE: CMA) is assigned a "Hold" rating, indicating a balanced perspective on the opportunities and risks surrounding the bank and its market [1]. Company Fundamentals - The company demonstrates solid fundamentals in its structure, suggesting resilience in its operations despite market challenges [1].

Financial Performance & Key Metrics - FY24 net income was $698 million, with earnings per share at $5.02 [11] - Adjusted earnings per share for FY24 were $5.39 [11] - The CET1 ratio was 11.89% [8, 11], well above the company's strategic target - The efficiency ratio for FY24 was 70.68% [11] - Net interest income for FY24 was $2.19 billion [11] Balance Sheet & Loan Portfolio - Average loans for FY24 were $50.979 billion [11], a decrease of $2.924 billion year-over-year [11] - Average deposits for FY24 were $63.901 billion [11], a decrease of $2.117 billion year-over-year [11] - Brokered time deposits were reduced to $4.8 billion at the end of 2024 [8] from $10.4 billion in 2023 [8] Credit Quality & Risk Management - Net charge-offs for FY24 were historically low at 0.10% of average total loans [8] - Allowance for credit losses as a percentage of total loans was 1.44% in 4Q24 [15] - Criticized loans in the Commercial Real Estate business line were 4.4% of loans as of 4Q24 [72] Strategic Initiatives & Market Presence - The company has a diversified geographic footprint with significant presence in Texas (25% of loans, 17% of deposits), California (36% of loans, 27% of deposits), and Michigan (22% of loans, 15% of deposits) [5] - The company resumed share repurchases in 4Q24 [9] - Wealth Management represents approximately 27% of Comerica's Noninterest Income and has >$200B Assets Under Administration (AUA) [100]