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Canadian National Railway: Stock To Stay Rangebound At Best
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 14:03
Group 1 - The individual investor focuses on managing personal capital accumulated over the years, utilizing a diverse range of investment strategies including fundamental, technical, and momentum investing [1] - The investor aims to leverage the strengths of various investment approaches to refine their investment process [1] - The purpose of writing on Seeking Alpha is to track the performance of investment ideas and connect with like-minded investors [1] Group 2 - There is no stock, option, or similar derivative position held by the analyst in any mentioned companies, nor plans to initiate such positions in the near future [2] - The article reflects the author's personal opinions and is not influenced by compensation from any company [2] - Seeking Alpha does not provide recommendations or advice regarding the suitability of investments for particular investors [3]
Tracy Robinson to Address Barclays 43rd Industrial Select Conference
Globenewswire· 2026-02-02 15:00
Group 1 - The President and CEO of CN, Tracy Robinson, will speak at the Barclays 43rd Industrial Select Conference on February 17, 2026, at 8:05 a.m. Eastern Time [1] - CN will provide a live webcast of the conference on its investor relations website, with a replay available after the event [1] Group 2 - CN transports over 300 million tons of natural resources, manufactured products, and finished goods across North America annually [2] - The company operates a nearly 20,000-mile rail network that connects Canada's Eastern and Western coasts with the U.S. Midwest and Gulf Coast [2] - CN has been contributing to sustainable trade and community prosperity since its establishment in 1919 [2]
Ghislain Houle, Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer, to address Citi’s 2026 Global Industrial Tech and Mobility Conference on February 18
Globenewswire· 2026-02-02 14:00
Group 1 - CN's Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer, Ghislain Houle, will speak at Citi's 2026 Global Industrial Tech and Mobility Conference on February 18, 2026, at 7:10 a.m. ET [1] - CN will provide a live webcast of the conference on its investor relations website, with a replay available after the event [1] Group 2 - CN is a major player in the transportation sector, moving over 300 million tons of natural resources, manufactured products, and finished goods across North America annually [2] - The company operates a nearly 20,000-mile rail network that connects Canada's Eastern and Western coasts with the U.S. Midwest and Gulf Coast, contributing to sustainable trade and community prosperity since 1919 [2]
Ghislain Houle, Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer, to address Citi's 2026 Global Industrial Tech and Mobility Conference on February 18
Globenewswire· 2026-02-02 14:00
MONTREAL, Feb. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ghislain Houle, Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer of CN (TSX: CNR) (NYSE: CNI), will address Citi’s 2026 Global Industrial Tech and Mobility Conference on February 18, 2026, at 7:10 a.m. Eastern Time (ET). CN will provide a live webcast via the Investors section of its website at www.cn.ca/investors. A replay of the webcast will be available following the event. About CNCN powers the economy by safely transporting more than 300 million tons of n ...
Canadian National Railway Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-30 22:10
CFO Ghislain Houle said reported diluted EPS grew 12% year-over-year in Q4, while adjusted EPS rose 14%. He attributed the adjusted results to two notable items: a CAD 34 million pre-tax charge related to a workforce reduction program discussed on the prior quarter’s call and CAD 15 million in advisory fees tied to industry consolidation matters.Robinson also emphasized efficiency gains, with the fourth-quarter operating ratio at 60.1%—the company’s best quarterly operating ratio of the year and an improvem ...
CN (CNI) Q4 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-01-30 17:01
For the quarter ended December 2025, Canadian National (CNI) reported revenue of $3.2 billion, up 2.8% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $1.49, compared to $1.30 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.19 billion, representing a surprise of +0.49%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +4.56%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.43.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Str ...
Canadian National Railway Company (NYSE:CNI) Analyst Sentiment and Market Outlook
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-30 17:00
Company Overview - Canadian National Railway Company (NYSE:CNI) is a significant entity in the North American transportation sector, providing rail services across Canada and the United States, and is a vital part of the logistics and supply chain industry [1] Analyst Sentiment - The consensus price target for CNI has fluctuated, with an average target of $101 set a month ago, down from $102 in the previous quarter and $105.8 a year ago, indicating a more conservative outlook from analysts [2][6] - Wells Fargo has set a more optimistic price target of $130 for CNI, reflecting confidence in the company's potential to exceed earnings estimates, supported by expectations of earnings growth in the upcoming financial release [3][5][6] Market Conditions - The current market is perceived as expensive, with historical patterns suggesting low returns often follow market peaks, yet a consensus expectation of 15% growth in S&P 500 earnings, driven by AI advancements, supports a stable long-term market outlook [4] - The reliance on short-term debt by the U.S. government makes interest expenses sensitive to Federal Reserve policy changes, affecting market complexity and long-term yields [5]
Canadian National Railway pany(CNI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-30 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company achieved a 14% growth in EPS and a 7% growth for the full year, aligning with mid to high single-digit guidance [9] - The operating ratio improved to 60.1% in Q4, a 250 basis point improvement year-over-year, and 61.7% for the full year, improving 120 basis points compared to 2024 [9][33] - Cash flow generated was $3.3 billion, up 8% driven by cash from operations, with capital spending remaining disciplined [9][37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company saw a 5% year-over-year increase in workload, supported by record-setting grain tonnage from Western Canada [18] - Intermodal revenues increased by 13% internationally and 6% domestically, with strong performance at Vancouver and Prince Rupert [25] - Petroleum and Chemicals segment experienced growth across all areas, particularly a 9% increase in natural gas liquids volumes [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company faced continued softness in key markets like forest products and metals, impacted by weak fundamentals and tariffs [25][30] - Tariffs and trade uncertainty negatively impacted full year 2025 revenues by over $350 million [27] - The outlook for 2026 suggests volumes will be flattish compared to 2025, with expectations of continued pressure in forest products and metals [12][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on disciplined execution, prioritizing levers it can control, and maintaining strong cash flow while returning excess capital to shareholders [11][13] - The management emphasized the importance of operational efficiency and cost control, with a commitment to improving margins as volumes return [14][22] - The company is positioned to leverage its access to North American markets and natural resources, aiming to support customers as trade flows evolve [16][58] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management acknowledged high uncertainty in the economic environment, with muted growth expectations and challenges related to tariffs [12][30] - The company plans to continue focusing on productivity and cost control, with a base case expectation of flat volumes for 2026 [12][39] - Management expressed confidence in the underlying earnings power of the business, despite current headwinds, and highlighted the potential for growth in natural resources and trade diversification [52][77] Other Important Information - The board approved a 3% increase in dividends, marking the 30th consecutive year of dividend growth [37] - A new share buyback program was authorized, allowing the repurchase of up to 24 million common shares [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on incremental revenue target - The company closed with $100 million in incremental revenue for Q4, with a pipeline of another $100 million developing in January [45] Question: Clarification on depreciation and earnings growth - Depreciation variance was due to a favorable study and corrections from past acquisitions; the company is experiencing unique headwinds affecting earnings growth [49][50] Question: Outlook on mix and differentiated growth opportunities - The mix impact for 2026 is expected to be similar to 2025, with opportunities in northern markets and natural resources, particularly in agriculture and energy [56][58] Question: Guidance on volume and earnings shape for 2026 - The first half of 2026 is expected to be softer, with improvement anticipated in the second half, influenced by share buybacks [62] Question: Clarification on free cash flow conversion - The company expects improved free cash flow conversion in 2026, despite a sizable cash tax payment impacting the effective tax rate [80]
Canadian National Railway pany(CNI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-30 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company achieved a 14% growth in EPS and a 7% growth for the full year, aligning with mid to high single-digit guidance [9] - The operating ratio improved to 60.1% in Q4, a 250 basis point improvement year-over-year, and 61.7% for the full year, improving 120 basis points compared to 2024 [9][33] - Cash flow generated was CAD 3.3 billion, up 8% driven by cash from operations, with capital spending remaining disciplined [9][37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 4% increase in revenue ton miles (RTMs) and a 3% increase in carloads in Q4, contributing to a 2% revenue growth despite challenging market conditions [24][26] - Intermodal revenues increased by 13% internationally and 6% domestically, with strong performance noted at Vancouver and Prince Rupert [25][26] - Grain shipments set an all-time annual record in 2025, with monthly records achieved in October, November, and December [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company faced continued softness in key markets such as forest products and metals, impacted by weak fundamentals and tariffs [25][27] - Petroleum and Chemicals saw growth across all segments, particularly a 9% increase in natural gas liquids volumes driven by strong domestic demand [26] - The overall revenue was negatively impacted by over CAD 350 million due to tariffs, trade uncertainty, and volatility [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasized disciplined execution and productivity improvement as key strategies moving forward, with a focus on areas within their control [8][11] - The management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong cash flow and returning excess capital to shareholders while navigating a challenging macro environment [8][12] - Future guidance will be more directional, tied closely to volume trends, with expectations of flat volumes compared to 2025 [12][39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged high uncertainty and limited visibility in the economic environment, with muted growth expectations and ongoing tariff pressures [11][12] - The company plans to leverage its strong operating leverage and cash generation capabilities to drive earnings and margins as volumes improve [13][41] - The management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate through challenges and capitalize on opportunities in the North American markets [15][16] Other Important Information - The board approved a 3% increase in dividends, marking the 30th consecutive year of dividend growth, reflecting confidence in cash generation [38] - A new share buyback program was authorized, allowing the repurchase of up to 24 million common shares [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on incremental revenue target - The company closed with CAD 100 million in incremental revenue for Q4, with an additional CAD 100 million in the pipeline for January [44][45] Question: Clarification on depreciation and earnings growth - Depreciation variance was due to a favorable study and corrections from over-depreciation in past acquisitions [49] - Management indicated that current headwinds are unique and not indicative of a decoupling of earnings from volume [50][52] Question: Outlook on mix and differentiated growth opportunities - The mix impact for 2026 is expected to be similar to 2025, with opportunities in northern markets and natural resources highlighted [56][58] Question: Guidance on volume and earnings shape for 2026 - The first half of 2026 is expected to be softer, with improvement anticipated in the second half [62][63] Question: Volume outlook and performance at Prince Rupert - Strong performance is expected in agriculture and energy sectors, with ongoing investments in infrastructure at Prince Rupert [66][70]
Canadian National Railway pany(CNI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-30 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company achieved a 14% growth in EPS and a 7% growth for the full year, aligning with mid to high single-digit guidance [7] - The operating ratio improved to 60.1% in Q4, a 250 basis point improvement year-over-year, and 61.7% for the full year, improving 120 basis points compared to 2024 [7][32] - Free cash flow reached $3.3 billion, up 8% driven by cash from operations, with disciplined capital spending [7][35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company saw a 5% year-over-year increase in workload, supported by strong grain demand, achieving record-setting grain tonnage for four consecutive months [17] - Intermodal revenues increased by 13% internationally and 6% domestically, benefiting from a favorable comparison against last year's port labor disruption [25] - Petroleum and Chemicals segments experienced growth, particularly a 9% increase in natural gas liquids volumes driven by strong domestic demand [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company faced challenges in the forest products and metals markets due to weak fundamentals and tariffs, impacting overall revenue by over $350 million in 2025 [26] - The outlook for 2026 indicates flat volumes compared to 2025, with expectations of continued pressure in forest products and metals [30][37] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on disciplined execution, prioritizing areas it can control, and maintaining strong cash flow while returning excess capital to shareholders [6][12] - The management emphasized the importance of operational efficiency and cost control, with plans to leverage productivity gains as volumes improve [12][20] - The company is positioned to benefit from its access to North American markets and a strong natural resource base, with a focus on diversifying trade [15][58] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged significant macroeconomic volatility and uncertainty, particularly regarding tariffs and trade flows, which could impact future performance [10][11] - The company expects a challenging environment in 2026, with a focus on maintaining pricing discipline and productivity despite headwinds [37] - Management expressed confidence in the underlying earnings power of the business and the potential for growth as market conditions normalize [75] Other Important Information - The board approved a 3% increase in dividends, marking the 30th consecutive year of dividend growth, reflecting confidence in cash generation [36] - A new share buyback program was authorized, allowing the repurchase of up to 24 million common shares [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on incremental revenue target - The company closed Q4 with $100 million in incremental revenue, with an additional $100 million in the pipeline for January [44] Question: Clarification on depreciation - The variance in depreciation is due to a favorable study and corrections from over-depreciation in past acquisitions [49] Question: Long-term earnings power and CapEx - The company is focused on structural cost reduction and has invested in network capacity, positioning itself for future growth despite current headwinds [73][75] Question: Volume outlook for 2026 - The company expects strength in agriculture and energy sectors, while forest products and metals may face challenges [66]