Core Insights - CSX Corporation is facing significant challenges including rising expenses, weak liquidity, and declining demand, making it an unattractive investment option [1] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CSX's current-quarter earnings has been revised downward by 16.3% over the past 90 days, with a 9.8% decrease for the current year [2] - CSX's share price has increased by only 18.6% in the past 90 days, compared to a 28.8% growth in the transportation-rail industry [3] Earnings and Liquidity - CSX has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) and has a history of disappointing earnings surprises, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters with an average miss of 3.13% [5] - Operating expenses have risen from $8.8 billion in 2022 to $9.1 billion in 2023, and are projected to reach $9.3 billion in 2024, with a 1.6% increase in Q1 2025 [6][9] - The current ratio has declined from 1.73 in 2021 to 0.88 in Q1 2025, indicating ongoing liquidity pressures [7][8] Market Challenges - Coal revenues have decreased by 27% year over year, with a 9% drop in volumes in Q1 2025, exacerbated by rail network issues such as crew shortages and service disruptions [9] - CSX is facing elevated capital expenditures projected at $2.5 billion for 2025, adding to financial strain [9]

Group 1 - CSX Corp. will release its second quarter financial and operating results on July 23, 2025, after market close [1] - A conference call and live webcast will follow the results announcement at 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time [1] - Participants can join the teleconference by dialing specific numbers, with a passcode required for access [2] Group 2 - CSX is a premier transportation company based in Jacksonville, Florida, providing rail, intermodal, and rail-to-truck transload services [3] - The company has been integral to the economic expansion and industrial development of the United States for nearly 200 years [3] - CSX's network connects major metropolitan areas in the eastern U.S. and links over 240 short-line railroads and more than 70 ports [3]

Group 1 - Moretus Research provides high-quality equity research focused on U.S. public markets, aiming to deliver clarity, conviction, and alpha for serious investors [1] - The research framework identifies companies with durable business models, mispriced cash flow potential, and intelligent capital allocation, emphasizing a structured and repeatable approach [1] - Valuation methods are based on sector-relevant multiples tailored to each company's business model and capital structure, prioritizing comparability, simplicity, and relevance [1] Group 2 - Research coverage focuses on underappreciated companies experiencing structural changes or temporary dislocations, where disciplined analysis can yield asymmetric returns [1] - Moretus Research aims to elevate the standard for independent investment research by providing professional-grade insights and actionable valuation [1]

Key Takeaways CSX finalized a five-year labor agreement with BLET, covering 3,400 locomotive engineers. The deal mirrors prior agreements with 13 unions, now covering 75% of CSX's unionized workforce. CSX continues talks with SMART-TD, aiming to unify its labor structure under a single-system agreement.CSX’s (CSX) successful ratification of a five-year labor agreement with the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (“BLET”) marks a pivotal achievement in its labor relations strategy. Covering ap ...

CSX Corporation (NASDAQ: CSX ) has a long history of ups and downs , but it is still very important for the eastern United States. CSX owns 20,000 miles of tracks that transport everythingHi there! I’m Narek, and I’ve been in the investment world for over six years. I started out as an equity analyst at European banks, digging into reports and learning how to spot value in the markets. I’ve worked across sectors — from telecom to industry — and found that behind every financial statement is a real story. I ...

Core Points - CSX Corporation announced the ratification of a five-year collective bargaining agreement by employees represented by the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (BLET), covering approximately 3,400 locomotive engineers, marking a significant milestone as the first ratification reached by a Class I freight railroad with BLET [1][2] - The ratified agreement includes general wage increases and health and welfare improvements, aligning with agreements CSX has reached with 13 other unions [2] - Locomotive engineers constitute about 20% of CSX's frontline workforce, and nearly 75% of CSX's unionized workers are now covered by new agreements reached in the last 10 months, with ongoing negotiations with the remaining major workgroup, trainmen/conductors represented by SMART-TD [3] Company Overview - CSX, based in Jacksonville, Florida, is a leading transportation company providing rail, intermodal, and rail-to-truck transload services across various markets, including energy, industrial, construction, agricultural, and consumer products [4] - The company has played a critical role in the economic expansion and industrial development of the nation for nearly 200 years, connecting major metropolitan areas in the eastern United States and linking over 240 short-line railroads and more than 70 ports with population centers and farming towns [4]

Core Viewpoint - CSX Corporation is facing multiple challenges that have negatively impacted its investment appeal, including downward earnings revisions, poor stock performance, and operational issues [1][2][6]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-quarter earnings has decreased by 8.8% over the past 90 days, while the estimate for the current year has been revised down by 9.8%, indicating a lack of confidence from brokers [1]. - For the second quarter of 2025, CSX's earnings are expected to decline by 16.3% year over year, and for the full year 2025, a decline of 9.8% is anticipated [7]. Stock Performance - CSX shares have lost 14.2% in value over the past six months, significantly underperforming the transportation-rail industry, which saw a decline of 6.5% [2]. Zacks Rank and Style Score - CSX currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) and has a Value Score of D, reflecting its unattractiveness as an investment option [6]. Earnings Surprise History - The company has a disappointing earnings surprise history, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average miss of 3.13% [6]. Revenue Challenges - The soft coal market is a primary factor hurting CSX's prospects, with coal revenues falling by 27% year over year in Q1 2025 and coal volumes decreasing by 9% year over year [7]. Operational Issues - CSX is facing significant rail network challenges, including locomotive and crew shortages, which are likely to adversely affect service levels and operational efficiency [8]. Capital Expenditures - Elevated capital expenditures are a concern, with management expecting capex to be approximately $2.5 billion in 2025, adding to the company's financial pressures [9].

Core Insights - CSX Corporation is participating in the Wolfe Research 18th Annual Global Transportation & Industrials Conference, indicating its engagement with industry stakeholders and investors [1] - The company is optimistic about its future, discussing challenges faced in recent quarters and strategies to address them as it looks ahead to 2026 and 2027 [3] Company Overview - Kevin Boone, Chief Commercial Officer, and Matthew Korn, Head of Investor Relations, are representing CSX at the conference, highlighting the importance of their leadership in investor communications [2] - The company acknowledges the changing policies and trade flows impacting the industry, suggesting a proactive approach to adapting to these changes [3] Industry Context - The conference serves as a platform for discussing recent volume trends and broader industry dynamics, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement [4]

CSX FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: CSX Corporation - **Date of Conference**: May 20, 2025 Key Industry Insights - **Volume Trends**: CSX reported a volume increase of over 3% quarter to date, with intermodal being a significant bright spot. Anticipation of increased volume due to a 90-day tariff relief on imports from China is expected to impact the third quarter positively [4][5][6]. - **Market Performance**: - **Aggregates**: Strong performance, particularly in the Southeast due to road infrastructure activity [6]. - **Grain**: Improved performance noted, with additional opportunities anticipated [7]. - **Coal**: Domestic demand is increasing, with a mid-single-digit volume increase reported. The company expects further growth as two mines come back online [19][21][23]. - **Chemicals**: Experienced some volatility, but recovery is expected as a major customer's production resumes [9]. - **Forest Products**: Noted near-term weakness due to maintenance outages, but optimism remains for the latter half of the year [10]. Financial Performance and Projections - **Volume Growth**: CSX maintains a positive outlook for volume growth, contingent on macroeconomic stability and service improvements. The company expects to build momentum into 2026, with quarter-over-quarter improvements anticipated [15][16][66]. - **Coal Market Dynamics**: The domestic coal market is expected to remain strong through the end of the year, influenced by weather conditions and inventory levels [23][24]. - **Pricing and Yield**: The company aims to exceed cost inflation in pricing, with expectations for improved pricing dynamics as the trucking market stabilizes [50][58]. Strategic Initiatives - **Infrastructure Projects**: Significant investments are being made in infrastructure, including the Howard Street Tunnel project, which is on track for completion in Q4 2025. This project is expected to enhance capacity and operational efficiency [36][39]. - **Network Improvements**: CSX is focusing on improving network fluidity and service metrics, with expectations for sequential improvement as projects are completed [40][46][64]. Challenges and Risks - **Service Metrics**: The company faced challenges in service metrics due to weather-related disruptions and ongoing construction projects. However, improvements are being implemented to enhance service delivery [40][41][48]. - **Market Volatility**: The company is cautious about potential volatility in international intermodal volumes and the impact of macroeconomic factors on demand [12][14]. Conclusion CSX is positioned for growth with a focus on improving service metrics, leveraging infrastructure investments, and capitalizing on favorable market conditions in coal and intermodal sectors. The company remains optimistic about achieving volume growth and improving financial performance as it moves into 2026 and beyond [66][68].

Core Viewpoint - CSX shares have increased by approximately 13.1% since the last earnings report, outperforming the S&P 500, but there are concerns about whether this positive trend will continue or if a pullback is imminent [1] Group 1: Earnings Report and Market Reaction - The most recent earnings report indicates that estimates for CSX have trended downward over the past month, with a consensus estimate shift of -7.77% [2] - Investors and analysts are reacting to the downward trend in estimates, which suggests a cautious outlook for the stock [1] Group 2: VGM Scores and Investment Strategy - CSX has an average Growth Score of C and a similar score for momentum, while it received a grade of D for value, placing it in the bottom 40% for this investment strategy [3] - The overall aggregate VGM Score for CSX is D, indicating a lack of focus on any particular investment strategy [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The downward trend in estimates suggests a negative outlook for CSX, reflected in its Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), indicating expectations of below-average returns in the coming months [4]