Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect Commvault Systems (CVLT) to report quarterly earnings of $0.93 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.7% and revenues of $263.03 million, up 17.8% from the previous year [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 3.8% in the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [1][2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions and have a strong correlation with short-term stock price movements [2] Revenue Estimates - Analysts forecast 'Revenues- Perpetual license' to reach $12.41 million, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 18.4% [4] - 'Revenues- Other services' are estimated at $10.71 million, reflecting a decline of 4.4% from the prior-year quarter [4] - 'Revenues- Customer support' is projected to be $77.24 million, showing a slight increase of 0.3% year-over-year [4] - The average prediction for 'Revenues- Subscription' stands at $159.03 million, suggesting a significant increase of 32.7% year-over-year [5] - 'Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR)' is expected to reach $909.80 million, compared to $769.95 million from the previous year [5] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Commvault shares have declined by 7%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has decreased by 5.1% [6] - Commvault holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating that its performance is likely to align with the overall market in the near term [6]

Company Overview - Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CVLT) focuses on data protection and cybersecurity, particularly in hybrid and multi-cloud environments [1] Competitive Landscape - The business operates in a highly competitive market, facing competition from major technology companies such as IBM [1]

Mission: Recoverable at the Alloy Collective | April 29-May 1 Next, take a short walk from the Moscone Center to the Alloy Collective to experience the harrowing challenges of living through a high-fidelity cyberattack via the Commvault® Recovery Range™, powered by SimSpace. Recovery Range, making its debut at RSAC, is the first hands-on cyber range that enables CSOs, CISOs, CIOs, and security & IT operators to not only battle sophisticated cyber threats and real-world attacks but also gain the critical ski ...

Group 1 - Commvault Systems (CVLT) stock closed at $154.51, with a daily increase of +0.64%, outperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.17% [1] - The stock has decreased by 4.38% over the past month, while the Computer and Technology sector has lost 6.26% and the S&P 500 has declined by 3.94% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings report for Commvault Systems is scheduled for April 29, 2025, with expected earnings of $0.93 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 17.72% [2] - Analysts anticipate quarterly revenue of $263.03 million, which represents a 17.8% increase from the previous year [2] Group 3 - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Commvault Systems indicate a favorable outlook on the company's business health and profitability [3] - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses estimate changes, currently rates Commvault Systems at 4 (Sell) [5] Group 4 - Commvault Systems has a Forward P/E ratio of 38.12, which is higher than the industry's average Forward P/E of 24.14 [6] - The Computer - Software industry is ranked 83 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the top 34% of over 250 industries [6]

Core Insights - Commvault Systems (CVLT) is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, having surpassed earnings estimates in the last two quarters by an average of 9.36% [1][5]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Commvault achieved earnings of $0.94 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.87 per share, resulting in a surprise of 8.05% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the company was expected to report earnings of $0.75 per share but delivered $0.83 per share, leading to a surprise of 10.67% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Commvault have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises, and the stock currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +1.62%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its near-term earnings potential [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a strong possibility of another earnings beat in the upcoming report scheduled for April 29, 2025 [8]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may provide a more accurate prediction of earnings [7]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have historically produced positive surprises nearly 70% of the time, indicating a high likelihood of beating consensus estimates [6].

Group 1 - The average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for Commvault Systems (CVLT) is 1.89, indicating a position between Strong Buy and Buy, based on recommendations from nine brokerage firms [2] - Out of the nine recommendations, five are classified as Strong Buy, accounting for 55.6% of the total recommendations [2] - Despite the positive ABR, relying solely on this information for investment decisions may not be advisable, as studies suggest brokerage recommendations often lack success in guiding investors towards stocks with significant price appreciation potential [4][9] Group 2 - Brokerage analysts tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings due to vested interests, with five Strong Buy recommendations for every Strong Sell recommendation [5] - This misalignment of interests can lead to misleading insights regarding a stock's future price movements, suggesting that investors should use this information to complement their own analysis [6][9] - The Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock rating tool, is presented as a more reliable indicator of near-term price performance, with a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and stock price movements [7][10] Group 3 - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Commvault's current year earnings remains unchanged at $3.53, indicating steady analyst views on the company's earnings prospects [12] - The unchanged consensus estimate has resulted in a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) for Commvault, suggesting caution despite the Buy-equivalent ABR [13]

Core Insights - Commvault and SimSpace have launched the Commvault® Recovery Range™, which integrates realistic attack simulations with essential cyber recovery exercises, marking a significant advancement in cyber preparedness [1][2][3] Group 1: Product Overview - The Commvault Recovery Range is the first hands-on cyber range designed to help defenders combat sophisticated cyber threats and recover from cyber crises [2] - Unlike traditional cyber ranges that focus on attack detection and containment, the Commvault Recovery Range provides an immersive learning experience that covers the entire incident lifecycle from detection to validated recovery [3][4] - The platform utilizes SimSpace's award-winning cyber range technology combined with Commvault's recovery solutions to create a hyper-realistic environment for training [3][4] Group 2: Market Need and Impact - The demand for comprehensive cyber resilience training is increasing, with organizations falling victim to ransomware every 14 seconds and experiencing average downtimes of over 24 days, leading to significant financial losses [4] - The integration of attack simulations and recovery exercises aims to enhance organizations' security posture and business resilience, enabling them to minimize downtime and prevent losses [5][6] Group 3: Training Features - The Recovery Range includes hands-on attack simulations that replicate actual network environments, allowing defenders to face sophisticated attacks and make strategic decisions under pressure [6] - Real-world recovery exercises teach users the importance of validating backups and executing swift restorations, utilizing Commvault's cloud solutions for effective recovery [6] - The training emphasizes collaboration among various teams, including CSOs, CISOs, CIOs, and IT Ops, to develop cohesive strategies for crisis management [6][8] Group 4: Industry Recognition - Experts in the field, including CIOs and research vice presidents, have praised the Commvault Recovery Range for its innovative approach to cyber preparedness, highlighting its role in bridging the gap between threat detection and recovery [8][9] - The partnership between Commvault and SimSpace is seen as a significant advancement in modern cyber preparedness training, equipping organizations with the necessary skills to respond effectively to cyber incidents [9]

Core Insights - Commvault will host a webcast to discuss its fourth quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings results on April 29, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. EST [1] - Investors can access the live webcast through the company's investor relations website or by dialing into a conference call [2] - Commvault is recognized as a leader in cyber resilience, serving over 100,000 organizations with a platform that integrates data security and rapid recovery [3]

Core Insights - Commvault has appointed Bill O'Connell as Chief Security Officer, bringing nearly 20 years of experience in cybersecurity, risk, and data privacy [1][2] - O'Connell's previous roles include leadership positions at Roche and ADP, where he focused on protecting critical data and infrastructure [1] - The company aims to enhance its cyber resilience offerings and strengthen its position as a trusted partner in the evolving threat landscape [1][2] Company Overview - Commvault is recognized as a leader in cyber resilience, serving over 100,000 organizations globally [3] - The company provides a unique cyber resilience platform that integrates data security and rapid recovery across various workloads, emphasizing low total cost of ownership (TCO) [3]

Core Viewpoint - Commvault Systems (CVLT) has experienced a significant decline in stock performance recently, with a return of -12.3% over the past month, compared to the S&P 500's -7.5% and the Zacks Computer - Software industry's -7.8% [2] Earnings Estimates - For the current quarter, Commvault is expected to post earnings of $0.91 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +15.2% [5] - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year is $3.53, indicating a year-over-year change of +18.5% [5] - For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate is $4.03, representing a change of +14.1% from the previous year [6] Revenue Growth Forecast - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $262.8 million, indicating a year-over-year change of +17.7% [9] - For the current fiscal year, the sales estimate is $975.08 million, reflecting a +16.2% change, while the next fiscal year's estimate is $1.1 billion, indicating a +13.3% change [9] Last Reported Results and Surprise History - Commvault reported revenues of $262.63 million in the last quarter, a year-over-year increase of +21.1% [10] - The EPS for the same period was $0.94, compared to $0.78 a year ago, with a revenue surprise of +6.97% and an EPS surprise of +8.05% [11] Valuation - Commvault is graded F on the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at a premium to its peers [15] - The evaluation of valuation multiples such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) is essential for determining the stock's valuation relative to its historical values and peers [13][14] Conclusion - The current Zacks Rank of 3 suggests that Commvault may perform in line with the broader market in the near term, despite the recent market buzz [16]