Group 1 - Disney's stock remains significantly below its peak despite the company's recovery since the lockdowns, indicating potential undervaluation [1] - The company possesses invaluable intellectual property and theme parks that contribute to its fundamental strength [1] Group 2 - The analyst has over 10 years of experience researching various companies across multiple sectors, including commodities and technology [1] - The analyst has transitioned from writing a blog to creating a value investing-focused YouTube channel, researching hundreds of companies [1] - The analyst expresses a preference for covering metals and mining stocks but is also comfortable with other industries such as consumer discretionary, REITs, and utilities [1]

Group 1 - Moretus Research provides high-quality equity research focused on U.S. public markets, aiming to deliver clarity, conviction, and alpha for serious investors [1] - The research framework identifies companies with durable business models, mispriced cash flow potential, and intelligent capital allocation, emphasizing a structured and repeatable approach [1] - Valuation methods are based on sector-relevant multiples tailored to each company's business model and capital structure, prioritizing comparability, simplicity, and relevance [1] Group 2 - Research coverage focuses on underappreciated companies experiencing structural changes or temporary dislocations, where disciplined analysis can yield asymmetric returns [1] - Moretus Research aims to elevate the standard for independent investment research by providing professional-grade insights and actionable valuation [1]

Our call of the day is Disney and it got upgraded today to buy from hold. Uh the target 144 from 100 at Jeffre obviously blew by the 100. Um four primary reasons, Jimmy.Okay. Y uh limited risk of a parks shutdown, more positive on cruise upside, continued direct to consumer margin expansion, and we view the next six months of content and sports slate favorably. That's a that's a pretty good lineup.Um, and I agree with it all. Let's start with I'm going to lump the parks and the cruises together. That's the ...

Group 1 - Walt Disney Co's stock increased by 1.6% to $123.61 after Jefferies upgraded its rating to "buy" and raised the price target to $144 from $100, citing potential revenue from two new cruise ships exceeding $1 billion and limited risk of park slowdown in late 2025 [1] - The stock reached a two-year high of $124.69 and is on track for its sixth consecutive daily gain, building on a 24.3% increase in May, the best monthly performance since January 2023, and a 9.3% rise in June, with a total increase of 24.4% over the last 12 months [2] - Short-term options traders are exhibiting more bearish sentiment than usual, as indicated by the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio ranking in the 84th percentile over the past year, suggesting that an unwinding of this pessimism could provide additional support for the shares [3] Group 2 - Options for Walt Disney Co are currently priced affordably, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 18% in the 1st percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations among options traders [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) score of 97 out of 100 suggests that Disney has historically experienced larger-than-expected price swings, indicating potential for significant movement in the stock price [4]

I am a full-time analyst interested in a wide range of stocks. With my unique insights and knowledge, I hope to provide other investors with a contrasting view of my portfolio, given my particular background.If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me via a direct message on Seeking Alpha or leave a comment on one of my articles.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the ...

智通财经6月30日电，杰富瑞将迪斯尼评级从"持有"上调至"买入"，目标价从100美元上调至144美元。 ...

Core Insights - The Walt Disney Company is recognized as one of the world's most iconic companies, having faced significant challenges in recent years [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - The company has a long history and has been through various difficulties over the past decade [1]. - It is characterized by a focus on high-quality companies, disciplined valuation approaches, and identifying underappreciated opportunities [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy emphasizes finding cash-rich companies with strong balance sheets and shareholder-friendly policies [1]. - A mix of quantitative and qualitative measures is utilized to identify stock opportunities, with a long-only approach and long-term investment focus [1].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the global IP (Intellectual Property) lifecycle and its implications for the collectible toy market, particularly in China and Southeast Asia, which are expected to lead global growth with compound annual growth rates (CAGR) of 17.2% and 20% respectively from 2024 to 2029 [1][5][6]. Market Size and Growth - The global IP derivative market is projected to reach 14 trillion yuan (approximately 2.1 trillion USD) by 2024, with the IP toy market specifically estimated at 525.1 billion yuan (approximately 79.5 billion USD) [1][5]. - China's IP toy market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 17.2%, reaching 167.5 billion yuan (approximately 25.5 billion USD) by 2029 [1][6]. Key Segments in the Market - Major segments in the Chinese market include building and assembly toys (26.8 billion yuan), static dolls (17 billion yuan), and plush toys (14.3 billion yuan) [6]. - There is significant potential for per capita spending on IP toys in China, which is currently 5-7 times lower than in Japan and the United States [6]. Competitive Landscape - Chinese companies are rapidly emerging in the IP toy market, with six out of the top ten companies being Chinese, including Pop Mart and Blokus [7]. - The industry typically employs a revenue-sharing model with a gross merchandise volume (GMV) share of 5%-8%, while licensing fees account for 10%-15% of listed companies' revenues [7]. Global IP Licensing Market - The global IP licensing market is highly concentrated, with the top five licensors holding approximately 40% market share and the top ten around 50% [8]. - Disney remains the leading player due to its extensive IP portfolio and consistent content output, followed by Warner Bros and Sea World [8]. IP Success Factors - The success of an IP is often attributed to its operational strategies, which can extend its lifecycle and enhance monetization opportunities [2]. - High-value IPs like Pokémon, Hello Kitty, Winnie the Pooh, and Mickey Mouse have generated over 50 billion USD in cumulative revenue, typically requiring over 30 years of history and a diversified commercial system [9]. Disney's IP Strategy - Disney has built a vast IP matrix through both organic growth and acquisitions, owning between 1,000 to 2,000 core IPs [10][17]. - The company has successfully maintained its IP relevance through continuous content updates and strategic partnerships [10][17]. Case Studies of IPs - **Hello Kitty**: Launched in 1974, it has a multi-layered monetization system and has successfully expanded its audience demographics over the years [24][25]. - **Mickey Mouse**: As a cultural icon since the 1930s, it has leveraged merchandise licensing and media adaptations to maintain its influence [26]. - **Pokémon**: Initially launched in 1996, it has seen rapid growth through innovative gaming and media strategies, achieving a GMV of nearly 120 billion USD in recent years [30][31]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the Chinese IP toy market has a promising future, driven by increasing consumer spending and the emergence of local players [6][32]. - Companies like Pop Mart are expected to continue their growth trajectory, supported by a strong IP and product matrix [32][33].

Group 1 - Disney shares have increased by 35% since the beginning of last year, achieving a 52-week high recently and matching the S&P 500's performance after a previous period of underperformance [1][2][3] - The stock has risen 11% this year, outperforming the S&P 500's 5% gain, despite challenges in top-line growth and some theatrical releases [2][3] - Fiscal 2024 marked a turnaround for Disney, with the company achieving profitability in its streaming operations earlier than expected and significant increases in operating profit and earnings from continuing operations [4][5] Group 2 - Despite some disappointing ticket sales for specific releases, Disney has had a strong presence in the box office, contributing to positive quarterly results and a robust performance in its theme park operations [5][8] - Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris raised the price target for Disney shares from $120 to $140, maintaining a bullish buy rating, citing strength in Disney's experiences segment and a favorable outlook for sports advertising [7][8] - Disney's stock is trading at nearly 20 times Wall Street's profit target for the upcoming fiscal year, with earnings estimates rising following strong quarterly performances [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich maintains a Buy rating on Walt Disney with a price forecast of $140, indicating confidence in the company's recovery, particularly in the Experiences segment [1] Group 1: Experiences Segment Performance - The Experiences segment, a key driver of Disney's overall operating income, is expected to show sequential improvement in operating income for the fiscal third quarter, with further acceleration anticipated in the fiscal fourth quarter due to easier year-over-year comparisons [1][4] - Recent challenges for the Experiences segment included tough comparables, wage inflation, and significant pre-opening costs related to new cruise ships [2] - Despite broader macroeconomic concerns and competition from Universal's Epic Universe, the Experiences segment is now performing in line with fiscal 2025 expectations, supported by a strong pipeline of new cruise ships [3][4] Group 2: Advertising and Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Insights - The Sports category remains a strong performer for Disney in the advertising landscape, showing sustained strength compared to other categories [5] - DTC net subscriber additions are expected to be modestly positive in the fiscal third quarter, aligning with the company's guidance [5] Group 3: Financial Guidance and Adjustments - Following a strong earnings beat, Disney raised its fiscal 2025 EPS guidance to $5.75, which is considered highly achievable due to improved visibility post-earnings report [6] - Adjustments for the fiscal third quarter include a slight decrease in revenue to $24.0 billion, operating income to $4.33 billion, and EPS to $1.39, primarily due to the disappointing box office performance of Pixar's Elio [7][8] - Despite these near-term adjustments, the full fiscal 2025 operating income estimate remains at $17.6 billion and EPS at $5.75, consistent with company guidance [8]