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Duke Energy(DUK) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-07 15:00
Financial Performance & Guidance - Q3 2025 reported/adjusted EPS was $181[8] - The company is narrowing its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range to $625-$635[8] - The company reaffirms a growth rate of 5%-7% through 2029, expecting to earn in the top half of the range beginning in 2028[9] Capital Plan & Growth - The company expects to announce a $95 billion capital plan for 2026-2030, with a potential additional upside opportunity of $10 billion[14] - The expected earnings base growth is ~85%+ for 2025-2030, compared to ~8% for 2024-2029[17] - The company has signed agreements for ~3 GW of data center projects[36] Regulatory & Financial Strategy - The company issued ~$1 billion of North Carolina storm securitization bonds in September and expects to issue ~$600 million of South Carolina storm securitization bonds by year-end[40] - The company is on target for 14%+ FFO/Debt by the end of 2025 and is targeting 15% FFO/Debt over the long term[40] - The company is targeting a 60%-70% dividend payout ratio[40] Carolinas Energy Transition - The Carolinas resource plan filed in North Carolina in October 2025 includes 5 CC units (6,825 MW) and 7 CT units (2,825 MW) by 2033, 5,600 MW of battery storage by 2034, and 4,000 MW of new solar by 2034[47]
Duke Energy Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 14:46
Core Insights - Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) reported third-quarter 2025 earnings of $1.81 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74 by 4% and reflecting an 11.7% increase from $1.62 in the same quarter last year [1][9] DUK's Total Revenues - Total operating revenues reached $8.54 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.42 billion by 1.4% and showing a 4.7% increase from $8.15 billion in the prior year [2][9] Highlights of DUK's Earnings Release - Total operating expenses were $6.23 billion, up 3.4% year over year, driven by higher costs in natural gas, operations, maintenance, depreciation, and property taxes [3] - Operating income increased by 8.9% to $2.33 billion from $2.14 billion in the previous year [3] Interest Expenses and Customer Growth - Interest expenses rose to $902 million from $872 million in the third quarter of 2024 [4] - The average number of customers in Electric Utilities increased by 1.4% year over year, with total electric sales volumes rising by 0.2% to 72,880 gigawatt-hours [4] DUK's Segmental Highlights - Electric Utilities & Infrastructure segment adjusted earnings totaled $1.66 billion, up from $1.46 billion in the third quarter of 2024 [5] - Gas Utilities & Infrastructure segment reported an adjusted loss of $26 million, compared to a loss of $22 million in the same quarter last year [5] Other Segment Performance - The other segment, which includes corporate interest expenses, incurred a loss of $225 million, compared to a loss of $206 million in the third quarter of 2024 [6] Financial Condition of DUK - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $688 million, up from $314 million as of December 31, 2024 [7] - Long-term debt increased to $79.3 billion from $76.34 billion as of December 31, 2024 [7] - Net cash from operating activities for the first nine months of 2025 was $8.67 billion, down from $8.95 billion a year ago [7] 2025 Guidance by DUK - DUK now expects 2025 adjusted EPS in the range of $6.25-$6.35, narrowing from the previous forecast of $6.17-$6.42 [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $6.33, which is higher than the midpoint of the company's projected range [10] - DUK continues to project long-term EPS growth of 5-7% through 2029 [10] DUK's Zacks Rank - Duke Energy currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [11]
Buy 5 Low-Beta Utility Stocks to Dodge Ongoing Market Volatility
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 14:36
Market Overview - Wall Street's major indexes have reached multiple all-time closing highs recently, but the market has experienced volatility due to economic uncertainties [1][5] - The tech sector, particularly driven by AI optimism, has seen fluctuations, with significant pullbacks in stock prices due to concerns over high valuations [2][6] Economic Concerns - Investors are worried about the health of the economy, particularly with a shrinking labor market and fewer jobs being added [7] - Layoffs surged in October, totaling 153,074, which is a 183% increase sequentially and a 175% increase year-over-year [8] - The ongoing government shutdown has limited access to fresh economic data, contributing to investor uncertainty [9] Defensive Investment Recommendations - In light of market volatility, it is advisable to consider defensive stocks, particularly from the utilities sector, which are characterized by low beta values and high dividend yields [3][4][12] - Five recommended low-beta utility stocks include: - **Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)**: Expected earnings growth of 6%, beta of 0.73, and a dividend yield of 2.02% [10][11] - **American States Water Company (AWR)**: Expected earnings growth of 4.1%, beta of 0.64, and a dividend yield of 2.72% [13][14] - **Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO)**: Expected earnings growth of 0.9%, beta of 0.51, and a dividend yield of 1.61% [15][16] - **Entergy Corporation (ETR)**: Expected earnings growth of 6.9%, beta of 0.63, and a dividend yield of 2.49% [17][18] - **Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)**: Expected earnings growth of 7.3%, beta of 0.45, and a dividend yield of 3.44% [18][19]
Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp Duke Energy Expectations Ahead Of Q3 Earnings - Duke Energy (NYSE:DUK)
Benzinga· 2025-11-07 08:01
Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE:DUK) will release earnings results for the third quarter before the opening bell on Friday, Nov. 7.Analysts expect the Charlotte, North Carolina-based company to report quarterly earnings at $1.75 per share. That's up from $1.62 per share in the year-ago period. The consensus estimate for Duke Energy's quarterly revenue is $8.55 billion, compared to $8.15 billion a year earlier, according to data from Benzinga Pro.On Aug. 8, the company reported second-quarter adjusted earnings ...
Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp Duke Energy Expectations Ahead Of Q3 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-11-07 08:01
Group 1 - Duke Energy Corporation is set to release its third-quarter earnings results on November 7, with expected earnings of $1.75 per share, an increase from $1.62 per share in the same period last year [1] - The consensus estimate for Duke Energy's quarterly revenue is $8.55 billion, up from $8.15 billion a year earlier [1] - In the second quarter, Duke Energy reported adjusted earnings per share of 29 cents, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of 26 cents [2] Group 2 - Wells Fargo initiated coverage on Duke Energy with an Equal-Weight rating and a price target of $126 [4] - Mizuho maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $132 to $140 [4] - Morgan Stanley maintained an Equal-Weight rating and increased the price target from $127 to $136 [4] - Barclays maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $131 to $135 [4] - BMO Capital maintained an Outperform rating and increased the price target from $132 to $135 [4]
Duke Energy(DUK) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-11-06 22:48
Financial Performance - Third-quarter 2025 reported and adjusted EPS of $1.81, representing over 11% growth compared to third-quarter 2024[6] - The company narrows 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range to $6.25 to $6.35 and reaffirms long-term adjusted EPS growth rate of 5% to 7% through 2029[4] - Duke Energy Corporation reported net income available to common stockholders of $1,407 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, resulting in an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.81[36] - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, net income available to common stockholders was $3,743 million, with an EPS of $4.81[38] - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025 was $2.13, an increase from $1.90 in Q3 2024, marking a 12.1% rise[54] - Year-to-date adjusted EPS for 2025 reached $5.31, compared to $4.66 in 2024, indicating a 13.9% increase[59] - Basic and diluted earnings per share for Q3 2025 were $1.81, compared to $1.57 in Q3 2024, reflecting a 15.3% increase[63] - Operating income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $6,507 million, a 12.0% increase from $5,814 million in the prior year[63] Segment Performance - Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment income for Q3 2025 was $1,658 million, up from $1,451 million in Q3 2024[9] - Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment loss for Q3 2025 was $26 million, compared to a loss of $25 million in Q3 2024[11] - Other segment recognized a loss of $225 million in Q3 2025, slightly higher than the $222 million loss in Q3 2024[13] - The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment generated income of $4,128 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, while the Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment contributed $329 million[38] - The total reportable segment income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $4,457 million[38] - Duke Energy Corporation's total reportable segment income for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,632 million[36] Revenue and Expenses - Total operating revenues for Q3 2025 reached $8,542 million, a 4.8% increase from $8,154 million in Q3 2024[63] - Total operating revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, were $24,299 million, with regulated electric revenues contributing $22,138 million[72] - Total operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, were $17,829 million, with fuel costs for electric generation at $6,266 million[72] - The company reported a net cash used in investing activities of $9,976 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $9,851 million in 2024[67] Tax and Cost Management - The effective tax rate for Q3 2025 was 10.8%, down from 11.2% in Q3 2024, primarily due to increased amortization of income tax credits[15] - The effective tax rate for reported income tax expense from continuing operations was 10.8% for Q3 2025, slightly down from 11.2% in Q3 2024[51] - The effective tax rate for adjusted tax expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was 11.3%, compared to 12.8% for the same period in 2024[51] - Management emphasizes cost management to keep customer rates below the national average and average changes below the rate of inflation[5] Capital and Investment Plans - The company expects to announce a new capital plan for 2026-2030 between $95 billion and $105 billion in February 2026[5] - Duke Energy is focused on energy modernization, investing in electric grid upgrades and cleaner generation sources[29] Customer and Market Data - The company serves 8.6 million electric customers and 1.7 million gas customers across multiple states[28] - The average number of residential customers grew by 1.6% to 7,549,514 in Q3 2025, while total retail customers increased by 1.4% to 8,636,364[118] - The average number of customers in Duke Energy Carolinas rose by 1.8% to 2,968,440 in Q3 2025[121] - The average number of residential customers for Duke Energy Florida increased by 1.4% to 1,822,296 in Q3 2025[128] Energy Generation and Sales - Total consolidated electric sales for Duke Energy increased by 0.2% to 72,880 GWh in Q3 2025 compared to 72,756 GWh in Q3 2024[118] - Renewable energy generation saw a significant increase of 18.8% to 1,119 GWh in Q3 2025, contributing to a total generation of 59,901 GWh[118] - Coal generation decreased by 9.9% to 2,649 GWh in Q3 2025, while nuclear generation increased by 4.8% to 11,688 GWh[121] - Total electric sales for Duke Energy Indiana reached 8,704 GWh, marking a 1.8% increase year-over-year[134] Financial Position and Assets - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $688 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $314 million at December 31, 2024[65] - Total assets rose to $192,293 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $186,343 million at December 31, 2024[65] - Long-term debt increased to $79,301 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $76,340 million at December 31, 2024[65] - Duke Energy's total equity was reported at $52,627 million, reflecting the company's financial stability[84]
Top Wind Energy Stocks to Add to Your Portfolio for Long-Term Growth
ZACKS· 2025-11-06 17:16
Core Insights - The transition towards renewable energy is accelerating, with wind power emerging as a significant contributor to the clean energy shift [1][2] - The U.S. wind power capacity reached over 154 gigawatts (GW) by the end of 2024, accounting for approximately 10% of total utility-scale electricity generation [2][9] - Key factors driving the growth of wind energy include abundant supply, lower production costs, and increasing demand from power and transportation sectors [2][3] Industry Trends - The wind energy market is benefiting from robust electricity demand, particularly from AI-powered data centers and the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) [3] - The U.S. grid is expected to add over seven GW of wind generation capacity in 2025, indicating strong growth prospects [3] - Despite changes in federal policy regarding offshore wind projects, the sector continues to expand, supported by large projects like the 800-megawatt Vineyard Wind 1 in Massachusetts [4] Investment Opportunities - The wind energy sector is viewed as an attractive investment theme, with companies like Duke Energy, Dominion Energy, PG&E, and Portland General Electric being highlighted for their growth potential [5][9] - Duke Energy is focusing on expanding its renewable generation portfolio, with plans to bring 1,200 MW of onshore wind online by 2033 and significant offshore wind targets by 2035 [9][11] - Dominion Energy plans to invest $12.1 billion in 2025 and nearly $50 billion from 2025 to 2029 to enhance its renewable energy capacity, aiming for over 15% annual growth in renewable energy over the next 15 years [11][12] Company Profiles - Duke Energy is enhancing its renewable generation portfolio and has completed projects like the Sundance Renewable Energy Center, which reduces CO2 emissions [8][9] - Dominion Energy is advancing its Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project, which is nearly 66% complete and will provide 2.6 GW of clean electricity [12] - PG&E is focusing on optimizing its generation margins and diversifying into alternative power sources, with expected growth driven by favorable regulatory decisions [14][15] - Portland General Electric is expanding its renewable portfolio and plans to add significant clean power generation assets, benefiting from strong industrial load growth [16][17]
Duke Energy to Release Q3 Earnings: Here's What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-11-06 14:30
Core Viewpoint - Duke Energy (DUK) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on November 7, with a prior earnings surprise of 5% in the last quarter [1] Factors Impacting Q3 Performance - Strategic investments in infrastructure modernization and grid resilience have likely enhanced operational efficiency and reliability, contributing positively to earnings [2] - The implementation of smart, self-healing technology has improved service reliability, with approximately 80% of Duke Energy Florida customers benefiting from it, likely reducing outages and supporting stable power supply [2] - Increased electricity demand from AI-based data centers and a rise in residential customers are anticipated to further support quarterly earnings [3] - The completion of the Sundance Renewable Energy Center, generating 74.9 MW of clean energy, is expected to positively impact the quarter [4] - Higher sales volume and new rates in electric and gas segments are also likely to enhance the bottom line [4] - Warmer-than-normal temperatures during the quarter likely boosted electricity demand for cooling, improving top-line performance [5] - However, higher interest expenses may have offset some of the positive impacts [5] Q3 Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $1.74 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.4% [6] - The revenue estimate stands at $8.42 billion, indicating a 3.2% growth year over year [6] Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for Duke Energy, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.63% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [7][8] Summary of Performance Drivers - Infrastructure and smart grid investments likely boosted efficiency and service reliability [9] - Increased demand from data centers and residential usage may have strengthened quarterly earnings [9] - New solar generation and higher rates likely supported performance, although interest costs may have weighed on results [9]
Duke Energy Stock: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-05 10:45
With a market cap of $96.2 billion, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is one of the largest U.S. electric and gas utilities, serving millions of customers across the Southeast and Midwest. Headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, it operates about 50,000 MW of power capacity and focuses on regulated electric and natural gas services. Duke Energy’s stock hasn’t kept pace with the broader market’s power surge. DUK stock has gained 10.1% over the past 52 weeks and 14.9% on a YTD basis, compared to the S&P 500 ...
Looking For Yields: Avista, Regions Financial, And Duke Energy Are Consistent Moneymakers
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-01 12:04
Core Viewpoint - Companies with a strong history of dividend payments and increases are attractive to income-focused investors, with Avista, Regions Financial, and Duke Energy recently announcing dividend hikes and offering yields up to 5% [1] Avista - Avista Corp. has increased its dividends for 22 consecutive years, with the latest hike on Feb. 12 raising the quarterly payout from $0.475 to $0.49 per share, resulting in an annual figure of $1.96 per share [3] - The company maintained the same dividend payout in its announcement on Aug. 6, with a current dividend yield of 5.03% [3] - Avista's annual revenue as of June 30 was $1.96 billion, and Q2 2025 revenues were reported at $411 million with an EPS of $0.17, both missing market expectations [4] Regions Financial - Regions Financial Corp. has raised its dividends for 12 consecutive years, with a recent increase on July 16 of 6% to $0.265 per share, equating to an annual figure of $1.06 per share [5] - The company maintained the same dividend payout in its announcement on Oct. 15, with a current dividend yield of 4.37% [5] - Regions Financial's annual revenue as of June 30 was $7.29 billion, and Q3 2025 revenues were reported at $1.94 billion with an EPS of $0.63, both exceeding market expectations [6] Duke Energy - Duke Energy Corp. has increased its dividends for 18 consecutive years, with the latest hike on July 15 raising the quarterly payout from $1.045 to $1.065 per share, resulting in an annual figure of $4.26 per share [8] - The company maintained the same dividend payout in its announcement on Oct. 14, with a current dividend yield of 3.34% [8]