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Ellington Credit: High Yield Is Not A Red Flag
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-23 19:17
A financial researcher and avid investor with a keen eye for innovation and disruption, as well as growth buy-outs and value stocks. Keeping an eye on the pace of high tech and early growth companies, I write about current events and the biggest news surrounding the industry, and strive to provide readers with ample research and investment opportunities.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of EARN either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this ...
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT(EARN) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2024-11-14 19:22
Financial Performance and Metrics - The company's book value per share was $6.85 as of September 30, 2024, compared to $6.91 and $7.32 as of June 30, 2024, and December 31, 2023, respectively[190] - Book value per share decreased to $6.85 as of September 30, 2024, from $6.91 as of June 30, 2024, with an economic return of 2.6% for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024[218] - Book value per share decreased from $7.32 in December 2023 to $6.85 in September 2024, despite the increase in total shareholders' equity[248] - Net income for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024, was $5.4 million, compared to a net loss of $11.4 million for the same period in 2023[250] - Net income for Q3 2024 was $5.4 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $11.4 million in Q3 2023[250] - Net income (loss) for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 was $8.6 million, compared to $(7.9) million for the same period in 2023[267] - Net income for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 was $8.6 million, compared to a net loss of $7.9 million for the same period in 2023, driven by positive net interest income and total other income[267] - Net Income (Loss) for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024 was $5.445 million, compared to a loss of $11.420 million in the same period in 2023[287] - Net Income (Loss) for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 was $8.591 million, compared to a loss of $7.880 million in the same period in 2023[287] - Adjusted Distributable Earnings for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 were $19.827 million, up from $8.442 million in 2023[287] - Adjusted Distributable Earnings for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024 were $7.241 million, up from $3.239 million in the same period in 2023[287] - Adjusted Distributable Earnings for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 were $19.827 million, up from $8.442 million in the same period in 2023[287] - Adjusted Distributable Earnings Per Share for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024 was $0.28, up from $0.21 in the same period in 2023[287] - Adjusted Distributable Earnings Per Share for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 was $0.91, up from $0.59 in the same period in 2023[287] - Weighted Average Shares Outstanding increased to 25,591,607 for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024, compared to 15,199,837 in 2023[287] - Weighted Average Shares Outstanding increased to 25,591,607 for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024, compared to 15,199,837 in the same period in 2023[287] Interest Rates and Yields - The U.S. Federal Reserve reduced the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%–5.00% in September 2024[191] - The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield decreased by 111 basis points to 3.64%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield declined by 62 basis points to 3.78% in Q3 2024[192] - The Freddie Mac survey 30-year mortgage rate decreased from 6.86% at the end of June to 6.08% on September 26, 2024[193] - Weighted average yield of the overall portfolio was 7.21% for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024, compared to 4.25% for the same period in 2023[252] - The weighted average yield of the company's overall portfolio increased from 4.25% in Q3 2023 to 7.21% in Q3 2024[252] - Weighted average yield of the overall portfolio for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 was 6.29% and 3.95%, respectively[269] - Weighted average yield of the overall portfolio for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 was 6.29% and 3.95%, respectively, excluding Catch-up Amortization Adjustments[269] - Average repo borrowing cost was 5.59% for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024, compared to 5.60% for the three-month period ended June 30, 2024[219] - Weighted average borrowing rate on repurchase agreements was 5.37% as of September 30, 2024, compared to 5.54% as of June 30, 2024[219] - Average cost of funds for CLO and Non-Agency RMBS in the three-month period ended September 30, 2024 was 6.29% and 6.80%, respectively[256] - Total adjusted cost of funds for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024 was 1.99%, compared to 2.87% for the same period in 2023[259] - Net interest margin for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024 was 5.22%, compared to 1.38% for the same period in 2023[260] - Net interest margin for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024 was 5.22%, compared to 1.38% for the same period in 2023, due to higher weighted average yield on Agency RMBS and credit portfolios[260] - Total adjusted cost of funds for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 was 2.17% and 2.76%, respectively, reflecting the impact of interest rate swaps and net short U.S. Treasury securities[275] - Net interest margin for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 was 4.12%, compared to 1.19% for the same period in 2023[276] - The CLO portfolio contributed to an increase in the average cost of funds, with CLO borrowing costs at 6.44% in 2024 compared to no CLO borrowing in 2023[272] - Adjusted cost of funds for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 was 2.17%, compared to 2.76% in 2023, driven by interest rate swaps and net short U.S. Treasury securities[275] Portfolio and Investments - The company's CLO portfolio increased by 70% to $144.5 million as of September 30, 2024, compared to $85.1 million as of June 30, 2024[195] - The company's CLO portfolio consisted of $74.8 million in CLO equity tranches and $69.7 million in CLO mezzanine debt tranches as of September 30, 2024[194] - The U.S. CLO market saw $41 billion of new CLO issuance in Q3 2024, compared to $53 billion in Q2 2024[193] - The company's Agency RMBS holdings decreased by 13% to $462.1 million as of September 30, 2024, compared to $531.1 million as of June 30, 2024[197] - Aggregate holdings of interest-only securities and non-Agency RMBS decreased by 44% quarter over quarter to $11.3 million[197] - The fair value of CLO Notes decreased from $63,090 thousand to $52,892 thousand, a decline of 16.2% from December 31, 2023 to September 30, 2024[234] - The fair value of Agency RMBS increased from $454,407 thousand to $462,146 thousand, a growth of 1.7% over the same period[234] - The company's total investment portfolio fair value stood at $618,797 thousand as of September 30, 2024, compared to $611,236 thousand at the end of 2023[234] - The weighted average price of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in the Agency RMBS portfolio increased from 98.42 to 100.09, reflecting a 1.7% rise[234] - Reverse mortgages in the Agency RMBS portfolio showed a fair value decrease from $37 thousand to $34 thousand, a decline of 8.1%[234] - 58% of the company's invested capital is allocated to corporate CLOs, while 42% is allocated to mortgage-related securities as of September 30, 2024[234] - The company's credit portfolio average holdings increased from $121.7 million in Q3 2023 to $520.0 million in Q3 2024, with yields increasing from 11.24% to 15.98%[254] - Total net realized and unrealized gains on Agency securities were $15.5 million for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024[215] - Total net realized and unrealized losses on the interest rate hedging portfolio were $(18.4) million, or $(0.72) per share, driven by a decrease in interest rates quarter over quarter[216] - Net realized and unrealized gains on long TBAs held for investment were $7.2 million, or $0.28 per share[216] - Other income (loss) for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024 was $3.9 million, primarily due to net realized and unrealized gains of $14.7 million on securities, partially offset by losses on financial derivatives[263][264] - Other income (loss) for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 was $6.9 million, primarily from net realized and unrealized gains on financial derivatives[279] - The U.S. Agency MBS Index generated an excess return of 0.76% in the third quarter of 2024[208] - Average pay-ups on the specified pool portfolio decreased to 0.25% as of September 30, 2024, compared to 0.63% as of June 30, 2024[209] - Three-month constant prepayment rates for fixed-rate specified pools increased to 7.5% as of September 30, 2024, compared to 6.7% as of June 30, 2024[212] - The trailing-twelve-month default rate for the Morningstar LSTA U.S. Leveraged Loan Index declined to 78 basis points in August 2024[201] Debt and Leverage - The company had outstanding borrowings under repurchase agreements of $486.9 million as of September 30, 2024, with 90% collateralized by Agency RMBS[189] - The debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 2.5:1 as of September 30, 2024, compared to 3.7:1 as of June 30, 2024[198] - Debt-to-equity ratio was 2.5:1 as of September 30, 2024, compared to 4.0:1 as of June 30, 2024, driven by higher shareholders' equity and less leverage on CLO investments[221] - Total debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 2.5:1 as of September 30, 2024, from 5.4:1 as of December 31, 2023[246] - The company's total debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly from 5.4:1 in December 2023 to 2.5:1 in September 2024[246] - Total outstanding liabilities under repurchase agreements decreased to $486.92 million as of September 30, 2024, from $729.54 million as of December 31, 2023[246] - Total borrowings outstanding under repurchase agreements decreased from $729.5 million in December 2023 to $486.9 million in September 2024[246] - Outstanding repurchase agreements decreased to $486.9 million as of September 30, 2024, from $729.5 million as of December 31, 2023[290] - Weighted average contractual haircut on repo borrowings increased to 8.6% as of September 30, 2024, from 5.7% as of December 31, 2023[292] - Aggregate amount at risk under repurchase agreements decreased to $43.3 million as of September 30, 2024, from $50.1 million as of December 31, 2023[294] - Aggregate amount at risk under derivative contracts decreased to $23.6 million as of September 30, 2024, from $26.0 million as of December 31, 2023[296] - Aggregate amount at risk under forward settling TBA and Agency pass-through certificates increased to $2.7 million as of September 30, 2024, from $1.7 million as of December 31, 2023[298] - The weighted average lives of RMBS and CLOs are generally much longer than the short-term repos used to finance them, creating a maturity mismatch[236] - Changes in interest rates may cause financing costs for RMBS and CLOs to increase relative to the income on these assets over the investment term[236] - Fluctuations in the fair value of RMBS and CLO investments may trigger changes in margin requirements, potentially requiring additional collateral[236] - Changes in fair value of RMBS and CLO investments may trigger margin requirements, potentially requiring additional collateral for repurchase agreements[236] - The company faces interest rate risk due to the mismatch between short-term repo financing (average maturity <364 days) and longer-term RMBS/CLO investments[236] Liquidity and Capital Resources - Cash and cash equivalents were $25.7 million as of September 30, 2024, compared to $28.8 million as of June 30, 2024[200] - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $25.7 million as of September 30, 2024[299] - Shareholders' equity increased to $191.6 million as of September 30, 2024, from $136.2 million as of December 31, 2023[248] - Shareholders' equity increased from $136.2 million in December 2023 to $191.6 million in September 2024, driven by $62.5 million from share issuance and $8.6 million net gain[248] - The company's liquidity and capital resources are expected to be sufficient to meet short-term and long-term needs, including repayment of borrowings, funding assets, and paying dividends[288] - Capital resources include cash on hand, cash flow from investments, borrowings under repurchase agreements, and proceeds from equity offerings[288] - Short-term liquidity requirements include acquisition costs, management fees, margin requirements, and repayment of repurchase agreements[288] - The company believes its capital resources, including free cash on hand and current and anticipated availability of credit, will be sufficient to meet short-term and long-term liquidity requirements[310] - For the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024, the company's operating activities provided net cash of $4.7 million, while investing activities provided net cash of $190.4 million[306] - The company's repo activity used net cash of $255.3 million for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024, resulting in a net cash usage of $60.2 million when combined with operating and investing activities[306] - The company issued 9,308,793 common shares during the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024, providing net proceeds of $62.5 million after commissions and offering costs[308] - As of September 30, 2024, the company had $22.4 million of common shares available to be issued under the 2023 ATM program[308] - The company repurchased 474,192 common shares through November 8, 2024 at an average price of $9.21 per share, with an aggregate cost of $4.4 million[309] - As of September 30, 2024, the company had $486.9 million of outstanding borrowings with 18 counterparties[315] Expenses and Costs - Total interest expense for the three-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 was $7.8 million and $12.3 million, respectively, primarily due to repo borrowings[255] - Interest expense decreased from $12.3 million in Q3 2023 to $7.8 million in Q3 2024[249] - Total interest expense for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 was $28.1 million and $33.7 million, respectively, primarily due to repo borrowings[271] - Management fee expense for the three-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 was $0.7 million and $0.4 million, respectively[261] - Management fee expense for the three-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 was $0.7 million and $0.4 million, respectively, driven by higher shareholders' equity[261] - Other operating expenses for the three-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 were $2.0 million and $0.9 million, respectively[262] - Other operating expenses for the three-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 were $2.0 million and $0.9 million, respectively, primarily due to increases in professional fees and compensation expense[262] - Management fee expense for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 was $1.8 million and $1.3 million, respectively, driven by higher shareholders' equity[277] - Other operating expenses for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 were $4.7 million and $2.9 million, respectively, due to increases in professional fees and compensation[278] - Other operating expenses for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 were approximately $4.7 million and $2.9 million, respectively, primarily due to increases in professional fees and compensation expense[278] - Income tax expense for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024 was $0.7 million, with no such expense recorded in 2023 due
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT(EARN) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-11-13 20:08
Ellington Credit Company (NYSE:EARN) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call November 13, 2024 1:00 PM ET Company Participants Alaael-Deen Shilleh - Associate General Counsel Larry Penn - Chief Executive Officer Mark Tecotzky - Co-Chief Investment Officer Chris Smernoff - Chief Financial Officer Greg Borenstein - Head of Corporate Credit, Ellington Management Group Conference Call Participants Douglas Harter - UBS Jason Weaver - Jones Trading Operator Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by ...
Ellington Credit (EARN) Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-11-13 02:21
Ellington Credit (EARN) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.28 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.27 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.21 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 3.70%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this residential mortgage real estate investment trust would post earnings of $0.24 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.36, delivering a surprise of 50%.Ov ...
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT(EARN) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2024-11-13 00:05
Exhibit 99.1 Ellington Credit Company Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results OLD GREENWICH, Connecticut—November 12, 2024 Ellington Credit Company (NYSE: EARN) ("we", "us," or "our") today reported financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2024. Highlights • Net income (loss) of $5.4 million, or $0.21 per share. • Adjusted Distributable Earnings of $7.2 million, or $0.28 per share. 1 2 3 4 5 • Book value of $6.85 per share as of September 30, 2024, which includes the effects of dividends of $0.24 pe ...
Ellington Credit: Interest Rate Cuts Could Help The REIT
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-25 02:57
The recent Federal Reserve cut of interest rates could be a very good thing for REITs. Rates have been necessarily high for quite a while, and almost every REIT is confirming in their official risk disclosures that they've struggled in I'm Jason Ditz and I have 20 years of experience in foreign policy research. My work has appeared in Forbes, Toronto Star, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Providence Journal, Washington Times and the Detroit Free Press, as well as American Conservative Magazine and the Quincy Insti ...
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT(EARN) - 2024 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2024-08-14 19:56
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 Title of Each Class Trading Symbol(s) Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered Common Shares of Beneficial Interest, $0.01 par value per share EARN The New York Stock Exchange FORM 10-Q ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2024 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition perio ...
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT(EARN) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-08-13 19:30
Ellington Credit Company (NYSE:EARN) Q2 2024 Earnings Conference Call August 13, 2024 11:00 AM ET Company Participants Alaael-Deen Shilleh - Associate General Counsel Larry Penn - CEO Chris Smernoff - CFO Mark Tecotzky - Co-CIO Gregory Borenstein - Co-Head of Corporate Credit JR Herlihy - COO Conference Call Participants Jason Weaver - JonesTrading Eric Hagen - BTIG Operator Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Ellington Credit Company 2024 Second Quarter Financi ...
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT(EARN) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2024-08-13 17:59
Ellington Financial Q2 2024 EARNINGS Earnings Conference Call August 7, 2024 Q2 2024 Important Notice Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ from our beliefs, expectations, estimates, and projections and, consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking s ...
Ellington Credit (EARN) Q2 Earnings Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-08-12 23:41
Ellington Credit (EARN) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.36 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.24 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.17 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 50%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this residential mortgage real estate investment trust would post earnings of $0.24 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.27, delivering a surprise of 12.50%. ...