Group 1 - Fabrinet (FN) is currently outperforming its peers in the Computer and Technology sector, with a year-to-date gain of approximately 30.4% compared to the sector's average return of 7% [4][5] - The Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and revisions, has assigned Fabrinet a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook [3] - The consensus estimate for Fabrinet's full-year earnings has increased by 1.5% over the past quarter, reflecting improving analyst sentiment [3] Group 2 - Fabrinet belongs to the Electronics - Miscellaneous Components industry, which is ranked 72 in the Zacks Industry Rank, and has outperformed the average gain of 4.5% in this group [5] - Another stock in the Computer and Technology sector, CSG Systems (CSGS), has also shown strong performance with a year-to-date return of 28.4% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4][6] - The Computer - Services industry, to which CSG Systems belongs, is ranked 210 and has seen a gain of 5% this year, indicating a weaker performance compared to Fabrinet [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16% in revenue and 21% in earnings over the past ten years, indicating strong growth compared to the contract manufacturing industry [9][105] - For fiscal year 2025, the company expects revenue to be up approximately 18% compared to fiscal year 2024 [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The optical communications segment accounts for over 70% of the company's business, with datacom and telecom roughly split [6] - The datacom business has been growing well, while the telecom business has recently shown strength [6] - The gross margin has been in the range of 12% to 13%, with operating margins around 10% to 11% [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has seen a significant increase in demand for 400 ZR products, which now represent about 10% of overall revenue [72] - The telecom revenue has rebounded to approximately $406 million, recovering from a previous low due to inventory digestion [70][71] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on being a pure play contract manufacturer without its own products, which allows it to maintain strong relationships with customers [8][96] - The strategy includes expanding capabilities in optical subsystems and components while maintaining low costs and high margins [14][17] - The company is also exploring opportunities in co-packaged optics, which is expected to be additive to existing business [60] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the stability of the macro environment, noting that the products manufactured are primarily for infrastructure projects, which are less susceptible to consumer sentiment [24] - The company is closely monitoring tariff impacts but has not seen significant effects on operations [25] - Management believes that the telecom business will continue to grow, driven by system wins and the recovery of baseline business [80] Other Important Information - The company has a layered hedge structure for foreign exchange risks, primarily related to the Thai baht [101] - The tax rate is expected to remain stable, with no significant increases anticipated [82] Q&A Session Summary Question: What makes Fabrinet unique versus others? - The company emphasizes its specialization in a few key areas, maintaining a strong reputation and executing well for customers, which builds trust and leads to more business [94][96] Question: How do you expect your tax rate to change? - The company operates at a mid-single-digit tax rate and expects to maintain this due to ongoing tax benefits in Thailand [82] Question: Can you elaborate on the systems wins with Cisco, Sienna, and Amazon? - The company has secured significant wins with Cisco and Sienna, and is optimistic about the relationship with Amazon, which spans multiple revenue categories [84][48] Question: What is the current state of inventory levels across the industry? - Inventory levels are improving but have not returned to pre-COVID levels; the company is seeing a downward trend in customer inventory [88][87] Question: How does the company maintain its margin structure? - The company focuses on controlling costs and maintaining a stable margin structure despite short-term headwinds from product ramps [104]

Core Insights - Fabrinet, a leading provider of advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services, will present at the Rosenblatt Securities 5th Annual Technology Summit on June 10, 2025 [1][2]. Company Overview - Fabrinet specializes in manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers of complex products, including optical communication components, automotive components, medical devices, and industrial lasers [3]. - The company offers a comprehensive range of capabilities throughout the manufacturing process, such as process design, supply chain management, advanced packaging, integration, and testing [3]. - Fabrinet operates engineering and manufacturing facilities in Thailand, the USA, China, and Israel, focusing on high complexity products in various volumes [3].

Summary of Fabrinet (FN) FY Conference Call - May 15, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Fabrinet (FN) - **Industry**: Optical manufacturing and contract manufacturing - **Key Management**: Seamus Grady (CEO), Shava Swerha (CFO) Key Insights and Arguments Customer Behavior and Macro Environment - No observed changes in customer ordering patterns or behaviors, indicating stability in demand despite macroeconomic concerns [3][4] - Majority of products are for infrastructure applications, which are less sensitive to consumer sentiment [4] Revenue Composition and Market Expansion - Approximately 75% of revenue is derived from optical manufacturing, with significant contributions from telecom and datacom sectors [6] - Engagement with AWS and other customers is prompting Fabrinet to expand its capabilities beyond just optical manufacturing [5][6] Contract Manufacturing Strategy - Fabrinet remains focused on contract manufacturing and is not entering the product business, ensuring no competition with existing customers [8][24] - The company is expanding into advanced packaging and system assembly to enhance service offerings [9][10] Datacom Business and Customer Relationships - NVIDIA is the largest customer, with a long-standing relationship that began with Mellanox; significant volumes of transceivers are produced for NVIDIA's products [14][15] - Anticipation of ramping up production for the 1.6T transceivers, with readiness to support new product launches [19][20] Competitive Landscape - The market is growing rapidly, and while competition is increasing, Fabrinet believes there is enough business for all players [30][31] - The company emphasizes its specialized capabilities and low-cost structure as competitive advantages [32] Technology Transitions - Transitioning from 800G to 1.6T is expected to be less impactful on pricing than historically, due to cost-saving measures and increased in-house production [39][41] - Concerns about losing market share in 800G are addressed by the introduction of new versions that will coexist with existing products [46] CPO and Future Technologies - Fabrinet is involved in multiple co-packaged optics (CPO) projects, indicating a strategic position in the evolving optical communication landscape [49][50] - The company sees CPO as a long-term opportunity but acknowledges that it is still in early development stages [50] Financial Outlook and Growth Drivers - Anticipated modest headwinds in Q4 due to simultaneous new product ramps, but expected to resolve quickly as these products gain traction [55][56] - Significant revenue potential from the new Amazon business, with the possibility of it becoming a major customer [65][72] Telecom Market Dynamics - The telecom business is segmented into baseline growth, 400ZR products, and new system wins, all of which are currently experiencing growth [74][78] - The company plans to disclose DCI as a separate category in future reports to provide clearer insights into revenue streams [77] Additional Important Points - The decision to issue warrants to Amazon aligns interests and provides revenue visibility, indicating a strong partnership [65][66] - Fabrinet's manufacturing capabilities are complex and not easily replicable, providing a competitive edge in the face of global tariff concerns [35][36] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, highlighting Fabrinet's strategic positioning, market dynamics, and future growth opportunities.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating expected growth exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1]. Core Insights - The North American optical communication companies such as Coherent, Lumentum, AAOI, Fabrinet, and Macom have shown significant revenue growth, particularly in optical modules and related products, suggesting a strong rebound in the second quarter [2][3][4][5][6][7]. - The demand for optical communication is driven by the growth of AI data centers and telecommunications, with companies like Coherent and Lumentum reporting substantial increases in revenue due to these sectors [3][4][5][6]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, have heightened confidence in defense equipment and military communication capabilities, which are expected to see increased demand [8]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Coherent reported Q3 2025 revenue of $1.5 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase, with 60% of this from the communication market, which grew by 46% [3][16]. - Lumentum's Q3 2025 revenue reached $425.2 million, up 16% year-on-year, driven by hyperscale cloud growth [4][17]. - Fabrinet's Q3 2025 revenue was $872 million, a 19.2% increase, with optical communication revenue at $657 million, up 11.1% [5][18]. - AAOI's Q1 2025 revenue surged to $99.9 million, a 145% increase, largely due to strong CATV market demand [6][19]. - Macom's Q2 2025 revenue was $236 million, a 30% increase, with data center market revenue up 67.3% [7][20]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the optical communication sector, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology, and Shijia Photon [9][22]. - It also highlights companies in copper connections and military communication sectors as potential investment opportunities [22]. Market Overview - The overall market performance from May 6 to May 9, 2025, showed mixed results, with the Shenwan Communication Index up by 4.96% [22]. - The optical module sector led the gains with a 15.3% increase, followed by controllers and liquid cooling technologies [22][23]. Notable Trends - The report emphasizes the resilience of the optical communication market, driven by the increasing demand for AI-related applications and private cloud deployments [20][21]. - The military communication sector is expected to benefit from advancements in technology and increased defense spending, particularly in the context of recent military conflicts [8][21].

Core Insights - Fabrinet, a leading provider of advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services, will present at the 53rd Annual J.P. Morgan Global Technology, Media and Communications Conference [1] - The presentation is scheduled for May 15, 2025, at 10:00 a.m. EDT, with a live webcast available [2] - Fabrinet specializes in manufacturing complex products for various industries, including optical communication, automotive, medical devices, and industrial lasers [3] Company Overview - Fabrinet offers a wide range of capabilities across the manufacturing process, including design, supply chain management, advanced packaging, and testing [3] - The company focuses on high complexity products and operates facilities in Thailand, the USA, China, and Israel [3]

Revenue Trends - The percentage of revenues generated from locations outside North America decreased from 62.8% in Q3 2024 to 53.8% in Q3 2025, primarily due to increased revenue from a U.S. customer[122]. - For the nine months ended March 28, 2025, the percentage of revenues from outside North America decreased from 63.7% to 56.8%[123]. - Revenues increased by $379.9 million, or 17.8%, to $2,509.6 million for the nine months ended March 28, 2025, driven by demand for optical and non-optical communications products[161]. - Revenues from optical communications products rose by $238.1 million, or 14.1%, to $1,930.7 million, representing 76.9% of total revenues for the nine months ended March 28, 2025[161]. - Revenues from non-optical communications products increased by $141.9 million, or 32.5%, to $578.9 million, accounting for 23.1% of total revenues for the same period[161]. - For the three months ended March 28, 2025, revenues increased by $140.3 million, or 19.2%, to $871.8 million compared to $731.5 million for the same period in 2024[160]. - Revenues from optical communications products were $657.2 million, representing 75.4% of total revenues, with an increase of $65.8 million, or 11.1%, compared to the prior year[160]. - Revenues from non-optical communications products increased by $74.5 million, or 53.2%, to $214.6 million, primarily driven by growth in automotive revenue[160]. Financial Performance - Gross profit for the three months ended March 28, 2025, was $102.2 million, with a gross margin of 11.7%, compared to $90.9 million and 12.4% in the same period of 2024[156][157]. - Operating income for the three months ended March 28, 2025, was $78.9 million, representing an operating margin of 9.0%, compared to $71.3 million and 9.7% in the same period of 2024[156][157]. - Net income for the three months ended March 28, 2025, was $81.3 million, compared to $80.9 million in the same period of 2024, reflecting a slight increase[156]. - Gross profit for the nine months ended March 28, 2025, increased by $38.4 million, or 14.6%, to $302.1 million, representing 12.0% of revenues[165]. - Operating income for the nine months ended March 28, 2025, increased by $31.1 million, or 15.2%, to $235.4 million, or 9.4% of revenues[170]. - Net income for the nine months ended March 28, 2025, was $245.3 million, or 9.8% of revenues, compared to $215.1 million, or 10.1% of revenues for the same period last year[180]. Expenses and Costs - The company expects SG&A expenses for fiscal year 2025 to increase compared to fiscal year 2024, mainly due to higher employee costs, legal expenses, and R&D expenses[132]. - SG&A expenses for the nine months ended March 28, 2025, increased by $5.9 million, or 9.9%, to $65.3 million, or 2.6% of revenues[167]. - The company anticipates incurring incremental costs of revenue due to planned expansion into new geographic markets, although the exact amount is undetermined[130]. Tax and Financial Management - The effective tax rate for the company is influenced by the mix of tax rates in various jurisdictions, with a corporate income tax rate of 20% for its Thai subsidiary[149][150][151]. - The company has received preferential tax treatment in Thailand, including a corporate tax exemption on income generated from certain projects through June 2026[150]. - The company’s deferred income tax assets are based on estimates of future taxable income, which may change depending on market conditions and tax law changes[152]. Cash and Investments - Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $950.7 million as of March 28, 2025, with no outstanding debt[184]. - Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $950.7 million as of March 28, 2025, up from $858.6 million as of June 28, 2024[194]. - Interest income for the nine months ended March 28, 2025, increased by $10.3 million, or 46.6%, to $32.4 million, or 1.3% of revenues[172]. - Cash used in investing activities increased due to higher investment purchases and capital expenditures, with cash used for the nine months ended March 28, 2025, compared to March 29, 2024[191]. - Cash used in financing activities rose due to increased share repurchases and higher withholding tax, offset by lower long-term debt repayments for the nine months ended March 28, 2025, compared to March 29, 2024[192]. - A 10 basis point decline in interest rates would have decreased interest income by approximately $0.7 million for the nine months ended March 28, 2025, compared to $0.5 million for the same period in 2024[194]. Foreign Currency Exposure - As of March 28, 2025, foreign currency denominated assets included 33,796 thousand USD in Thai baht, 4,885 thousand USD in RMB, and 3,106 thousand USD in GBP[136]. - Foreign currency liabilities as of March 28, 2025, included 120,606 thousand USD in Thai baht, 11,074 thousand USD in RMB, and 144 thousand USD in GBP[136]. - The company has $155.0 million of foreign currency forward contracts outstanding on Thai baht payables as of March 28, 2025, compared to $135.0 million as of June 28, 2024[137]. - The majority of the company's revenues are denominated in U.S. dollars, while significant expenses are in Thai baht and RMB, leading to foreign currency risk exposure[197]. - A 10% weakening of the U.S. dollar against the Thai baht and RMB would have resulted in a decrease in the net dollar position of approximately $10.0 million and $7.2 million as of March 28, 2025, and June 28, 2024, respectively[199]. - The company continues to monitor the financial performance of suppliers and customers to mitigate credit risk, believing it will not incur material losses from such exposures[200]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to diversify revenue sources and execute acquisitions as part of its growth strategy[116]. - The company believes it is a global leader in providing advanced optical packaging and manufacturing services across various complex industries[117]. - The company began construction of a new manufacturing facility of approximately 2.0 million square feet at its Chonburi campus, with an expected cost of $132.5 million (Thai baht 4.45 billion)[188]. - The company has not used derivative financial instruments in its investment portfolio, indicating a conservative investment strategy[194].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $872 million for Q3 FY2025, an increase of 19% year-over-year and 5% sequentially [11][12] - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) was $2.52, exceeding guidance [11][12] - Gross margin was reported at 12%, impacted by contra revenue from a warrant agreement [15][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Optical communications revenue was $657 million, up 11% year-over-year and 2% sequentially [12][14] - Datacom revenue was $251 million, down 18% year-over-year and 16% sequentially, primarily due to product transitions [12][14] - Telecom revenue reached $406 million, up 42% year-over-year and 17% sequentially, driven by strong demand in data center interconnect applications [12][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive revenue increased by 76% year-over-year and 24% sequentially, reaching $129 million [14] - Industrial laser revenue was $40 million, up 33% year-over-year and 8% sequentially [14] - Non-optical communications revenue totaled $215 million, a 53% increase year-over-year and 15% sequentially [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced a new commercial relationship with Amazon Web Services, expected to boost revenue starting in FY2026 [9][10] - Expansion plans are on track with Building 10 construction underway to meet long-term capacity needs [9][80] - The company remains optimistic about future growth driven by telecom system wins and the ramp of 1.6T datacom products [19][60] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to execute well and maintain a consistent track record of revenue growth [10][19] - The company anticipates continued year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter, with revenue guidance between $860 million and $900 million [19] - Management noted that while there may be short-term margin headwinds due to product ramps, long-term growth drivers remain intact [58][60] Other Important Information - The company repurchased over $100 million worth of shares this fiscal year, with approximately $197 million remaining under the current authorization [17][9] - Effective GAAP tax rate was reported at 5.8%, with expectations for mid-single digits for the fiscal year [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Datacom revenue decline specifics - Management clarified that the decline in Datacom revenue was primarily due to strong growth in the DCI segment, offsetting some of the decline in 800G products [22][23] Question: Gross margin influences - Management indicated that the $4 million impact from the warrant affected gross margin by about 40 basis points, but this is not expected to recur [25][26] Question: Datacom revenue transition - Management noted that the decline in 800G is more likely due to share allocation rather than inventory issues, with a significant ramp for 1.6T products expected [34][36] Question: Amazon engagement and margin opportunities - Management expects the relationship with Amazon to expand over time, with revenue ramping in FY2026 [39][40] Question: Telecom growth sustainability - Management expressed optimism about the sustainability of telecom growth, citing several strong growth factors [44][46] Question: Tariff impacts - Management reported no material impacts from tariffs to date, as customers are responsible for tariffs under FOB shipping terms [18][76] Question: Building 10 progress - Management confirmed that construction of Building 10 is on track, with an 18-month timeline for completion [80][81] Question: Amazon revenue potential - Management indicated that Amazon could potentially become a significant customer, with revenue ramping in FY2026 [88][92]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $872 million for Q3 2025, an increase of 19% year-over-year and 5% sequentially [11] - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) was $2.52, exceeding guidance [11][16] - Gross margin was reported at 12%, impacted by contra revenue from a warrant agreement [15][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Optical communications revenue was $657 million, up 11% year-over-year and 2% sequentially [12] - Datacom revenue was $251 million, down 18% year-over-year and 16% sequentially, primarily due to product transitions at a large customer [12][16] - Telecom revenue reached $406 million, up 42% year-over-year and 17% sequentially, driven by strong demand in data center interconnect applications [12][16] - Non-optical communications revenue was $215 million, up 53% year-over-year and 15% sequentially, with automotive revenue increasing by 76% [14][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The telecom market showed strong growth trends, expected to continue into Q4 2025 [6][17] - The automotive segment experienced outsized growth but may moderate in the near term [7][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced a new commercial relationship with Amazon Web Services, expected to boost revenue starting in FY 2026 [7][8] - Expansion plans are on track with Building 10 construction underway to meet long-term capacity needs [9][78] - The company remains optimistic about future growth driven by new product ramps and strong demand in telecom and non-optical communications [17][58] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to execute well and maintain a consistent track record of revenue growth [10][17] - The company anticipates continued year-over-year growth in Q4 2025, with revenue guidance between $860 million and $900 million [18] - Management noted that while there may be short-term margin headwinds due to new product ramps, long-term growth drivers remain intact [56][58] Other Important Information - The company repurchased over $100 million worth of shares this fiscal year, reflecting confidence in its financial position [9][16] - Effective GAAP tax rate was reported at 5.8%, with expectations for a mid-single-digit rate for the fiscal year [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Datacom revenue decline specifics - Management clarified that the decline in Datacom revenue was primarily due to strong growth in the DCI segment, which offset some of the expected decline in 800 gig products [21][22] Question: Gross margin concerns - Management indicated that the $4 million impact from the warrant agreement affected gross margin by about 40 basis points, but this is not expected to recur [23][24] Question: Datacom revenue transition - Management noted that the decline in 800 gig products is more likely due to share allocation rather than inventory issues, with a significant ramp for 1.6 terabit products expected in the second half of the year [30][36] Question: Amazon engagement and margin opportunities - Management expects the relationship with Amazon to expand over time, with multiple product types being ramped, although significant revenue is anticipated in FY 2026 [37][39] Question: Telecom growth sustainability - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of telecom growth, citing several strong growth factors including new system wins and improving market dynamics [42][44] Question: Tariff impacts - Management reported no material impacts from global tariffs to date, as customers typically handle tariffs under FOB shipping terms [17][75] Question: Building 10 construction timeline - Management confirmed that Building 10 is on track for an 18-month completion timeline, with potential for early production [78][79] Question: Amazon revenue potential - Management indicated that while specific revenue details cannot be disclosed, they are optimistic about the potential for significant revenue growth from Amazon [86][90]

Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached a record high of $871.8 million[41], exceeding previous guidance - Year-over-year revenue increased by 19%[40] compared to $731.5 million[40] in the same quarter last year, and prior year increased by 10%[40] - Non-GAAP operating margin was 10.2%[41] - Non-GAAP EPS exceeded guidance at $2.52[41] - Net Income (GAAP) is $81.3 million[40] - Net Income (non-GAAP) is $91.2 million[40] Revenue Breakdown - Optical communications revenue for the quarter was $657.2 million[31] - Non-optical communications revenue reached $214.6 million[33] - Automotive revenue contributed $129.5 million[46] - Industrial Laser revenue was $40.5 million[46] Balance Sheet - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $950.7 million[42] in cash and cash equivalents - Total debt is $0.0 million[42] - Total shareholders' equity is $1,907.2 million[42]