Franco-Nevada(FNV)
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Franco-Nevada(FNV) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-04 17:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Franco-Nevada reported record financial results for Q3 2025, with total revenue increasing by 77% to $487.7 million compared to the same quarter in 2024 [11][12] - Adjusted EBITDA reached a record of $427.3 million, up 81% year-over-year [11][12] - Adjusted net income was $275 million, or $1.43 per share, reflecting a 79% increase from the prior year [12][13] - The average gold price increased by 40% year-over-year, while the average silver price rose by 34% [8][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total GEOs (Gold Equivalent Ounces) sold increased by 26% to 138,772 in Q3 2025, compared to 110,110 in Q3 2024 [9][11] - Precious metal GEOs sold were 119,109, up 41% from the previous year [9][11] - Approximately 11,000 GEOs were delivered and sold from Cobre Panama, contributing to the strong performance [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company benefited from high gold prices and strong operations, with 85% of revenue coming from precious metals [3][11] - The company’s revenue was sourced 88% from the Americas, with no single asset contributing more than 10% of total revenue [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has made six significant acquisitions over the last 18 months, enhancing its gold interests and positioning for growth [3][4] - The deal pipeline remains active, with a focus on organic growth and potential new acquisitions, particularly in precious metals [5][20] - The company is exploring opportunities in critical minerals and has plans to support strong teams in Australia [6][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the potential reopening of Cobre Panama and the positive sentiment towards mining in Panama [4][76] - The company expects roughly 50% growth in GEOs over five years compared to last year, driven by recent acquisitions and high gold prices [4][5] - Management indicated that the focus remains on adding quality assets while maintaining discipline in acquisitions [25][33] Other Important Information - The company reached a settlement with the Canada Revenue Agency regarding tax disputes, resolving issues for the years 2013 to 2019 [15][16] - The company ended the quarter debt-free, with $236.7 million in cash and cash equivalents, and total available capital exceeding $1.8 billion [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the commodity focus in the deal pipeline? - Management indicated that the primary focus remains on precious metals, with good prospects for adding more gold deals, while also being open to diversified opportunities if they present good value [18][20] Question: Will the focus be more on organic growth instead of new deals? - Management clarified that while there is strong organic growth potential, they remain focused on acquiring new deals as well [25] Question: How does the recent gold price environment affect shareholder returns? - Management stated that their priority is to add quality assets, and while they plan to increase dividends, share buybacks are not currently being considered [33] Question: What is the visibility on mining from different areas into Q4? - Management acknowledged limited visibility but expressed optimism about the performance of Musselwhite and Hemlo under new ownership [37][43] Question: What are the catalysts for the restart of Cobre Panama? - Management highlighted the ongoing environmental audit and positive government sentiment as key factors for the potential restart [74][76] Question: What is the outlook for Taca Taca and San Jorge in Argentina? - Management expressed optimism about the regulatory environment in Argentina and the potential for these assets to attract investment [85][88]
Franco-Nevada(FNV) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-04 16:00
2025 Q 3 R E S U L T S P R E S E N T A T I O N N O V E M B E R 4 , 2 0 2 5 C A U T I O N A R Y S T A T E M E N T 2 F O R W A R D - L O O K I N G S T A T E M E N T S This presentation contains "forward-looking information" and "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws and the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, respectively, which may include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to future events or future performance, includ ...
Franco-Nevada Reports Record Q3 2025 Results
Prnewswire· 2025-11-03 22:30
Core Insights - Franco-Nevada reported record quarterly results driven by higher gold prices, strong operations, new acquisitions, and the sale of Cobre Panama copper concentrate stockpiles [1] - The company is now debt-free after utilizing its corporate revolver for the Arthur Gold royalty acquisition [1] - The CEO expressed confidence in the company's growth potential due to a robust portfolio of producing, development, and exploration stage royalties on primary gold assets [1] Financial Highlights – Q3 2025 - Revenue reached $487.7 million, a 77% increase from Q3 2024 [5] - Total GEOs sold were 138,772, up 26% from the previous year [5] - Precious metals accounted for 85% of revenue, with gold contributing 72% [7] Financial Highlights – YTD 2025 - Year-to-date revenue was $1,225.5 million, a 55% increase compared to YTD 2024 [5] - Total GEOs sold year-to-date were 377,450, a 10% increase from the previous year [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for the year-to-date was $1,114.9 million, reflecting a 65% increase [5] GEOs Sold and Revenue by Commodity - Precious metals saw significant increases in GEOs sold: Gold at 101,068 GEOs ($351.6 million), Silver at 15,407 GEOs ($55.4 million), and PGM at 2,634 GEOs ($9.5 million) for Q3 2025 [4] - Diversified assets generated $67.1 million in revenue, a slight increase from $61.2 million in Q3 2024 [28] Guidance - The company has updated its 2025 guidance for Precious Metal GEO sales to a range of 420,000 - 440,000, up from the initial guidance of 385,000 - 425,000 [11] - Total GEO sales guidance has been narrowed to 495,000 - 525,000 [11] Cobre Panama Updates - Cobre Panama is currently in a Preservation and Safe Management phase, with production halted [13] - The shipment of copper concentrate has been completed, and the power plant is expected to restart in Q4 2025 [13] Management and Sustainability Updates - A senior vice president has left the company, and the CEO acknowledged his contributions [15] - The company continues to receive high sustainability ratings and has expanded its diversity scholarship program [15] Portfolio Additions - Franco-Nevada acquired a 1.0% NSR on the Arthur Gold Project for $250 million and an additional NSR on the Gold Quarry mine for $10.5 million [16][17] - The company expects to receive a minimum of 1,650 gold ounces annually from the Gold Quarry mine [17]
Has FrancoNevada (FNV) Outpaced Other Basic Materials Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 14:42
Group 1 - Franco-Nevada (FNV) is outperforming its peers in the Basic Materials sector with a year-to-date return of 58.6%, compared to the sector average of 20.8% [4] - The Zacks Rank for Franco-Nevada is 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook with a 6.4% increase in the consensus estimate for full-year earnings over the past 90 days [3] - The Mining - Gold industry, which includes Franco-Nevada, has seen stocks gain about 102.1% this year, indicating that FNV is slightly underperforming its industry group [5] Group 2 - Avino Silver (ASM) has significantly outperformed the sector with a return of 443.7% year-to-date and has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4][5] - The Mining - Silver industry, to which Avino Silver belongs, is ranked 5 and has moved +99.6% so far this year [6] - Investors should continue to monitor both Franco-Nevada and Avino Silver for potential sustained performance in the Basic Materials sector [6]
Top Streaming Stocks To Consider – October 28th
Defense World· 2025-10-30 08:06
Streaming Industry Overview - Streaming stocks are shares of publicly traded companies primarily delivering audio, video, or live content over the internet, with notable examples including Netflix and Spotify [2] - Investors focus on metrics such as subscriber growth, engagement, churn, content, and marketing spend, as these factors drive recurring revenue and influence valuations and volatility [2] Company Summaries Spotify Technology (SPOT) - Spotify Technology S.A. provides audio streaming subscription services globally, operating through two segments: Premium and Ad-Supported [3] - The Premium segment offers unlimited online and offline streaming access to its music and podcast catalog without commercial breaks [3] Confluent (CFLT) - Confluent, Inc. operates a data streaming platform both in the U.S. and internationally, providing platforms for customers to connect applications, systems, and data layers [3] - Key offerings include Confluent Cloud, a managed cloud-native software-as-a-service, and Confluent Platform, an enterprise-grade self-managed software [3] Roku (ROKU) - Roku, Inc. operates a TV streaming platform in the U.S. and internationally, divided into two segments: Platform and Devices [4] - The Platform segment includes digital advertising services, media and entertainment promotional spending, and revenue shares from streaming services [4] Franco-Nevada (FNV) - Franco-Nevada Corporation is a gold-focused royalty and streaming company operating in various regions including South America, Central America, and the U.S. [5] - The company manages a portfolio focused on precious metals and engages in the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids [5] Logitech International (LOGI) - Logitech International S.A. designs, manufactures, and markets software-enabled hardware solutions for gaming, streaming, and other applications [6] - Product offerings include gaming peripherals, streaming services, and various types of speakers and webcams [6][7]
KGC vs. FNV: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 16:40
Core Viewpoint - Investors are evaluating the value opportunities between Kinross Gold (KGC) and Franco-Nevada (FNV) in the Mining - Gold sector, with KGC currently presenting a more attractive value option based on various financial metrics [1][6]. Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Outlook - Both Kinross Gold and Franco-Nevada hold a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating positive revisions to their earnings estimates and improving earnings outlooks [3]. - The Zacks Rank emphasizes earnings estimates and revisions, which are critical for investors seeking growth [2]. Group 2: Valuation Metrics - Kinross Gold has a forward P/E ratio of 17.43, while Franco-Nevada has a significantly higher forward P/E of 40.38 [5]. - KGC's PEG ratio stands at 0.51, indicating a favorable valuation relative to its expected earnings growth, compared to FNV's PEG ratio of 1.86 [5]. - KGC's P/B ratio is 3.98, while FNV's P/B ratio is 5.94, further supporting KGC's superior valuation metrics [6]. Group 3: Value Grades - Based on the valuation metrics, Kinross Gold has earned a Value grade of B, whereas Franco-Nevada has received a Value grade of F, highlighting KGC as the better value option [6].
Franco-Nevada price target raised by C$75 at Stifel
Thefly· 2025-10-20 16:23
Core Insights - The article discusses the use of cookies to enhance user experience and analyze website traffic [1] Group 1 - The company utilizes cookies to improve user experience [1] - Data collected may be shared with analytics partners for traffic analysis [1] - Consent is required from users to store cookies on their devices as per the Cookie Policy [1]
黄金矿业:乘牛市东风-Gold Mining_ Riding the Bull
2025-10-19 15:58
Summary of Gold Mining Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The gold mining industry is experiencing a significant shift, with gold prices rising approximately 60% year-to-date in 2025, leading to a consensus long position in gold. [2][8] - Despite strong momentum and investor interest, there are concerns about excessive short-term enthusiasm in gold trading. [2] - Central banks are expected to continue buying gold, supporting sustained asset allocations despite higher prices. [2] Company Performance - Gold equities, represented by the GDX Index, have outperformed gold prices by approximately 70% year-to-date in 2025, with GDX up over 100%. [3][8] - Valuations for gold equities have re-rated positively, with forward EV/EBITDA multiples increasing from 5.8x at the end of 2024 to around 8.5x. [16] - Operational performance among gold miners is improving, with many companies reporting record free cash flow (FCF) and strong balance sheets. [3][4] Key Companies and Their Outlook - **Newmont (NEM)**: Target multiple raised to 7.5x from 6.5x, with a current price target of $105.5. Expected to generate strong cash returns and has a conservative production guidance for 2025. [40][51] - **Barrick Gold (ABX)**: Target multiple increased to 6.25x from 5.5x, with a price target of $39. [40][51] - **Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)**: Target multiple raised to 10x from 8.5x, with a price target of $180. [40][51] - **Kinross Gold (KGC)**: Target multiple increased to 7.5x from 6.5x, with a price target of $31. [40][51] - **Endeavour Mining (EDV)**: Target multiple raised to 5.0x from 4.5x, with a price target of £40. [40][51] - **Franco-Nevada (FNV)**: Target multiple remains high at 23.0x, reflecting its lower risk and diversified exposure. [40][51] Market Dynamics - The gold trade has shifted from a value focus to a momentum-driven approach, with spot multiples generally in line or below historical levels. [5] - Earnings revisions for gold miners have been significant, with aggregate 12-month forward EBITDA estimates increasing by 40% year-to-date. [11] - The market is currently pricing gold miners at an implied gold price of approximately $4,075/oz based on 5-year average EV/EBITDA multiples. [43] Risks and Considerations - The gold mining sector is facing potential risks from macroeconomic factors, including inflation and currency fluctuations. [2] - There is a possibility of a market correction if short-term enthusiasm leads to overvaluation. [2] - Companies with operational leverage are expected to perform better, while those with weaker operational performance may lag. [22] Conclusion - The gold mining industry is positioned for growth with improving operational metrics and favorable market conditions. [3][4] - Investors should remain cautious of potential overvaluation and monitor macroeconomic indicators that could impact gold prices and mining equities. [2][4]
大宗商品价格更新:看涨黄金至每盎司 5000 美元、白银至每盎司 65 美元;上调目标价-Commodity price update calling gold to $5,000oz, silver to $65oz; Lifting POs
2025-10-17 01:46
Summary of North American Metals & Mining Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: North American Precious Metals - **Key Commodities**: Gold and Silver Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Price Forecasts**: - Gold is projected to reach **$5,000/oz** and silver to **$65/oz** in the next 12-18 months, with 2026 average forecasts for gold raised by **18%** to **$4,329/oz** and silver by **29%** to **$54.88/oz** [1][10][11] - Investment demand for gold is expected to increase by **14%** in 2026, similar to the current year [2] 2. **Market Dynamics**: - Key conditions supporting gold price strength include: - US structural deficit - Inflationary pressures from deglobalization - Threats to the independence of the US central bank - Ongoing global geopolitical tensions [1] 3. **Investment Trends**: - ETF purchases of gold surged by **880% YoY** in September, reaching an all-time high of **$14 billion** [2] - Total physical and paper gold investment has nearly doubled, exceeding **5%** of global equity and fixed income markets [2] 4. **Risks to Monitor**: - Supreme Court ruling on President Trump's tariffs - Potential hawkish pivot from the Federal Reserve if economic data improves - Outcomes of the US mid-term elections affecting economic policy implementation [2] Company-Specific Updates 1. **Net Asset Value (NAV) and Price Objectives (PO)**: - NAV estimates for North American Precious Metals coverage increased by **10%**, with average POs raised by **16%** [3][19] - IAMGOLD (IAG) saw the largest PO increase of **49%** to **$16.75** per share, reflecting improved jurisdictional risk [3][15] - SSR Mining (SSRM) PO raised by **41%** to **$18.00** per share, despite an Underperform rating due to uncertainties regarding Çöpler mine [3][15] 2. **Top Picks**: - Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is highlighted as the top pick due to its strong track record and growth projects [4] - Pan American Silver (PAAS) is favored for balanced exposure to silver and gold [4] 3. **EBITDA Revisions**: - Average EBITDA estimates for 2026 and 2027 increased by **25%** and **18%**, respectively, driven by revised commodity price forecasts [20] 4. **Valuation Multiples**: - Target multiples for IAMGOLD and SSR Mining adjusted to **1.60x** and **1.00x**, respectively, reflecting improved performance and market conditions [15][16] Additional Important Information - The report indicates potential conflicts of interest due to BofA Securities' business relationships with covered issuers [6] - The document includes various disclosures and certifications relevant to the research [5][6] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, focusing on industry trends, company-specific updates, and potential investment opportunities and risks.
Why Franco-Nevada (FNV) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Franco-Nevada (FNV) is a strong candidate for investors looking for stocks that consistently beat earnings estimates, particularly in the precious metals streaming and royalty sector [1]. Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, Franco-Nevada achieved earnings of $1.24 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.1 per share, resulting in a surprise of 12.73% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company was expected to earn $1 per share but reported $1.07 per share, delivering a surprise of 7.00% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Franco-Nevada, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5]. - The current Earnings ESP for Franco-Nevada is +5.63%, suggesting that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) indicates a high probability of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7].