Group 1 - The Trump administration plans to issue a new policy clarifying that gold bullion imports should not be subject to tariffs, aiming to calm the global gold market turmoil caused by a previous ruling from U.S. Customs and Border Protection [1][4] - Following the announcement, gold prices in New York and London experienced a narrowing of the price difference, which had previously surged to over $100 per ounce due to tariff concerns, now reduced to below $60 [1] - The initial market chaos was triggered by a ruling stating that gold bars weighing one kilogram and 100 ounces would be subject to "equivalent tariffs," which could have significant implications for the global gold market and disrupt U.S. gold futures contracts [4] Group 2 - The announcement from the White House led to a rapid decline in gold-related stocks, including Newmont Corp, Agnico Eagle Mines, Franco-Nevada, and VanEck Gold Miners ETF, as the market reacted to the news [4] - Analysts noted that gold serves as both a financial asset and an international currency, distinguishing it from industrial metals like copper, steel, and aluminum that were previously affected by tariffs [4] - The market anticipates that the issuance of a clarifying executive order will help alleviate the market turmoil caused by concerns over gold tariffs, although Trump administration officials have emphasized that future tariff policies will avoid broad exemptions to maintain tariff effectiveness [4]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Mining – Gold industry is part of the broader Zacks Basic Materials sector, which is expected to see a decline in earnings for the second quarter, with overall earnings projected to fall by 7.5% despite a 2.8% increase in revenues [1] Gold Prices and Market Dynamics - Gold prices have increased significantly this year, rising approximately 29% year to date, driven by global trade tensions and safe-haven demand [3] - On April 22, gold prices reached a record high of $3,500 per ounce, and while they retreated, they closed the second quarter above $3,300 per ounce, marking a nearly 6% increase in the quarter [4] Company Performance Expectations - Gold mining companies are expected to benefit from higher gold prices and efforts to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs in their second-quarter results [2] - Despite higher mining costs due to inflationary pressures, companies are focused on reducing operational costs and improving efficiency, which is anticipated to support their margins [5] Selected Companies and Earnings Estimates - Barrick Mining Corporation is expected to report earnings of 47 cents per share, with an Earnings ESP of +1.14% and a Zacks Rank 1, having beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters [9] - Franco-Nevada Corporation has an Earnings ESP of +0.91% and a Zacks Rank 3, with a consensus estimate of $1.10 for second-quarter earnings, benefiting from increased contributions from streaming agreements [11] - Integra Resources Corp. has an Earnings ESP of +4.76% and a Zacks Rank 3, with a consensus estimate of 7 cents for second-quarter earnings, expected to benefit from strong production at the Florida Canyon mine [13]

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a version of the Zacks Consensus whose definition is related to change. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Have you been searching for a stock that might be well-positione ...

Core Viewpoint - Franco-Nevada Corporation has acquired a 1.0% net smelter return royalty on AngloGold Ashanti's Arthur Gold Project for $250 million, with potential additional payments based on certain conditions, highlighting the project's significant growth potential in the gold sector [1][2]. Transaction Highlights - The acquisition includes a contingent cash payment of $25 million, dependent on the outcome of ongoing arbitration regarding the royalty's coverage [6]. - The Arthur Gold Project has seen a 20% year-over-year increase in its resource base, now totaling 3.4 million ounces of Indicated Mineral Resources and 12.9 million ounces of Inferred Mineral Resources [1][6]. - Franco-Nevada structured the transaction as an asset sale, utilizing cash on hand and a $175 million draw from its $1 billion credit facility for funding [6]. Key Transaction Terms - The royalty applies to a substantial land package in Nevada, covering most of the existing Mineral Resource of the Arthur Gold Project, with no step-downs or buy-down provisions [6]. - The project is expected to provide stable gold cash flow once in production, with ongoing arbitration potentially expanding the royalty footprint significantly [6]. - AngloGold is advancing a Preliminary Feasibility Study (PFS) for the project, expected to be completed by late 2025 or early 2026, focusing on both heap leach and milling operations [6]. Company Overview - Franco-Nevada Corporation is a leading gold-focused royalty and streaming company with a diversified portfolio of cash-flow producing assets, providing investors with gold price and exploration optionality while limiting exposure to cost inflation [7]. - The company trades under the symbol FNV on both the Toronto and New York stock exchanges, utilizing free cash flow to expand its portfolio and pay dividends [7].

Group 1: Price Trend and Technical Analysis - Franco-Nevada (FNV) has experienced a bearish price trend, losing 6.4% over the past two weeks, but a hammer chart pattern suggests a potential trend reversal as bulls may have gained control [1] - The hammer pattern indicates a nearing bottom with likely subsiding selling pressure, which supports a bullish case for the stock [2] - Hammer candles signal that bears might have lost control over the price, indicating a potential trend reversal when formed at the bottom of a downtrend [5] Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - There has been an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions for FNV, which is considered a bullish indicator as it typically leads to price appreciation [7] - The consensus EPS estimate for the current year has increased by 4.8% over the last 30 days, indicating strong agreement among Wall Street analysts regarding the company's potential for better earnings [8] - FNV holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, which usually outperform the market [9][10]

Industry Overview - Gold prices are on the rise, currently around $3,342/oz, reflecting a 37% increase year to date, driven by supply constraints and strong demand from central banks [4][5] - The World Gold Council indicates a scarcity of gold mining deposits, which is expected to sustain the upward momentum in gold prices [1] - Central banks, particularly in emerging economies, are increasing their gold reserves due to rising global debt levels and geopolitical risks, which supports demand for gold [3] Investment Opportunities - It is recommended to invest in gold mining stocks with a favorable Zacks Rank, specifically those rated 1 (Strong Buy), including Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV), Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD), Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC), AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU), and Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) [2] - All five selected stocks exhibit strong growth estimates and recent upward earnings revisions for the current year [9] Company Highlights Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV) - FNV is expected to achieve revenue and earnings growth rates of 34.6% and 43.9%, respectively, for the current year, with a recent earnings estimate improvement of 0.2% [12] - The company has a debt-free balance sheet and focuses on expanding its portfolio and paying dividends, benefiting from rising gold prices [11] Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) - RGLD anticipates revenue and earnings growth rates of 28.8% and 42%, respectively, for the current year, with a 4.5% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [14] - The company maintains high margins despite inflationary pressures and is focused on allocating cash flow towards dividends and debt reduction [13] Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC) - KGC is projected to have revenue and earnings growth rates of 17.9% and 72.1%, respectively, for the current year, with a 5.4% increase in earnings estimates recently [17] - The company is enhancing production through its Tasiast mine expansion and has promising projects like the Great Bear project in Ontario [15][16] AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) - AU expects revenue and earnings growth rates of 52.8% and over 100%, respectively, for the current year, with a 1.6% improvement in earnings estimates [19] - The company operates in multiple regions and focuses on gold exploration and production, with a flagship mine in Tanzania [18] Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) - AEM is projected to achieve revenue and earnings growth rates of 26.6% and 52.5%, respectively, for the current year, with a 7% increase in earnings estimates [22] - The company is advancing key projects and has strengthened its market position through strategic acquisitions and mergers [20][21]

Core Points - Franco-Nevada Corporation will report its second quarter 2025 results on August 11th before market open [1] - A conference call and webcast will take place on August 11th at 10:00 am ET [1] - Dial-in numbers for the conference call include a toll-free number and an international number [1] - Participants can join the conference call via a URL link for automated call back [1] - A replay of the conference call will be available until August 18th [1]

Market Overview - The U.S. equity markets have experienced a steady downtrend due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly following U.S. attacks on Iranian nuclear sites and Iran's retaliatory missile strikes against Israel [1] - The geopolitical tensions have raised concerns about their potential impact on the oil and gas industry, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets [1] Federal Reserve and Investment Strategies - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated a cautious approach regarding rate cuts, awaiting more clarity on the effects of President Trump's tariffs on inflation [2] - In light of market uncertainties, investors are turning to momentum stocks as a strategy to achieve sustained profits, particularly when traditional value or growth investing fails [2][3] Momentum Investing - Momentum investing is characterized by the strategy of "buying high and selling higher," based on the belief that established trends are likely to continue [3] - This investment approach capitalizes on the human tendency to project current trends into the future before mean reversion occurs [3] Screening Parameters for Momentum Stocks - The screening process for momentum stocks involves selecting the top 50 stocks with the best percentage price change over the last 52 weeks, ensuring steady appreciation [5] - From these, the bottom 10 performers over the past week are chosen to identify those experiencing a short-term pullback [6] - Stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) are included, as they have a history of outperformance regardless of market conditions [6] - A Momentum Style Score of B or better is also a criterion, indicating favorable timing for stock acquisition [7] - Additional parameters include a minimum stock price of $5, a market capitalization within the top 3000, and an average 20-day trading volume exceeding 100,000 [8] Featured Momentum Stocks - **Palomar Holdings, Inc. (PLMR)**: The stock has surged 99.2% over the past year but declined 3.3% in the past week, with a Momentum Score of B [9] - **Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)**: This gold-focused royalty and stream firm has rallied 42.1% in the past year but lost 3.5% in the past week, holding a Momentum Score of A [10] - **Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC)**: The cloud-based HCM provider has seen a 57.5% increase in stock price over the past year, with a recent decline of 5.2% in the past week, and a Momentum Score of A [11]

Key Takeaways Gold prices have been on the rise over the past several months, which has given a boost to stocks linked to gold mining. Rising geopolitical tensions, especially the ongoing tensions in the Middle East between Iran and Israel, with the United States now having joined the conflict, have been helping gold prices. Given the current situation, investing in gold mining stocks such as Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) , Franco- Nevada Corporation (FNV) , Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) and AngloGold ...

Group 1: Gold as an Investment - Gold is perceived as a safe-haven investment during economic and political uncertainty, with various ownership methods available, including bullion and mining companies [1] - Gold itself does not generate value beyond its price change, making its value solely dependent on market fluctuations [2] - Owning physical gold, such as coins, can incur storage and transaction fees, making it a less efficient investment method [3][5] Group 2: Investment Alternatives - Investing in gold mining stocks offers growth potential, as financial performance is linked to metal prices, with opportunities for new mines and acquisitions [6] - Streaming and royalty companies like Franco-Nevada present a more favorable investment option, as they provide upfront cash to miners in exchange for future metal purchases at advantageous prices [7][9] Group 3: Franco-Nevada's Business Model - Franco-Nevada has a sustainable business model, evidenced by its 18 consecutive years of annual dividend increases, although the dividend yield is relatively low at 0.9% [10] - The company diversifies its investments across gold, silver, energy, and other metals, providing broader commodity exposure compared to peers [12][13] Group 4: Investment Considerations - A $10,000 investment in Franco-Nevada, priced around $170 per share, would yield approximately 58 shares, offering peace of mind through diversification in a volatile market [15]