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Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) Up 6.4% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 17:37
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics reported a strong Q3 2025 earnings performance, with adjusted earnings of 17 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 12 cents and up from 10 cents in the same quarter last year [3][4] - Revenues for Q3 2025 reached $169.1 million, reflecting a 19% year-over-year increase, and also exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $165 million [3][4] - The company maintained its 2025 financial guidance, expecting total revenue growth of 15-22% at constant exchange rates (CER) and projecting Galafold revenues to grow by 10-15% at CER [7][8] Financial Performance - Galafold sales amounted to $138.3 million, a 12% increase year-over-year at CER, although it fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $150 million [5] - Sales from Pombiliti + Opfolda reached $30.7 million, exceeding both the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $29.7 million and the internal model estimate of $29.4 million [5] - Adjusted operating expenses rose by 15% to $95.4 million in Q3 2025, while cash and marketable securities increased to $263.8 million from $231 million as of June 30, 2025 [6] Future Outlook - The company anticipates achieving positive GAAP net income in the second half of 2025 and aims to exceed $1 billion in total sales by 2028 [8] - Despite a recent downward trend in estimates, Amicus Therapeutics holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating expectations for above-average returns in the coming months [11] - The overall VGM Score for Amicus is D, reflecting challenges in the value strategy, while growth and momentum scores are both C [10] Industry Context - Amicus Therapeutics operates within the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, where competitor GSK reported revenues of $11.52 billion for the last quarter, marking a year-over-year increase of 10.6% [12] - GSK's earnings per share for the same period were $1.48, up from $1.27 a year ago, with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [12][13]
Wall Street Analysts Think Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) Could Surge 58.46%: Read This Before Placing a Bet
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 15:56
Core Viewpoint - Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) has shown a significant price increase of 11.4% over the past four weeks, with a mean price target of $15.64 indicating a potential upside of 58.5% from the current price of $9.87 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Consensus - The average price target consists of 11 estimates ranging from a low of $11.00 to a high of $21.00, with a standard deviation of $3.29, suggesting variability in analyst predictions [2] - The lowest estimate indicates an 11.5% increase, while the highest suggests an upside of 112.8% [2] - A low standard deviation indicates strong agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement direction [9] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Optimism - Analysts have shown growing optimism regarding FOLD's earnings prospects, as evidenced by a strong consensus in revising EPS estimates higher [11] - Over the last 30 days, three estimates have increased, leading to a Zacks Consensus Estimate rise of 263.6% [12] - FOLD holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors [13] Caution on Price Targets - Solely relying on consensus price targets for investment decisions may not be prudent, as analysts' ability to set accurate targets has been questioned [3][10] - Analysts often set optimistic price targets due to business incentives, which can lead to inflated estimates [8]
Amicus Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:FOLD) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-11-18 17:32
Summary of Amicus Therapeutics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Amicus Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:FOLD) - **Focus**: Developing transformative therapies for rare diseases, particularly Fabry disease and Pompe disease [4][5] Key Products and Financial Performance - **Galafold**: - Approved for Fabry disease, on the market for nearly 10 years in Europe and 8 years in the U.S. - Achieved over $500 million in revenue for the first time this year, with a growth rate of 10%-15% [5][6] - The global market for Fabry disease is estimated at $2.4 billion, up from $1 billion previously [10] - **Pombiliti and Opfolda (POMOP)**: - Approved for Pompe disease, launched in the last couple of years. - Expected revenue growth of 50%-65% this year [5][6] - Projected to generate over $100 million in sales this year [23] Market Dynamics and Growth Drivers - **Fabry Disease Market**: - Initial estimates of incidence were one in 50,000 live births; recent studies suggest it may be closer to one in 3,000 [10] - The diagnosed untreated population has grown from 5,000 to 6,000 patients [10] - Increased awareness and availability of genetic testing are driving patient identification [11][12] - **Patient Identification Initiatives**: - Collaborations with healthcare systems (e.g., NHS in the U.K.) to identify undiagnosed patients [13][14] - Use of AI and partnerships (e.g., with OM1) to enhance patient finding [15][19] Competitive Landscape - **Galafold vs. Competitors**: - Concerns about Sanofi's upcoming phase three data for their substrate reduction therapy (SRT) were addressed, noting that Galafold's mechanism is different and may not be directly impacted [21][22] - **Pombiliti Market Position**: - The company is seeing increased patient switches from competitor products, with a significant uptick in the last two quarters [26][29] - The U.S. market is showing strong momentum, with the company gaining market share in the U.K. and other European regions [27][32] Pipeline and Future Opportunities - **FSGS Program**: - Amicus has licensed DMX-200 for FSGS, a rare kidney disease, with potential for significant market opportunity [36][38] - The FDA has indicated that proteinuria could serve as a primary endpoint for the ongoing phase three study, which is promising for regulatory approval [39][40] - **Regulatory Strategy**: - Plans to engage with the FDA regarding the study endpoints and potential accelerated approval paths [40][41] Financial Position and Strategic Focus - **Cash Position**: - The company has over $260 million in cash and is GAAP profitable, indicating a strong financial foundation [52] - **Business Development Strategy**: - Focus on late-stage, de-risked assets with potential for revenue growth, particularly in the Fabry and Pompe disease spaces [52] Conclusion - Amicus Therapeutics is positioned for continued growth with strong product performance, strategic initiatives to identify and treat more patients, and a promising pipeline in rare diseases. The company is committed to maintaining financial discipline while pursuing opportunities for expansion and profitability [52][53]
Amicus Therapeutics: Moving Towards Consistent Profitability (NASDAQ:FOLD)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-11 21:56
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (FOLD) has shown solid performance in its third quarter results, marking a significant update since the last analysis in late 2024 [1]. Company Overview - Amicus Therapeutics is a small-cap commercial stage biotech firm focusing on innovative therapies [1]. - The company is part of a model portfolio that includes 12-20 high upside biotech stocks, indicating a strategic selection aimed at maximizing investor returns [1]. Market Commentary - The biotech sector is characterized by high beta, suggesting potential for large investor returns, which is a focus area for market analysts [1]. - The Biotech Forum provides live discussions on trade ideas and weekly updates, enhancing investor engagement and information flow [1].
Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (FOLD) Presents at UBS Global Healthcare Conference 2025 Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 23:11
Core Insights - Amicus is a rare disease-focused biotech company with three programs, each having a potential market opportunity of $1 billion, currently at different development stages [1] - The company is expected to turn profitable in the second half of the year and maintains a strong cash position [1] Product Performance - Galafold, the first approved product for Fabry disease, was launched in 2016 and is projected to achieve 10% to 15% growth this year, with sales exceeding $500 million [2] - Pombiliti, Opfolda, is in the early stages of its launch after receiving approval in 2023, indicating potential for future growth [2]
Amicus Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:FOLD) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-11-10 20:45
Summary of Amicus Therapeutics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Amicus Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:FOLD) - **Focus**: Rare disease therapeutics with a unique position in the biotech sector, targeting first or best-in-class medicines [3][4] Key Products and Financials - **Galafold**: - Approved for Fabry disease since 2016 - Expected growth of 10%-15% in 2025, with over $500 million in sales [3][4] - Currently holds a 65% market share among treated amenable patients, with potential to increase to 85%-90% in established markets [5][6] - **Pombiliti (Opfolda)**: - Launched in 2023, showing 50%-65% growth, projected to exceed $100 million in sales [4][5] - Strong patient demand in the U.S. and expansion into new countries [8][9] - **DMX-200**: - Targeting Focal Segmental Glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), a rare kidney disease with no approved treatments [4][29] - Positioned as a potential blockbuster with a unique mechanism of action [29] - **Financial Position**: - Projected revenue of over $600 million in 2025, aiming for $1 billion by 2028 [4][5] - Currently holds over $260 million in cash, with positive cash generation of over $30 million in Q3 [4][5] Market Dynamics and Growth Drivers - **Galafold**: - Growth driven by increased patient diagnoses and treatment initiation [5][6] - Newborn screening initiatives and family cascade testing are significant tailwinds [6][12] - The total diagnosed Fabry patient population has grown from 10,000 to nearly 20,000, with potential for over 100,000 undiagnosed patients [14] - **Pombiliti**: - Strong momentum in new patient additions, particularly from patients previously on Nexviazyme [8][11] - Geographic expansion with eight new countries added this year, aiming for ten total [9][18] Competitive Landscape and Pricing Strategy - **Pricing Strategy**: - Amicus maintains a pricing philosophy focused on access, pricing below competitors and committing to not raise prices above the Consumer Price Index (CPI) [19][20] - No significant pricing erosion observed in the U.S. or ex-U.S. markets [19][20] - **Market Share**: - Achieved over 40% market share in the U.K. for Pombiliti, with expectations for similar performance in other markets [19] Regulatory and Development Updates - **Intellectual Property (IP)**: - Galafold has patent protection extending into the 2040s, with ongoing litigation against generic filers [23][24] - Anticipated resolution of IP trials in the second half of next year [24] - **DMX-200 Development**: - Enrollment for the Action 3 study is over 90% complete, with top-line data expected in two years [37][38] - Potential for accelerated approval discussions based on one-year data [39] Upcoming Catalysts - Continued patient addition and revenue growth for Galafold and Pombiliti [40] - Updates on Galafold IP resolution and Pombiliti's pediatric label expansion expected in mid-2026 [41] - Completion of DMX-200 enrollment and potential updates on FDA discussions in the first half of next year [41]
15 Stocks Set to Explode in 2026
Insider Monkey· 2025-11-09 14:03
Core Insights - The article discusses 15 stocks anticipated to experience significant growth by 2026, amidst a capital rotation towards growth leaders outside of Big Tech as AI spending is projected to reach $500 billion by 2026 [2][4]. Industry Trends - AI spending is expected to reach $500 billion by 2026, with traditional industries such as power infrastructure and construction gaining investor interest due to their role in supporting AI expansion [2]. - Investment in AI encompasses not only technology like GPUs and chips but also infrastructure such as HVAC, IT, and power grids, indicating a broad impact across various sectors including industrials, materials, and financials [2]. Market Outlook - A cautious outlook for 2026 has been expressed, predicting "sticky yields" and a potential shift in Federal Reserve policy towards rate cuts, which may lead to subdued equity momentum [3]. - The sentiment around an AI bubble persists, with industry leaders acknowledging its presence and potential longevity [4]. Stock Selection Methodology - The list of 15 stocks was curated by screening U.S.-listed companies with a market capitalization over $2 billion and a potential upside exceeding 50% as of November 4, 2025, ensuring significant analyst coverage and hedge fund interest [6]. - The strategy of selecting stocks favored by hedge funds is based on research indicating that mimicking top hedge fund picks can lead to market outperformance [7]. Company Highlights - **Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOLD)**: - Hedge fund interest: 40 holders - Upside potential: 73.53% - Reported a 17% revenue increase to $169.1 million in Q3 2025, achieving GAAP net income of $17.3 million, marking a transition to profitability [9][11][12]. - **Summit Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:SMMT)**: - Hedge fund interest: 30 holders - Upside potential: 78.62% - Announced positive results from the Phase III HARMONi trial, showing significant improvement in overall survival for lung cancer patients [13][15][16]. - **Chime Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:CHYM)**: - Hedge fund interest: 46 holders - Upside potential: 83.37% - Reported a 29% year-over-year revenue increase to $544 million in Q3 2025, with significant growth in platform-related revenue and active members [18][20][22].
Bet on These 4 Top-Performing Liquid Stocks to Maximize Returns
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 16:41
Core Insights - Investors should consider adding stocks with strong liquidity to their portfolios, as liquidity indicates a company's ability to meet short-term obligations and supports business expansion [1][2] - Four top-ranked stocks recommended for investment include EverQuote, Inc. (EVER), Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (FOLD), Lam Research Corporation (LRCX), and Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) [2][9] Liquidity Measures - Current Ratio: Measures current assets against current liabilities; a ratio below 1 indicates more liabilities than assets, while a range of 1-3 is ideal [4] - Quick Ratio: Indicates a company's ability to pay short-term obligations, with a desirable ratio of more than 1 [5] - Cash Ratio: The most conservative measure, focusing on cash and equivalents relative to current liabilities; a ratio greater than 1 is desirable but may indicate inefficiency [6] Screening Parameters - Asset Utilization: A measure of efficiency, calculated as total sales over the last 12 months divided by the average total assets; companies with a ratio higher than their industry average are considered efficient [7][8] - Growth Score: A proprietary score added to ensure that liquid and efficient stocks also have solid growth potential [8] Company-Specific Insights - **EverQuote, Inc. (EVER)**: Reported revenues of $173.9 million, a 20% year-over-year increase; projected fourth-quarter revenues between $174-$180 million [12][13] - **Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (FOLD)**: Revenues of $169.1 million, a 19% year-over-year increase; expects total revenues to grow by 15-22% in 2025 [14][15] - **Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)**: Reported revenues of $5.32 billion, a 28% increase year-over-year; projects second-quarter revenues of $5.2 billion [16][17] - **Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE)**: Achieved record revenues of $605.5 million, a 14% year-over-year increase; raised 2025 organic revenue growth target to low double-digit to mid-teens [18][19]
Amicus' Q3 Earnings Beat, Higher Product Sales Drive Y/Y Revenues
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 16:11
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) reported adjusted earnings of 17 cents per share for Q3 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 12 cents and up from 10 cents in the same quarter last year [1][6] - Revenues for Q3 totaled $169.1 million, reflecting a 19% year-over-year increase and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $165 million [2][6] - The revenue growth was driven by sales of Galafold and the newly approved combination therapy Pombiliti + Opfolda, which is aimed at treating late-onset Pompe disease [2][3] Financial Performance - Galafold sales reached $138.3 million, a 12% increase year-over-year at constant exchange rates, although it fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $150 million [4][6] - Sales of Pombiliti + Opfolda amounted to $30.7 million, surpassing both the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $29.7 million and the internal estimate of $29.4 million [7] - Adjusted operating expenses rose by 15% to $95.4 million in Q3 2025, while cash and marketable securities increased to $263.8 million from $231 million as of June 30, 2025 [7] Guidance and Future Outlook - Amicus reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, projecting total revenue growth of 15-22% at constant exchange rates, with Galafold expected to grow by 10-15% and Pombiliti + Opfolda by 50-65% [8] - The company anticipates achieving positive GAAP net income in the second half of 2025 and aims to exceed $1 billion in total sales by 2028 [9] Recent Developments - Amicus licensed exclusive rights for Dimerix's phase III program, DMX-200, in the U.S., targeting FSGS, a rare kidney disease, with the pivotal ACTION3 study on track for full enrollment by the end of 2025 [10]
Compared to Estimates, Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-05 14:30
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics reported revenue of $169.06 million for the quarter ended September 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 19.5% and an EPS of $0.17 compared to $0.10 a year ago [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $164.76 million by 2.61%, and the EPS surpassed the consensus estimate of $0.12 by 41.67% [1] Financial Performance - Geographic net product sales outside the U.S. were $98.79 million, slightly below the estimated $100.21 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.8% [4] - U.S. geographic net product sales reached $70.27 million, exceeding the average estimate of $64.47 million, with a year-over-year growth of 25.1% [4] - Net product sales for Pombiliti and Opfolda totaled $30.71 million, surpassing the estimated $29.77 million, representing a significant year-over-year increase of 45.3% [4] - Net product sales for Galafold were reported at $138.35 million, below the average estimate of $150.1 million, but still showing a year-over-year growth of 14.9% [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Amicus Therapeutics have returned +10.2% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating potential for outperformance in the near term [3]