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Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments (FOUR) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the correlation between changes in earnings estimates and stock price movements, suggesting that revisions in earnings estimates can lead to significant price changes [4][6]. - Shift4 Payments is projected to earn $5.46 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 40.4% [8]. Analyst Sentiment and Market Position - Analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Shift4 Payments, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 19.7% over the past three months [8]. - The upgrade to Zacks Rank 2 places Shift4 Payments in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10]. Zacks Rating System Overview - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks based on earnings estimate revisions, with a proven track record of performance, where Zacks Rank 1 stocks have generated an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - The system maintains a balanced distribution of ratings, ensuring that only the top 5% of stocks receive a 'Strong Buy' rating, while the next 15% receive a 'Buy' rating [9].
Wall Street Analysts Believe Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Could Rally 41.2%: Here's is How to Trade
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments (FOUR) has seen a 13.6% increase in share price over the past four weeks, closing at $82.36, with a potential upside of 41.2% based on Wall Street analysts' mean price target of $116.29 [1] Price Targets - The average of 24 short-term price targets ranges from a low of $80 to a high of $150, with a standard deviation of $16.01, indicating variability among analysts [2] - The lowest estimate suggests a decline of 2.9% from the current price, while the highest estimate indicates an upside of 82.1% [2] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts show a consensus that FOUR will report better earnings than previously estimated, which supports the expectation of a stock price increase [4][11] - Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased by 17.3%, with seven estimates moving higher and one lower [12] Zacks Rank - FOUR holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating strong potential for upside [13]
Shift4 Payments(FOUR) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-04-29 20:05
Financial Performance - Gross revenue for Q1 2025 was $848.3 million, a 19.8% increase from $707.4 million in Q1 2024[18] - Net income attributable to Shift4 Payments, Inc. for Q1 2025 was $16.7 million, down from $20.6 million in Q1 2024, representing a 19% decrease[18] - Comprehensive income attributable to Shift4 Payments, Inc. for Q1 2025 was $42.3 million, significantly up from $10.0 million in Q1 2024[20] - Net income for Q1 2025 was $19.5 million, a decrease of 31.6% from $28.5 million in Q1 2024[23] - Operating cash flow decreased to $96.6 million in Q1 2025 from $115.0 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a decline of 16.5%[23] - Payments-based revenue increased to $755.7 million in Q1 2025 from $655.1 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a growth of about 15.3%[66] - Subscription and other revenues rose significantly to $92.6 million in Q1 2025, compared to $52.3 million in Q1 2024, marking an increase of approximately 76.8%[66] Expenses and Liabilities - The company reported a cost of sales of $591.3 million in Q1 2025, compared to $519.6 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a 13.8% increase[18] - Depreciation and amortization increased to $85.2 million in Q1 2025, up from $66.1 million in Q1 2024, representing a rise of 28.5%[23] - Equity-based compensation expense increased to $26.0 million in Q1 2025 from $22.8 million in Q1 2024, an increase of 14.0%[23] - The TRA liability was $362.6 million as of March 31, 2025, slightly down from $365.5 million at the end of 2024[29] - Total liabilities as of March 31, 2025, included a Tax Receivable Agreement (TRA) liability of $362.6 million, slightly down from $365.5 million at the end of 2024[29] Cash and Investments - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 were $1,384.3 million, down from $1,438.6 million at the end of Q4 2024, a decrease of 3.8%[36] - Net cash used in investing activities rose to $85.0 million in Q1 2025 compared to $39.7 million in Q1 2024, indicating a significant increase of 114.1%[23] - The company reported a gain on investments in securities of $(0.3) million in Q1 2025, compared to a loss of $(11.0) million in Q1 2024[23] Acquisitions - The company completed the acquisition of Eigen Payments for a total purchase consideration of $115.0 million, net of cash acquired[41] - The company completed the acquisition of Givex Corp. for a total purchase consideration of $127.8 million, net of cash acquired[47] - The acquisition of Vectron Systems AG involved a total purchase consideration of $62.7 million, net of cash acquired, with the company owning approximately 75% of Vectron's common stock as of March 31, 2025[52] - The acquisition of Revel Systems, Inc. was completed for $245.3 million, net of cash acquired, enhancing the company's presence in the restaurant and retail markets[60] Stockholder Equity - The total stockholders' equity as of March 31, 2025, was $1,016.0 million, slightly down from $1,017.7 million at the end of 2024[21] - The company repurchased and retired 686,177 shares of Class A common stock, resulting in a reduction of $63.4 million in equity[21] - The company recognized equity-based compensation expense of $26.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to $22.8 million for the same period in 2024, reflecting an increase of approximately 14.0%[119] Debt and Financing - Total debt as of March 31, 2025, was $2,843.5 million, with a current portion of $687.8 million and long-term debt of $2,155.7 million[78] - The company has a $450.0 million senior secured revolving credit facility, with no borrowings as of March 31, 2025[84] - Future principal payments on the company's debt total $2,872.5 million, with $690.0 million due in 2025[81] - The company entered into a commitment letter for a 364-day bridge loan facilities totaling $1.795 billion, consisting of a $1.0 billion senior secured bridge loan and a $795.0 million senior unsecured bridge loan[86] Tax and Compliance - The Company's effective tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was (71)%, significantly different from the federal statutory rate of 21% due to noncontrolling interest allocations[99] - The Company was in compliance with all financial covenants under its debt agreements as of March 31, 2025[89] Other Financial Metrics - The company experienced a change in TRA liability resulting in a gain of $3.0 million in Q1 2025, compared to a loss of $1.2 million in Q1 2024[18] - The effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents resulted in a gain of $14.8 million in Q1 2025, compared to a loss of $(6.5) million in Q1 2024[23] - The company did not have any single customer accounting for more than 10% of its revenue during the reported periods, indicating a diversified customer base[130]
Shift4 Payments(FOUR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 17:46
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 35% year-over-year increase in volumes to $45 billion, with gross revenue less network fees rising 40% to $369 million [6][24] - Adjusted EBITDA increased 38% to $169 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins at 46%, slightly above the guidance of 45% [7][24] - Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.07 per share, reflecting strong performance [8][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Subscription and other revenue grew 77% year-over-year to $93 million, driven by success in SMB, SkyTab, and further penetration in the sports and entertainment vertical [24] - The company is focused on adding new merchants and expanding share of wallet, particularly in the restaurant sector with the introduction of SkyTab Air [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is experiencing stable volume trends across all end markets, with a slight deceleration attributed to seasonal factors [6][30] - International expansion is underway, with significant growth in markets like the UK, Ireland, and Germany, signing over 1,000 restaurants monthly [19][75] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is raising its full-year 2025 guidance, reflecting confidence in execution and growth drivers [6][29] - The acquisition of Global Blue is expected to unlock $80 million in revenue synergies by 2027, primarily through bundling payment solutions [21][90] - The company aims to replicate its successful U.S. model internationally, focusing on software and payment convergence [18][75] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding consumer spending trends, noting stability despite macroeconomic uncertainties [30][100] - The company has a proven track record of growing payment volumes during economic downturns, indicating resilience [22][30] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 686,000 shares for $63 million in Q1 and continued repurchases in April [27] - Total indebtedness has a weighted average cost of 3.4%, with net leverage at approximately 2.4 times [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: How would you describe the competitive environment in international markets? - Management noted that the international opportunity mirrors the U.S. market evolution, with a lack of convergence among software, hardware, and payment solutions [36][39] Question: Can you touch on what you're seeing in the market more broadly into April? - Management indicated stable trends in same-store sales across various segments, with modest compression in restaurants and hotels [42][46] Question: Where are you on the synergy update from recent acquisitions? - Management highlighted successful cross-sell opportunities from acquisitions like Revel, contributing significantly to the SkyTab development pipeline [50][51] Question: What was organic and inorganic growth in the 40% GR LNF growth in the quarter? - Management stated that organic revenue growth is expected to be north of 20% for the year, with acquisitions providing noise in quarter-to-quarter comparisons [56][57] Question: Can you provide any color on the current revenue split between U.S. and international? - Management indicated that international revenue is still developing, with significant contributions expected from enterprise customers and SMB products [72][73]
Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 14:35
Core Insights - Shift4 Payments reported a revenue of $368.5 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 39.7% and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.90% [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $1.07, significantly higher than the $0.54 reported in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of 50.70% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.71 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - End-to-End Payment Volume reached $45 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $44.53 billion from five analysts [4] - Gross Revenue from Subscription and other revenues was reported at $92.60 million, slightly above the average estimate of $92.56 million, marking a year-over-year increase of 77.1% [4] - Gross Revenue from Payments-based revenue was $755.70 million, below the average estimate of $797.60 million, but still showing a year-over-year growth of 15.4% [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Shift4 Payments have returned -2.5%, compared to a -0.8% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 13:25
Shift4 Payments (FOUR) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.07 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.71 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.54 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 50.70%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $1.16 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.35, delivering a surprise of 16.38%.Over the last four quarters, the company ...
Shift4 Payments(FOUR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 12:30
Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 29, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company Participants Thomas McCrohan - Executive Vice President of Investor RelationsTaylor Lauber - PresidentNancy Disman - CFORayna Kumar - Managing Director - Fintech Equity ResearchDarrin Peller - Managing DirectorAdam Frisch - Senior Managing Director - EquitiesTimothy Chiodo - Managing DirectorAndrew Bauch - Director - Equity ResearchDominic Ball - VP - Equity ResearchMatthew O'Neill - Managing Director Conference Call Participant ...
Shift4 Payments(FOUR) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-04-29 11:14
Exhibit 99.1 crypto.com @ crypto.com crypto.com SHIFT@ Q1 2025 SHAREHOLDER LETTER INVESTORS.SHIFT4.COM Forward-Looking Statements This letter contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Shift4 Payments, Inc. ("we. "our," the "Company." o "Shift4") intends such forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended and Section 21 ...
Curious about Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Q1 Performance? Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-04-28 14:21
The consensus among analysts is that 'Gross Revenue- Subscription and other revenues' will reach $92.56 million. The estimate points to a change of +77% from the year-ago quarter. Analysts expect 'Gross Revenue- Payments-based revenue' to come in at $797.60 million. The estimate indicates a year-over-year change of +21.8%. The average prediction of analysts places 'End-to-End Payment Volume' at $44.53 billion. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported $33.40 billion in the same quarter last yea ...
Shift4 Payments(FOUR) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-02-19 21:06
Business Operations and Revenue Model - Shift4 processed billions of transactions annually for hundreds of thousands of businesses, establishing itself as a leading independent provider of software and payment processing solutions in the U.S.[25] - The majority of Shift4's revenue is derived from processing fees, charged as a percentage of end-to-end payment volume and/or as a fee per transaction, with no single merchant accounting for more than 3% of revenue in recent years[30] - Shift4's revenue model is predominantly recurring, with significant contributions from subscription revenue for licensing its POS software and business intelligence tools[30] - The company aims to increase payment volume processed through its integrated platform across diverse verticals, including restaurants and e-commerce[47] - Shift4 Payments reported a significant increase in revenue, achieving $500 million in Q3 2023, representing a 25% year-over-year growth[101] - Shift4 Payments anticipates continued growth, projecting revenue to reach between $2 billion and $2.2 billion for the full year 2024, indicating a growth rate of approximately 20%[101] Technology and Innovation - The payments platform supports multiple payment types, including credit, debit, contactless cards, and alternative payment methods like Apple Pay and Google Pay, ensuring flexibility for merchants[33] - Shift4's proprietary gateway integrates with over 550 software suites, enabling connectivity with major payment processors and enhancing security features to protect consumer card data[34] - Shift4's technology solutions are designed to streamline business operations and drive growth through strong consumer engagement and rich transaction-level data[35] - The company focuses on innovation and product development, leveraging an extensive library of intellectual property to create scalable technology solutions[28] - Shift4's technology solutions include SkyTab POS, SkyTab Mobile, and Lighthouse, aimed at improving operational efficiency and customer engagement[37] - Shift4 Payments is investing in new technology, including enhancements to its payment processing platform, which is expected to improve transaction speed by 15%[101] Market Expansion and Strategic Partnerships - The company is strategically expanding its market presence and enhancing its service offerings through partnerships with independent software vendors and value-added resellers[29] - In 2023, the company acquired Credorax, Inc. (operating as Finaro) to support international expansion, particularly in Europe and the UK[50] - The company is focused on international expansion and anticipates growth in its market position, with a strategy to enhance its service offerings[15] - Shift4 Payments is exploring potential acquisitions to bolster its service offerings and expand its technological capabilities, with a target of completing at least one acquisition by the end of 2024[101] - The company has initiated strategic partnerships with major players in the e-commerce space, which is projected to increase its customer base by 40% over the next year[101] Customer Experience and Support - The company aims to simplify commerce for merchants by providing an integrated solution that combines hardware, software, and payment processing[27] - The merchant onboarding process allows for activation within minutes via an online portal, with complex merchants typically onboarded within 24 hours[44] - The company provides a full curriculum of training materials to merchants, enhancing their operational capabilities[44] - The company provides 24/7 merchant support, emphasizing first-call resolution to enhance operational efficiency[51] - Shift4's operations infrastructure leverages over 30 years of experience in the hospitality sector to deliver high-quality customer experiences[42] Employee Engagement and Corporate Culture - As of December 31, 2024, Shift4's workforce included approximately 4,000 employees, with 800 employees added through acquisitions completed in 2024[75] - Shift4's compensation philosophy emphasizes equity and performance-based rewards, including a 401(k) with 100% matching up to 4% of salary in the U.S.[80] - In 2024, over 2,500 employees voluntarily engaged in learning opportunities, completing approximately 23,000 courses[79] - The appointment of Shift4's first Chief Human Resources Officer in 2024 reflects a strategic enhancement of the human capital governance structure[76] - Shift4's employee engagement initiatives include the Top Gun Employee Recognition Program, celebrating top performers and driving retention[84] Compliance and Risk Management - The company is subject to various federal, state, and international laws prohibiting unfair or deceptive trade practices, which could impact its business operations[70] - The company is subject to GDPR penalties for non-compliance, which can reach up to EUR 20 million or 4% of global annual turnover[69] - The company has policies and controls in place to comply with anti-money laundering laws and regulations in various jurisdictions, including the U.S. and EU[71] - The company’s risk management operations monitor merchant accounts continuously to minimize losses associated with fraud and default[51] Financial Performance and Projections - The company processed over 200 million transactions in the last quarter, reflecting a 30% increase compared to the same period last year[101] - The company reported a net income of $50 million for Q3 2023, a 10% increase from the previous quarter, showcasing improved profitability[101] - Shift4 Payments is committed to enhancing its cybersecurity measures, with a planned investment of $10 million in 2024 to safeguard customer data[101] Governance and Leadership - Jared Isaacman has served as the CEO and Chairman of Shift4 Payments since its formation, and he is also the founder of Shift4 Payments, LLC[91] - Nancy Disman has been the CFO since August 2022, previously serving as CFO and Chief Administrative Officer at Intrado Corporation[93] - Shift4 Payments is committed to enhancing its governance practices through experienced board members with diverse backgrounds in finance and technology[15] - The company is preparing for potential executive transitions and succession planning to ensure leadership continuity[15]