Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments, Inc. (NYSE:FOUR) is recognized as one of the best fintech stocks to buy, despite a recent price target reduction by Raymond James from $126 to $120 while maintaining a Strong Buy rating ahead of Q3 2025 results [1] Group 1: Price Target and Revenue Estimates - Raymond James lowered its price target for Shift4 Payments due to anticipated weakness in Global Blue, which the company acquired in July, leading to a 1.5% reduction in Q3 revenue estimates [2] - Adjusted EBITDA estimates were also reduced by approximately 2.0% as a result of the same weakness [2] - For fiscal years 2026 and 2027, revenue and EBITDA forecasts for Global Blue were decreased by 2-3% [3] Group 2: Business Performance and Growth Outlook - Despite the challenges with Global Blue, Shift4 Payments' core business is performing as expected, and Raymond James remains optimistic about the company's long-term growth potential [4] - The firm highlights potential revenue synergies from Dynamic Currency Conversion (DCC) and cross-selling opportunities to Global Blue merchants as key growth drivers [4] - Shift4 Payments is positioned as a financial technology company providing integrated payments and commerce solutions [4]

Core Points - Shift4 Payments Chairman Jared Isaacman and former President Donald Trump met to discuss the revival of Isaacman's nomination as NASA administrator [2] Company Summary - The White House previously withdrew Isaacman's nomination to lead NASA [2]

Market Overview - Mid cap growth equities experienced modest gains in Q3, with the Russell Midcap Growth Index returning 2.8%, lagging behind the Russell Midcap Value Index at 6.2% and the Russell Midcap Index at 5.3% [3] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's rate cut in September contributed to easing monetary policy, benefiting rate-sensitive sectors and renewing interest in cyclical and innovation-led areas [3] Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment improved due to the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill and progress on trade agreements, reducing policy uncertainty and enabling companies to execute delayed strategic decisions [4] - Earnings estimates stabilized, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, despite ongoing challenges in non-residential construction and discretionary segments [4] Portfolio Performance - The ClearBridge Mid Cap Growth Strategy outperformed its benchmark in Q3, driven by stock selection in IT, consumer staples, and healthcare sectors, while consumer discretionary and financials sectors slightly detracted from performance [5] Sector Contributions - In the IT sector, AppLovin (APP) and Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) were standout performers, with AppLovin benefiting from strong earnings and optimism around its e-commerce business [6] - Consumer staples saw positive contributions from Performance Food Group (PFGC) and Casey's General Stores (CASY), both benefiting from strong operational performance [7] - The consumer discretionary sector faced challenges, particularly with Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) and Wingstop (WING) experiencing declines due to competitive pressures and softer spending trends [8] - Financials sector was a modest drag on performance, with Tradeweb Markets (TW) and Corpay facing challenges from macro volatility and company-specific issues [9] Portfolio Positioning - New positions were initiated in Roblox, benefiting from improved growth dynamics and advertising opportunities, and APi Group, which is well-positioned in safety and industrial services [10][11] - Exited position in Deckers Outdoor (DECK) due to increasing competitive pressures in the sneaker market [12] Outlook - Leadership within mid growth stocks remains selective, with a few companies rewarded for differentiated technology and strong pipelines, while others struggle with demand and competition [13] - Focus remains on identifying businesses with secular growth drivers across technology, healthcare, and industrials sectors [14] - Near-term market uncertainty is expected to persist, but the strategy is positioned to benefit from companies sustaining durable growth in earnings and cash flow [15] Portfolio Highlights - The ClearBridge Mid Cap Growth Strategy had positive contributions across seven of the 11 sectors, with IT and healthcare being the leading contributors [16] - Stock selection in IT, consumer staples, healthcare, and energy sectors contributed positively, while consumer discretionary and financials sectors weighed on performance [17] - Individual stock contributions included AppLovin, United Rentals (URI), and Performance Food, while detractors included Chipotle Mexican Grill and Tradeweb Markets [18]

Group 1 - Shift4 Payments, Inc. is positioned as a software-led commerce platform with a market cap of $7.5 billion and is growing at approximately 30% annually [2] - The company aims to achieve around $1 billion in free cash flow by 2027, supported by operating leverage and a high-return-on-invested-capital model [2] - The stock is currently mispriced as investors view it as a hyper-competitive vertical payments processor, overlooking its unique value proposition [3][5] Group 2 - Shift4 processes payments for about one-third of U.S. sit-down restaurants, 40% of hotels, and nearly three-quarters of professional sports stadiums, highlighting its critical infrastructure role [4] - The company operates both front-end software for merchants and back-end payment processing, ensuring multiple monetization points across the value chain [4] - There is a strong alignment with the founder, who remains actively involved and has been purchasing shares in the open market [2][5] Group 3 - Investors may not fully recognize Shift4's evolution into a global commerce platform, which presents an attractive investment opportunity with significant rerating potential [5] - The stock price has depreciated approximately 2.8% since previous bullish coverage, but the underlying thesis remains valid, focusing on embedded infrastructure and free cash flow trajectory [6]

Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments, Inc. has declared a cash dividend of $1.50 per share for its 6% Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, which will be paid on November 3, 2025 [1] Company Summary - The dividend is applicable to the 10,000,000 shares of 6% Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock issued on May 5, 2025 [1] - The record date for the dividend payment is set for October 15, 2025 [1]

Core Insights - Shift4 Payments, Inc. (NYSE: FOUR) is a fintech company focused on providing merchant services to restaurants, hotels, and discretionary leisure sectors [1] - The company's stock does not reflect a guaranteed growth outlook despite existing consumer risks [1] Company Overview - Shift4 Payments specializes in merchant services tailored for the hospitality and leisure industries [1] - The company operates in a sector that is sensitive to consumer spending patterns, which can introduce volatility [1] Investment Perspective - The analysis is based on value investing principles, emphasizing an owner's mindset and a long-term investment horizon [1] - The author does not engage in short-selling or provide sell recommendations, indicating a bullish outlook on the stock [1]

Company Overview - Shift4 Payments (NYSE: FOUR) is a fintech company that specializes in merchant services for restaurants, hotels, and other discretionary leisure sectors [1] Market Position - Despite evident consumer risks, Shift4 Payments does not trade as if growth is guaranteed, indicating a potential undervaluation in the market [1] Investment Perspective - The analysis is based on value investing principles, emphasizing an owner's mindset and a long-term investment horizon [1]

Core Insights - The company’s strategic priorities are expected to remain consistent despite the change in CEO, as the founder remains the largest shareholder [1] - The new CEO, David Lauber, emphasizes alignment with the founder on growth strategies and differentiation [1] Company Strategy - The company’s strategic direction is not anticipated to change significantly, indicating stability in its operational focus [1] - The CEO and founder have been in sync regarding the approach to business growth, suggesting a cohesive leadership vision [1]

Core Insights - The company’s strategic priorities are expected to remain consistent despite the change in CEO, as the founder remains the largest shareholder [1] Group 1 - The new CEO, David Lauber, emphasizes continuity in strategic direction, indicating alignment with the founder's vision for growth [1] - The company has a strong focus on differentiation in its business strategy, which is seen as a key driver for future growth [1]

Summary of Shift4 Payments Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shift4 Payments - **CEO**: Taylor Lauber, who has been with the company for many years and previously served as President and Chief Strategy Officer [1][3] Key Points and Arguments Company Growth and Evolution - Shift4 Payments has significantly evolved, now being 12 times larger on an EBITDA basis and 25 times larger on a free cash flow basis compared to a year ago [4] - The workforce has expanded to 6,000 employees, with 65% located outside the United States, indicating a global growth strategy [4] Management Changes - Chris Cruz has been appointed as CFO following Nancy's retirement, who successfully achieved her objectives during her tenure [5][6] - The transition is expected to maintain continuity in strategic priorities, as the founder remains the largest shareholder [5][6] Guidance Philosophy - The company aims to adopt a conservative guidance philosophy, focusing on under-promising and over-delivering [8][9] - Medium-term guidance is based on a strong conviction of achieving set targets, with a focus on profitability and revenue visibility [9][10] Financial Performance - Recent revenue came in roughly in line with expectations, with a higher take rate but lower volumes than anticipated [16] - The company has a balanced customer book, with a robust SMB opportunity, particularly outside the U.S. [18][19] International Expansion and Acquisitions - The acquisition of Vectron, a restaurant point-of-sale business in Germany, is expected to enhance Shift4's international footprint [22][24] - The integration of Vectron is seen as a way to leverage an existing reseller network to accelerate market entry [23][24] Global Blue Acquisition - The acquisition of Global Blue is the largest in the company's history, with expectations of high single-digit growth and potential for 12% to 14% growth in the medium term [31][36] - The company plans to leverage synergies from the acquisition, particularly in currency conversion and tax-free shopping services [38][39] Market Opportunities - Shift4 Payments has a significant presence in the U.S. hospitality sector, with about 40% of hotels on its platform, indicating room for growth [51] - The company is also expanding its footprint in the stadium and entertainment sectors, with a large total addressable market (TAM) for in-venue commerce [45][46] Capital Allocation and Future M&A - The company plans to continue pursuing M&A opportunities, with a target of redeploying approximately $200 million annually into new acquisitions [58][59] - Shift4 Payments has a disciplined approach to acquisitions, focusing on strategic fit and synergy realization [59] Additional Important Insights - The company emphasizes the importance of customer satisfaction and retention, particularly in the context of its SkyTab product [27][28] - There is a focus on ensuring that existing customers are happy with their current solutions before pushing for upgrades [28][30] - The management is keen on maintaining a balance between growth and operational efficiency, especially in integrating new acquisitions [59] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the Shift4 Payments conference call, highlighting the company's growth trajectory, management changes, and future opportunities.