The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) is one of the 10 most undervalued industrial stocks to buy according to analysts. According to a report released on December 23, Noble Financial kept its Buy rating on the stock. Analyst Joe Gomes maintained a price target of $35 for the shares, offering a huge upside of 92% from current levels. Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR): Among Top Stocks in Bill Gates’ Portfolio with Huge Upside Potential A day before the above rating, the company announced that it had secured a contract wi ...

Core Viewpoint - Fortuna Mining Corp. achieved its annual production guidance for 2025, producing 317,001 gold equivalent ounces (GEO) across its three operating mines in Latin America and West Africa, despite a decrease in fourth-quarter production due to mechanical downtime at the Lindero mine [1][6]. Fourth Quarter 2025 Highlights - GEO production for Q4 2025 was 65,130, down from 72,462 in Q3 2025 and 75,562 in Q4 2024, primarily due to mechanical downtime at Lindero [2][6]. - Lindero's production was impacted by a failure of the primary crusher and HPGR, leading to a 21% decrease in gold production compared to the previous quarter [15][16]. Full Year 2025 Highlights - Total GEO production from ongoing operations was 279,207, a decrease from 292,169 GEO in 2024, attributed to rising gold prices affecting the gold-to-base-metal ratios [6]. - Séguéla mine achieved record gold production of 152,426 ounces, exceeding the upper end of its annual guidance by 4% [11][6]. - The company streamlined its portfolio by divesting short reserve-life assets, including the San Jose and Yaramoko mines [6]. 2026 Outlook Highlights - The company aims for GEO production between 281,000 and 305,000, representing a projected increase of 1% to 9% compared to 2025 [6][28]. - Cash costs are expected to range from $895 to $1,000 per GEO, with all-in sustaining costs (AISC) projected between $1,830 and $1,975 per GEO [6][29]. - Key growth projects include advancing the Diamba Sud Gold Project and expanding the Séguéla processing plant [6][26]. Regional Performance Séguéla Mine, Côte d'Ivoire - Séguéla produced 36,942 ounces of gold in Q4 2025, with a gold grade of 3.16 g/t and a recovery rate of 92.1% [8][9]. - The mine's production was impacted by downtime due to maintenance but still achieved record annual production [11][7]. Lindero Mine, Argentina - Lindero produced 19,201 ounces of gold in Q4 2025, a 21% decrease from Q3 2025, due to mechanical issues [15][17]. - The mine's total production for 2025 was 87,489 ounces, falling short of annual guidance [17]. Caylloma Mine, Peru - Caylloma produced 39,292 GEO in 2025, with strong operational performance in base metal production exceeding guidance [20][24]. - The mine processed 555,649 tonnes of ore in 2025, maintaining consistent production levels [19][22]. Financial Position - As of December 31, 2025, the company had an estimated liquidity of $704 million and a net cash position of $382 million, supporting planned investments in project development and expansion [27].

Core Insights - GEO Group is a prominent provider of secure facility management and community reentry services, utilizing an integrated approach to meet the needs of government clients seeking comprehensive correctional solutions [1] Financial Performance - As of the latest report, GEO shares were priced at $16.31, reflecting a 42% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which increased by approximately 15% during the same period [2] - The latest quarter showed a reported net income of $173.9 million and earnings of $1.24 per diluted share, a substantial increase from $26.3 million and $0.19 per share, respectively; however, much of this increase was attributed to a $232 million pre-tax gain on asset divestitures, leading to an adjusted net income of $0.25 per share [3] - Third-quarter revenue rose to $682.3 million, up from $603.1 million, with adjusted EBITDA remaining stable at $120.1 million [4] Strategic Moves - Management has increased its share repurchase authorization to $500 million while continuing to reduce leverage on the balance sheet [4] - GEO Group has secured over $460 million in newly awarded annualized contract revenue expected to normalize in 2026, primarily related to ICE facilities and electronic monitoring services [4] Market Position and Risks - The company operates in a politically sensitive and contract-dependent environment, with earnings subject to fluctuations based on asset sales, litigation reserves, and policy changes [5] - A significant fund reduced its stake in GEO Group, selling 927,016 shares during the third quarter, which indicates a strategic risk management approach rather than panic [2][5]

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) is one of the Stocks That Could Mint Millionaires in 2026. The GEO Group (GEO): Lawmakers Mention Firm in Letter to Homeland Pixabay/Public Domain The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) was recently mentioned in a letter sent earlier this week to the inspectors general for the Department of Homeland Security and the Department of Defense by a group of Democrats led by Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and Maryland Representative Jamie Raskin, with the lawmakers expressing con ...

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) is among the best US stocks to buy under $20. As of November 26, The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) is a consensus Buy with all analysts covering it assigning a Buy or equivalent rating. With a consensus 1-year median price target of $37, the stock has an upside of over 137%. On November 10, Joe Gomes, an analyst at Noble Financial, reaffirmed the ‘Buy’ rating on The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO), with a price target of $35, which suggests an upside potential of over 120%. busines ...

The GEO Group Inc. (NYSE:GEO) is one of the best upside stocks to buy now. On November 8, JonesResearch lowered the firm’s price target on GEO Group to $37 from $50 with a Buy rating on the shares. The firm noted that the company has started to show a trajectory toward over $3 billion in annualized revenue for the full-year 2026, driven by upcoming contracts and monitoring services. At the same time, the firm revised its financial estimates downward to account for slower growth than previously expected. D ...

Core Viewpoint - Cerrado Gold Inc. reported operational and financial results for Q3 2025, highlighting increased gold production and ongoing development across its projects, including Minera Don Nicolas, Lagoa Salgada, and Mont Sorcier [1][7][20]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $41.0 million, an increase from $36.7 million in Q3 2024, driven by higher average realized prices [21]. - The company produced 13,832 gold equivalent ounces (GEO) in Q3 2025, compared to 16,604 GEO in the same period last year, with heap leach production significantly higher due to improved recoveries [20][21]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $11.8 million, up from $7.4 million in Q3 2024 [19]. - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q3 2025 stood at $16.5 million, compared to $7.9 million at the same time last year [19]. Operational Highlights - The heap leach operation achieved a production record of 10,429 GEO for Q3 2025, reflecting a 33% increase from Q2 2025 [4][8]. - The company maintained its full-year production guidance of 50,000-55,000 GEO, with expectations for increased underground mining production in Q4 2025 [7][28]. - The CIL plant processed lower-grade stockpiles during Q3 2025, with plans to continue this into Q4 [4][27]. Exploration and Development - An initial 20,000-meter drill program at Minera Don Nicolas is being expanded to 50,000 meters for 2026, with three new drill rigs acquired to accelerate drilling [5][29]. - The Optimized Feasibility Study for the Lagoa Salgada project is nearing completion, expected in early 2026, while the Bankable Feasibility Study for Mont Sorcier is targeted for Q2 2026 [6][32]. - The company is working on certifying its own testing lab to reduce assay turnaround times [5]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focused on maximizing asset value through operational optimization and exploration to unlock potential resources [39][40]. - The Mont Sorcier project is positioned to meet growing demand for high-grade iron concentrate, supporting the transition to greener steel production [32][42]. - A hedging program has been extended to secure cash flows and support funding for growth initiatives [26].

Core Insights - GEO Group is experiencing a challenging period with litigation issues and a softened earnings outlook, despite securing record contracts and better-than-expected third-quarter results [1][6]. Company Overview - GEO Group is a leading provider of secure facility management and community reentry services, with a diversified revenue base across the U.S. and international markets [5]. - The company serves federal, state, and local government agencies, focusing on correctional, law enforcement, and immigration authorities [5]. - As of the latest market close, GEO's stock price is $15.58, with a market capitalization of $2.2 billion, revenue of $2.5 billion, and net income of $238.1 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4]. Recent Developments - Apis Capital Advisors sold 394,000 shares of GEO during the third quarter, reducing its stake to 860,000 shares valued at $17.6 million [2][8]. - This sale represents 3.9% of Apis Capital Advisors' reportable assets under management (AUM), indicating a significant shift as GEO is no longer among the top five holdings [3][8]. - GEO's shares have declined 44% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500, which has increased by 13% during the same period [3]. Financial Performance - GEO's revenue increased by 13% year-over-year, but the company has tightened its fourth-quarter guidance, projecting GAAP net income of $0.23 to $0.27 per share on revenue between $651 million and $676 million [9]. - The company recorded a $37.7 million non-cash reserve related to litigation claims involving detainees in custody [9]. - Despite these challenges, management highlights significant growth drivers for 2026, including 6,000 newly contracted ICE beds and expanded transportation services [9].

Company Overview - The GEO Group operates as a leading provider of diversified correctional, detention, and community reentry services, serving government clients across multiple countries [4] - The company generates revenue primarily through long-term contracts with government agencies for facility operation, electronic supervision, and community-based reentry programs [5] - GEO's competitive position is supported by its broad geographic footprint, contract-based revenue streams, and specialized expertise in security and compliance solutions [4] Recent Developments - On November 10, 2025, Turiya Advisors Asia Ltd disclosed a new position in The GEO Group, acquiring 5,644,900 shares valued at approximately $115.66 million, representing 30.62% of the fund's reportable U.S. equity assets under management [2][6] - As of November 11, 2025, GEO shares were priced at $14.84, reflecting a 44.0% decline over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 55.68 percentage points [3] Financial Metrics - The GEO Group reported a total revenue of $2.42 billion and a net income of $31.97 million for the trailing twelve months [3] - The company's market capitalization stands at $2.07 billion [3] Investment Sentiment - Turiya Advisors Asia's significant investment in GEO suggests a belief that the company's fundamentals may be undervalued compared to the prevailing market narrative [8] - The investment reflects a view that growing contract activity and cash generation will prove more durable than the political and legal challenges facing the company [11] Business Model and Strategy - GEO's business model is anchored in long-term, contracted revenue from federal, state, and local agencies, managing secure correctional and detention facilities while expanding electronic monitoring and community-based services [9] - Recent quarters have shown increased revenue driven by new and reactivated contracts, indicating a robust pipeline of contracted cash flows that can support debt reduction and capital returns [9]

Core Insights - The GEO Group, Inc generates revenue primarily through long-term contracts with government agencies for facility operation, electronic supervision, and community-based reentry programs [1] - The company operates as a leading provider of diversified correctional, detention, and community reentry services, leveraging an integrated service model [2] - Turiya Advisors Asia Ltd initiated a new position in GEO, acquiring 5,644,900 shares valued at approximately $115.66 million, representing 30.62% of the fund's U.S. equity assets under management [3][4] - The investment by Turiya Advisors Asia reflects a belief that GEO's fundamentals may be undervalued compared to the prevailing market sentiment [5][8] Company Overview - GEO operates secure facility management, reentry services, electronic monitoring, and rehabilitation programs across the United States, Australia, and South Africa [4] - The company has a broad geographic footprint and contract-based revenue streams, which support its competitive position in the market [2][6] - Recent quarters have shown increased revenue driven by new and reactivated contracts, particularly with ICE [6] Financial Performance - As of November 11, 2025, GEO's shares were priced at $14.84, down 44.0% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 55.68 percentage points [3] - The investment by Turiya Advisors Asia indicates a significant allocation of capital, suggesting confidence in GEO's future cash generation capabilities [5][8] Market Position and Risks - GEO's business model is anchored in long-term, contracted revenue from government agencies, despite operating in a sector that many investors avoid [6] - The company faces substantial risks, including legal challenges and policy shifts that could impact its operations [7]