Glaukos(GKOS)
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花旗:美国医疗科技_2025 年展望_但等等,还有更多
花旗· 2025-07-14 00:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Boston Scientific (BSX), Edwards Lifesciences (EW), GE Healthcare (GEHC), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), and Haemonetics (HAE), while downgrading Tandem Diabetes (TNDM) to "Sell/High Risk" from "Neutral/High Risk" [1][5][20]. Core Insights - The MedTech sector has shown resilience against healthcare headwinds, with a focus on returning to fundamentals and several catalysts expected to drive momentum in the second half of 2025 [1][9]. - The S&P Equipment and Supplies Index has outperformed the broader market, with a year-to-date increase of 7.2%, while relative P/E multiples remain below historical averages [2][12]. - Key upcoming catalysts include product launches and data readouts from various companies, which are anticipated to influence stock performance positively [3][10][11]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The MedTech industry has largely absorbed tariff impacts, with a weakening USD providing additional support [1][9]. - The S&P 500 is up 6.2% year-to-date, while the S&P Equipment and Supplies Index has increased by 7.2% [2][12]. Company-Specific Insights - Boston Scientific (BSX) is expected to benefit from Farapulse and new product launches, projecting a revenue increase of 80.1% year-over-year in 2Q25 [3][10]. - Edwards Lifesciences (EW) anticipates pivotal data releases and the reopening of TAVR NCD, which could enhance its market position [3][10]. - Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) plans a broad launch of its DV5 system, which is expected to drive stock performance [4][10]. - Haemonetics (HAE) has been upgraded to "Buy" due to improved guidance and revenue growth expectations [5][20]. - Tandem Diabetes (TNDM) faces competitive pressures, leading to its downgrade to "Sell/High Risk" [5][20]. Valuation and Target Prices - Target prices have been adjusted for several companies, with BSX at $125, EW at $95, GEHC at $86, and ISRG at $650 [20][21]. - The report highlights that the relative P/E multiple for the MedTech sector is currently at 1.14x, below historical averages, indicating potential undervaluation [2][12][14].
Glaukos Ramps Up iDose TR, Battles Legacy and Reimbursement Risks
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 13:20
Core Insights - Glaukos Corporation (GKOS) reported a record-breaking first-quarter 2025 performance with revenues of $106.7 million, a 25% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by the adoption of the iDose TR implant [1][8] - The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance of $475-$485 million, indicating confidence in its commercial momentum [1] Near-Term Growth Drivers - The iDose TR launch is gaining traction, with U.S. glaucoma sales increasing by 41% year-over-year, contributing nearly $21 million in the first quarter, reflecting an $85 million annualized run rate [3] - Internationally, Glaukos achieved $29 million in interventional glaucoma sales, a 15% year-over-year increase, supported by the growing acceptance of minimally invasive glaucoma surgery (MIGS) [4] Long-Term Growth Catalysts - Glaukos has a robust R&D pipeline with key programs including Epioxa, iDose Trex, PRESERFLO MicroShunt, and GLK-401, which are expected to broaden the company's addressable market in the next three to five years [5][6] - The company is cultivating standalone use of MIGS devices like iStent infinite, anticipating long-term growth as more surgeons adopt interventional glaucoma practices [7] Challenges and Watchpoints - Reimbursement complexities and LCD restrictions are impacting legacy stent sales, which declined mid-single digits in the first quarter, with expectations of continued pressure through 2025 [8][9] - Sales of Photrexa remain muted due to the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program, with near-term growth in this segment expected to be flat to low-single digits [10] Competitive Landscape - The iDose TR launch positions Glaukos ahead in procedural glaucoma drug delivery, but competition from Alcon, Johnson & Johnson, and Sight Sciences remains significant [11] - Year-to-date, Glaukos shares have declined by 31.7%, underperforming its rivals in the MIGS space, while Alcon and J&J have seen increases [12]
Glaukos (GKOS) Earnings Call Presentation
2025-06-26 08:31
Investor Presentation May 2025 Disclaimer All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation that address activities, events or developments that we expect, believe or anticipate will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's current expectations, assumptions, estimates and beliefs. Although we believe that we have a reasonable basis for forward-looking statements contained herein, we caution you that they are ba ...
What Makes Glaukos (GKOS) a New Buy Stock
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Glaukos (GKOS) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system reflects changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with stock price movements, particularly influenced by institutional investors [4][6]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value calculations by institutional investors, resulting in buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [4]. Recent Performance and Outlook - Glaukos is projected to earn -$0.81 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, showing no year-over-year change, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 9.3% over the past three months [8]. - The upgrade to Zacks Rank 2 places Glaukos in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10]. Zacks Rating System - The Zacks Rank system categorizes stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a proven track record of Zacks Rank 1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7][9]. - The system maintains a balanced distribution of ratings, ensuring that only the top 5% of stocks receive a "Strong Buy" rating, while the next 15% receive a "Buy" rating [9].
Can Glaukos (GKOS) Climb 34.4% to Reach the Level Wall Street Analysts Expect?
ZACKS· 2025-06-11 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Glaukos (GKOS) shows potential for significant upside, with a mean price target of $128.54 indicating a 34.4% increase from the current price of $95.64, supported by positive earnings estimate revisions [1][11]. Price Targets - The average of 13 short-term price targets ranges from a low of $72 to a high of $182, with a standard deviation of $33.39, indicating variability in analyst estimates [2]. - The lowest estimate suggests a decline of 24.7%, while the most optimistic estimate indicates a potential upside of 90.3% [2]. Analyst Consensus - Analysts have shown strong agreement in revising earnings estimates higher, which correlates with potential stock price increases [4][11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased by 11.8%, with four estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [12]. Zacks Rank - GKOS holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating strong potential for upside [13]. Caution on Price Targets - Solely relying on price targets for investment decisions may be misleading, as analysts often set overly optimistic targets influenced by business relationships [3][8][10].
Glaukos (GKOS) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-06-04 13:47
Summary of Glaukos (GKOS) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Glaukos Corporation (GKOS) - **Industry**: Medical Supplies and Devices, specifically focused on glaucoma treatment Key Points and Arguments Interventional Glaucoma Paradigm Shift - The interventional glaucoma approach is gaining acceptance as a proactive method to manage glaucoma, moving away from traditional drop treatments which patients often neglect [3][4] - The company emphasizes the need for changing practice patterns and educating healthcare providers to adopt this new approach effectively [5][6] - The transition to an interventional approach is expected to take about ten years, with a focus on improving patient outcomes [6] Physician Adoption and Challenges - Physician receptiveness varies, but the main challenge lies in translating positive clinical feedback into actionable changes in practice [7][8] - The company is focused on addressing operational challenges within practices, such as educating referral networks and changing administrative processes [9] Market Dynamics and Treatment Modalities - The company acknowledges the competition from other treatment modalities like SLT and emphasizes the importance of interventional approaches in patient care [12][16] - The average patient remains in care for over 20 years, necessitating multiple interventions to manage their condition effectively [17] iDose Product Launch and Reimbursement - The iDose product has seen successful launch and is currently focused on securing reimbursement from various Medicare Administrative Contractors (MACs) [18][19] - The reimbursement landscape is segmented into three tiers, with varying levels of predictability and success in claims processing [19][20] - The company is actively working to streamline reimbursement processes and is optimistic about future growth in iDose contributions [26][27] Financial Performance and Cash Flow - The company aims to achieve cash flow breakeven in the near term, with expectations that iDose will contribute positively to gross margins over time [41][42] - Operating expenses are growing at a slower rate than revenue, indicating operational leverage is being achieved [45] Sales Strategy and Market Access - The sales force is deemed sufficient, with plans to fill geographic gaps as needed [47] - The company is focusing on supporting healthcare providers in navigating the complexities of commercial payer systems, which differ significantly from Medicare processes [36][37] Future Outlook and Growth Potential - The company anticipates continued growth in the MIGS market, with expectations of mid-single-digit growth rates in the long term [57][58] - The focus remains on increasing standalone utilization of iDose and other products, which may influence market dynamics and physician preferences [58] Additional Important Insights - The company is investing in educational initiatives and industry collaborations to promote best practices in interventional glaucoma [11] - The reimbursement process is described as a data collection effort by MACs to ensure medical necessity and appropriate payment calculations [23][24] - The company is also working on new product developments, including the Trio system, which aims to enhance in-office procedures [50][51] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the Glaukos conference call, highlighting the company's strategic focus on interventional glaucoma, product launches, and market dynamics.
Glaukos (GKOS) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-03 18:40
Summary of Glaukos (GKOS) FY Conference June 03, 2025 Company Overview - Glaukos is focused on innovative treatments for glaucoma and other eye diseases, emphasizing dropless therapies and interventional glaucoma solutions [3][4][5] - The company has developed five novel platforms, including the iStent franchise and the latest product line, iDose [5][6] Key Products and Innovations - **iStent Franchise**: Established product line for treating glaucoma [5] - **iDose**: A new product that allows for continuous drug delivery, showing a 70% control rate of intraocular pressure over three years in trials [22][23] - **EyeLink**: A product targeting keratoconus, with an NDA submitted and a PDUFA date set for October 2025 [36] - **Ilucian**: A cream-based drug delivery system targeting Demodex blepharitis, with clinical trials starting this year [37] - **Retina Products**: Utilizing a small molecule approach for retinal diseases, with a phase one trial underway [39] Market Opportunity - The total addressable market for glaucoma treatment includes approximately 22 million eyes in the U.S., with 12 million actively treated [25] - The company aims to shift from a cataract surgery-focused market to a standalone glaucoma treatment market, which presents significant growth potential [25][26] Research and Development Investment - Over the past seven years, Glaukos has invested more than $700 million in R&D, resulting in 14 disclosed programs in the pipeline [7] - The company is committed to long-term innovation, with a focus on interventional glaucoma as a ten-year journey [28] Commercial Strategy - Emphasis on early intervention in glaucoma treatment to improve patient outcomes and reduce reliance on drops, which have low compliance rates [10][12] - The "forever patient" model allows for multiple treatment iterations over a patient's lifetime, enhancing both patient care and business opportunities for ophthalmologists [21][22] Financial Performance - Glaukos has achieved a ten-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20% and maintains gross margins exceeding 80% [42] - The company has a strong balance sheet with over $300 million in cash and no debt [43] Future Milestones - Key milestones for 2025 include advancing clinical trials for new products and expanding market access for existing therapies [42] Conclusion - Glaukos is positioned as a leader in the ophthalmology market with a robust pipeline of innovative products aimed at improving patient care in glaucoma and other eye diseases, supported by strong financial health and a commitment to R&D [41][42]
Glaukos (GKOS) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-05-27 17:30
Summary of Glaukos (GKOS) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Glaukos Corporation (GKOS) - **Event**: 2025 Conference Call held on May 27, 2025 Key Points on iDose Reimbursement and Performance - **Reimbursement Status**: Progress is being made with Medicare administrators, including Noridian, Novitas, and First Coast, with increasing payments for the drug and facility fees [2][3][10] - **Professional Fee Adjudication**: Ongoing efforts to streamline professional fee payments, with some Medicare Administrative Contractors (MACs) showing signs of improvement [3][5] - **Volume Generation**: The timing of reimbursement progress is tied to generating procedural volumes, which is critical for establishing a systematic reimbursement process [4][5] - **ASP Comparison**: iDose's Average Selling Price (ASP) is competitive, with the product containing seven times the amount of drug compared to Darista, which has comprehensive coverage across payers [7][9][10] - **Coverage Status**: Approximately 50% of lives are covered under commercial plans and Medicare Advantage, with ongoing efforts to expand access [10][11] - **Market Dynamics**: iDose is positioned as a second or third-line therapy initially, with plans to drive it closer to first-line therapy over time [12] Financial Performance and Projections - **Q1 2025 Performance**: The company reported exceptional progress in the market, with Noridian fully operational and increasing payments from Novitas and First Coast [14][19] - **Sales Guidance**: For 2025, the guidance for iDose sales is projected between $120 million to $125 million, with expectations for a stronger second half of the year due to seasonality and backlog building [23][24] - **Gradual Launch**: The launch of iDose is expected to be gradual and methodical, with a focus on education and operationalizing reimbursement processes [37][39] Long-term Outlook - **Peak Sales Estimates**: Peak sales expectations for iDose have not changed significantly but have increased on a risk-adjusted basis due to positive real-world performance [45] - **Market Potential**: The company is optimistic about the long-term market opportunity, with a focus on expanding access and operational efficiency in physician offices [42][44] U.S. Stent Business Insights - **Recent Performance**: The U.S. stent business experienced mid-single-digit growth in early 2024 but faced challenges due to Local Coverage Determinations (LCDs) impacting procedures [47][48] - **Guidance Adjustments**: Guidance for 2025 has been adjusted to reflect the impact of LCDs, with expectations for recovery as awareness and adaptation to these changes improve [52][54] Profitability Goals - **Cash Flow Breakeven**: The company aims to achieve free cash flow breakeven in the near term while continuing to make necessary investments [56] Additional Notes - **Investor Enthusiasm**: There is strong enthusiasm from investors regarding the product's clinical performance, but the launch pace is primarily influenced by reimbursement dynamics [31][35] - **Education and Support**: The company emphasizes the importance of educating physicians and their staff on the procedural aspects and reimbursement processes to ensure successful adoption [29][30]
Here's Why You Should Retain Glaukos Stock in Your Portfolio
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 12:20
Core Viewpoint - Glaukos Corporation is positioned for growth due to favorable clinical trial results and a strong product pipeline, despite facing significant competition [1] Company Overview - Glaukos has a market capitalization of $5.48 billion and is recognized as a leading ophthalmic medical technology and pharmaceutical company, with a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 21.62% [2] Key Catalysts - Strong product demand is primarily driven by the success of the flagship product, iStent, which has led to a robust performance in 2024 and a positive business outlook [3] - The adoption of iStent Infinite for glaucoma patients is increasing, supported by enhanced clinical education and improved market access, with five out of seven Medicare Administrative Contractors releasing draft local coverage determinations [4] Financial Performance - Glaukos' revenues exceeded estimates in Q1 2025, improving by 24.6% year over year, with expectations for full-year 2025 revenues between $475 million and $485 million, reflecting a projected sales growth of 25.5% and earnings growth of 53.4% [5] Product Portfolio Expansion - The first quarter's top line was significantly boosted by the strong adoption of the iDose TR product, with the U.S. glaucoma segment experiencing 41% year-over-year growth [6] - The FDA has accepted the NDA for Epioxa, a next-generation therapy for keratoconus, with a PDUFA date set for October 2025 [7] International Growth - Glaukos is expanding its international presence, reporting record sales of $29 million in its international glaucoma franchise for Q1, reflecting an 18.7% year-over-year operational growth [10] Challenges - The company relies on a limited number of third-party suppliers for components, which poses a risk if suppliers fail to deliver [11] - Restrictive Medicare Local Coverage Determinations have negatively impacted the U.S. stent business, leading to a mid-single-digit decline despite growth in iDose [12] Estimate Trends - The bottom-line estimate for Glaukos is a loss of 87 cents for 2025, which has narrowed by 8.4% in the past 30 days, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues at $480 million [13]
Glaukos (GKOS) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 17:01
Core Insights - Glaukos reported $106.66 million in revenue for Q1 2025, a 24.6% year-over-year increase, with an EPS of -$0.22 compared to -$0.70 a year ago, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $102.72 million by 3.84% [1] - The company achieved an EPS surprise of 33.33%, with the consensus EPS estimate being -$0.33 [1] Revenue Breakdown - U.S. revenues reached $75.07 million, surpassing the average estimate of $71.54 million, reflecting a 30.1% year-over-year increase [4] - International revenues totaled $31.59 million, slightly above the average estimate of $31.35 million, marking a 13.1% year-over-year increase [4] - Corneal Health revenues in the international market were $2.59 million, below the average estimate of $2.78 million, showing a decline of 4.1% year-over-year [4] - U.S. Corneal Health revenues were $15.94 million, exceeding the average estimate of $15.50 million, with a 1.5% year-over-year increase [4] - International Glaucoma revenues amounted to $29.01 million, surpassing the average estimate of $28.57 million, reflecting a 14.9% year-over-year increase [4] - U.S. Glaucoma revenues reached $59.13 million, exceeding the average estimate of $56.03 million, with a significant 40.8% year-over-year increase [4] - Total Corneal Health revenues were $18.53 million, slightly above the average estimate of $18.28 million, representing a 0.7% year-over-year increase [4] - Total Glaucoma revenues were $88.14 million, exceeding the average estimate of $84.60 million, reflecting a 31.1% year-over-year increase [4] Stock Performance - Glaukos shares have returned -5.8% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.7% change, with a current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3]