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Grocery Outlet's 1.1% Comps: Are Green Shoots Turning Into Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-17 17:26
Core Insights - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) demonstrated steady progress in Q2 2025, with net sales increasing by 4.5% year over year to $1.18 billion, supported by 1.1% comparable store sales growth and contributions from new store openings [1][7] Sales Performance - Comparable store sales growth was driven by a 1.5% increase in transaction volume, which offset a modest 0.4% decline in average ticket size [1] - Management anticipates sequential gains in comparable sales for the remainder of the year, projecting improvements of 2% and 2.6% in Q3 and Q4, respectively [5] Operational Initiatives - The company opened 11 new stores and closed two, increasing its total store count to 552 [3] - Enhanced in-stock positioning on high-velocity items contributed to a comp lift of approximately 150-200 basis points on the fastest-selling 20% of SKUs [2] - The rollout of a real-time order guide improved in-stock levels, delivering a 200-basis point comp lift in test stores, while a new forecasting tool for meat and produce drove double-digit sales increases in pilot locations [4] Value Strategy - Grocery Outlet's Known Value Item pricing strategy has been refined to ensure 15-20% basket savings compared to discount peers, addressing previous gaps in value perception [6] Future Outlook - The company expects accelerated comparable store sales momentum in the second half of 2025, reaffirming guidance for 1-2% comparable store sales growth and raising its full-year adjusted EPS outlook to $0.75-$0.80 [7] Competitive Landscape - Comparatively, Ollie's Bargain Outlet reported a 5% increase in comparable store sales, while BJ's Wholesale Club saw a mixed performance with a 0.3% decline in total comparable club sales [8][9] - Albertsons Companies raised its fiscal 2025 comparable sales guidance to a range of 2.0-2.75%, indicating strong performance across various segments [11] Stock Performance and Valuation - Grocery Outlet's stock has gained 28.5% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average decline of 2.1% [12] - The forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio for Grocery Outlet is 18.61X, lower than the industry's average of 19.62X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year growth of 8.3% in sales and 1.3% in earnings per share for the current fiscal year [14]
Is Carriage Services (CSV) Stock Outpacing Its Consumer Staples Peers This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 14:41
Group 1 - Carriage Services (CSV) is a member of the Consumer Staples sector, which includes 180 individual stocks and holds a Zacks Sector Rank of 15 [2] - The Zacks Rank system emphasizes earnings estimates and revisions, with Carriage Services currently holding a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Carriage Services' full-year earnings has increased by 3.3% in the past quarter, indicating improved analyst sentiment [3] Group 2 - Year-to-date, Carriage Services has returned 7.1%, significantly outperforming the Consumer Staples sector's average return of 1.9% [4] - Carriage Services belongs to the Funeral Services industry, which has an average return of -0.5% this year, further highlighting CSV's strong performance [5] - In contrast, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., another stock in the Consumer Staples sector, has also returned 7.1% year-to-date, but it belongs to a different industry [4][6] Group 3 - The Funeral Services industry, which includes Carriage Services, is currently ranked 10 in the Zacks Industry Rank [5] - The Consumer Products - Staples industry, which includes Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., is ranked 167 and has returned -5.3% this year [6] - Investors may want to monitor both Carriage Services and Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. for their solid performance in the Consumer Staples sector [6]
GO Residential REIT: Great Properties, But I'm Staying Away For Now
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-15 07:46
Core Insights - The article does not provide specific insights or analysis regarding any companies or industries, focusing instead on disclaimers and the author's lack of financial positions in mentioned companies [1][2][3] Summary by Sections - No relevant company or industry information is presented in the content provided, as it consists solely of disclaimers and statements regarding the author's position and intentions [1][2][3]
GO vs. CHD: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-09-12 16:40
Group 1 - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a more favorable earnings estimate revision activity compared to Church & Dwight (CHD), which has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - Value investors utilize various valuation metrics, including P/E ratio, P/S ratio, earnings yield, and cash flow per share, to assess whether a company is undervalued [4] - GO has a forward P/E ratio of 22.87, while CHD has a forward P/E of 27.22, suggesting that GO may be a more attractive investment based on this metric [5] Group 2 - GO's PEG ratio is 3.15, compared to CHD's PEG ratio of 3.90, indicating that GO may offer better value when considering expected earnings growth [5] - GO has a P/B ratio of 1.47, significantly lower than CHD's P/B of 5.24, further supporting the argument that GO is undervalued [6] - Based on the valuation metrics and improving earnings outlook, GO is considered the superior value option at this time [7]
4 Consumer Product Stocks Showing Resilience Amid Market Headwinds
ZACKS· 2025-09-11 16:46
Industry Overview - The Zacks Consumer Products – Staples industry is facing challenges due to rising living costs, which are straining household budgets and leading to cautious consumer spending, thereby impacting sales across the industry [1][5] - Companies are also dealing with increased raw material costs and elevated selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses, which are compressing profit margins [1][4] Demand and Strategic Responses - Despite the challenges, demand for essential consumer products remains favorable, with industry leaders like Procter & Gamble, Church & Dwight, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, and Grocery Outlet leveraging innovation, cost efficiency, and digital transformation to sustain growth [2][4] - Companies are pursuing restructuring initiatives and cost-cutting measures to enhance operational efficiency and maintain profitability in a demanding environment [4][7] Economic and Market Trends - The industry is experiencing heightened spending volatility due to an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop, with rising living costs and declining personal savings affecting consumer behavior, particularly among lower-income households [5] - Currency fluctuations pose a risk for many companies in the industry, particularly due to their exposure to international markets and the potential impact of a stronger U.S. dollar [6] Performance Metrics - The Zacks Consumer Products – Staples industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 163, placing it in the bottom 33% of over 245 Zacks industries, indicating dim near-term prospects [8][10] - Over the past six months, the industry has lost 4.5%, underperforming the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector, which declined by 0.5%, while the S&P 500 Index advanced by 17.5% [12] Valuation Insights - The industry is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.07X, compared to the S&P 500's 23.02X and the sector's 16.96X, reflecting a historical range of 18.96X to 23.38X over the past five years [15] Company Highlights - **Ollie's Bargain Outlet**: This company operates on a "buy cheap, sell cheap" model and has seen a 26.8% increase in shares over the past six months, with a consensus EPS estimate of $3.79 indicating a 15.6% year-over-year growth [18][19] - **Grocery Outlet**: Focused on improving store performance and enhancing site selection, the company has experienced a 43.2% share price increase in the past six months, with a current EPS estimate of 78 cents, reflecting a 1.3% growth from the previous year [21][22] - **Procter & Gamble**: The company has a current EPS estimate of $6.99, suggesting a 2.3% growth year-over-year, although shares have declined by 6.5% in the past six months [24] - **Church & Dwight**: With a focus on innovation and digital expansion, the company has a current EPS estimate of $3.47, indicating a 0.9% growth from the previous year, while shares have declined by 14.7% in the past six months [29]
Grocery Outlet (GO) May Find a Bottom Soon, Here's Why You Should Buy the Stock Now
ZACKS· 2025-09-11 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) has experienced a decline of 5.1% in its stock price over the past two weeks, but the formation of a hammer chart pattern suggests a potential trend reversal as buying interest may be emerging to counteract selling pressure [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The hammer chart pattern indicates a minor difference between opening and closing prices, with a long lower wick suggesting that the stock found support after hitting a new low during a downtrend [4][5]. - This pattern signals that bears may have lost control, and the emergence of buying interest could lead to a trend reversal [5]. Fundamental Analysis - There is rising optimism among Wall Street analysts regarding the future earnings of Grocery Outlet, which enhances the prospects for a trend reversal [2][7]. - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the current year has increased by 4.2%, indicating that analysts expect better earnings than previously predicted [8]. - Grocery Outlet currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, which typically outperform the market [9][10].
Grocery Outlet Appoints Frank Kerr to Chief Store Operations Officer
Globenewswire· 2025-08-26 20:30
Core Insights - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. has appointed Frank Kerr as Executive Vice President, Chief Store Operations Officer, effective September 15, 2025 [1][2] - Frank Kerr brings over a decade of leadership experience in grocery retail, having previously worked at Lidl US and Save A Lot, where he achieved significant operational improvements and market share gains [2][3] - The company aims to leverage Kerr's expertise to enhance store operations, marketing, strategy, and market expansion, supporting independent operators for profitable growth [3] Company Overview - Grocery Outlet is a high-growth, extreme value retailer based in Emeryville, California, specializing in quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products [4] - The company operates more than 550 stores across various states, including California, Washington, Oregon, and others [4]
Has Grocery Outlet (GO) Outpaced Other Consumer Staples Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 14:41
Company Overview - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is part of the Consumer Staples sector, which includes 178 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of 12 [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on earnings estimates and revisions [3] Performance Metrics - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Grocery Outlet's full-year earnings has increased by 8.9%, reflecting stronger analyst sentiment and an improving earnings outlook [4] - Year-to-date, Grocery Outlet has returned approximately 19.1%, significantly outperforming the Consumer Staples sector average return of 4.9% [4] - In the Consumer Products - Staples industry, which includes 35 stocks, Grocery Outlet is performing better as the industry average has seen a loss of 4.5% this year [6] Comparative Analysis - Village Farms (VFF) is another notable stock in the Consumer Staples sector, having returned 278.7% year-to-date, with a consensus EPS estimate increase of 300% over the past three months and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [5] - Both Grocery Outlet and Village Farms are highlighted as stocks to track for continued solid performance in the Consumer Staples sector [7]
GO vs. CHD: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-08-11 16:41
Group 1 - The article compares Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) and Church & Dwight (CHD) as potential undervalued stocks in the Consumer Products - Staples sector [1] - GO has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a more favorable earnings estimate revision activity compared to CHD, which has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - Value investors consider various fundamental metrics, including P/E ratio, P/S ratio, earnings yield, and cash flow per share, to identify undervalued stocks [4] Group 2 - GO has a forward P/E ratio of 24.12, while CHD has a forward P/E of 26.19, suggesting that GO may be more attractively priced [5] - The PEG ratio for GO is 3.33, compared to CHD's PEG ratio of 3.75, indicating that GO may offer better value relative to its expected earnings growth [5] - GO's P/B ratio is 1.53, significantly lower than CHD's P/B of 5.04, contributing to GO's Value grade of B versus CHD's Value grade of D [6]
Grocery Outlet: Remain On The Sidelines As Underlying Demand Has Not Recovered
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-10 11:46
Group 1 - The article discusses Grocery Outlet Holding (GO) and previously assigned a hold rating due to ongoing challenges related to tech debt, which is expected to keep the valuation under pressure until resolved [1] - The author emphasizes a diverse investment approach, incorporating fundamental, technical, and momentum investing strategies to enhance the investment process [1] Group 2 - There is no disclosure of any stock, option, or derivative positions in the companies mentioned, nor any plans to initiate such positions in the near future [2] - The article expresses the author's personal opinions and is not compensated for it, aside from contributions to Seeking Alpha [2]