管理层上调明年3月底止2026财年全年毛利率指引，至介乎31%至32%，意味同比升1.5至2.5个百分点， 原先料同比降0.8至1.2个百分点，因金价上升及定价产品销售占比增加。管理层并上调经营利润率指引 至介乎18%至19%，意味同比升1.6至2.6个百分点，原先料同比降0.6至1个百分点。 美银证券发布研报称，将周大福(01929)目标价由原先17.5港元微升至17.6港元，相当于预测2027财年市 盈率20倍;重申"买入"评级，理由是同店销售增长的持续改善可能支撑估值重评。 周大福9月底止2026财年上半财年净利润为25亿元，同比大致持平，符合该行预期;收入390亿元，同比 下降1%，较该行预期低3%;上半财年毛利率为30.5%，低于该行预期的31.3%，但被销售、管理及行政 费用比率(SG&A ratio)降至14%所部分抵消，并低于该行预期的15.3%。 该行指，鉴于10月至11月中旬销售趋势、利润率指引优于预期后，将周大福2026、2027财年净利润预测 分别上调6%及1%，至分别87亿及88亿元。美银证券认为，周大福管理层对同店销售增长指引略为保 守，认为指引有上行空间;又相信同店销售增长下滑的 ...

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that Chow Tai Fook's net profit for the first half of the fiscal year ending September 2026 is HKD 2.5 billion, remaining stable year-on-year and in line with expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the period is HKD 39 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1%, which is 3% lower than the bank's expectations [1] - Gross margin stands at 30.5%, below the expected 31.3%, but partially offset by a reduction in the selling, general and administrative (SG&A) ratio to 14%, which is lower than the anticipated 15.3% [1] Management Guidance - Management has raised the gross margin guidance for the full fiscal year ending March 2026 to between 31% and 32%, citing rising gold prices and an increase in the proportion of sales from priced products [1] Profit Forecast Adjustments - Following the sales trends from October to mid-November and the better-than-expected profit margin guidance, the bank has raised its net profit forecasts for Chow Tai Fook for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 6% and 1%, respectively, to HKD 8.7 billion and HKD 8.8 billion [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price has been slightly increased from HKD 17.5 to HKD 17.6, with a reiterated "Buy" rating, based on the continuous improvement in same-store sales growth which may support a valuation re-rating [1] Sales Growth Outlook - The bank notes that management's guidance on same-store sales growth is somewhat conservative, indicating potential upside; it believes that the worst period of decline in same-store sales growth has passed, and initiatives to drive business transformation may support profit recovery [1]

研究早观点 2025 年 11 月 25 日 星期二 市场走势 资料来源：最闻 【今日要点】 【山证纺服】名创优品 2025Q3 季报点评-2025Q3 名创国内同店销售增 长提速，海外同店销售转正 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3,836.77 | 0.05 | | 深证成指 | 12,585.08 | 0.38 | | 沪深 300 | 4,448.05 | -0.12 | | 中小板指 | 7,655.87 | 0.56 | | 创业板指 | 2,929.04 | 0.31 | | 科创 50 | 1,296.60 | 0.84 | 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 李明阳 研究早观点 【今日要点】 执业登记编码：S0760525050002 邮箱：limingyang@sxzq.com 2019 年 2 月 21 日 星期四 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 【山证纺服】名创优品 2025Q3 季报点评-2025Q3 名创国内同店销售增长提速，海外同店销售转正 王冯 wangfeng@sxzq.com 【投资要点】 请 ...

Shareholders' return could still be decent in FY27E- 28E, under CMBI est.. In terms of shareholders' return, which is one of the investors' key focuses, it will still be rather healthy. The Company will continue to fulfill its commitment (deduced from the US$ 4.5bn for FY24-26E) of delivering not less than US$ 1.5bn cash return (a combination of dividend, share buybacks etc.) in FY26E. And for FY27E and beyond, the Company will increase the dividend per share over time (CMBI est. about US$ 322mn in FY25E), ...

机构：山西证券 2025Q3 名创国内同店销售增长提速，名创海外同店销售转正。分业务看，1）MINISO 中国，2025 年 前三季度，实现营收80.24 亿元，同比增长14.1%，其中2025Q3 同店销售同比增长高单位数，2025 年10 月同店销售同比增长进一步提速至低双位数，延续逐季改善趋势。截至2025Q3 末，名创优品国内共拥 有门店4407 家，较年初净增加21 家，其中，2025Q3 单季度门店净增加102 家。2）MINISO 海外， 2025 年前三季度，实现营收58.46 亿元，同比增长28.7%，其中，2025Q3 可比同店销售同比增长低单位 数，扭转上半年的下降态势，其中战略市场北美及欧洲的同店销售增长更为优异，海外直营业务的经营 利润率同比提升。 截至2025Q3 末，名创优品海外市场门店合计为3424 家，较年初净增加306 家。 分区域看，北美、拉美、亚洲（除中国）、欧洲、其它区域门店分别为421、684、1748、337、234 家，较年初净增加71、47、137、42、9 家。3）TOP TOY，2025年前三季度，实现营收13.17 亿元，同 比增长87.9%，其中202 ...

执业登记编码：S0760523050001 邮箱：sunmeng@sxzq.com 商贸零售 名创优品（09896.HK） 买入-A(维持) 2025 年 11 月 24 日 公司研究/公司快报 资料来源：最闻，山西证券研究所 市场数据：2025 年 11 月 21 日 | 收盘价（港元）： | 39.220 | | --- | --- | | 年内最高/最低（港元）： | 55.000/27.050 | | 总股本（亿股）： | 12.11/12.38 | | 流通市值（亿港元）： | 474.82 | | 总市值（亿港元）： | 485.37 | 分析师： 王冯 执业登记编码：S0760522030003 邮箱：wangfeng@sxzq.com 孙萌 2025Q3 名创国内同店销售增长提速，海外同店销售转正 事件描述 11 月 21 日，公司公布截至 2025 年 9 月 30 日止季度业绩。2025Q3，公司 实现营收 57.97 亿元，同比增长 28.2%；实现经调整净利润 7.67 亿元，同比增长 11.7%。2025 年前三季度，公司实现营收 151.90 亿元，同比增长 23.7%；实现经 调 ...

Core Insights - Ross Stores, Inc. is a leading player in the off-price retail sector, focusing on providing discounted apparel and accessories to value-conscious consumers [1] - The company has a loyal customer base and competes with other off-price retailers like TJX Companies and Burlington Stores [1] Financial Performance - Ross Stores has raised its annual profit forecast due to strong demand for discounted products, particularly with the holiday season approaching [3] - The company reported a 7% increase in same-store sales, exceeding Wall Street's expectations of 3.9% growth [3][6] - In the third quarter, Ross Stores reported earnings of $1.58 per share, surpassing the analyst estimate of $1.41 per share [4][6] - Quarterly revenue reached $5.6 billion, outperforming the analyst consensus estimate of $5.42 billion [4][6] Stock Performance - Telsey Advisory updated its rating for Ross Stores to "Market Perform" and raised the price target from $160 to $175, indicating a positive outlook [2][6] - The stock has shown resilience, trading between $160.34 and $164.23, with a market capitalization of approximately $52.2 billion [5]

对于第四季度，罗斯百货预计每股收益为1.77至1.85美元，高于此前预估的1.74至1.81美元区间；同时将 假日季同店销售增长预期从原先的2%-3%上调至3%-4%。展望未来，该公司目前预计年度每股收益区间 为6.38至6.46美元，高于此前预期的6.08至6.21美元。 周五，罗斯百货(ROST.US)盘前涨逾3%，报165.52美元。财报显示，罗斯百货第三季度销售额达56亿美 元，超过了市场预期的54.2亿美元。当季同店销售额增长达7%，远超市场预期的3.3%。季度营业利润 率达11.6%，高于市场预期的10.6%。净利润为5.12亿美元(合每股收益1.58美元)，去年同期为4.89亿美 元(每股收益1.48美元)，市场预期为1.41美元。 ...

Core Insights - McDonald's Corporation reported mixed third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings missing estimates while revenues exceeded expectations, showing a year-over-year revenue increase but a decline in earnings [1][3][9] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the third quarter were $3.18, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.35, representing a 1.5% year-over-year decline [3] - Quarterly net revenues reached $7,078 million, surpassing the consensus mark of $7,067 million, and increased by 3% year over year [3] - Operating income rose 5% year over year to $3.36 billion, while net income totaled $2.28 billion, up 1% year over year [10] Sales Performance - Sales at company-operated restaurants were $2.56 billion, down 3% year over year, while franchise-operated restaurant sales increased by 7% to $4.36 billion [4] - Global comparable sales rose 3.6%, a significant improvement from a 1.5% decline in the prior-year quarter [5][9] - In the U.S., segmental comps increased by 2.4%, compared to 0.3% growth in the prior-year quarter [6] Segment Performance - International Operated Markets saw segmental comps jump 4.3%, recovering from a 2.1% decline in the year-ago quarter [7] - The International Developmental Licensed Segment reported a 4.7% increase in comparable sales, contrasting with a 3.5% decline in the prior-year quarter [7] Operational Highlights - Total operating costs and expenses for the third quarter were $3.72 billion, reflecting a 1% increase year over year [8] - The company's performance was bolstered by strong value offerings, menu innovation, and effective marketing strategies [2]

Core Insights - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. reported mixed results for Q3 2025, with net sales missing estimates but showing a year-over-year increase, while earnings exceeded estimates but declined from the previous year [1][3][9] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 21 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 19 cents but down from 28 cents in the same quarter last year [3][9] - Net sales reached $1,168.2 million, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,182 million, but reflecting a 5.4% year-over-year growth [3][9] - Comparable-store sales increased by 1.2%, supported by a 1.8% rise in transactions, but fell short of the anticipated 2% growth [4][9] Margin and Cost Analysis - Gross profit grew by 3% year over year to $355.1 million, with a gross margin contraction of 70 basis points to 30.4% [5][9] - SG&A expenses rose by 8.7% to $331 million, representing 28.3% of net sales, primarily due to new store costs and higher incentive compensation [6][9] - Adjusted EBITDA was $66.7 million, down 7.7% year over year, with the margin decreasing by 80 basis points to 5.7% [6][9] Store Expansion and Initiatives - The company added 13 new stores and closed two, bringing the total to 563 stores across 16 states, with plans to open 37 net new stores in 2025 [7][9] - A store refresh program was launched in select pilot stores, with plans to expand to 20 stores by year-end 2025 and at least 150 stores by the end of 2026 [8][9] Financial Health - At the end of the quarter, Grocery Outlet had cash and cash equivalents of $52.1 million, long-term debt of $481.5 million, and stockholders' equity of $1,198.6 million [9][10] - The company maintained a net leverage ratio of 1.8x adjusted EBITDA and had $175 million remaining borrowing capacity under its revolving credit facility [10][9] 2025 Outlook - The company revised its fiscal 2025 guidance, expecting net sales between $4.70 billion and $4.72 billion, and comparable-store sales growth of 0.6-0.9% [11][9] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected in the range of $258 million to $262 million, with adjusted earnings expected between 78 cents and 80 cents per share [12][9] - For Q4 2025, comparable-store sales growth is anticipated to be flat to 1%, with adjusted earnings projected between 21 cents and 23 cents per share [13][9] Market Performance - Grocery Outlet's shares fell 10% in after-hours trading following the earnings report, and the stock has declined 30.4% over the past three months compared to a 7.4% decline in the industry [2][14]