Core Insights - The article highlights Steven Cress's role as VP of Quantitative Strategy and Market Data at Seeking Alpha, emphasizing his contributions to the platform's quantitative stock rating system and analytical tools [1][2] - Cress is dedicated to removing emotional biases from investment decisions through a data-driven approach, utilizing sophisticated algorithms to simplify investment research [2][4] - His background includes founding CressCap Investment Research, which was acquired by Seeking Alpha in 2018, and previously running a proprietary trading desk at Morgan Stanley [3][4] Company Contributions - Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating system, created by Cress, is designed to interpret data for investors and provide insights on investment directions, saving time for users [1][2] - The platform offers a systematic stock recommendation tool called Alpha Picks, aimed at helping long-term investors build a high-quality portfolio [1] Professional Background - Cress has over 30 years of experience in equity research, quantitative strategies, and portfolio management, positioning him as an expert in various investment topics [4] - His previous roles include leading international business development at Northern Trust and founding the quant hedge fund Cress Capital Management [3][4]

Group 1 - U.S. stocks have recently experienced significant declines, prompting a focus on high-quality international investment opportunities [1] - Southeast Asia's tech company Grab is highlighted as a potential investment pick following extensive research [1] Group 2 - The analysis is led by a seasoned market analyst with a background in financial journalism and robust modeling techniques [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the performance of Grab (NASDAQ: GRAB) since a Strong Buy recommendation was made in February 2025 when the share price was $4.79, noting that the share price has declined since then due to country-specific issues related to President Trump [1] - The author has over 14 years of experience as a sell-side equity analyst, with a focus on the HK/China market, and has specialized in China's oil & gas and chemicals sectors for the past eight years [1] - The author's expertise includes analyzing market trends, evaluating company performance, and providing investment recommendations, which are aimed at helping investors make informed decisions [1] Group 2 - The author emphasizes a commitment to delivering actionable insights and valuable content that reflects the latest market developments and opportunities [1] - The article highlights the importance of informed decision-making in a rapidly changing market landscape [1]

Core Insights - Grab is viewed as a promising stock, with a strong focus on business analysis, fundamental analysis, valuation, and long-term growth in sectors like AI, fintech, finance, and tech [1] Company Analysis - The company operates in a competitive landscape, particularly in Indonesia, where it competes with GoTo [1] - Grab's business model and earnings performance are key areas of focus for analysis [1] Investment Strategy - The analysis aims to provide clear, unbiased insights into Grab's strengths, risks, and valuation to assist investors in forming their own opinions and strategies [1]

Group 1 - U.S. markets have faced significant volatility, making international growth stocks a favorable investment, with Grab (GRAB) notably avoiding the downturn experienced by U.S. peers like Lyft [1] - The analyst has extensive experience in technology sectors, having worked on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley, and has been involved with seed-round startups, indicating a strong understanding of current industry trends [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of international growth stocks in the current market environment, suggesting that companies like Grab may present better investment opportunities compared to their U.S. counterparts [1]

In this video, I will go over Grab's (GRAB 2.30%) first-quarter earnings report. Watch the short video to learn more, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below.*Stock prices used were from the trading day of April 29, 2025. The video was published on April 30, 2025. ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, Grab achieved a 17% year-on-year growth in on-demand GMV and recorded another all-time high in monthly transacting users, leading to record revenues [5][6] - The trailing twelve-month adjusted free cash flow expanded to $157 million, and the adjusted EBITDA outlook for the full year 2025 was raised to $460 million to $480 million from a previous range of $440 million to $470 million [6][5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The delivery segment continued to grow, with monthly transacting users increasing sequentially, particularly driven by strong performance from Grab Mart [20][54] - The number of transactions on the platform increased by 19% year-on-year, indicating higher engagement [36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that it has not seen any signs of consumer weakness despite macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly in Indonesia, where it outperformed its closest competitor [54][55] - The direct marketing costs in Indonesia declined by 12% quarter-on-quarter, contributing to improved adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of GMV [55] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Grab aims to position itself as a countercyclical company, focusing on improving reliability and affordability in its offerings to drive user growth and retention [5][6] - The company is leveraging AI to enhance user and partner services, with a focus on affordability and efficiency in operations [22][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining growth momentum despite potential macroeconomic headwinds, citing strong performance in Q1 and expectations for continued demand growth [6][36] - The company is closely monitoring the macro environment but remains optimistic about its ability to execute its growth strategy [33][39] Other Important Information - Grab's FinTech business is expected to see an increase in lending to consumers, with a focus on prudent growth amid macroeconomic uncertainties [108] - The company is exploring opportunities for value-added acquisitions to enhance its ecosystem [56] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in consumer behavior amid weakening macros - Management has not observed any signs of consumer weakness and expects a rebound in growth rates across mobility and deliveries in Q2 [20][21] Question: Confidence in higher EBITDA guidance - The company is confident due to strong Q1 performance, with demand remaining robust despite seasonal challenges [35][36] Question: Plans if demand softens - Management indicated they would monitor the situation closely and may consider promotions to stimulate demand if necessary [33] Question: Industry consolidation in delivery - Management noted ongoing consolidation in the industry but emphasized their focus on growing their delivery segment, which remains underpenetrated [51][52] Question: Performance in Indonesia compared to competitors - Grab outperformed its closest competitor in Indonesia, with strong growth in deliveries and a decline in direct marketing costs [54][55] Question: Margin drivers for deliveries - The margin improvement in deliveries was attributed to product mix and stable incentives, with Grab Mart growing faster than other delivery segments [86][87] Question: FinTech loan book growth and credit quality - The loan book grew 5% to 6% quarter-on-quarter, with stable non-performing loans, and management is monitoring credit quality closely [92][94] Question: Autonomous vehicle partnerships - Grab is exploring partnerships in the autonomous vehicle space, aiming to be at the forefront of this technology [98][99]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a 17% year-on-year growth in on-demand GMV and recorded another quarter of record revenues, with a trailing twelve-month adjusted free cash flow expanding to $157 million [5][6] - Adjusted EBITDA outlook for the full year 2025 was raised to $460 million to $480 million from a previous range of $440 million to $470 million [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Monthly transacting users reached a record high, contributing to the overall revenue growth [5] - Delivery MTUs continued to grow sequentially, particularly with strong performance from Grab Mart [20][54] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted no signs of consumer weakness despite macroeconomic uncertainties, with demand remaining strong in April [20][36] - The Indonesian market outperformed its closest competitor, with delivery MTUs growing sequentially [54] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to position itself as a countercyclical entity, focusing on reliability and affordability to drive user growth and retention [5][6] - New product initiatives, including AI-driven services, are expected to enhance operational performance without compromising margins [22][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining growth momentum despite potential macroeconomic headwinds, citing strong performance in Q1 and expectations for continued demand [6][36] - The company is closely monitoring the macro environment but remains optimistic about its ability to navigate challenges [33][39] Other Important Information - The company is focusing on enhancing its ecosystem through affordable products and viral initiatives to increase user engagement [26][41] - The FinTech segment is expected to see growth in lending to consumers, with a focus on prudent credit management [108][111] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in consumer behavior amid weakening macros - Management has not observed any signs of consumer weakness and expects a rebound in growth rates across mobility and deliveries in Q2 [20][21] Question: Confidence in higher EBITDA guidance - The company is confident due to strong Q1 performance, with demand remaining robust and cost optimization efforts in place [33][36] Question: Plans if demand softens - Management indicated they would monitor the situation closely and may consider promotions to stimulate demand if necessary [33] Question: Industry consolidation in delivery - The company believes there is still room for growth in the delivery segment despite ongoing consolidation in the industry [48][51] Question: Performance in Indonesia compared to competitors - The company outperformed its closest competitor in Indonesia, with strong growth in deliveries and a decline in direct marketing costs [54][55] Question: Thoughts on AV partnerships - The company is excited about the potential of autonomous vehicles and is actively exploring partnerships, though timelines for pilot deployments are not yet established [97][99] Question: Differences in FinTech models - The company focuses on supporting partners with credit underwriting advantages, which helps maintain stable NPLs [108][111] Question: Monetization of dine-out discovery - The company is enhancing dine-out discovery capabilities, which is expected to tap into a larger market and generate advertising revenue in the future [112][115]

April 2025 Disclaimer Non-IFRS Financial Measures This document and the investor webcast include references to non-IFRS financial measures, which include: Adjusted EBITDA, Segment Adjusted EBITDA, Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin, Total Segment Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, Adjusted Free Cash Flow, cash liquidity and net cash liquidity. Grab uses Adjusted EBITDA, Segment Adjusted EBITDA, Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin, Total Segment Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA margin for financial and oper ...

Group 1 - Grab Holdings Limited's stock closed at $4.79, reflecting a +0.63% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500 which gained 0.58% [1] - Over the past month, Grab's shares have increased by 5.08%, while the Computer and Technology sector gained 0.6% and the S&P 500 lost 0.84% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings report for Grab is expected to show an EPS of $0.02, representing a 166.67% increase year-over-year, with projected quarterly revenue of $759.27 million, up 16.27% from the previous year [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at $0.04 per share and revenue at $3.32 billion, indicating increases of +233.33% and +18.59% respectively from the prior year [3] Group 3 - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Grab Holdings Limited are important as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating analyst optimism about the company's profitability [3][4] - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses estimate changes, currently ranks Grab Holdings Limited at 3 (Hold), with a recent consensus EPS projection moving 14.29% lower [5] Group 4 - Grab Holdings Limited has a Forward P/E ratio of 119, significantly higher than the industry average of 25.98, indicating a premium valuation [6] - The Internet - Software industry, to which Grab belongs, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 143, placing it in the bottom 43% of over 250 industries [6][7]