Core Insights - The stock market in 2026 is experiencing significant volatility, particularly during the Q4 earnings season, leading investors to sell stocks quickly at minor provocations [1] Group 1 - The growth stock sector has faced sharp declines, indicating a challenging environment for investors [1] - Gary Alexander, an analyst with extensive experience in technology and startups, has been actively contributing insights on market trends since 2017 [1]

Core Viewpoint - SoftBank-backed ride-hailing firm Grab plans to initiate a $500 million share buyback to enhance shareholder returns [1] Group 1 - The CFO of Grab expressed optimism about the upcoming share buyback program [1] - The company aims to continue delivering returns to its shareholders through this initiative [1]

格隆汇2月12日｜东南亚叫车平台Grab公布，2025年收入为33.7亿美元，同比增长20.5%；首次实现全年 盈利2.68亿美元，经调整EBITDA为5亿美元，同比增长近60%。单看第四季度，收入为9.06亿美元，同 比增长18.6%；盈利1.71亿美元，同比增长5.33倍，创新高。月活跃用户达5050万，同比增长15%。公司 宣布，将动用5亿美元回购股份。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Grab is set to enhance its financial services portfolio by acquiring Stash Financial, a digital investing platform, with the transaction expected to close in the third quarter of the year, subject to customary conditions [2][6]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Grab has signed definitive agreements to acquire Stash Financial, aiming to integrate its investing capabilities with Grab's existing services [2][6]. - The acquisition is anticipated to close in the third quarter, pending customary closing conditions [2]. Group 2: Strategic Goals - The acquisition is expected to provide Grab with high-margin subscription revenue and enhance its FinTech expertise through Stash's AI-powered investing app, which aligns with U.S. regulatory requirements [7]. - Grab's mission to democratize financial services is reinforced by this acquisition, while it continues to focus on scaling its regional loanbook in Southeast Asia [7]. Group 3: Stash Financial Overview - Stash is a U.S.-based digital financial services company with $5 billion in assets under management (AUM) and over 1 million paid subscribers [7]. - The company offers a subscription-based app that includes investing, banking, financial education tools, and a financial wellness solution called StashWorks for U.S. employers [8]. Group 4: Future Plans - Post-acquisition, Grab intends to support Stash's growth as an independent brand in the U.S. and explore opportunities to introduce Stash's investing solutions in Southeast Asia [9]. - Stash's co-founders will continue to lead the company, leveraging Grab's resources to accelerate their vision of personalized, AI-driven financial guidance [9][10].

Q4 2025 Earnings Supplemental Data February 2026 190 250 199 0 177 79 0 104 80 Disclaimer Non - IFRS Financial Measures This document and the investor webcast include references to non - IFRS financial measures, which include : Adjusted EBITDA, Segment Adjusted EBITDA, Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin, Total Segment Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, Adjusted Free Cash Flow, gross cash liquidity and net cash liquidity . Grab uses Adjusted EBITDA, Segment Adjusted EBITDA, Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin, ...

Core Insights - Grab Holdings forecasts fiscal 2026 revenue below Wall Street expectations, indicating a slowdown in its core ride-hailing and delivery businesses as consumers face economic uncertainty [1] - The company's shares fell approximately 7% in extended trading following the revenue forecast [1] - Grab plans to acquire U.S. digital financial services company Stash Financial for $425 million to enhance its personal finance segment [1] Financial Performance - Grab expects annual revenue between $4.04 billion and $4.10 billion, lower than the estimated $4.13 billion [1] - The company reported fourth-quarter revenue of $906 million, missing estimates of $940.7 million [1] - Grab anticipates a compounded annual revenue growth of 20% from 2025 to 2028 [1] Market Conditions - Sticky inflation in major Southeast Asian markets and the impact of U.S. tariff policies have led consumers to be more selective with their spending [1] - Consumers are curbing discretionary budgets and seeking cost-saving options for regular purchases [1] - Grab has introduced its Saver platform to attract cost-conscious customers through discounts and bundled offers to reduce delivery fees [1]

Core Viewpoint - Grab Holdings Limited is poised for a significant turnaround with an expected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.01 and projected revenue of approximately $940.6 million for the upcoming quarterly earnings report on February 11, 2026, reflecting a positive shift in financial outlook [1][2][6] Revenue Growth - The anticipated revenue growth is driven by a 22.2% increase in sales compared to the same period last year, with delivery services expected to rise by 20.8%, mobility services by 21.1%, and financial services by 33.6% [2][3][6] Financial Metrics - Grab's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at approximately 144.16, while the price-to-sales ratio is about 5.29, indicating that investors are willing to pay over five times the company's sales per share [4] - The enterprise value to sales ratio is approximately 4.94, reflecting the company's total valuation in relation to its sales [4] Financial Health - The company maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of about 0.33, indicating a relatively low level of debt compared to its equity, and a current ratio of approximately 1.83, suggesting good liquidity to cover short-term liabilities [5][6] - These financial metrics showcase Grab's potential for growth and stability as it approaches the earnings report [6]

Core Viewpoint - Grab (GRAB) is expected to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 11, with a consensus estimate shifting from a loss of one cent to a profit of one cent per share, and sales projected to increase by 22.2% year-over-year to $933.37 million [1][7]. Financial Performance - Grab's earnings have underperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, meeting expectations twice, with an average miss of 29.2% [2]. - In the third quarter of 2025, Grab reported earnings of 1 cent per share, missing the consensus estimate by 67%, while revenues of $873 million missed by 1% but increased by 21.9% year-over-year [6]. Revenue Drivers - The anticipated growth in total revenues for the fourth quarter is expected to be driven by an increase in deliveries, with delivery revenues estimated at $491.79 million, reflecting a 20.8% increase from the previous year [3]. - The mobility segment is projected to generate revenues of $341.46 million, a 21.1% increase year-over-year, while financial services revenues are expected to reach $98.88 million, marking a 33.6% rise [4]. Cost Management - Grab's cost-cutting initiatives are likely to have reduced expenses, contributing positively to bottom-line performance, although high inflation may have negatively impacted results [4][7]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Grab, as it has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5].

Industry Overview - China's foreign exchange reserves reached $3.4 trillion, with a 1.23% increase month-on-month as of January 2026, while gold reserves rose to 74.19 million ounces [1] - The depreciation of the US dollar is driven by geopolitical risks and market expectations regarding US monetary policy, leading to a sell-off [1] - The global asset prices have increased due to fluctuations in US Treasury yields and expectations surrounding potential Federal Reserve leadership changes [1] Trade and Services - China's service trade import and export total reached 8.08 trillion yuan in 2025, marking a 7.4% year-on-year growth, with knowledge-intensive services showing strong performance [2] - The Ministry of Commerce plans to organize over 100 import promotion activities in 2026 to balance trade development, emphasizing a dual approach of "policy + activities" [2] - Investment from countries like South Korea, Canada, and Finland into China maintained double-digit growth, reflecting multinational companies' confidence in the Chinese market [2] Company Dynamics - Amazon reported Q4 revenue of $213.39 billion, a 14% year-on-year increase, with net profit at $21.19 billion, up 6% [3] - Amazon's North American retail revenue for Q4 was $127.1 billion, a 10% increase, while international revenue reached $50.7 billion, a 17% increase [3] - Amazon's AI assistant Rufus has over 300 million users, contributing nearly $12 billion in additional annual sales [3] Logistics and Delivery - Amazon aims to achieve same-day or next-day delivery for over 13 billion items globally by 2025, with significant increases in delivery speed noted in the US and Europe [4] Technology and Innovation - The International Olympic Committee announced the creation of the first official Olympic model based on Alibaba's Qianwen, highlighting the transformative impact of AI technology on the 2026 Milan Winter Olympics [5] - Alibaba Cloud ranked first in comprehensive competitiveness growth index globally, planning to establish new data centers in multiple countries by 2026 [7] Strategic Partnerships - Hesai Technology announced a strategic partnership with Grab, making Grab the exclusive distributor of Hesai's lidar products in Southeast Asia [8] Automotive Industry - GAC Group set an overseas sales target of 250,000 units for 2026, aiming to reach 300,000 units, with significant growth in both domestic and overseas sales reported [9] Retail Expansion - Pop Mart established its European headquarters in London, planning to open seven new stores in the UK and expand to 20 stores across Europe [10] - Anta will open its first flagship store in the US on February 13, marking a shift from wholesale to direct retail in the North American market [11] - JD.com will launch its European online retail platform Joybuy in March, with successful trial runs achieving same-day and next-day delivery in several UK cities [12] Logistics Optimization - Temu signed a memorandum of understanding with Hungary Post to enhance local logistics, indicating a shift towards improved service experience in the European market [13] IPO News - Ugreen Technology submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Huatai International as the sole sponsor [14]

Core Viewpoint - Hesai Technology (NASDAQ: HSAI; HKEX: 2525) has announced a strategic partnership with Grab (NASDAQ: GRAB) to enhance the supply and application of LiDAR technology in Southeast Asia, aiming to meet the growing demand for AI-driven automation across various industries [2][3]. Group 1: Partnership Details - Grab will serve as the exclusive distributor of Hesai's LiDAR products in Southeast Asia, responsible for sales, customer support, and marketing [2]. - This collaboration aims to leverage Grab's extensive resources and established sales network to improve the accessibility and efficiency of high-quality LiDAR sensors for Southeast Asian customers [2][3]. Group 2: Market Demand and Applications - Deloitte Southeast Asia predicts an unprecedented surge in demand for AI-driven automation in sectors such as manufacturing, transportation, and logistics, leading to a transition from early validation to large-scale commercial deployment of LiDAR technology [2]. - The partnership is expected to facilitate the integration of advanced LiDAR technology into various applications, including robotics and autonomous driving systems, thereby enhancing operational capabilities in complex urban environments [3][5]. Group 3: Production Capacity and Future Plans - To meet the increasing demand for LiDAR, Hesai plans to double its annual production capacity from 2 million units in 2025 to 4 million units by 2026 [7]. - The construction of Hesai's new factory, "Galileo," in Bangkok, Thailand, is progressing steadily and is expected to commence production in early 2027, further supporting future business growth [7]. Group 4: Leadership Insights - Grab's CEO, Anthony Tan, emphasized that this partnership will not only enhance Grab's capabilities in autonomous driving and high-precision mapping but also enable robots to perceive their surroundings effectively [5]. - Hesai's CEO, Li Yifan, highlighted the strong demand for robotics in manufacturing, logistics, and service sectors in Southeast Asia, indicating that the partnership will accelerate the deployment of LiDAR technology in these applications [5][8].