Core Insights - The U.S. plans significant changes for Venezuela's oil industry following the ousting of its president, with U.S. companies likely to benefit from the situation [2] - Energy Secretary Chris Wright announced that the U.S. will control Venezuelan oil sales indefinitely, redirecting proceeds to American banks and easing sanctions that have limited the country's crude exports [2] Companies Positioned for Gains - Chevron (CVX) is the only major U.S. oil company still operating in Venezuela, managing joint ventures that account for about 25% of the country's oil output, producing approximately 140,000 barrels per day [7][10] - ConocoPhillips (COP) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) could potentially return to Venezuela to recover up to $12 billion and $1.4 billion in outstanding claims for expropriated assets [8] - Halliburton (HAL) and SLB (SLB) are positioned to benefit from reconstruction contracts due to the need for significant investment in Venezuela's aging oil infrastructure, estimated to cost at least $100 billion over a decade [9][10] Refiners Capable of Processing Venezuelan Heavy Crude - Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) operates 15 refineries with a capacity to process 3.2 million barrels per day of heavy crude, making it well-suited for Venezuelan oil [11] - Phillips 66 (PSX) has refineries in Louisiana and Texas capable of processing hundreds of thousands of barrels per day of Venezuelan grades, although full potential realization may take years [12] - Marathon Petroleum (MPC) has the largest heavy crude processor in the region, with analysts estimating it could capture 20% to 30% of any increased Venezuelan oil flows [13] Economic Considerations - The current oil price range of $57–$60 per barrel poses challenges for investment in Venezuela, with estimates suggesting it would cost $53 billion to maintain production levels of just under 1 million barrels per day over the next 15 years [14][15] - New projects in Venezuela require oil prices around $80 per barrel to be profitable, making investment less attractive compared to other regions with lower breakeven costs [15]

Market Analysis by covering: Chevron Corp, Halliburton Company, Slb NV, Crude Oil WTI Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

基于国际活动增加将利好公司储层绩效和钻井建井板块的判断，Richardson团队将斯伦贝谢2026年和 2027年的每股收益(EPS)预测分别从2.97美元和3.30美元上调至3.00美元和3.40美元。 对于哈里伯顿，Evercore认为其北美业务敞口仍是制约公司发展的关键因素。相较于其他大型油服同 行，哈里伯顿对美国市场活动的依赖度显著偏高：其约40%的收入来自北美市场，而斯伦贝谢和Baker Hughes(BKR.US)的这一比例分别约为20%和26%，后两者受益于更广泛的国际及海上业务组合。 Evercore对2026年北美油气开支前景持悲观态度，预计在美国行业持续整合、资本效率提升以及陆上生 产率见顶的背景下，市场活动将进一步放缓。在此环境下，尽管哈里伯顿持续推进设备优化和成本控 制，但Richardson团队仍认为美国本土的压裂服务业务将持续对公司构成压力。 智通财经APP获悉，投行Evercore ISI发布研报，将斯伦贝谢(SLB.US)评级从"与大盘持平"上调至"跑赢 大盘"，目标价从38美元上调至54美元;同时将哈里伯顿(HAL.US)评级从"跑赢大盘"下调至"与大盘持 平"，目标价由28 ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The situation in Venezuela is developing as previously predicted, with the trapped Venezuelan oil gradually being absorbed by the US. US Gulf refineries, currently processing 150,000 barrels per day of Venezuelan oil, can increase their consumption capacity to 500,000 barrels per day. This implies that Venezuelan oil will displace other compliant oils like Canadian heavy oil. Trump's actions are aimed at controlling resources, changing their flow, and obtaining oil rights, rather than cutting off supply [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market News and Important Data - On March 1, the London Brent crude oil futures price for delivery rose by $1.01 to $61.76 per barrel, a 1.66% increase. The SC crude oil main contract fell by 0.28% to 426 yuan per barrel [1]. - On January 7, Chevron booked a small number of vessels to head to Venezuela. After the capture of Venezuelan President Maduro by the US military, it became the sole exporter of Venezuelan oil. At least 11 tankers chartered by the US oil giant are scheduled to arrive at Venezuelan ports this month, up from 9 in December and the highest since October [1]. - On January 6, Canadian Prime Minister Carney downplayed concerns that increased Venezuelan oil production might impact the Canadian energy industry. He stated that Canadian crude oil remains competitive due to political and institutional stability, lower production costs, and progress in reducing carbon emissions [1]. - On January 6, after the unexpected arrest of Venezuelan President Maduro, US oil stocks continued to rise. Chevron, the only US oil company operating in Venezuela, rose 0.7% in pre - market trading after a sharp increase on Monday. Other oil giants such as ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips also rose in pre - market trading [1]. - The Trump administration has asked Venezuelan interim leader Rodriguez to take a series of pro - US actions, including combating drug smuggling, expelling personnel from countries hostile to Washington, and stopping oil sales to US adversaries [1]. - US President Trump stated on social media that the Venezuelan interim administration will transfer 30 million to 50 million barrels of high - quality, sanctioned oil to the US, which will be sold at market prices, and the proceeds will be used for the benefit of the Venezuelan and American people [1]. Investment Logic - The situation in Venezuela is developing as expected, with US refineries having the capacity to increase the consumption of Venezuelan oil, which will displace other compliant oils [2]. Strategy - Oil prices are expected to be volatile and weak in the short term, and a short - position allocation is recommended in the medium term [3]. Risk - Downside risks include the achievement of a Russia - Ukraine peace negotiation and macro black - swan events. Upside risks include supply tightening of sanctioned oil (from Russia, Iran, and Venezuela) and large - scale supply disruptions due to Middle East conflicts [3].

Market Reactions to Geopolitical Events - The U.S. military's capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro caused significant market reactions, particularly in the energy sector, despite Venezuela's limited economic impact on global GDP [2][3] - On January 5, 2026, major U.S. indices surged, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 1.23% to an all-time high of 48,977.18, the S&P 500 climbing 0.64% to 6,902.05, and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.69% to 23,395.82 [3] Energy Sector Performance - U.S. energy stocks benefited from the geopolitical developments, with Chevron's shares increasing by 4% and Exxon Mobil rising by 1.6% on the same day [4] - The S&P 500 energy index reached its highest level since March 2025, reflecting optimism about potential Venezuelan oil production [4] Oil Price Movements - Brent crude futures rose 1.2% to $61.48 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained 1.4% to $58.11 on January 5, 2026 [5] - However, Chevron's shares fell by 4% the following day, and WTI futures slipped 1% to $57.75, indicating market volatility [5] Canadian Oil Market Reaction - Canadian oil stocks experienced declines, with major producers like Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. and Cenovus Energy Inc. falling approximately 8% and 8.7% respectively, as analysts deemed the market's reaction an overreaction [6] Financial Sector Impact - Financial stocks also saw gains, with Goldman Sachs up 4.5% and JP Morgan gaining 2.9% on January 5, 2026, indicating a broader market response to the Venezuelan news [7] Tariff Policy Effects - The U.S.-U.K. trade deal, which reduced tariffs on cars from the U.K., led to a 14% increase in Aston Martin shares, while Detroit's automotive giants expressed disappointment over potential competitive disadvantages [9][10] - The Supreme Court's deliberation on Trump's tariffs, which generated $130 billion in revenue, could significantly impact market dynamics, with analysts predicting a 70-80% chance of unfavorable outcomes for Trump [11] Consumer Goods Sector Response - Delays in tariff hikes on furniture led to stock surges for retailers like Wayfair and RH, highlighting the immediate benefits of tariff postponements for certain sectors [12]

华尔街著名大空头迈克尔·伯里（Michael Burry）看好瓦莱罗能源（VLO）和哈里伯顿（HAL）将成为 委内瑞拉重建的潜在受益者，并认为俄罗斯石油长期来看可能变得"不那么重要"。 责任编辑：张俊 SF065 责任编辑：张俊 SF065 华尔街著名大空头迈克尔·伯里（Michael Burry）看好瓦莱罗能源（VLO）和哈里伯顿（HAL）将成为 委内瑞拉重建的潜在受益者，并认为俄罗斯石油长期来看可能变得"不那么重要"。 ...

北京时间1月6日晚，美股周二早盘小幅上扬。能源板块连续第二个交易日上涨。交易员在本周多项关键 数据公布前仍保持乐观。 道指涨142.70点，涨幅为0.29%，报49119.88点；纳指涨109.20点，涨幅为0.47%，报23505.02点；标普 500指数涨26.95点，涨幅为0.39%，报6929.00点。 周一美股收高，道指创历史新高。美国抓捕委内瑞拉领导人马杜罗后，美国总统特朗普呼吁美国能源巨 头投资这个石油资源丰富的国家，推动能源板块大涨。雪佛龙和埃克森美孚均录得显著涨幅，标普500 能源板块创下自7月8日以来的最大单日涨幅。 Innovator ETFs机构研究与投资策略主管Tom O'Shea表示："从历史上看，引发重大新闻的地缘政治事件 通常会造成短期波动并导致股价下跌。然而，此次标普500指数在行动后的首个交易日却上涨，能源股 领涨，市场预期美国企业可能从委内瑞拉潜在的基础设施重建中获益。国防股、贵金属和比特币也同步 上涨，表明投资者反应复杂多元。" 周二能源股再度上涨，雪佛龙、埃克森美孚、哈里伯顿及斯伦贝谢等个股普涨。 尽管委内瑞拉局势紧张，但投资者仍持续加仓股票，几乎未受干扰，推动由科技 ...

据NBC，特朗普总统周一表示，美国可能会补贴石油公司在该国的投资。投资者认为可能进入该国的 其他石油巨头也在盘前走高，其中埃克森美孚上涨0.5%，康菲石油跳升0.8%。石油服务巨头斯伦贝谢 和哈里伯顿分别上涨2%和0.2%。 格隆汇1月6日｜在美国抓捕委内瑞拉总统马杜罗这一出人意料的行动后，美国石油股延续了周一的涨 势，投资者正密切关注美国公司是否以及如何获准进入委内瑞拉石油储备区。作为目前唯一在委内瑞拉 运营的美国石油公司，雪佛龙在周一大涨后，盘前交易中再次上涨0.7%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Halliburton's shares experienced a significant increase of 7.8% to close at $31.92, driven by strong trading volume and optimism regarding potential investments in Venezuela's oil sector [1][2]. Company Performance - Halliburton is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.54 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 22.9%. Revenue is anticipated to be $5.39 billion, down 3.9% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate for Halliburton has been revised slightly higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive trend that may lead to price appreciation [4]. Market Sentiment - The increase in Halliburton's stock price is linked to optimism surrounding U.S. actions towards Venezuela, which could lead to increased oil production and subsequently benefit oilfield service providers [2]. - The sentiment was further bolstered by Donald Trump's encouragement for U.S. oil companies to invest in rebuilding Venezuela's oil infrastructure [2]. Industry Context - Halliburton operates within the Zacks Oil and Gas - Field Services industry, which includes other companies like FMC Technologies, that also saw a stock increase of 2.1% [5]. - FMC Technologies has a consensus EPS estimate of $0.51, representing a decline of 5.6% from the previous year, and currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [6].

Group 1: Insurance Sector - The insurance sector continues to rise, with China Ping An (02318) up 5.17%, New China Life (01336) up 4.14%, China Life (02628) up 4.83%, and China Pacific Insurance (02601) up 3.29%. The National Financial Regulatory Administration reported that the insurance industry achieved a total premium income of 57,629 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.6% for the first 11 months of 2025 [1][2]. Group 2: Hydrogen Energy - Guofu Hydrogen Energy (02582) saw a rise of over 7.2% after announcing the delivery of a total of 424 sets of vehicle-mounted high-pressure hydrogen supply systems to clients, which will be used in fuel cell buses in Guangzhou [1]. Group 3: Coal Sector - Coal stocks collectively rose, with China Coal Energy (01898) up 4.33%, Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171) up 3.18%, and China Shenhua Energy (01088) up 2.31%. Since late November, port thermal coal prices have been on a downward trend, dropping from a high of 834 yuan/ton to a low of 670 yuan/ton, before rebounding on December 31, increasing by 8 yuan/ton to 678 yuan/ton [1]. Group 4: Solar Energy and AI - Junda Co., Ltd. (02865) increased by over 6.1% following a report from Guotai Junan that Elon Musk proposed a plan to deploy 100GW of solar AI satellites annually, driving demand for space photovoltaic technology [1]. Group 5: Lithium Mining - Lithium stocks were active, with Ganfeng Lithium (01772) up 4.22% and Tianqi Lithium (09696) up 2.85%. After breaking through the 130,000 yuan/ton mark, lithium carbonate futures surged over 8%, reaching a high of 137,760 yuan/ton [2]. Group 6: Real Estate Sector - Domestic real estate stocks continued to rise, with Beike-W (02423) up 3.44%, Longfor Group (00960) up 5.24%, China Jinmao (00817) up 5.34%, and China Resources Land (01109) up 3.64%. An article published in "Qiushi" magazine emphasized the need to improve and stabilize expectations in the real estate market [2]. Group 7: Baby Products - Different Group (06090) rebounded by over 34.99%. According to a report from China Merchants Securities, the company is positioned as a mid-to-high-end baby products brand with strong product development and channel expansion capabilities, targeting middle-class and high-net-worth consumers [3]. Group 8: Mining Sector - Zijin Mining (02899) rose nearly 6%, reaching a historical high. The company recently announced an annual profit forecast of 51 to 52 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 18.9 to 19.9 billion yuan compared to the previous year's profit of 32.051 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of about 59% to 62% [3]. Group 9: U.S. Stock Market - The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke through 49,000 points, rising 1.3%, with major U.S. bank stocks reaching historical highs. Goldman Sachs (GS.US) rose 3.73%, JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US) rose 2.63%, and Morgan Stanley (MS.US) rose 2.55%. The U.S. ISM reported that the manufacturing PMI fell to 47.9 in December, below the expected 48.4 [4]. Group 10: Precious Metals - U.S. precious metal stocks collectively strengthened, with Hecla Mining (HL.US) up 4.56% and Barrick Gold (B.US) up 3.77%. Spot gold surged 2.5%, reclaiming the $4,400 mark, while spot silver rose 5%, surpassing $76 [4]. Group 11: AI and Technology - Datavault AI (DVLT.US) surged 42.57%, with a cumulative increase of 180% over three trading days after signing a procurement agreement with AP Global Holdings LLC for infrastructure and cybersecurity services [5]. Group 12: Bitcoin and Related Stocks - Bitcoin briefly reached the $93,000 mark, with related stocks rising, including Strategy (MSTR.US) up 4.81% and Coinbase (COIN.US) up 7.77% [6]. Group 13: Oil Sector - Oil stocks saw significant pre-market gains, with Chevron (CVX.US) up 5.1% and ConocoPhillips (COP.US) up 2.59%. Reports indicated that the U.S. had captured Venezuelan President Maduro through military action, leading to a strong performance in oil and gas services [7].