Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) shares ended the last trading session 6.4% higher at $9.27. The jump came on an impressive volume with a higher-than-average number of shares changing hands in the session. This compares to the stock's 1.3% loss over the past four weeks.Shares of Hillman are likely to have gained on optimism surrounding ongoing operating initiatives. The company continues to benefit from pricing actions and steady new business wins despite a challenging demand backdrop. Hillman is managing tar ...

Company Overview - Hillman Solutions is a leading North American provider of hardware products and related merchandising services, leveraging a diverse brand portfolio and integrated supply chain to meet the needs of retail and industrial customers [6] - The company generates revenue primarily through direct sales of hardware and related products, as well as value-added merchandising services to various customers including hardware stores and industrial original equipment manufacturers [9] Financial Performance - In the third quarter, Hillman posted record net sales of $424.9 million, representing an 8% year-over-year increase [10] - Record adjusted EBITDA reached $88 million, up from $64.8 million a year earlier, while adjusted diluted EPS rose to $0.22 from $0.13 [10] - Full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance was raised to a range of $270 million to $275 million, with sales outlook remaining steady [10] - The company's net debt to trailing EBITDA improved to 2.5 times, indicating enhanced balance-sheet flexibility [10] Investment Activity - Anchor Capital Management Company increased its stake in Hillman Solutions by acquiring 717,772 shares, bringing its total position to 1.42 million shares valued at $13.0 million as of September 30 [2][3] - Hillman Solutions now constitutes 11.2% of Anchor Capital Management Company's assets under management [3] Market Performance - As of the latest report, Hillman Solutions shares were priced at $8.99, reflecting a 9% decline over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500, which increased by approximately 15% during the same period [3][4]

Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) is one of the most promising small-cap industrial stocks under $50. On December 10, Brian McNamara from Canaccord Genuity reiterated his bullish stance on Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN). He assigned a Buy rating to the stock with a price target of $15. This implies a highly attractive 67% upside potential for investors at the current level. McNamara has attributed his views to management’s optimistic outlook for 2026, which is characterized by healthy growth ...

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Hillman Solutions Corp (NASDAQ: HLMN) is one of the best industrial stocks to buy according to Wall Street analysts. On December 3, analysts at Stifel reiterated a Buy rating on Hillman Solutions Corp (NASDAQ:HLMN) and a $12.20 price target, citing it as a leading hardware products distributor. Stifel Asserts Buy Stance on Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) on Home Improvement Market Recovery Copyright: fotomaximum / 123RF Stock Photo The firm noted surprise at the stock’s 4% decline following earnings, esp ...

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Core Viewpoint - Growth investors are increasingly focused on stocks with above-average financial growth, but identifying stocks that can fulfill their growth potential is challenging due to associated risks and volatility [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) is identified as a promising growth stock with a favorable Growth Score and a top Zacks Rank [2] - The company has a historical EPS growth rate of 24.9%, with projected EPS growth of 18.4% this year, significantly outperforming the industry average of 5.7% [4] Group 2: Financial Metrics - Hillman Solutions Corp. exhibits a year-over-year cash flow growth of 12.5%, surpassing the industry average of 3.1% [5] - The company's annualized cash flow growth rate over the past 3-5 years is 40.2%, compared to the industry average of 10% [6] Group 3: Earnings Estimates - There is a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions for Hillman Solutions Corp., with the current-year earnings estimates increasing by 6.4% over the past month [7] - The company has earned a Growth Score of B and a Zacks Rank 2 due to these positive earnings estimate revisions [9]

Core Insights - Hillman Solutions Corp. reported quarterly earnings of $0.22 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.18 per share, and showing an increase from $0.16 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +22.22% [1] - The company posted revenues of $424.94 million for the quarter ended September 2025, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.25%, but up from $393.3 million year-over-year [2] - Hillman Solutions Corp. shares have underperformed the market, losing about 4.7% since the beginning of the year compared to the S&P 500's gain of 16.5% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.10 on revenues of $377.5 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.54 on revenues of $1.57 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Hillman Solutions Corp. was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Building Products - Miscellaneous industry, to which Hillman Solutions Corp. belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 39% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact investor sentiment [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hillman reported record net sales of $424.9 million for Q3 2025, an increase of 8% year-over-year [11][14] - Adjusted EBITDA rose 36% to $88 million, marking the highest adjusted EBITDA in the company's history [11][14] - Adjusted gross margin improved by 350 basis points to 51.7% compared to the prior year [11][14] - Leverage improved to 2.5 times from 2.7 times in the previous quarter [3][16] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Hardware and Protective Solutions (HPS) segment grew by 10% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 57.3% to $65.8 million [12] - Robotics and Digital Solutions (RDS) saw a 3.3% increase in net sales, marking the third consecutive growth quarter [12] - Canadian business net sales were nearly flat, down 0.2% year-over-year, impacted by soft market volumes and foreign exchange [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Existing home sales in the U.S. are approximately 20% below the 10-year average, affecting market volumes [6] - Market volumes are expected to decline by 7% in the second half of 2025, with a cautious outlook for Q4 [45][61] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Hillman is focused on maintaining strong customer relationships and operational efficiency to navigate tariff challenges [9][10] - The company is optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly as macroeconomic indicators improve [4][21] - Hillman plans to continue its dual-sourcing strategy to mitigate tariff impacts and enhance supply chain flexibility [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to grow despite current market headwinds, with expectations for continued growth into 2026 [3][21] - The company anticipates a high single to low double-digit growth in net sales for 2026, driven by rollover price and new business wins [20][61] - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by tariffs but emphasized the company's resilience and adaptability [9][10] Other Important Information - Hillman has initiated a $100 million share repurchase program, with $3.2 million deployed to buy back shares in Q3 2025 [16][17] - The company has paid down over $240 million of debt while reducing leverage significantly over the past three years [7][16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Competitive opportunities or pressures from suppliers - Management noted that they see several business opportunities arising from competitors facing challenges in the current environment [25] Question: Order patterns from largest retail customers - Order patterns have been consistent, with strong relationships maintained with retail partners [26] Question: Changes in 2026 outlook - Management reiterated their previous outlook for 2026, expecting high single to low double-digit growth in a flat market [27] Question: Impact of tariffs on market volumes - Management indicated that it is difficult to determine the exact impact of tariffs on consumer demand, but they remain cautiously optimistic [45] Question: Pricing and customer receptiveness - Management stated that pricing has played out as expected, with customers understanding the need for price adjustments due to tariffs [53] Question: M&A activity outlook - There has been an increase in inbound M&A interest, and management is optimistic about future opportunities [81]