JNBY(JNBBY)

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江南布衣(3306.HK)首次覆盖报告:聚焦小众细分赛道的高ROE+高股息优质标的
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 01:02
Core Insights - Jiangnan Buyi, established in 1994, is a leading designer brand fashion company with a strong market presence and high dividend payout since its listing in 2016 [1][2] - The company has maintained a high return on equity (ROE), averaging 35.7% over the past three years and 33.4% over the past five years, positioning it among the top in the consumer goods sector [1] Group 1: Growth Strategies - The company employs three main strategies for growth: multi-brand matrix, design-driven approach, and fan-driven engagement [1] - Multi-brand matrix: Revenue contributions from mature brands, growth brands, and emerging brands are 56.2%, 41.7%, and 2.1% respectively, with compound annual growth rates (CAGR) of 9.4% and 9.2% for mature and growth brands from FY2019 to FY2024 [1] - Design-driven: The founder is directly involved in design, with strong incentives and high investment in core designers, including initiatives like the Sesame Laboratory to explore sustainable fashion [1] - Fan-driven: The company has a strong membership base with 319,000 active members contributing over 60% of offline retail sales, supported by digital retail initiatives [1] Group 2: Market Potential and Financial Outlook - The designer brand market shows significant potential, with a CAGR of 5.5% from 2017 to 2022, and an expected CAGR of 14.5% from 2023 to 2027, ranking among the top two in its segment [2] - The company has a high-quality channel presence, with 45.3% of stores located in first and second-tier cities, and a comparable store growth rate of 10.7% for FY24 [2] - Financial projections indicate revenue growth to reach 5.59 billion yuan, 5.98 billion yuan, and 6.39 billion yuan for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.7%, 7.0%, and 6.9% [2] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 890 million yuan, 950 million yuan, and 1.02 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.4%, 7.6%, and 7.1% [2]
江南布衣(03306.HK):盈利能力稳定 保持扩张态势
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 01:02
Core Viewpoint - The company's 1HFY25 performance met expectations, with revenue of 3.156 billion yuan and a net profit of 600 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 5.0% and 4.7% respectively [1] Performance Review - The company declared an interim dividend of 0.45 HKD per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of approximately 37% [1] - Revenue breakdown by channel for 1HFY25 showed a decline in direct sales by 7.7% to 1.117 billion yuan, while distribution and e-commerce channels grew by 14.2% and 11.9% to 1.437 billion yuan and 602 million yuan respectively [1] - The number of direct stores decreased by 24 to 491, while distribution stores increased by 126 to 1,614, indicating a strategic channel optimization [1] - Comparable store sales showed a modest increase of 0.1% year-on-year, indicating stability in sales performance [1] Brand Performance - Revenue from the mature brand JNBY increased by 3.6% to 1.760 billion yuan, demonstrating strong growth resilience [2] - The emerging brands saw significant growth, with revenue increasing by 147.3% to 194 million yuan, albeit from a low base [2] - Active membership accounts slightly declined to 540,000, attributed to reduced foot traffic, while high-value members (spending over 5,000 yuan) increased by 30,000 to over 330,000 [2] Cost and Profitability - The gross profit margin remained stable at 65.1%, while the selling expense ratio increased by 1.1 percentage points to 32.3% due to marketing activities for the brand's anniversary [2] - The management expense ratio rose by 0.4 percentage points to 8.6%, but government subsidies increased and the effective tax rate decreased, keeping the net profit margin stable at 19.0% [2] Development Trends - The company has been focusing on brand strength, successfully launching multiple "JNBY+" concept stores and investing in digital retail channels [2] - The company completed acquisitions of a children's clothing brand and a 100% stake in a department store brand, expanding its multi-brand portfolio [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecasts for FY25 and FY26 are maintained at 870 million yuan and 930 million yuan respectively, with the current stock price corresponding to 10 and 9 times the FY25 and FY26 earnings [3] - The target price has been raised by 16% to 20.00 HKD, reflecting an expected upside of 13% from the current stock price [3]
江南布衣(03306.HK)FY2025H1业绩点评:FY2025H1业绩稳健 新兴品牌增长强劲
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 01:02
Core Viewpoint - Jiangnan Buyi reported a steady performance in FY2025 H1 with total revenue of 3.156 billion yuan, up 5% year-on-year, and net profit of 604 million yuan, up 5.5% year-on-year, while proposing an interim dividend of 0.45 HKD per share [1][2] Financial Performance - FY2025 H1 total revenue reached 3.156 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5% and net profit of 604 million yuan, reflecting a 5.5% year-on-year growth [1] - The overall gross margin slightly declined to 65.1%, down 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased to 19.1%, up 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [1][2] - Revenue breakdown by brand shows JNBY at 1.76 billion yuan (up 3.6%), Sketch at 388 million yuan (down 6%), jnby by JNBY at 476 million yuan (down 0.6%), LESS at 338 million yuan (up 0.8%), and emerging brands at 194 million yuan (up 147.3%) [1] Channel Performance - Revenue by channel indicates direct sales at 1.117 billion yuan (down 7.7%), distributor channel at 1.437 billion yuan (up 14.2%), and online channel at 602 million yuan (up 11.9%) [1] - The overall expense ratio increased, with sales and marketing expenses at 32.35% (up 1.1 percentage points) and administrative expenses at 8.62% (up 0.4 percentage points) [2] Store Expansion and Brand Development - As of December 31, 2024, the group operated 2,126 independent retail stores globally, an increase of 101 stores since June 30, 2024, with JNBY having 960 stores [3] - The company upgraded store images and optimized supply chain management, contributing to retail performance improvement, alongside the acquisition of Hangzhou Muli Brand Management Company to expand its brand matrix [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 5.53 billion, 5.96 billion, and 6.42 billion yuan for FY2025-2027, with net profits of 880 million, 930 million, and 1 billion yuan respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [4] - The current closing price corresponds to a PE ratio of 8.0, 7.5, and 7.0 for the respective years, suggesting the company is a low-valuation, high-dividend quality stock [4]
江南布衣(3306.HK):业绩稳健增长 持续分红回馈股东
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 01:02
Core Viewpoint - The company reported stable growth in FY2025 H1, with a mid-term dividend of 0.45 HKD per share, and is expected to maintain its leading designer brand advantage in FY2025 H2, resulting in steady performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - In FY2025 H1, the company achieved revenue of 3.156 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, and a net profit of 604 million RMB, up 5.5% year-on-year, meeting expectations [1]. - The company's gross margin remained stable during this period [1]. Brand Performance - The mature brand JNBY generated revenue of 1.76 billion RMB in H1, growing by 3.6% year-on-year, while emerging brands saw significant growth with a total revenue of 190 million RMB, up 147% year-on-year [2]. - The growth rates for other brands were as follows: Su Xie at 390 million RMB (-6.0%), jnby by JNBY at 480 million RMB (-0.6%), and LESS at 340 million RMB (+0.8%) [2]. Channel Performance - Revenue from self-operated, distribution, and online channels in H1 was 1.12 billion RMB (-7.7%), 1.44 billion RMB (+14.2%), and 600 million RMB (+11.9%) respectively [2]. - The company has a total of 491 self-operated stores and 1614 distribution stores in China, with a net decrease of 24 self-operated stores and a net increase of 126 distribution stores in H1 [2]. Membership and Consumer Engagement - Membership sales accounted for over 80% of total sales, with active members spending over 5000 RMB increasing to 330,000, contributing to a sales increase of 8% to 4.68 billion RMB [2]. - The company is focusing on enhancing brand strength and refining membership management for steady growth in FY2025 [2]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The company announced a mid-term dividend of 0.45 HKD per share, with an expected annual dividend yield of approximately 8% [2].
江南布衣(03306.HK):H1经营稳健 期待品牌力持续向上
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 01:02
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 3.156 billion yuan for FY25H1, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.0%, with a net profit of 604 million yuan, up 5.5% year-on-year. The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.45 HKD per share, with an expected annual dividend payout ratio of no less than 75% [1]. Revenue Analysis - By brand, the main brand JNBY achieved a revenue of 1.760 billion yuan in FY2025H1, growing 3.6% year-on-year, accounting for 55.8% of total revenue, driven mainly by online channels and store expansion. Other brands such as 速写/jnby by JNBY/LESS reported revenues of 388 million, 476 million, and 339 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -6.0%, -0.6%, and 0.8% respectively. The newly acquired brands OMG and B1OCK saw significant growth, with other brands generating 194 million yuan, up 147.3% year-on-year. The total number of stores increased to 960, 316, 517, 259, and 52 for each brand, showing growth of 36, 6, 24, 19, and 14 stores respectively compared to the end of FY2024 [1][2]. Channel Performance - In FY2025H1, online revenue reached 602 million yuan, growing 11.9% year-on-year. Direct sales and distribution channel revenues were 1.117 billion and 1.437 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -7.7% and 14.2% respectively. The number of stores in these channels was 491 and 1,634, showing a decrease of 24 and an increase of 126 stores compared to the end of FY2024. The distribution channel accelerated its store opening pace, contributing to rapid revenue growth, while same-store sales remained stable [2]. Profitability and Outlook - The overall profitability remained stable, with a gross margin of 65.2%, unchanged year-on-year. The sales and management expense ratios were 32.3% and 8.6%, increasing by 1.2 and 0.3 percentage points respectively, mainly due to marketing activities celebrating the 30th anniversary of the JNBY brand. Net profit margin stood at 19.3%, also stable year-on-year. Inventory turnover days increased to 140 days, up 5 days year-on-year, influenced by a warm winter and a decrease in cotton and down sales, as the company prepared inventory ahead of the 2025 Spring Festival. Looking ahead to FY2025H2, the multi-brand matrix is expected to continue to perform well, with plans for further optimization of designer brands and categories through self-incubation or acquisitions, continued store openings, and enhanced store image to improve store efficiency [3][4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits of 877 million, 917 million, and 981 million yuan for FY2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.33%, 4.57%, and 6.96% respectively. Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.69, 1.77, and 1.89 yuan, with price-to-earnings ratios of 9, 9, and 8 times. The company remains optimistic about the sustained growth of its multi-brand matrix and stable growth in channels and store efficiency, maintaining a buy rating [4].
江南布衣(03306.HK):品牌稳健增长 重视长期发展
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 01:02
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a 5% year-on-year increase in revenue for FY25 H1, driven by online sales growth and an increase in offline stores [1][2]. Financial Performance - FY25 H1 revenue reached 3.16 billion RMB, with mature brands contributing 1.76 billion RMB (+4% YoY), growth brands at 1.2 billion RMB (-2% YoY), and emerging brands at 200 million RMB (+149% YoY) [1]. - Net profit for FY25 H1 was 600 million RMB, reflecting a 5.5% increase YoY [1]. - Gross margin stood at 65.1%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points, while net margin was 19.1%, also down by 0.1 percentage points [1]. Dividend Announcement - The company declared an interim dividend of 0.45 HKD per share (approximately 0.43 RMB per share) [1]. Membership Insights - In 2024, over 80% of retail revenue was contributed by members, with active member accounts totaling 540,000, a slight decrease from 2023 [1][2]. - Membership accounts with total purchases exceeding 5,000 RMB numbered over 330,000, generating retail revenue of 4.68 billion RMB, contributing over 60% of offline retail revenue [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to strengthen its position as a leading designer brand group in China through various strategies, including optimizing brand and product mix via self-incubation or acquisitions, enhancing retail networks, and leveraging data-driven operations [2]. - The focus will be on creating value-added services for fans and improving the overall retail experience [2]. Earnings Forecast - The company maintains its earnings forecast, projecting revenues of 5.5 billion RMB, 6 billion RMB, and 6.6 billion RMB for FY25-27, with net profits of 880 million RMB, 900 million RMB, and 990 million RMB respectively [2]. - Expected EPS for FY25-27 is 1.69, 1.74, and 1.91 RMB per share, corresponding to PE ratios of 8, 8, and 7 times [2].
江南布衣(03306.HK):2025上半财年稳健增长 线上渠道表现出色
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 01:02
Core Viewpoint - Jiangnan Buyi demonstrated resilient operational performance with a revenue increase of 5.0% year-on-year in the first half of FY2025, achieving 3.156 billion yuan despite a challenging consumer environment [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of FY2025 reached 3.156 billion yuan, reflecting a 5.0% year-on-year growth [1] - Gross margin slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 65.1%, influenced by changes in channel structure [1] - Net profit increased by 5.5% year-on-year to 604 million yuan, maintaining a high net profit margin of 19.1% [1] - Operating cash flow net amount was 823 million yuan, a 22.2% year-on-year decline due to increased inventory, but the net cash ratio remained solid at 1.36 [1] Channel Performance - Online revenue grew by 11.9% year-on-year to 680 million yuan, accounting for 21.5% of total revenue, with gross margin improving by 2.3 percentage points to 68.4% [2] - Offline revenue increased by 3.5% year-on-year to 2.55 billion yuan, affected by a 7.7% decline in self-operated channels, while distribution channels achieved a robust growth of 14.2% [2] Brand Performance - JNBY brand accounted for 55.8% of total revenue with a steady growth of 3.6% and a gross margin increase of 0.6 percentage points [2] - Growth brands saw a revenue share of 38.1%, declining by 2.1%, with LESS being the only brand in this category to show positive growth of 0.8% [2] - Emerging brands experienced significant growth of 147.3% in revenue, with gross margin improving by over 10 percentage points, indicating substantial potential [2] Investment Recommendation - The company maintains a strong and stable growth trajectory with high profitability and cash flow, supporting a high dividend payout policy [3] - Profit forecasts for FY2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted upwards, with net profits projected at 890 million, 960 million, and 1.02 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 5.2%, 8.1%, and 6.2% [3] - Target price is maintained at 17.5-19.2 HKD, corresponding to a FY2025 PE ratio of 9.5-10.5x, with an "outperform" rating upheld [3]
江南布衣20250604
2025-06-04 15:25
江南布衣 20250604 摘要 江南布衣 4-5 月零售额显著增长,主要受益于五一长假及与小红书的合 作推广活动,速写和 less 等核心品牌参与,以及 618 促销提前带来的 拉动效应。整体折扣策略稳定,当季货品折扣保持稳定,过季货品折扣 收窄。 女装品牌表现突出,其次是童装,再次是男装。线上销售采用一盘货逻 辑,无电商专供款,侧重自我经营和全域会员策略,新品占比提升,对 整体 GPA 贡献增加。五月线下零售亦有明显改善,高单位数增长,同店 销售额转正。 高线城市直营店表现显著改善,对整体业绩贡献较大。自营转经销模式 已在上半财年实施,主要集中在温州、青岛、无锡等城市,该模式短期 内可能导致收入确认方式变化,但长期来看,若业务规模扩大,品牌健 康发展,则影响积极。 秋冬季订货会数据表明业绩增长预期稳定,但快反追单模式日益重要。 两个女装品牌拓店策略各有侧重,GENNBIO 侧重提升单店产出,Max 则有较大拓展空间,成立单一品牌事业部以提升运营效率。 Q&A 近期零售终端的变化情况如何?上半年(2025 年)的流水和折扣情况如何? 月度整体流水增长逐月环比改善。一季度(1-3 月)基本上是中低端流水的增 ...
江南布衣20250527
2025-05-27 15:28
江南布衣 20250527 摘要 江南布衣年初至今增速逐月改善,从低单位数增长到高单位数增长,预 计全年收入中个位数增长,利润低个位数增长,内部指引保守,收入或 接近 5%,利润端可能超预期。 大促节日对江南布衣去库存作用有限,主要依赖线上过季打折和线下奥 莱渠道。25 上半财年秋冬货品售罄率下降导致库存增加,但产品生命周 期长,盈利能力仍可观。 LESS 品牌事业部独立运作,以 Classita 品牌进行试验,各职能部门自 主运营。若效果良好,将推广至其他品牌,旨在提升运营效率和品牌活 力。 江南布衣每月新增会员约 6 万,会员数量稳定增长。复购率高的会员更 看重体验和独特特权,如新品秀场活动和造型师陪逛服务,线上微商城 提供搭配咨询。 2025 财年上半年江南布衣折扣同比改善,预计下半年保持相同趋势, 整体折扣管理良好,零售增长健康且高质。7 个品牌已打通会员体系, 金卡会员享受全品牌权益。 Q&A 请更新一下四五月份的经营表现。 四五月整体有环比改善。从全渠道流水来看,4 月为中单位数增长,5 月因黄 金周前半个月势头明显改善,零售流水增长超过双位数,但后半月有所放缓, 目前 5 月整体为高单位数增长。 ...
停牌!603306,重大重组!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-05-20 14:23
Core Viewpoint - Huamao Technology plans to acquire 100% equity of Shenzhen Fuchuang Youyue Technology Co., Ltd, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring, leading to the suspension of its stock trading starting May 21, 2025 [2][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition involves purchasing 19.4519% equity from Fuchuang Youyue and 100% equity from its shareholders, including Shenzhen Yinrui Technology Co., Ltd and Shenzhen Fuchuang Youyue No.1 Enterprise Management Partnership [3]. - Prior to this transaction, Huamao Technology held 42.1602% equity in Fuchuang Youyue through its wholly-owned subsidiary Huamao (Dongyang) New Materials Co., Ltd [3]. - Upon completion of the transaction, Huamao Technology will directly and indirectly hold 100% equity in Fuchuang Youyue [3]. Group 2: Strategic Importance - The acquisition aligns with Huamao Technology's strategic focus on the semiconductor and computing power manufacturing sectors, which are identified as key growth areas for the company [4][6]. - The company has been increasing its stake in Fuchuang Youyue over the past year, indicating a commitment to integrating and expanding its operations in this sector [5][6]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Huamao Technology has shown steady financial performance, with revenue and net profit increasing year-on-year for three consecutive years from 2022 to 2024 [6]. - In the first quarter of this year, the company reported revenue of 537 million yuan, a 14% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 86 million yuan, reflecting a 60% growth [6]. - As of May 20, 2025, Huamao Technology's stock price was 41.65 yuan, with a market capitalization of 13.7 billion yuan [7].