Core Viewpoint - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13 per share, and showing an increase from $0.09 per share a year ago, indicating a positive earnings surprise of 23.08% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $16.37 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.97% and up from $14.29 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Kolibri Global Energy has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - Kolibri Global Energy shares have increased approximately 16.5% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.1% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for assessing future stock performance, with current consensus EPS estimates at $0.14 for the upcoming quarter and $0.66 for the current fiscal year [4][7] - The estimate revisions trend for Kolibri Global Energy is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Alternative Energy - Other industry, to which Kolibri Global Energy belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 43% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8]

Company Overview - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings, with a projected EPS of $0.13, reflecting a +44.4% change, and revenues of $15.17 million, up 6.2% from the previous year [3][12] Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 17.65% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for KGEI matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [10][11] Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, KGEI exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $0.16 per share against an expected $0.14, resulting in a surprise of +14.29% [12] - Over the last four quarters, KGEI has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13] Industry Comparison - Ormat Technologies (ORA), a peer in the alternative energy sector, is expected to report an EPS of $0.59, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -9.2%, with revenues projected at $234.55 million, up 4.6% [17] - The consensus EPS estimate for Ormat has been revised 7.4% higher recently, but a lower Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -20.34%, making predictions of an earnings beat challenging [18]

Group 1 - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) is outperforming the Oils-Energy sector with a year-to-date return of 35.3%, while the sector has returned an average of -8.7% [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KGEI's full-year earnings has increased by 23.9% in the past quarter, indicating improved analyst sentiment [4] - KGEI belongs to the Alternative Energy - Other industry, which has an average loss of 3.9% year-to-date, further highlighting KGEI's strong performance [6] Group 2 - Veren (VRN) is another stock in the Oils-Energy sector that has shown strong performance with a year-to-date return of 16% [5] - The consensus estimate for Veren's current year EPS has increased by 15.6% over the past three months, reflecting positive analyst outlook [5] - Veren is part of the Oil and Gas - Integrated - Canadian industry, which has experienced a year-to-date decline of -11.1% [7]

Group 1: Company Performance - Clearway Energy (CWENA) has returned 16.3% year-to-date, outperforming the Oils-Energy sector, which has returned an average of 4% [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CWENA's full-year earnings has increased by 1.4% over the past quarter, indicating improved analyst sentiment and a more positive earnings outlook [4] - Clearway Energy is currently ranked 2 (Buy) in the Zacks Rank system, which highlights stocks with characteristics to outperform the market [3] Group 2: Industry Context - Clearway Energy belongs to the Alternative Energy - Other industry, which includes 47 stocks and currently ranks 125 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - Stocks in the Alternative Energy - Other industry have lost about 1.9% year-to-date, indicating that Clearway Energy is performing better than its peers in this specific industry [6] - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. is another stock in the Oils-Energy sector that has outperformed, with a year-to-date increase of 56.6% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net revenue for 2024 of $58.5 million, a 60% increase compared to the prior year, attributed to increased production despite a 7% decrease in prices [12] - Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 increased by 28% to $44 million, compared to $39.1 million in 2023, driven by higher revenue but offset by increased operating and G&A expenses [12] - Net income for 2024 was $18.1 million, with basic EPS of $0.51 per share, reflecting a 6% decrease from $19.3 million and $0.54 per share in 2023 [13] - Operating expenses were $7.44 per BOE for the year, up from $6.61 in 2023, including $0.63 of prior year cost true-ups [14] - Netback from operations decreased to $38.54 per BOE compared to $42.97 in the prior year, due to lower average prices and higher operating expenses [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average production for 2024 increased by 24% to 3,478 BOE per day, compared to 2,796 in the prior year, due to new wells added [12][13] - The company successfully drilled three longer lateral wells, which performed well and improved operational efficiencies [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average oil price for 2024 was $74.6 per barrel, while gas prices averaged $1.93 per Mcf [10] - The company’s year-end crude reserves increased by 24% over the 2023 year-end numbers [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to continue its growth trajectory with a forecasted average production of 4,500 to 5,100 BOE per day for 2025, representing a 29% to 47% increase from 2024 [18] - Revenue forecast for 2025 is between $75 million to $89 million, a 28% to 52% increase from 2024 [18] - The company intends to spend between $48 million to $53 million on CapEx in 2025, with plans to bring nine wells into production [19] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed satisfaction with the accomplishments in 2024, highlighting production increases and cost efficiencies [7][22] - The company aims to maintain low leverage while continuing to grow revenue and cash flow [22] - Management noted a 58% gain in stock price in 2024 and ongoing efforts to increase shareholder awareness [23] Other Important Information - The company increased its line of credit to $50 million in 2024 [10] - A share buyback program was initiated, with 280,656 shares purchased for about $1.1 million in 2024, with plans to continue in 2025 [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Inquiry about Lovina wells and net revenue interest - Management confirmed a net revenue interest of approximately 79% in the Lovina wells, with production expected to commence in early June [28][34] Question: Changes in hedging strategy - Management stated there are no significant changes in the hedging strategy, maintaining costless collars to protect lower prices while keeping the upper end open [40][41] Question: Success of growing proved reserves and drilling program focus - The focus for 2025 will be on drilling in proved acreage, with expectations of better performance from longer laterals compared to previous drilling [50][52]

Core Insights - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) reported quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.14 per share, and showing an increase from $0.14 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of 14.29% [1] - The company posted revenues of $17.37 million for the quarter ended December 2024, which was 2.86% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but an increase from $13.44 million year-over-year [2] - KGEI shares have increased approximately 37% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a decline of 1.9% in the S&P 500 [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.16 on revenues of $17.24 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.75 on revenues of $80.98 million [7] - The estimate revisions trend for KGEI is favorable, leading to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Alternative Energy - Other industry, to which KGEI belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 47% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that the overall industry outlook may impact stock performance [8]

Group 1: Company Performance - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. has returned 50% year-to-date, outperforming the average loss of 1.3% in the Oils-Energy sector [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kolibri's full-year earnings has increased by 32.7% in the past quarter, indicating improving analyst sentiment [4] - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a positive earnings outlook [3] Group 2: Industry Context - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. is part of the Alternative Energy - Other industry, which has seen a loss of about 2.3% year-to-date, indicating that Kolibri is performing better than its peers in this group [6] - The Oils-Energy sector, which includes 247 individual stocks, is ranked 6 in the Zacks Sector Rank [2] - Sitio Royalties, another stock in the Oils-Energy sector, has returned 1.3% year-to-date and also holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5][7]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying and sustaining trends in short-term investing, highlighting that sound fundamentals and positive earnings estimates are crucial for maintaining momentum in stocks [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) has shown a significant price increase of 98.8% over the past 12 weeks, indicating strong investor interest [3]. - KGEI has also experienced a price increase of 15.2% over the last four weeks, suggesting that the upward trend is still intact [4]. - Currently, KGEI is trading at 80.4% of its 52-week high-low range, indicating a potential breakout opportunity [4]. Group 2: Fundamental Strength - KGEI holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises [5]. - The stock has an Average Broker Recommendation of 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting high optimism from the brokerage community regarding its near-term price performance [6]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The article suggests that investors can utilize the "Recent Price Strength" screen to identify stocks like KGEI that are on an upward trend supported by strong fundamentals [2]. - There are over 45 Zacks Premium Screens available for investors to find stocks that align with their investment strategies [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article compares Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) and Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) to determine which stock is more attractive to value investors [1]. Valuation Metrics - KGEI has a forward P/E ratio of 11.09, while TLN has a forward P/E of 30.15 [5]. - KGEI's PEG ratio is 0.79, indicating a more favorable valuation compared to TLN's PEG ratio of 2.50 [5]. - KGEI's P/B ratio is 1.62, significantly lower than TLN's P/B of 4.56, suggesting KGEI is undervalued relative to its book value [6]. Investment Grades - Both KGEI and TLN currently hold a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions and improving earnings outlooks [3]. - KGEI has a Value grade of A, while TLN has a Value grade of C, highlighting KGEI's superior valuation metrics [6].

Core Insights - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) and Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) are two stocks in the Alternative Energy - Other sector that are being compared for investment value [1] - Both companies currently hold a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions and an improving earnings outlook [3] Valuation Metrics - KGEI has a forward P/E ratio of 13.56, while TLN has a significantly higher forward P/E of 33.38 [5] - KGEI's PEG ratio is 0.97, suggesting it is undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth, whereas TLN's PEG ratio is 2.92 [5] - KGEI's P/B ratio stands at 1.55, indicating a favorable market value compared to its book value, while TLN has a P/B ratio of 4.98 [6] Value Grades - Based on the valuation metrics, KGEI holds a Value grade of A, while TLN has a Value grade of C, suggesting KGEI is the superior value option at this time [6][7]