PresentationAngel Castillo MalpicaVice President Thanks and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. My name is Angel Castillo, and I'm the U.S. machinery and construction analyst here at Morgan Stanley. Before we get started, I just want to read a quick disclaimer. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley representative. And this morning, it's ...

PresentationAngel Castillo MalpicaVice President Thanks and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. My name is Angel Castillo, and I'm the U.S. machinery and construction analyst here at Morgan Stanley. Before we get started, I just want to read a quick disclaimer. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley representative. And this morning, it's ...

Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - The discussion revolves around a company in the welding and automation industry, focusing on its strategic growth plans and market dynamics. Key Points and Arguments Strategic Growth and Innovation - The company aims for high single-digit to low double-digit growth by 2025, driven by technology and innovation [2] - Acquisitions are a significant part of the growth strategy, contributing 300 to 400 basis points to growth [2] - The company has consistently improved operating margins, exceeding 17% for three years, with a historical average increase of 200 basis points per cycle [3] Market Dynamics and Pricing Strategy - The company is focused on maintaining a price-cost neutral strategy despite tariff impacts, emphasizing agility in responding to cost dynamics [6][8] - There is resilience in volume despite anticipated price elasticity, particularly in consumables, which constitute over half of the business [10][11] - The company has implemented five price increases in the first half of the year to manage costs effectively [18] End Market Performance - Heavy industries have faced challenges, with growth not expected until 2026, while general industries showed high single-digit growth [14] - The automotive sector has performed better than expected, with stable retail sales and a focus on capital investment in automation [15][23] - Energy markets are viewed positively, with expected investments in oil and gas continuing to drive growth [15] International Market Insights - The international market remains competitive, with a focus on the Middle East and Southeast Asia for growth opportunities [32] - The company has seen a slight improvement in EBIT margins in international markets, currently at 11.5% [31] Capital Allocation and Investment - The company prioritizes internal capital investment for growth, with a focus on automation and core welding markets [42][43] - There is a commitment to return cash to shareholders, with a target of $300 to $400 million in share repurchases for the year [49] Challenges and Future Outlook - The company faces challenges in the automation segment, with a target to achieve corporate average operating margins, currently at low teens EBIT [51] - There is a cautious outlook on the timing of capital investments due to macroeconomic uncertainties, but the company remains committed to long-term growth strategies [45] Additional Insights - The company is actively seeking to improve its supply chain, particularly in sourcing steel domestically to mitigate cost impacts [20][22] - The integration of recent acquisitions, such as the stake in alloy steel, is progressing well and is expected to enhance capabilities in heavy industry markets [46][47] Conclusion - The company is strategically positioned for growth through innovation, acquisitions, and a disciplined approach to pricing and cost management, while navigating challenges in specific end markets and macroeconomic conditions.

Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the "long context," investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Even ...

Core Viewpoint - Lincoln Electric is a global leader in welding, demonstrating strong margin performance in a dynamic environment, with expectations for long-term earnings growth driven by automation and capital deployment strategies [2]. Group 1 - Lincoln Electric has recently reported a strong margin performance quarter [2]. - The company is positioned to compound earnings over the long term due to its strong position in automation [2]. - Capital deployment strategies are expected to further enhance the company's financial performance [2].

Summary of Lincoln Electric (LECO) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Lincoln Electric (LECO) - **Industry**: Welding and Automation - **Event**: 2025 Conference Call held on September 4, 2025 Key Points Current Market Environment - Customers are still deferring capital spending, maintaining a wait-and-see approach due to uncertainty in the market [4][5] - Resilience observed in North American markets and consumables business, indicating stability despite deferrals in automation and standard equipment orders [6][7] - The impact of Section 232 tariffs is being quantified, with a focus on maintaining a price-cost neutral posture [8][10] Business Performance - Heavy industries are operating below mid-cycle levels, with a volume decline of mid-teens compared to 2019, with expectations for growth not anticipated until 2026 [11][12] - Energy sector shows strong domestic and international activity, particularly in oil and gas, with good momentum expected to continue [14][15] - Consumables, which represent 52% of the business, are a key indicator of production levels and customer demand [19] Automation and Growth Strategy - Automation sales have increased significantly, from $400 million in 2020 to nearly $1 billion, with a focus on both organic and inorganic growth strategies [29][30] - The company is exploring acquisitions to diversify its automation business geographically and by end market [31][32] - High quoting activity is noted, but translating quotes into orders remains a challenge [35][36] Margin Performance - Margin performance has exceeded expectations, with automation margins more than doubling since 2020 [38][40] - The company is focused on both temporary and structural cost management strategies to maintain margins [39][56] - Harris segment has outperformed expectations, with EBIT margins improving significantly [50][52] Capital Deployment and Financial Strategy - The company emphasizes growth through internal investments and acquisitions, with a disciplined approach to capital allocation [61][62] - Share repurchases are being executed at the largest dollar amount since 2015, with a focus on maintaining a balance between growth investments and shareholder returns [63][64] - The target leverage ratio is set at 1.75 times EBITDA, with flexibility to increase for strategic acquisitions [66] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about long-term growth trajectories in capital and production, with a focus on innovation and technology [70] - Key metrics for 2026 and beyond include top-line growth, operating margins, cash generation, and return on invested capital (ROIC) [67][68] Additional Insights - The company is exploring the use of AI for operational efficiency, although it is still in early stages [44][45] - The management's posture is to navigate through cycles while positioning for growth, indicating a strong foundation for future expansion [70] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the Lincoln Electric conference call, highlighting the company's resilience, growth strategies, and focus on maintaining strong margins in a dynamic market environment.

Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for LECO's full-year earnings has moved 5% higher. This is a sign of improving analyst sentiment and a positive earnings outlook trend. The Industrial Products group has plenty of great stocks, but investors should always be looking for companies that are outperforming their peers. Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) is a stock that can certainly grab the attention of many investors, but do its recent returns compare favorably to the sector as a whole? L ...

Core Viewpoint - Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to its improving earnings outlook and analysts raising earnings estimates [1][2]. Estimate Revisions - The upward trend in earnings estimate revisions reflects growing analyst optimism regarding Lincoln Electric's earnings prospects, which is expected to positively impact its stock price [2]. - For the current quarter, the earnings estimate is $2.31 per share, representing a year-over-year increase of +7.9%, with a 5.15% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the last 30 days [6]. - For the full year, the expected earnings are $9.52 per share, indicating a year-over-year change of +2.5% [7]. - The trend for the current year shows five estimates moving higher with no negative revisions, leading to a 5.2% increase in the consensus estimate [8]. Zacks Rank - Lincoln Electric has achieved a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates, which historically correlates with stock price outperformance [9]. - Stocks with Zacks Rank 1 and 2 have significantly outperformed the S&P 500, suggesting a favorable investment environment for Lincoln Electric [9]. Stock Performance - The stock has gained 6.9% over the past four weeks, driven by solid estimate revisions and positive earnings growth prospects [10].

Core Viewpoint - Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value calculations by institutional investors, resulting in stock price movements [4]. Business Outlook - The upgrade reflects an improvement in Lincoln Electric's underlying business, suggesting that investors may respond positively by driving the stock price higher [5][10]. - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, Lincoln Electric is expected to earn $9.37 per share, with a 2.6% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past three months [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7][9]. - The upgrade places Lincoln Electric in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Company Overview - Lincoln Electric Holdings is the largest designer and manufacturer of arc welding and cutting products globally, founded in the late 1800s and listed on the Nasdaq exchange [1] Investment Focus - The analysis emphasizes a qualitative approach to investing, particularly in small-cap companies, seeking long-term compounders and special situations [1]