Market Overview - The U.S. stock market opened lower on January 8, with the Dow Jones up 0.34%, S&P 500 up 0.01%, and Nasdaq down 0.51% [1] - Major tech stocks mostly declined, with Nvidia and Intel dropping over 2%, and Apple and Facebook down over 1% [3] - Military stocks surged, with Northrop Grumman rising over 9% and Lockheed Martin up over 7%, following President Trump's proposal to increase U.S. military spending from $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion for FY2027 [3] Commodity Market - Silver prices fell significantly, with spot silver down over 5% and COMEX silver down over 4%. The gold-silver ratio has dropped below 60, currently around 59, marking a ten-year low [3] - International oil prices saw an increase, with Brent crude rising nearly 2% to $61 per barrel and WTI crude up 1.95% to $57 per barrel [3] Employment and Economic Indicators - The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. was recorded at 208,000, slightly below the forecast of 212,000, with the previous value revised from 199,000 to 200,000 [4] - Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to potentially lower interest rates by about 150 basis points by 2026, with a focus on balancing employment and inflation [4] Federal Reserve Outlook - Various institutions have differing views on the Fed's interest rate decisions for the year, with JPMorgan and UBS predicting only one rate cut, while Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo expect two cuts. Some banks believe there will be no cuts at all [5]

Market Overview - US equities opened lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.1% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 108 points or 0.2%, as major technology stocks weakened despite a rally in defence stocks [1] - The Nasdaq Composite underperformed, sliding 0.3% due to pressure on large-cap technology stocks that have driven recent market gains [1][3] Technology Sector - Technology stocks, including Meta Platforms, Apple, and Netflix, experienced declines, which limited market upside even as other sectors showed strength [3] - The pullback in tech stocks followed a cautious tone from the previous session, where both the S&P 500 and the Dow finished in the red after reaching all-time highs [3] Defence Sector - Defence stocks surged following President Trump's proposal for a $1.5 trillion defence budget for 2027, a significant increase from the $901 billion budget approved for 2026 [5] - Northrop Grumman rose over 8%, Lockheed Martin climbed 6%, RTX advanced more than 3%, and Kratos Defence jumped nearly 13%, making defence one of the strongest-performing segments [5][6] Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims for the week ended Jan. 3 were reported at 208,000, up from 200,000 the previous week, but below economists' expectations of 210,000, indicating resilience in the US labour market [7][8] - Claims data has shown volatility recently, but initial claims remain near the lower end of the range seen over the past year, suggesting employers are retaining their workforces [8][9]

Core Insights - Trump's executive order targets defense contractors, prohibiting dividends and buybacks until they invest in production capacity, specifically calling out RTX for prioritizing shareholder returns over military needs [5][6][9] - A proposed $1.5 trillion military budget is expected to benefit major defense contractors like Lockheed Martin, RTX, and General Dynamics, potentially driving revenue growth despite short-term payout restrictions [4][10] Lockheed Martin - Lockheed Martin is the largest defense contractor globally, with a market capitalization of $115 billion and $73.3 billion in sales, returning significant capital to investors through dividends and buybacks [3] - In 2024, Lockheed paid $3.1 billion in dividends and repurchased $3.7 billion in shares, with $2.3 billion in dividends and buybacks reported in the first three quarters of 2025 [3] - The company reported record F-35 deliveries of 191 jets in 2025, driven by strong global demand [1] RTX - RTX is the second-largest defense contractor with a market cap of $249 billion and sales of $86 billion, generating 50% to 60% of its revenue from government contracts [7] - The company has returned substantial capital to shareholders, with dividends of $3.2 billion in 2024 and buybacks of $444 million, but faced criticism for aggressive shareholder rewards [8][9] - Trump's order could halt RTX's payouts and threaten its contract eligibility unless it increases investments in production facilities [9] General Dynamics - General Dynamics has a market cap of $93 billion and $51.5 billion in sales, with nearly 80% of its revenue from government contracts [12] - The company returned approximately $1.5 billion in dividends in 2024 and raised its quarterly dividend to $1.50 per share for 2025, totaling near $1.2 billion [13] - General Dynamics' stock performance was strong, with a 26% gain in 2025, and the proposed defense budget is expected to bolster its diverse operations [14]

Core Viewpoint - President Trump signed an executive order affecting defense contractors, prohibiting dividends and share repurchases until they prioritize investments in production facilities and machinery, specifically targeting RTX for its shareholder-focused practices [1]. Group 1: Industry Impact - Major defense firms experienced stock declines of up to 5% following Trump's order, but optimism returned after he proposed a $1.5 trillion defense budget for 2027, significantly higher than the $901 billion allocated for 2026 [2]. - The proposed budget is expected to drive growth in the defense sector, benefiting major contractors like Lockheed Martin, RTX, and General Dynamics [2]. Group 2: Lockheed Martin (LMT) - Lockheed Martin, the largest defense contractor, has a market cap of $115 billion and reported $73.3 billion in sales, returning substantial capital to investors through dividends and buybacks [3]. - In 2024, Lockheed paid $3.1 billion in dividends and repurchased $3.7 billion in shares, with a total of $2.3 billion in dividends and buybacks in the first three quarters of 2025 [3][5]. - Despite steady stock performance, Trump's order may restrict Lockheed's shareholder returns until it demonstrates increased production capacity, although the proposed budget could enhance revenue growth [5]. Group 3: RTX (RTX) - RTX, the second-largest contractor, has a market cap of $249 billion and sales of $86 billion, with 50%-60% of its revenue from government contracts [6]. - The company distributed $3.2 billion in dividends and $444 million in buybacks in 2024, with dividends reaching $2.67 per share in 2025 [7]. - RTX's stock surged 37% in 2024 and another 58% in 2025, but Trump's criticism may halt its shareholder payouts until it invests more in production facilities [8]. Group 4: General Dynamics (GD) - General Dynamics has a market cap of $93 billion and $51.5 billion in sales, generating nearly 80% of its revenue from government contracts [11]. - The company returned approximately $1.5 billion in dividends in 2024 and raised its quarterly dividend to $1.50 per share for 2025, totaling near $1.2 billion [12]. - General Dynamics' stock rose about 1.5% in 2024 and 26% in 2025, but may face pressure to redirect funds from shareholder returns to production investments due to Trump's order [14].

责任编辑：张俊 SF065 美国总统特朗普呼吁制定1.5万亿美元的国防预算后，国防类股大幅飙升。洛克希德·马丁公司和L3哈里 斯科技公司股价上涨8%，诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司跃升8.4%。通用动力公司上涨6.6%，RTX涨幅接近 5%。 美国总统特朗普呼吁制定1.5万亿美元的国防预算后，国防类股大幅飙升。洛克希德·马丁公司和L3哈里 斯科技公司股价上涨8%，诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司跃升8.4%。通用动力公司上涨6.6%，RTX涨幅接近 5%。 责任编辑：张俊 SF065 ...

此外，新的一年伊始，种种迹象表明，今年全球局势似乎将由地缘政治因素主导。今年，美国已在委内 瑞拉发动了一次军事行动，而白宫方面表示特朗普不排除动用武力获取格陵兰岛。"地缘政治是2026年 迄今无法回避的主题，"盛宝市场(Saxo Markets)英国投资策略师尼尔·威尔逊(Neil Wilson)表示。 周四，美股军工股盘前集体大涨，诺斯罗普格鲁曼(NOC.US)涨近8%，洛克希德马丁(LMT.US)涨超 6%，雷神技术(RTX.US)涨超3%，波音(BA.US)、寇蒂斯莱特(CW.US)涨超2%。消息面上，美国总统特 朗普1月7日提出，2027财年美国军费应从1万亿美元提升至1.5万亿美元。特朗普当天在社交媒体写 道，"为了美国的利益，尤其在当前动荡危险的时期"，2027财年美国军事预算不应设定为1万亿美元， 而应提高至1.5万亿美元。特朗普称，此举将帮助美国打造"梦想军队"。 来源：智通财经网 ...

智通财经APP获悉，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普有意提出增加美国军事预算的计划，此举措正为全球国防 类股票注入全新活力。新的一年伊始，欧洲国防股表现格外强劲，种种迹象表明，今年全球局势似乎将 由地缘政治因素主导。 周四，高盛集团编制的一篮子欧洲国防股上涨了多达3.8%，本周涨幅扩大至约13%。在美国，诺斯罗普 ·格鲁曼(NOC.US)和洛克希德·马丁(LMT.US)在盘前交易中上涨超过8%，从前一天特朗普呼吁限制该行 业的高管薪酬和股东回报导致的下跌中反弹。 亚洲的国防股也有所上涨，其中包括韩国的韩华航空航天公司、中国台湾的航空工业发展公司以及日本 的防卫机械株式会社。 "地缘政治是2026年迄今无法回避的主题，"盛宝市场(Saxo Markets)英国投资策略师尼尔·威尔逊(Neil Wilson)表示。在欧洲，涨幅最大的公司包括英国的BAE系统公司。该公司近半数收入来自美国，其股 价涨幅高达7%。德国的重型装备制造商莱茵金属公司股价涨幅高达4.1%，达到去年10月以来的最高水 平。 "对资本回报的限制是一个渐进式的负面影响，但规模可控，"摩根士丹利分析师克里斯汀·利瓦格在一 份报告中表示。她还补充道，如果对股息 ...

Core Viewpoint - Lockheed Martin's stock surged by 7.77% to $535.22 in premarket trading following President Trump's announcement of a $1.5 trillion defense budget for 2027, marking a 50% increase from the previous plan of $1 trillion [1][3]. Group 1: Defense Budget Announcement - President Trump described the increased defense budget as necessary to build a "Dream Military" to ensure America's safety and security [2][3]. - The proposed defense budget for 2027 has been increased by $500 billion over previous plans, reflecting the current global conditions [3]. - The announcement follows recent military actions, including the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, and Trump's rhetoric regarding Greenland and Venezuelan oil reserves [4]. Group 2: Market Reaction - The defense industry reacted positively, with Lockheed Martin leading a sector-wide rally; other major contractors also saw significant gains, including Northrop Grumman (up 8.3%), RTX (up 4.8%), and Kratos Defense (up 12%) [5]. - European defense stocks also experienced gains, with the Stoxx Europe Aerospace and Defense index rising by 1.1% [6]. Group 3: Lockheed Martin Stock Performance - Lockheed Martin shares traded at $535.22, up $38.58 or 7.77% from the previous close of $496.87, nearing its 52-week high of $538.73 [7][8]. - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $116 billion, maintaining its position as one of the largest aerospace and defense contractors globally [8]. - Lockheed Martin's financial metrics include a trailing P/E ratio of 27.70, a forward P/E of 16.81, and earnings per share of $17.94, with strong third-quarter results showing revenue of $18.61 billion and earnings of $1.62 billion [9].

格隆汇1月8日｜特朗普增加美国军事预算的计划，为全球国防股注入了新动力。在这一注定由地缘政治 主导的年份里，欧洲国防股的开局表现尤为强劲。高盛集团的一篮子欧洲国防股周四上涨多达3.8%， 使本周涨幅扩大至约13%。在美国，诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司和洛克希德·马丁公司的股价在盘前交易中飙 升超过6%，从前一天的跌势中回升；此前特朗普曾呼吁限制该行业的行政薪酬和股东回报。亚洲国防 股亦录得上涨。Saxo Markets英国投资策略师Neil Wilson表示："地缘政治是2026年迄今为止不可回避的 主题。"在欧洲，涨幅最大的是英国航空航天系统公司，该公司近一半的收入来自美国，其股价上涨多 达7%。德国防务巨头莱茵金属上涨多达4.1%，触及10月以来的最高水平。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the U.S. is moving towards a potential global conflict, as indicated by the Pentagon's budget increase to $1.5 trillion, which reflects characteristics of a nation preparing for war [1] - Former President Trump proposed increasing the U.S. military budget from $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion for the fiscal year 2027, aiming to build a "dream army" [2] Group 2 - Following the news, U.S. defense stocks surged in pre-market trading, with Northrop Grumman up 7.26%, Lockheed Martin up 7.07%, and Raytheon Technologies up 5.23%, resulting in market value increases of $5.98 billion, $8.13 billion, and $13.02 billion respectively [4] - However, during intraday trading, Trump criticized defense contractors, leading to a decline in defense stocks, with Northrop Grumman down 5.5%, Lockheed Martin down 4.82%, and Raytheon down 2.45% [4] - Trump emphasized that defense companies must invest in modern production facilities and restricted executive compensation to $5 million annually, prohibiting dividends and stock buybacks until issues are resolved [6] - Northrop Grumman spent $1.17 billion on stock buybacks and paid $964 million in dividends over the past nine months, while Lockheed Martin allocated $2.25 billion for buybacks and $2.33 billion for dividends [6]